Simon Lester
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Simon Lester
@simonlester.com

Founded WorldTradeLaw.net & ChinaTradeMonitor.com Non-Resident Fellow @bakerinstitute.bsky.social

Trade Policy feed: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:xqzu2eazvxb5fohoc4nap33y/feed/aaab5ctu4u4fc

Political science 43%
Economics 28%
Pinned
I see lots of new followers popping up today. I assume you are here for the trade policy, in which case you might like my custom trade policy feed: bsky.app/profile/did:...

Reposted by Simon Lester

Ambassadors from the European Union's 27 countries will convene on Sunday for an emergency meeting (MET 5 p.m.) after Donald Trump vows tariffs linked to Greenland.

www.reuters.com/world/europe...
EU calls emergency envoys meeting for Sunday after Trump vows tariffs linked to Greenland
Ambassadors from the European Union's 27 countries will convene on Sunday for an emergency meeting.
www.reuters.com
Joint statement of EU Commission president and European Council president ec.europa.eu/commission/p...

Reposted by Simon Lester

Governor Abigail Spanberger Announces Board Appointments to UVA, VMI, GMU Boards of Visitors (Former Gov. Ralph Northam named to VMI Board of Visitors) bluevirginia.us/2026/01/gove...
Governor Abigail Spanberger Announces Board Appointments to UVA, VMI, GMU Boards of Visitors
Excellent - this is what we want to see! Governor Abigail Spanberger Announces Board Appointments RICHMOND, VA – Governor Abigail Spanberger today announced the following board appointments. BOARD APP...
bluevirginia.us

Also, anti-dumping/countervailing duties. Tariffs on specific EU member states is standard there.
Now it's really done: the liberals of Renew Europe joins the EPP and the Socialists to delay the ratification of the EU-US trade deal. The three centrist parties have a majority in the chamber to make it happen.

The European Parliament is NOT voting this deal.
Renew Europe leader Valérie Hayer says Trump's 10% tariff announcement is "unacceptable":

"These announcements follow many other agressive actions towards the EU. Therefore, it is now time to move from reliance to deterrence. Consequently, Renew Europe cannot vote the EU-US Turnberry trade deal."

Reposted by Simon Lester

Renew Europe leader Valérie Hayer says Trump's 10% tariff announcement is "unacceptable":

"These announcements follow many other agressive actions towards the EU. Therefore, it is now time to move from reliance to deterrence. Consequently, Renew Europe cannot vote the EU-US Turnberry trade deal."
All key European leaders now said they won’t go along with this. So if the objective was coercion it has already failed. (This is not a US miscalculation- its a very Trumpian one).
Keir Starmer often takes 2-3 days to issue very mild criticism of US actions. This is both direct and issued fast.

I think there is a serious risk that the US miscalculated quite what a big deal the Greenland thing is to Europe (and in Europe).
NEW - Starmer says US "completely wrong" in threatening tariffs over Greenland

That is certainly a possible outcome, yes. 😬
NEW: JD Vance supported US strikes on Iran this week and reasoned that Trump had to enforce his own red line, per sources. It was a surprise role reversal for a politician who built his identity on opposing Middle East wars with a loose connection to core US interests

Not sure what impact this would have on the effectivenes of the Eagles offense, but giggling and chuckling will certainly increase.

Reposted by Simon Lester

Eagles have reportedly requested permission to interview Colts’ offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter for the Eagles’ OC vacancy.
Report: Eagles to interview Colts offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter
Eagles have requested permission to interview Colts’ offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter for the Eagles’ offensive coordinator vacancy.
www.nbcsportsphiladelphia.com
[1/6] A reminder: Europe has cards to use against the US. Lots of them.

