Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
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paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
@paulgp.com
17K followers 1.5K following 3.2K posts

Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his

Videos
Economics 47%
Mathematics 9%
Posts Replies Media Videos

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 7h
Real monkeys paw situation

Reposted by Will Jennings, Sascha O. Becker, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , and 2 more

bencollins.bsky.social
Tim Onion @bencollins.bsky.social · 7h
Elon's little serfs are quite literally begging journalists to come back because every publicly available source of data shows people have fled the platform and young people won't use it.

They are literally begging regular people to come back. Don't do it! It is a website by and for actual Nazis!
An interview with Twitter's Chief Product Officer title "X Wants Its Haters Back"

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 9h
If hasset is chair of fed, then a Swarthmore alum will be fed chair and former Swarthmore prof will be vice chair…

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 10h
Reminder about this awesome app for identifying turnaround times across journals #linkoftheday

jcsuarez.shinyapps.io/journal_turn...
Journal Turnaround Times: Economics and Finance
jcsuarez.shinyapps.io

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 10h
Wish this had a replication package too :(

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

quantamagazine.bsky.social
Quanta Magazine @quantamagazine.bsky.social · 12h
To thwart malicious prompts, large language models use filters that are smaller than the models themselves. Recently, the Turing Award-winning cryptographer Shafi Goldwasser and researcher Sarah Ball showed that this size disparity makes LLMs insecure. www.quantamagazine.org/cryptographe...

Reposted by Steve Peers, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

greenarrowcore.bsky.social
greenarrowcore.bsky.social @greenarrowcore.bsky.social · 13h
Green Arrow more than said "Fuck Ice"

#GreenArrow
#NoBorders
#FuckIce
#EmeraldArcher

1. This is how the story "Sanctuary" from Detective Comics #551-552 started.

Back then was INS. The kid showed his passport after this, but his brother is not in the same situation.

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
Oh my God
joshuajfriedman.com Joshua J. Friedman @joshuajfriedman.com · 1d
NEW: Brown econ prof Rachel Friedberg says the shooting happened in a finals review session:

"The room has stadium seating with doors that enter at the top. [The TA] said that the shooter came in the doors, yelled something ... and started shooting." www.oceanstatemedia.org/news-and-cul...
Rachel Friedberg, a Brown economics professor, said the mass shooting happened in a review session for the final exam of her Principles of Economics course. She said she learned what happened from a teaching assistant who led the session. Friedberg herself was not present. "The room has stadium seating with doors that enter at the top," Friedberg said. "He said that the shooter came in the doors, yelled something — he couldn't remember what he yelled — and started shooting." "Students started to scramble to try to get away from the shooter, trying to get lower down in the stadium seating, and people got shot," Friedberg said. "I don't know if they're the only ones who got shot or not."

Reposted by Scott A. Imberman, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, David Darmofal

joshuajfriedman.com
Joshua J. Friedman @joshuajfriedman.com · 1d
NEW: Brown econ prof Rachel Friedberg says the shooting happened in a finals review session:

"The room has stadium seating with doors that enter at the top. [The TA] said that the shooter came in the doors, yelled something ... and started shooting." www.oceanstatemedia.org/news-and-cul...
Rachel Friedberg, a Brown economics professor, said the mass shooting happened in a review session for the final exam of her Principles of Economics course. She said she learned what happened from a teaching assistant who led the session. Friedberg herself was not present. "The room has stadium seating with doors that enter at the top," Friedberg said. "He said that the shooter came in the doors, yelled something — he couldn't remember what he yelled — and started shooting." "Students started to scramble to try to get away from the shooter, trying to get lower down in the stadium seating, and people got shot," Friedberg said. "I don't know if they're the only ones who got shot or not."

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
😂 I think I have to stop at “high dimensional”, infinite seems like too much

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

akhilrao.bsky.social
grand theft eigenvalue 🔆 @akhilrao.bsky.social · 1d
fucked up and let the refactor continue until auto compaction. my disappointment is immeasurable

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
That’s what Kolesar calls it!

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
I’m 40 and barely read the whole books I was assigned in high school.

