Will Jennings | Lightnews

Will Jennings📉🗳️

@drjennings.bsky.social

63K followers 5.1K following 7K posts

I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, geography, place, trust. I run on espresso.

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Political science 71%

Sociology 14%

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · May 12

Reposted by Will Jennings

Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 4h

I found this piece weirdly irritating. Now trying to work out what’s the opposite of ‘motherhood and apple pie’…maybe ‘borstal and sh*t sandwiches’?

www.ft.com/content/06cf...

Is Britain ungovernable?

The public has lost faith in the political system and in the people operating it

www.ft.com

Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 10h

ICE joining Bluesky is 100% trolling.

Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 12h

And Mandelson…

Reposted by Will Jennings

Alex Partridge @alexpartridge87.bsky.social · 13h

Sir Tony Blair is on the Gaza “board of peace” put together by Donald Trump, the BBC is reporting

Reposted by Will Jennings

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 14h

This entire claim is outright nonsense because in a mass deportation situation, Minnesota is projected to GAIN a Congressional seat, because Florida, Texas, and California all lose one as their population declines proportionately more.

Chart from Pew Research showing projected gain in 2020 Census if all undocumented immigrants were excluded from the count. It shows that Texas, Florida, and California all lose a seat, and Alabama, Minnesota, and Ohio all gain one.

Reposted by Will Jennings

Luke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 14h

Genuinely baffling. Focus is onTory-Reform fighting, giving Labour breathing space and opportunity to look like grown ups in the room - so some Labour cabinet members decide better strategy is to brief and mimic infighting - to what? Wrest the chaos narrative back? 🤦‍♂️
www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

Cabinet allies urge Keir Starmer to sack Wes Streeting for disloyalty

Ministers say the Labour leader should learn from Kemi Badenoch’s decisive action against Robert Jenrick and dismiss his outspoken health secretary

www.thetimes.com

Reposted by Will Jennings, David Darmofal

Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 15h

AP-NORC poll shows Trump's approval overall at 40%

But in a change from last year, his approval on immigration is now lower than his overall at 38%

His approval on the economy? 37%
apnorc.org/projects/few...

Fewer want the U.S. to take an active role in global affairs - AP-NORC

Forty-five percent of adults want the U.S. to take a less active role in global affairs, up from 33% in September 2025. Half believe the U.S. intervention in Venezuela will help stop the flow of illeg...

apnorc.org

Reposted by Will Jennings, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Murshed Zaheed @murshedz.bsky.social · 15h

Amazing. Plurality of Americans support abolishing ICE (46%-43%); Moderates by double digits (45%-35%) and Indies as well (47-35%). Yet Schumer Dems are looking for ways to increase fundings for ICE. 🙃 d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...

Crosstab screenshots of YouGov poll with the toplines:

Amazing. Plurality of Americans support abolishing ICE (46%-43%); Moderates by double digits (45%-35%) and Indies as well (47-35%).

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tom Griffin

Tyron @tyron.bsky.social · 16h

howling at this utter indictment of the rest who were there!

Reposted by Will Jennings

Satvir Kaur MP @laboursatvir.bsky.social · 17h

🚨 I’m recruiting for a Communications Officer!

Join my friendly Southampton based team, and help me keep residents informed about all that is going on at home and in Westminster.

⏰ Deadline: Friday 23 January
🔗 Apply today: www.w4mpjobs.org/JobDetails.aspx?jobid=98327

Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 18h

Thanks Sunder 🙏

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tim Bale

Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 18h

Have got a copy of The British General Election of 2024. Congrats to @robfordmancs.bsky.social @timbale.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social on this major work, which is also the 22nd book in this esteemed election series which began at Nuffield College, Oxford back in 1945

Reposted by Jason Mittell, Richard S.J. Tol, Will Jennings , and 7 more Jason Mittell, Richard S.J. Tol, Will Jennings, Steve Peers, John McLaren, David Rothschild, Adrian Daub, Jacob T. Levy, Tim Stephens, Francesco Nicoli

The Author, Séamas O'Reilly @seamas.bsky.social · 18h

pretty sure he meant the other thing, grok, but very cool that those are your two things

Tweet exchange in which a photo of Anne Hathaway is posted by @TheRoyalSerf, to which user @VvSchweetz24 replies "@grok...do your thing.

@Grok replies: Anne Hathaway isn't Jewish; she was raised Catholic but left the church. She married Adam Shulman (who is Jewish) in 2012 and celebrates Jewish holidays with their kids. SHe's played Jewish roles, like in "Armageddon Time."

