Stephen A. Meserve

Stephen Meserve

@smeserve.bsky.social

47 followers 60 following 20 posts

Practicing political scientist, hiker, tabletop gamer, etc in Northern Arizona

Videos

Political science 52%

Computer science 14%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Stephen A. Meserve, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Data Bear 🏳️‍🌈 @dataandpolitics.net · 1d

I can’t believe the potential end of Fed independence is only causing a 0.5% slide in Dow futures.

www.cnbc.com/2026/01/11/s...

Stock futures slide as Trump's DOJ opens criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell: Live updates

Traders are preparing for the kickoff of earnings season, with major Wall Street banks set to report results in the days ahead.

www.cnbc.com

Reposted by Stephen M. Walt, Anna O. Law, Elizabeth Saunders , and 29 more Stephen M. Walt, Anna O. Law, Elizabeth Saunders, Axel Bruns, Will Jennings, Brendan Nyhan, Joshua S. Weitz, Steve Peers, David Rothschild, Julian Webb, Guy Grossman, Joseph Schafer, Brian Kelly, Edgar Morgenroth, Kevin Carey, Trevon D. Logan, Laurent Pech, Silvia Secchi, Ben Tonra, Brian Keegan, Jason Lyall, Mark Rice, Daniel Kuehn, Brenda Cossman, Stuart White, Prokla Redaktion, Meredith Farkas, Stephen A. Meserve, David S. Tanenhaus, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Farah Mendlesohn, David Darmofal

Charlie Thomas @cthomasjamh.bsky.social · 1d

This is the sort of statement that was expected from every university president and law firm partner over the last year. That those statements weren’t made played a huge part in where we are now and people will remember.

Joshua J. Friedman @joshuajfriedman.com · 1d

Jerome Powell: "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation."

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Robert W. Wallace, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 9 more Brendan Nyhan, Robert W. Wallace, Rosemary A. Joyce, Caroline Krafft, Sanford F. Schram, Robert C. Richards, Alan Richardson, Aaron Sojourner, Gerald Friedman, Henry Jones, Stephen A. Meserve, Stuart Shapiro

jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 1d

i think powell's response here is a demonstration of the folly of the idea that democratic accountability requires presidential control. what if the president is not acting in the public interest? you want independent agencies to be able to push back and pursue their *congressional mandate*

Bill Grueskin @bgrueskin.bsky.social · 1d

Powell, showing more guts than almost any GOP legislators:

"The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Fed setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President."

www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...

Bill Grueskin @bgrueskin.bsky.social · 1d

Reposted by Stephen A. Meserve

David_j_roth @davidjroth.bsky.social · 2d

Bears fans preparing to riot but the stadium puts Serengeti's "Dennehy" on the PA and they all calm down instantly and begin milling about harmlessly. "Keep the juice in your chops," they mutter to each other, absently if still somewhat warmly. "Keep the juice in your brats."

Reposted by Neil Pederson, Steve Peers, Fabián Muniesa , and 12 more Neil Pederson, Steve Peers, Fabián Muniesa, Juan Cole, Sanford F. Schram, Orin S. Kerr, McKenzie Wark, Samantha Brennan, Michael D. McDonald, Mark Rice, Andrew Guthrie Ferguson, Stephen A. Meserve, Suzanne Conklin Akbari, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Jeannette Sutton

Joseph Cox @josephcox.bsky.social · 5d

New: we've obtained material explaining how an ICE surveillance system, called Webloc, works. Draw shape on a map, see all phones available there, follow them home. All without warrant

“This is a very dangerous tool in the hands of an out-of-control agency.” www.404media.co/inside-ices-...

Inside ICE’s Tool to Monitor Phones in Entire Neighborhoods

404 Media has obtained material that explains how Tangles and Webloc, two surveillance systems ICE recently purchased, work. Webloc can track phones without a warrant and follow their owners home or t...

www.404media.co

Reposted by Marc Lynch, Lisa W. Fazio, Richard Price , and 7 more Marc Lynch, Lisa W. Fazio, Richard Price, Daniel W. Drezner, Michael H. Whitworth, Nelson Flores, Andrew Rudalevige, Stephen A. Meserve, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Clark Gray

Christina Belanger, Ph.D @belaforams.bsky.social · 5d

“…an intro. sociology course on race and ethnicity was canceled, a comm. course on religion and the arts was renumbered and stripped of core curriculum credit, and a philosophy prof. was told to remove Plato readings and other material related to race and gender from a core course or be reassigned.”

Texas A&M restrictions on race, gender could affect 200 courses

With the semester set to begin next week, professors have been directed to alter courses, and some classes have been removed or reassigned from the core curriculum at the College Station campus.

www.texastribune.org

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Will Jennings, Brendan Nyhan , and 3 more Anne Applebaum, Will Jennings, Brendan Nyhan, Michael A. Clemens, Juan Moreno‐Cruz, Stephen A. Meserve

David S. Bernstein @dbernstein.bsky.social · 6d

??? Apparently Venezuela oil revenues will go into “offshore accounts” outside of the US Treasury, PBS reports.