To cite some examples:

- Tighten screws on US digital giants (taxes, fines, even bans)
- Export taxes disrupting US supply chains eg pharma
- Exclude US firms from European procurement, inc defence

ecfr.eu/publication/...
Brussels hold’em: European cards against Trumpian coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relati
ecfr.eu
UK statement

So this is about redoing Greenland's kitchen and bathrooms?
UN Ambassador Mike Waltz on Greenland: "Denmark just doesn't have the resources or capacity to do what needs to be done in the northern region. And to the Democrats who say 'they're giving you full access,' everybody knows if you're renting a place you treat it differently than if you own it."
UN Ambassador Mike Waltz on Greenland: "Denmark just doesn't have the resources or capacity to do what needs to be done in the northern region. And to the Democrats who say 'they're giving you full access,' everybody knows if you're renting a place you treat it differently than if you own it."
DOJ investigating whether Denmark lied on its Greenland mortgage.
Massive crowds have taken to the streets of Nuuk to protest the Trump administration with one message: Greenland is not for sale. It is not negotiable.
If the Court has not written its ruling on tariffs yet, I wonder how much more proof they need that if the President has this power to use on a whim, he will abuse it. Congress has not granted the President the authority to raise and lower taxes on Americans just because he feels like it.

Ruling could come anytime from now through June, so I'm not sure there is a delay. Does taking longer mean they are going to rule for the tariffs? Maybe. But maybe not. I'm skeptical that anyone knows much here. SCOTUS tea leaf reading can be hard, especially in a case like this.

Reposted by Simon Lester

As insane as this is, it's also instructive:
1. Placate a bully, and you'll encourage him to hit you again
2. Trump's trade deals are worthless
3. US "emergency"/natsec tariffs are a joke & clear example of why unbounded exec power is bad (cc: SCOTUS)
4. Hey Congress: DO YOUR 🤬 JOB
More than 200,000 Danish citizens have signed a petition to buy California as a response to Trump’s attempt to take Greenland.

They say they will provide Californians with “rule of law, universal health care, fact-based politics, and a lifetime supply of Danish pastries.”

Reposted by Simon Lester

👍👏 On the home stretch for the world's largest free trade area.
EU-#Mercosur shows that there is (still) another way, on equal terms and not the law of the strongest. A strong signal against imperialism. The rules-based order is not yet at an end. More of this, please🙏
Trump likes “Donroe Doctrine” but it’s really the “Darth Vader” doctrine: "I am altering the deal. Pray I don't alter it any further.” Whatever government thinks they've reached an agreement with the US is deluding itself. These agreements are not worth the gold embossed napkins they are written on.

And if I were in Congress, I would think, OK, this has gone too far, time to revise the statutes through which we have delegated power to the president.
If I were on the Supreme Court, and thinking about the IEEPA tariff case on which I was about to rule, I might read this latest tariff threat from Trump and think, hmm, maybe there should be some limits on the power of the President to use tariffs.
Trump announces a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, Netherlands, and Finland beginning February 1st.
This tariff will be increased to 25% beginning on June 1st.
Tariffs will remain in effect until the US reaches a deal to buy Greenland.

I certainly wouldn't rule it out. But wasn't something supposed to come on Iran? These announcements don't always turn into anything concrete.

Will anyone think of the disenfranchised electoral college voters?

If I were on the Supreme Court, and thinking about the IEEPA tariff case on which I was about to rule, I might read this latest tariff threat from Trump and think, hmm, maybe there should be some limits on the power of the President to use tariffs.
Trump announces a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, Netherlands, and Finland beginning February 1st.
This tariff will be increased to 25% beginning on June 1st.
Tariffs will remain in effect until the US reaches a deal to buy Greenland.

Whenever I see that Trump "says on Truth Social," I think, let's see if an actual executive order gets issued on this one. Could just be idle tariff talk.

Reposted by Simon Lester

Donald Trump announces plans to hit the UK, Denmark and other European countries with a 10% tariff on "all or any goods" exported to the US from 1 February.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c1...
Trump tariffs: US president announces plan to hit UK, Denmark and other European countries with tariffs over Greenland
The US president says the countries will be charged a
www.bbc.co.uk
Trump announces a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, Netherlands, and Finland beginning February 1st.
This tariff will be increased to 25% beginning on June 1st.
Tariffs will remain in effect until the US reaches a deal to buy Greenland.