Reposted by Will Jennings, Sara B. Hobolt, Tim Bale , and 2 more Will Jennings, Sara B. Hobolt, Tim Bale, Nicolai von Ondarza, Tarik Abou‐Chadi

JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 19h

📰 Issue 33:2 out! 👉 Special Issue: European Democracy in Action? The 2024 European Parliament Elections, guest edited by @sarahobolt.bsky.social, Sebastian-Adrian Popa, and Wouter van der Brug

Read the whole issue: www.tandfonline.com/toc/rjpp20/3...

📸 © European Union 2024 - Source : EP

Reposted by Will Jennings

Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 21h

Just love how British politics has been obsessed about which fortunate party gets hold of a politician with a minus thirty approval rating and favourables of ten percent.

YouGov @yougov.co.uk · 21h

Following his defection, favourability of Robert Jenrick has fallen sharply among Tory voters since our last poll (in Oct), while being largely unchanged among Reform UK voters

2024 Con
Favourable: 23% (-7 from 13-14 Oct)
Unfavourable: 39% (+18)

2024 Ref
Favourable: 32% (+2)
Unfavourable: 22% (-3)

Reposted by Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Chris Hanretty

Peter Walker @peterwalker99.bsky.social · 1d

I missed this yesterday, but very much file under: oh, fancy that.

Reposted by Will Jennings

Jonn Elledge @jonnelledge.bsky.social · 1d

"You know that in January 2026, as the world braced for war over Greenland, the biggest story in the British papers was an opposition politician switching parties? Mental."

Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 1d

@johnkenny.bsky.social Are you aware of any research on this?

Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 1d

David Frost sums up so much that is wrong with British politics.

Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 1d

This intro to David Frost's Telegraph column sums up so much that is wrong with British politics.

Reposted by Will Jennings, Becky Francis, Steve Peers , and 2 more Will Jennings, Becky Francis, Steve Peers, Michael H. Whitworth, Stephen Jones

Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 1d

This intro to David Frost's Telegraph column sums up so much that is wrong with British politics.

Reposted by Will Jennings

John Oxley @joxley.jmoxley.co.uk · 1d

We have an ageing population, struggling public services, and climate change. People might want low taxes, no migrants and cheaper energy, but they also don't want to lie in a hospital corridor for hours or have their house flooded. You can win elections with magic thinking but can't govern with it.

Reposted by Will Jennings, Cameron Campbell, Steven H. Seggie

mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 1d

An underrated factor in "why don't people in wealthy societies have more kids" is changing societal norms that now expect even older kids to be chaperoned by an adult any time they are in public, and to be chauffeured by a parent as their only means of transportation

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 1d

Older generations spent a lot less time parenting. Millennial dads spend nearly as much time parenting as Boomer moms did. Millennial and Gen X moms way more.

via The Economist

Parental guidance
US parents*, minutes per day spent on child caret, by generation, 1975-2018
Fathers
Mothers
160
120
• Millennial
Gen X
Millennial
Gen X
Silent
80
40
0
Baby-boomer
Baby-boomer
20
30
Silent
ㅜ
40
Mother's age
40
Father's age
50
60
*Who live with partner and at least one child under 18
*Controlling for children under five
Source: American Heritage Time Use Study
20
30
50
60
160
120
80
40
0

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Will Jennings, Daxton R. Stewart

Matt Negrin still host of Hardball on MSNBC @mattnegrin.bsky.social · 1d

News outlets declaring “Trump Accepts Nobel Peace Prize” is a red alert state media indicator

Reuters: “Trump accepts Nobel medal from Venezuelan opposition leader Machado”

ABC News: “Trump accepts Nobel Peace Prize from Venezuelan opposition leader Machado”

Wall Street Journal: “Trump Accepts Machado’s Nobel Peace Prize During White House Visit”

News Nation: “Trump accepts Machado’s Nobel Peace Prize medal”

Reposted by Dorothy Bishop, Will Jennings, Stacy D. VanDeveer , and 1 more Dorothy Bishop, Will Jennings, Stacy D. VanDeveer, Steven S. Taylor

derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 1d

Trump accepting Machado's Nobel Peace Prize is a great insult to the FIFA Peace Prize committee

Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 1d

Given the chaos in Minnesota and elsewhere, it's remarkable that Trump's approval ratings have remained so stable, yet the data (via @gelliottmorris.com) suggests his specific ratings on deportations have been declining gradually for a few months - but Trump fares far worse on the economy...

