Tim Bale
banner
timbale.bsky.social
Tim Bale
@timbale.bsky.social

Professor of Politics at Queen Mary University of London & author of The Conservative Party after Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation (now out in paperback). The bits and pieces I do for websites and newspapers turn up eventually at https://proftimbale.com .. more

Timothy Paul Bale is an English political scientist who is professor of politics at Queen Mary, University of London.

Source: Wikipedia
Political science 83%
Sociology 6%

Reposted by Philip Cowley

Hmmm, let me think....

"With over 2.8 million across the country, Britain boasts roughly double the number of landlords as it does NHS staff, the country’s largest employer, while also outnumbering teachers 4 to 1. Yet this isn’t a singular class, but rather a motley bunch of part-timers", supported by Housing Benefit.
Can Britain escape its housing trap?
unherd.com

Reposted by Philip Cowley

Finally got round to a deep reading of @tobysjames.bsky.social and Charles Clarke’s interview with Boris Johnson (done in Feb 2025). It’s well worth it. This passage in particular stuck out. Don’t agree that doing something different would have saved BJ’s skin but a refreshingly honest admission.

Reposted by Tim Bale

This is something that really bothers me in so much talk about benefits including from some policy wonks.

Not everyone who is given something from the state is Oliver Twist, nor should they be.

The state should provide help to all sorts of people in different circs, not just gruel for the needy
Sorry, no, Motability was not about 'helping the most vulnerable' - it was about providing people who need modified vehicles modified vehicles!

Reposted by Tim Bale, Jill Rutter

Minor point. But this is the OBR saying that the briefing about income tax being dropped because of improved forecasts is bollocks.

Reposted by Tim Bale

Over 60 per cent of gambling profits come from just 5 per cent of users, many of whom are at high risk of serious harm, including debt, mental health issues, family breakdown and suicide

Reposted by Tim Bale

Since you are someone who has been on a jury you might understand this, but the other bit that concerns me is the jury's process of coming to a verdict. In my cases, what it ultimately came down to is a majority trying to cajole/bully the wavering members to vote a certain way so they cd all go home

"Don't tell him, Pike!"

Reposted by Tim Bale

Writing my conclusions section, including a paragraph on suggestions for future research, and then thinking, "but couldn't I do that here in this paper?"
a man is standing in front of a window and says just when i thought i was out they pull me back in
Alt: a man is standing in front of a window and says just when i thought i was out they pull me back in
media.tenor.com

That's good to hear. I can only speak for my experience, ofc.

Having served on a jury in a rape trial, I'd have preferred a judge to decide guilt/innocence than a bunch of people who were sadly incapable of applying any logic to the clear evidence they were presented with and prepared, given their blatant sexism, to see the defence counsel destroy the victim.
"It’s curious that the Orwell Prize – Britain’s most celebrated award for public interest journalism – has turned to a man who’s spent much of his career trying to stifle it.”

bylinetimes.com/2025/11/25/m...
Michael Gove Made Orwell Prize Judge Despite Record of Attacking Journalists and Dodging Scrutiny
Critics say "Orwell would have enjoyed the irony" of the former Conservative minister's appointment
bylinetimes.com

Indeed but tbf you need to know that it was up for about 30 secs and I asked audience solely to look at the *direction* of the arrows and at the very bottom one - not to read the entire thing! I like to think I know what I'm doing and reckon it did the job. This book (by a good friend) is fab, btw.
The Interior Department has announced it will charge $100 per head for non-US residents to visit the most popular 11 national parks.

Stupid and self-defeating. Millions have visited those parks and left with with affection for America. No more, except those who can afford $400 per family per park.

Reposted by Tim Bale

Loved sharing insights from the Green Party's election campaigns at @britishacademy.bsky.social last night alongside @timbale.bsky.social @robfordmancs.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social & Sir John Curtice

The most comprehensive account of the last General Election on sale next week📖

Never mind the teeny-tiny presenter and his teeny-tiny slideshow: if you really squint, you can just see Sir John's head bottom right.

Pro-tip: when defending yourself against allegations that you used derogatory language, never, under any circumstances, reach for the b-word. Dismissing anything you might have said as 'banter' really is the ultimate red flag.
Nigel Farage's racism denials are dishonest, says ex-classmate
Peter Ettedgui tells the BBC Nigel Farage targeted antisemitic abuse at him when they were teenagers.
www.bbc.co.uk

I can imagine a certain sort of student would love him.
Can’t wait for the Budget to be over and the government to stop leaking stories every five minutes and go back to its constitutionally defined role of starting weird fights with Wes Streeting.

As Marina Hyde often says, 'I just can't'.

Enjoyed the launch for this last night. OK, so the book's not published yet, but still: it was great to see so many election nerds (and non-nerds) there. Thanks to the panellists and to @ukandeu.bsky.social (and @robfordmancs.bsky.social) for organising and @britishacademy.bsky.social for hosting.

I wonder if these people are, tbh. You often get these folk trumpeted by the media for a while as 'influential' but they rarely really are. Still, they don't half enjoy their five minutes of fame!

He really can talk some bollocks, can't he? Less a thinker than a performance artist.
there's a lot to unpack here Lord Glasman

Look forward to seeing how the markets behave in the weeks running up to the next general election....
We are moving inexorably to the end point of electoral chaos - five parties all tied on 19% in the polls, election to be decided by blindfolded chimps chucking coloured darts at a constituency map
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (=)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDM: 15% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 23-24 Nov.
Changes w/ 16-17 Nov.

Reposted by Tim Bale

NEW EPISODE OUT NOW!

Today’s ep in our occasional series about momentous political anniversaries with historian @robertsaunders.bsky.social looks at the life & legacy of Margaret Thatcher 100 years on from her birth. What made Thatcher such a distinctive politician?

Find us at...🎧 ppfideas.com
No, ChatGPT is not conscious. Are the journalists who keep writing these fucking articles?
This hex-map breaks down the share of 15-24 year-olds in Germany and the regional contrast is hard to miss.

Eastern Germany shows much lower shares except for larger cities, while many western and southern areas have noticeably more young people.

#30DayMapChallenge Day 25: Hexagons #ggplot2

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Tim Bale

Reposted by Tim Bale, Paul Davies

Perhaps there is a role for this guy at the Labour Party, I feel like his "people like chicken, let's give them that, the pizza customers will order from us anyway because they've nowhere else to go" ideas might resonate with them.
www.ft.com/content/f0bf...
Domino’s Pizza parts ways with chief who bet on fried chicken
Andrew Rennie leaves UK group ‘by mutual agreement’ as chair says there are opportunities to drive growth
www.ft.com