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Efrén O. Pérez, Fabrizio Coticchia , and 4 more Brendan Nyhan, Efrén O. Pérez, Fabrizio Coticchia, Ryan Enos, David R. Miller, Caterina Froio, Stephen A. Meserve

Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 7d

Some reflections from me on January 6 in comparative and historical perspective (first time on substack)

open.substack.com/pub/ziblatt4...

January 6 in Historical Perspective

January 6, 2026

open.substack.com

Reposted by Stephen A. Meserve

Annemarie Bridy @annemariebridy.bsky.social · 9d

I loved the Decoder episode where @reckless.bsky.social interviews Stack’s CEO, who is convinced that the business is evolving but healthy. It’s a really interesting conversation about how to navigate both urgently and thoughtfully through disruptive change. www.theverge.com/podcast/8440...

Stack Overflow users don’t trust AI. They’re using it anyway

Stack Overflow CEO Prashanth Chandrasekar on running the most popular developer forum in a post-ChatGPT world.

www.theverge.com

Reposted by Peter Thorne, David R. Miller, Christine Kooi , and 9 more Peter Thorne, David R. Miller, Christine Kooi, Jonathan Birch, Maria Abreu, Michael Jones‐Correa, Jelena Subotić, Mark Rice, Noah L. Nathan, Greg Linden, Stephen A. Meserve, Manisha Sinha

Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 10d

Among the many reasons you don’t kidnap a foreign head of state at gunpoint even if you have the capability, is that it sparks consequences you can neither control nor anticipate.

Reposted by Stephen A. Meserve

Reposted by Steve Peers, Stephen A. Meserve

Adam Rose @adamrose.bsky.social · 10d

Are we at war with Venezuela?!?

I don't know. You don't know either.

It sure would be nice to have a legitimate Pentagon press corps right about now.

Reposted by Stephen A. Meserve

Anjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 10d

this is a war of aggression. it is illegal under international law, and he has no right to launch it. you might fairly argue that it none of that has constrained him, but laws matter when powerful actors insist they do, and there are powerful actors who could start insisting they do.

Reposted by Daniel W. Drezner, David C. Kimball, Steven S. Taylor , and 2 more Daniel W. Drezner, David C. Kimball, Steven S. Taylor, Tim Stephens, Stephen A. Meserve

Scott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 11d

Prof Eliot Jacobson: And it's a wrap. The year 2025 came in at 1.47°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline, making it the 3rd warmest year on record behind 2023 (1.48°C) and 2024 (1.60°C), and likely the 3rd warmest in the last 120,000 years.

Reposted by Seth Masket, Stephen A. Meserve

Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 13d

Mind bogglingly low.

Reposted by Shannon Vallor, Jason Mittell, Colin F. Camerer , and 11 more Shannon Vallor, Jason Mittell, Colin F. Camerer, Christopher Wright, Benjamin Braun, Patrick Svensson, Stephen D. Murphy, Michael Jones‐Correa, Jennifer A. Johnson, Catherine J. Frieman, Stephen A. Meserve, Charles T. Mathewes, Annette Yoshiko Reed, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò

Laprofmme @laprofmme.bsky.social · 14d

THIS THIS THIS. ALL OF THIS

THIS is why faculty resist technological strategies for teaching. There is no engaging with Edtech without this context

Reposted by Stephen A. Meserve

Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 16d

“Thwaites holds back the vast icy plateau that scientists call the West Antarctic ice sheet. The greater peril would be if Thwaites collapsed and caused the broader ice sheet to melt away, adding another 10 to 15 feet to sea-level rise.” www.nytimes.com/2025/12/27/c...

Bound for Antarctica: A Voyage to Earth’s End Is Underway

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by David Rothschild, Michael Jones‐Correa, Stephen A. Meserve , and 1 more David Rothschild, Michael Jones‐Correa, Stephen A. Meserve, Nathan P. Kalmoe

David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 18d

They Wanted a Conservative State. They Might Get a Democratic Representative Instead.

The passage of Proposition 50, which redrew California’s congressional map, means that all of the state’s conservative north is likely to be represented by Democrats.
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/26/u...

They Wanted a Conservative State. They Might Get a Democratic Representative Instead.

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by David R. Miller, Stephen A. Meserve

Nate Raymond @nateraymond.bsky.social · 21d

Kavanaugh in a footnote in today's opinion says "the officers must not make interior immigration stops or arrests based on race or ethnicity."

Reposted by Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Rosemary A. Joyce, Robert C. Richards , and 6 more Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Rosemary A. Joyce, Robert C. Richards, David R. Miller, Sarah Roberts, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Stephen A. Meserve, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe

AkivaMCohen @akivamcohen.bsky.social · 22d

Guards began beating him. Beat him until he bled. Knocked his face into the wall, broke all his teeth. No access to outdoors, no contact with relatives.

Now describing US knowledge of CECOT's torture practices, followed by footage of Trump praising those practices.