Reposted by Will Jennings

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 1d

Not every Simpsons prediction was dead-on, but some are still pretty close.

An Oscar with the name of Dr. Haing S. Ngor from the Killing Fields scratched out and HOMER SIMPSON scrawled in its place

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Mark Bray , and 12 more Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Mark Bray, Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Daniel W. Drezner, Robert C. Richards, Michael D. McDonald, Brian Keegan, Ann Bartow, James F. McGrath, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Virginia Sapiro, David Darmofal

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 1d

🚨WHOA. The El Paso Medical Examiner says it will rule the death of a 55-year-old Cuban man at ICE's "Camp East Montana" tent camp as a homicide.

He was allegedly choked to death by a guard during a "struggle" after he refused to enter a housing unit without his medications.

By Douglas MacMillan
When U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement announced the Jan. 3 death of detainee Geraldo Lunas Campos at a Texas detention camp, the agency said “staff observed him in distress,” and it gave no cause of death.

An employee of El Paso County’s Office of the Medical Examiner told Lunas Campos’s daughter this week that, subject to results of a toxicology report, the office is likely to classify the death as a homicide, according to a recording of the conversation.

In the recording, which the daughter shared with The Washington Post, the employee said a doctor there “is listing the preliminary cause of death as asphyxia due to neck and chest compression,” which means Lunas Campos did not get enough oxygen because of pressure on his neck and chest. Pending the results of a toxicology report, the staffer said on the recording, “our doctor is believing that we’re going to be listing the manner of death as homicide.”

In an interview with The Post, Santos Jesus Flores, a man who says he was detained in the segregation unit the day Lunas Campos died, said he saw at least five guards struggling with Lunas Campos after he refused to enter the segregation unit, complaining that he didn’t have his medications. Flores said he saw guards choking Lunas Campos and heard Lunas Campos repeatedly saying, “No puedo respirar” — Spanish for “I can’t breathe.” Medical staff tried to resuscitate him for an hour, after which they took his body away, Flores said.

“He said, ‘I cannot breathe, I cannot breathe.’ After that, we don’t hear his voice anymore and that’s it,” said Flores, who had contacted a family member of Lunas Campos, who in turn put him in touch with a Post reporter. The Post confirmed Flores was in Camp East Montana through ICE’s detainee locator.

Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Anna O. Law, Will Jennings , and 5 more Joanna Bryson, Anna O. Law, Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Robert Black, Roopika Risam, Robert B. Reich, Mark Rice

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 1d

New poll from Navigator also with an incredible result; the largest drop in support for ICE since June was actually among *Republicans*, 25% of which now say they have an unfavorable opinion of the agency.

Chart showing poll results from Navigator, entitled "Most Americans Now View ICE Negatively." It reads: "Since June, ratings of ICE have declined broadly. Favorability has dropped by a net 10 points among Democrats (from net -71 favorable to net -81), a net 12 points among independents (from net -22 to net -34), and a net 15 points among Republicans (from net +60 to net +45).

Underneath that is a visual chart showing that ICE overall has a 37% favorable rating compared to a -57% unfavorable, down from a net -8% overall in June 30, 2025. Underneath are the party changes listed above. Underneath are racial breakdowns:

Black: 16% approve, 75% disapprove (a net -59, down from -37 last June)
Hispanic: 28% approve, 69% disapprove (a net -41, down from -23 last June)
White: 43% approve, 52% disapprove (a net -9, down from +2 last June)
AAPI: 33% approve, 61% disapprove (a net 28, actually up from -37% in June and -38% in December).

Reposted by Will Jennings

Mr. Buick @mrbuick.bsky.social · 1d

The fact that they think they can occupy multiple cities at once, including New York, when they can’t pacify a city of 420k, means they’re both losing and totally out of their depth

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Will Jennings, Sanford F. Schram , and 6 more Ben H. Ansell, Will Jennings, Sanford F. Schram, Smith, Lesley Bartlett, Mark Rice, Thomas Masterson, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Dana Howard

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 1d

"Officers threw flash bangs and tear gas in my car. I got six kids in the car"
"His wife, Destiny Jackson, told FOX 9 their 6-month-old infant stopped breathing and lost consciousness. She then performed CPR on her baby."

Solomon @solomonmissouri.bsky.social · 1d

www.fox9.com/news/childre...

North Minneapolis ICE shooting: Children hospitalized after flash bang, tear gas hits van

A family was caught in clashes between protesters and law enforcement during protests in north Minneapolis, leading to three of their six children, including a 6-month-old baby, being hospitalized.

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