I still like books fine!
nytimes.com The New York Times @nytimes.com · 2d
In American high schools, many teenagers are assigned few full books to read from beginning to end — often just one or two per year, according to researchers and thousands of responses to an informal reader survey by The New York Times. trib.al/gNp7kWK

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
These ones are better bsky.app/profile/paul...
paulgp.com Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2d
With this setup, basically all the results disappear. I think rdrobust is not great in these types of discrete designs, unfortunately.

@johnholbein1.bsky.social

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
lol I am so sorry, you’re totally right. It’s very unreadable 😩

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d
Really big kudos to the authors for having the data and code up for replication!

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2d
With this setup, basically all the results disappear. I think rdrobust is not great in these types of discrete designs, unfortunately.

@johnholbein1.bsky.social

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2d
Overall, I think rdrobust is the wrong tool for this given the discreteness in the running variable (see Kolesar and Rothe (2018)).

To do this, you need to pick a bound on the second derivative. I am VERY generous, and pick a bound of M=0.01.

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2d
However, the results hold up in the high-rent high gentrification areas (Figure 5).

Reposted by Alexander Wuttke, John Holbein, Kai Gehring , and 1 more

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2d
I was also bored and pulled up the replication package.

The results are quite sensitive in aggregate to needing the controls. Here's the replication of Figure 3, including the case w/o controls:

Reposted by Stacy D. VanDeveer, Andrew L. Rypel, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , and 1 more

nytimes.com
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 2d
In American high schools, many teenagers are assigned few full books to read from beginning to end — often just one or two per year, according to researchers and thousands of responses to an informal reader survey by The New York Times. trib.al/gNp7kWK

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 2d
Upon relisten today -- Wish You Were Here is an UNBELIEVABLE ALBUM

Reposted by Robert C. Richards, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Nathan P. Kalmoe

trevondlogan.bsky.social
Trevon Logan @trevondlogan.bsky.social · 2d
Black Americans navigated Jim Crow through guides like the Green Books by sharing their experiences. Know a Green Book establishment? Share your memories, and upload photos or documents. Your contribution makes the archive complete. greenbookproject.osu.edu #GreenBookProject #CommunityMap
#EconSky

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Ondřej Mottl

cedricscherer.com
Cédric Scherer @cedricscherer.com · 2d
I ignored the strip.clip argument in #ggplot2 for way too long 😲

Combined with a small negative margin tweak, you can place facet labels inside each panel. A tiny trick that makes small multiples feel so much cleaner.

🔵 no manual coordinates
🔵 inherits theme styling
🔵 scales nicely when resizing
Side-by-side comparison of two multi-panel bubble charts faceted by world region. The left column shows the default facet labels placed above each panel (“Africa”, “Americas”, “Asia”, “Europe”, “Oceania”). The right column shows the same charts, but the facet labels are moved inside each panel at the top-left using a negative margin. In the center, there is a title reading “Want to place your facet labels inside each panel?” with an arrow pointing right, followed by a short ggplot2 theme code snippet demonstrating how to move strip text inside the panel.

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 3d
Yes these are from my colleague Kyle and he said I could share them.

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 3d
Yeah too much bitcoin stuff

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Chris Hanretty, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

johnholbein1.bsky.social
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 3d
Um, ok...

This paper forthcoming at the JOP provides evidence that rent control in Germany actually made tenants MASSIVELY *less* NIMBY.

This result was in the opposite direction of the authors' pre-registered expectations.

And the effect sizes are, truly, massive.

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4d
Super cool looking paper. I want to try to implement this! arxiv.org/pdf/2512.06607
arxiv.org

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4d
Yes, that's what I would've thought, but either a) they aren't finishing the Phds (e.g. they're taking the masters and doing this) or b) the departments are only reporting PhD grantees don't go into industry. But that isn't in line with the usual survey reporting.

paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 4d
Congratulations to Mira!
aeacswep.bsky.social CSWEP @aeacswep.bsky.social · 4d
@aeacswep.bsky.social
announces Mira Frick as the 2025 Elaine Bennett Research Prize winner! Visit www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co... for the full announcement. Congratulations Mira!
Elaine Bennett Research Prize
www.aeaweb.org