Will Jennings📉🗳️
@drjennings.bsky.social
I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, geography, place, trust. I run on espresso.
The economy, stupid.
November 27, 2025 at 3:17 PM
The economy, stupid.
This is interesting given that Trump's ratings on specific issues of immigration and deportations have rebounded a bit - yet the inexorable decline of presidential approval (the 'costs of governing') continues... www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data
November 26, 2025 at 10:57 PM
This is interesting given that Trump's ratings on specific issues of immigration and deportations have rebounded a bit - yet the inexorable decline of presidential approval (the 'costs of governing') continues... www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data
The latest data from @fiftyplusone.news @gelliottmorris.com show Trump's approval rating dipping below 40%, and net approval at -17. fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
November 26, 2025 at 10:54 PM
The latest data from @fiftyplusone.news @gelliottmorris.com show Trump's approval rating dipping below 40%, and net approval at -17. fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...
Oh now it's a bit!
November 26, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Oh now it's a bit!
Reflections on the budget from the head of Students4Reform
November 26, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Reflections on the budget from the head of Students4Reform
Back at the old place for the afternoon…
November 25, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Back at the old place for the afternoon…
Nuzzi is absolutely not like a ‘modern-day political version of Hunter S. Thompson’. He held people in power to account…
November 21, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Nuzzi is absolutely not like a ‘modern-day political version of Hunter S. Thompson’. He held people in power to account…
They don't make them like Hawkie any more.
November 20, 2025 at 3:40 PM
They don't make them like Hawkie any more.
Bubba and Trump?
November 17, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Bubba and Trump?
There really is no good news in a poll that puts you on 18%, but Labour are *still* ahead of the Conservatives while Reform are 'only' on 33%. If Labour can reset its agenda, then maybe it could claw itself back into the high 20s and a small polling lead. This seems unlikely under Starmer.
November 17, 2025 at 10:57 AM
There really is no good news in a poll that puts you on 18%, but Labour are *still* ahead of the Conservatives while Reform are 'only' on 33%. If Labour can reset its agenda, then maybe it could claw itself back into the high 20s and a small polling lead. This seems unlikely under Starmer.
I just revisited Tony Blair's 'forces of conservativism' conference speech in 1999 - two years into office. It's such a clear headed narration that balances people's continued frustration and what the government had delivered.
November 17, 2025 at 12:35 AM
I just revisited Tony Blair's 'forces of conservativism' conference speech in 1999 - two years into office. It's such a clear headed narration that balances people's continued frustration and what the government had delivered.
It is a very good piece - especially on the importance of a healthy public sphere.
November 15, 2025 at 9:22 PM
It is a very good piece - especially on the importance of a healthy public sphere.
The electorate: 🤷♂️
November 15, 2025 at 9:17 PM
The electorate: 🤷♂️
The Suez Canal, 1957.
November 14, 2025 at 9:39 PM
The Suez Canal, 1957.
As you might expect, Labour '24 voters were more in favour of tax/spend than the electorate in general...
November 14, 2025 at 11:22 AM
As you might expect, Labour '24 voters were more in favour of tax/spend than the electorate in general...
For all the discourse around tax pledges, during the election campaign voters tended to think taxes needed to rise and that Labour were the party more likely to do that.
See @britishelectionstudy.com data from Chapter 14 of The British General Election of 2024, out in the coming weeks...
See @britishelectionstudy.com data from Chapter 14 of The British General Election of 2024, out in the coming weeks...
November 14, 2025 at 10:47 AM
For all the discourse around tax pledges, during the election campaign voters tended to think taxes needed to rise and that Labour were the party more likely to do that.
See @britishelectionstudy.com data from Chapter 14 of The British General Election of 2024, out in the coming weeks...
See @britishelectionstudy.com data from Chapter 14 of The British General Election of 2024, out in the coming weeks...
None of ICE's actions are popular. The American public hate what they are doing!
November 14, 2025 at 12:00 AM
None of ICE's actions are popular. The American public hate what they are doing!
Respectfully would argue that the Brexit referendum itself was a symptom of a political class that had withdrawn from governing and instead entertained itself with spectacle politics. (Wrote this in 2018 with @martinlodge.bsky.social). www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
November 13, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Respectfully would argue that the Brexit referendum itself was a symptom of a political class that had withdrawn from governing and instead entertained itself with spectacle politics. (Wrote this in 2018 with @martinlodge.bsky.social). www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Calgie seemed much keener on paying his taxes last month...
November 13, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Calgie seemed much keener on paying his taxes last month...
For a government committed to restoring trust in politics, this sort of thinking treats voters as fools. Too clever, not clever at all.
November 13, 2025 at 10:43 PM
For a government committed to restoring trust in politics, this sort of thinking treats voters as fools. Too clever, not clever at all.
Qanon believers, you are in for a hell of a plot twist.
November 12, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Qanon believers, you are in for a hell of a plot twist.
This is just trying to be too clever and only likely to fuel cynicism about the government. Anyone earning above £46k are obviously still working. Voters hate this sort of spin. If the government has to raise taxes, it should simply own the decision and not try to fudge it.
November 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM
This is just trying to be too clever and only likely to fuel cynicism about the government. Anyone earning above £46k are obviously still working. Voters hate this sort of spin. If the government has to raise taxes, it should simply own the decision and not try to fudge it.
Well the BSA distrust measure has continued to rise. See -> journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
November 12, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Well the BSA distrust measure has continued to rise. See -> journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
The juxtaposition of this evening's YouTube ads is a little dark...
November 10, 2025 at 9:07 PM
The juxtaposition of this evening's YouTube ads is a little dark...