Reposted by Fabián Muniesa, Andrew Guthrie Ferguson, Stephen A. Meserve

Jason Koebler @jasonkoebler.bsky.social · 22d

SCOOP: Flock left at least 60 of its AI-powered, people-tracking surveillance cameras exposed and livestreaming to the open internet. We tracked ourselves. The exposure highlights the power of these cameras and types of things they're tracking. Not just cars.

www.404media.co/flock-expose...

Flock Exposed Its AI-Powered Cameras to the Internet. We Tracked Ourselves.

Flock left at least 60 of its people-tracking Condor PTZ cameras live streaming and exposed to the open internet.

www.404media.co

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Robert C. Richards, Stephen A. Meserve , and 1 more Caroline Krafft, Robert C. Richards, Stephen A. Meserve, Tommy J. Curry

Trevon Logan @trevondlogan.bsky.social · 22d

In a world of Sundown Towns where Black people weren’t allowed after nightfall, Green Book businesses were tiny spots of light. Traveling while Black was about survival. The Green Book Project documents that history:
greenbookproject.org.ohio-state.edu #GreenBookProject #CommunityMap #EconSky

Reposted by Daniel W. Drezner, Robert Wolfe, Michael Zimmer , and 2 more Daniel W. Drezner, Robert Wolfe, Michael Zimmer, Michael Jones‐Correa, Stephen A. Meserve

Parker Molloy @parkermolloy.com · 22d

This is just sad.

Text: Garry Tan 9 @garrytan
X.com
My 10 year old got sick of coloring something and asked Nano Banana to finish coloring it and this is what it rendered

Image 1: crab half filled in
Image 2: crab filled in by AI

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Rosemary A. Joyce, Stephen A. Meserve

International and Monetary Economics Network @intmon.bsky.social · 24d

Highly recommended!

"The Incidence of Tariffs: Rates and Reality" by Gita Gopinath and Brent Neiman.

"...tariff pass-through to U.S. import prices is almost 100 percent, so the United States is bearing a large share of the costs."

bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/u...

Reposted by Kim L. Scheppele, Victor Asal, Diane Ravitch , and 4 more Kim L. Scheppele, Victor Asal, Diane Ravitch, Melanie C. Green, Janet Murray, etobias, Stephen A. Meserve

ProPublica @propublica.org · 28d

Arizona, the model for voucher programs across the country, spent so much money paying private schoolers’ tuition that it faced hundreds of millions in budget cuts to critical state programs and projects last year.

(Published July 2024)

School Vouchers Were Supposed to Save Taxpayer Money. Instead They Blew a Massive Hole in Arizona’s Budget.

Arizona, the model for voucher programs across the country, has spent so much money paying private schoolers’ tuition that it’s now facing hundreds of millions in budget cuts to critical state program...

www.propublica.org

Reposted by Scott L. Greer, Trevon D. Logan, Nancy T. Ammerman , and 6 more Scott L. Greer, Trevon D. Logan, Nancy T. Ammerman, Alan Richardson, Michael Zimmer, Michelle L. Mazurek, Julie Novkov, Stephen A. Meserve, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 28d

Very much reads like they are significantly reducing the influence of peer review on scientific funding, which under the current regime opens the way for more politicized funding instead.

HL Eisthen, defective human product @hleisthen.bsky.social · 28d

NSF now planning to let POs largely decide what gets funded, and to send PIs reviews that are only 3-5 sentences long. They don't have to use outside reviewers (except maybe 1) and don't have to convene panels. (1/5)

NSF pares down grant-review process, reducing influence of outside scientists

Memo cites overburdened staff, but some say move also aims to elevate White House priorities

www.science.org

Reposted by Nicholas A. Christakis, Marco Festa‐Bianchet, Lesley A. Hall , and 30 more Nicholas A. Christakis, Marco Festa‐Bianchet, Lesley A. Hall, Jacob Montgomery, Gernot Wagner, Kelly Smith, Nils Gustafsson, Valerie Mueller, Paolo Crosetto, Tom van der Meer, Douglas Guilfoyle, Adrian Vickers, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Christine Kooi, Bessma Momani, Brian Keegan, Zen Faulkes, Sarah Roberts, Kate Starbird, Paul Nightingale, Wolfgang Huber, Ann Bartow, Nelson Flores, Alessandro Rigolon, Halley E. Froehlich, Juanjo Medina, Greg Linden, Stephen A. Meserve, Stella M. Rouse, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Francesco Nicoli, Jeannette Sutton, Clark Gray

Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 29d

Grading and googling hallucinated citations, as one does nowadays, and now that LLMs have been around for a while, I've discovered new horrors: hallucinated journals are now appearing in Google Scholar with dozens of citations bc so many people are citing these fake things

Reposted by Scott L. Greer, Stephen A. Meserve, Jeannette Sutton

Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · Dec 14

Gen AI tools are not good sources for information during rapidly unfolding, novel events. Words associations aren't helpful for discovering ground truth. These tools are more likely to echo and contribute to the inherent uncertainty and ambiguity of crisis events.