Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
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paulgp.com
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
@paulgp.com

Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his

Economics 47%
Mathematics 9%
Grading and googling hallucinated citations, as one does nowadays, and now that LLMs have been around for a while, I've discovered new horrors: hallucinated journals are now appearing in Google Scholar with dozens of citations bc so many people are citing these fake things
Divinity: Original Sin 2 is now available on Switch 2, PS5 and Xbox Series X|S (free upgrade) buff.ly/RQCm8fh

$14.99 US PSN buff.ly/xJXORnE
$17.49 XBL buff.ly/NIAO5cR
$24.99 US eShop buff.ly/jnggmAf

Just finished Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow; love the story-telling device, does an amazing job with the structure of how to write around an (almost) all-powerful superhero who is known for always being "good"

5/5 would recommend

www.amazon.com/Supergirl-Wo...
Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow
Amazon.com: Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow: 9781779515681: King, Tom, Evely, Bilquis, Lopes, Matheus: Books
www.amazon.com
10/10 banger, oklou is going places

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jg9u...
Oklou: Tiny Desk Concert
YouTube video by NPR Music
www.youtube.com

Real monkeys paw situation
Elon's little serfs are quite literally begging journalists to come back because every publicly available source of data shows people have fled the platform and young people won't use it.

They are literally begging regular people to come back. Don't do it! It is a website by and for actual Nazis!

If hasset is chair of fed, then a Swarthmore alum will be fed chair and former Swarthmore prof will be vice chair…

Reminder about this awesome app for identifying turnaround times across journals #linkoftheday

jcsuarez.shinyapps.io/journal_turn...
Journal Turnaround Times: Economics and Finance
jcsuarez.shinyapps.io

Wish this had a replication package too :(
To thwart malicious prompts, large language models use filters that are smaller than the models themselves. Recently, the Turing Award-winning cryptographer Shafi Goldwasser and researcher Sarah Ball showed that this size disparity makes LLMs insecure. www.quantamagazine.org/cryptographe...
Green Arrow more than said "Fuck Ice"

#GreenArrow
#NoBorders
#FuckIce
#EmeraldArcher

1. This is how the story "Sanctuary" from Detective Comics #551-552 started.

Back then was INS. The kid showed his passport after this, but his brother is not in the same situation.

Oh my God
NEW: Brown econ prof Rachel Friedberg says the shooting happened in a finals review session:

"The room has stadium seating with doors that enter at the top. [The TA] said that the shooter came in the doors, yelled something ... and started shooting." www.oceanstatemedia.org/news-and-cul...
NEW: Brown econ prof Rachel Friedberg says the shooting happened in a finals review session:

"The room has stadium seating with doors that enter at the top. [The TA] said that the shooter came in the doors, yelled something ... and started shooting." www.oceanstatemedia.org/news-and-cul...

😂 I think I have to stop at “high dimensional”, infinite seems like too much
fucked up and let the refactor continue until auto compaction. my disappointment is immeasurable

That’s what Kolesar calls it!

I’m 40 and barely read the whole books I was assigned in high school.

I still like books fine!
In American high schools, many teenagers are assigned few full books to read from beginning to end — often just one or two per year, according to researchers and thousands of responses to an informal reader survey by The New York Times. trib.al/gNp7kWK

These ones are better bsky.app/profile/paul...
With this setup, basically all the results disappear. I think rdrobust is not great in these types of discrete designs, unfortunately.

@johnholbein1.bsky.social

lol I am so sorry, you’re totally right. It’s very unreadable 😩

Really big kudos to the authors for having the data and code up for replication!

With this setup, basically all the results disappear. I think rdrobust is not great in these types of discrete designs, unfortunately.

@johnholbein1.bsky.social

Overall, I think rdrobust is the wrong tool for this given the discreteness in the running variable (see Kolesar and Rothe (2018)).

To do this, you need to pick a bound on the second derivative. I am VERY generous, and pick a bound of M=0.01.

However, the results hold up in the high-rent high gentrification areas (Figure 5).
I was also bored and pulled up the replication package.

The results are quite sensitive in aggregate to needing the controls. Here's the replication of Figure 3, including the case w/o controls:
In American high schools, many teenagers are assigned few full books to read from beginning to end — often just one or two per year, according to researchers and thousands of responses to an informal reader survey by The New York Times. trib.al/gNp7kWK

Upon relisten today -- Wish You Were Here is an UNBELIEVABLE ALBUM
Black Americans navigated Jim Crow through guides like the Green Books by sharing their experiences. Know a Green Book establishment? Share your memories, and upload photos or documents. Your contribution makes the archive complete. greenbookproject.osu.edu #GreenBookProject #CommunityMap
#EconSky
I ignored the strip.clip argument in #ggplot2 for way too long 😲

Combined with a small negative margin tweak, you can place facet labels inside each panel. A tiny trick that makes small multiples feel so much cleaner.

🔵 no manual coordinates
🔵 inherits theme styling
🔵 scales nicely when resizing

Yes these are from my colleague Kyle and he said I could share them.

Yeah too much bitcoin stuff