Chad P. Bown

@chadpbown.com

2.8K followers 330 following 180 posts

Reginald Jones Senior Fellow @PIIE.com
@Trade--Talks.bsky.social Podcast host

Former State Department, White House, WTO, World Bank, Professor

I think about trade and policy. Probably too much

Me: www.chadpbown.com
Pod: www.tradetalkspodcast.com .. more

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Chad P. Bown is an American economist. He served as chief economist at the U.S. Department of State in the Biden administration from January 2024 to January 2025.

Source: Wikipedia

Economics 52%

Political science 29%

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Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 13d

🤓 BUCKET LIST 🤓

'HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR' (my forthcoming book with the amazing @soumayakeynes.ft.com) is part of a New Year's Day sale thingie!

Barnes & Noble Premium & Rewards Members get 25% off pre-orders

Dec 30-Jan 1 only

#BNPreorder Instructions Here: www.barnesandnoble.com/w/how-to-win...

Reposted by Chad P. Bown, Joshua Goodman, Aaron Sojourner , and 2 more Chad P. Bown, Joshua Goodman, Aaron Sojourner, Scott A. Imberman, Brian Keegan

Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 3d

Economists are facing a recession

(My column this week)

1st 300 clicks free to read...
as.ft.com/r/6d67877e-4...

Economists are facing a recession

[FREE TO READ] Demand for their work is down as a hiring crunch hits

as.ft.com

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 3d

In the United States, today is "Job’s Day." (As of 8:30am ET)

The labor market for economists is...not great?

@soumayakeynes.ft.com explains

Economists are facing a recession

Demand for their work is down as a hiring crunch hits

www.ft.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 5d

Why 2026 may deliver a messy, fragmented system in which power is shared among nine Supreme Court justices, 12 Federal Reserve voters, 535 members of Congress, and millions of businesses and households making their own decisions.

And what that really means.

by @jasonfurman.bsky.social

Opinion | Trump Is About to Lose Control of the Economy

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Julien Chaisse, Simon Lester

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · 5d

Was the Supreme Court’s pre-Christmas decision in Trump v. Illinois a sign that it also planned to rule against Trump’s tariffs?

by Alan Wm. Wolff

Did the Supreme Court just signal the fate of Trump’s tariffs?

Card players recognize the signs of a “tell,” a player’s demeanor that telegraphs intent for the next hand. Just before Christmas, the Supreme Court in Trump v. Illinois made a procedural ruling that ...

www.piie.com

Reposted by Christopher D. Manning, Alberto Alemanno, Stephan Schulmeister , and 541 more Christopher D. Manning, Alberto Alemanno, Stephan Schulmeister, Ian Goodfellow, Sergey Levine, Torben Pedersen, Hugh P. Possingham, Charles Stewart, Alicia Garcı́a-Herrero, Andrew J. Weaver, Richard G. Wilkinson, Bruce Gilley, Oona A. Hathaway, Robb Willer, Atte Korhola, Stephen Bullivant, Geoffrey M. Hodgson, Justice Nyigmah Bawole, Fabio Sabatini, Laurent Mucchielli, Chris Stringer, Lorenzo Meyer, Javier Guallar, Manuel Alejandro Cardenete, Jayati Ghosh, Annamaria Lusardi, Diane Ravitch, Serge Paugam, Cary L. Cooper, Geraint Rees, Christopher Wright, Amitav Acharya, Richard McElreath, Dieter Helm, Maarten Boudry, Paul D. Grauwe, Matthias C. Rillig, Sebastián Roché, Refet S. Gürkaynak, Vı́ctor de Lorenzo, Shaomin Li, Richard N. Haass, Nigel Warburton, David Hirshleifer, Teresa Cremin, Pol Antras, Xavier Sala-i-Martín, Hans‐Werner Sinn, Filip Reyntjens, Klaus Adam, Olivier Giménez, Mariana Mazzucato, Jens Suedekum, Michael A. Clemens, Gabriel Felbermayr, David Evans, Lawrence H. Summers, James Stavridis, Paul D. Cotter, François Gemenne, Pippa Norris, Andrew Leigh, Justin Wolfers, Benjamin Stora, Anima Anandkumar, Makarand Paranjape, Peter Tulip, Carlos Monteiro, Mary Beard, Toni K. Choueiri, Monika Schnitzer, Vinzenz Wyss, Yanis Varoufakis, Brian M. Lucey, Fareed Zakaria, Simon Chesterman, Gita Gopinath, Brendan Nyhan, Colin McFarlane, Bart D. Ehrman, Sven T. Beckert, Rishi K. Wadhera, Steve Fuller, Laurence H. Tribe, Adam M. Grant, Stephen Zunes, Leonardo Boff, Tim Wu, César A. Hidalgo, Elliott Ash, Clemens Fuest, Ulrich L. Lehner, Bruno Cautres, Timothy Snyder, Ufuk Akcigit, Simon Jäger, Yoshua Bengio, Neale Mahoney, Arvind Narayanan, Lucía Dammert, Ludger Woessmann, Jennifer Pett‐Ridge, Tao Lin, Yue Wang, Jeremy Harris Lipschultz, Amir AghaKouchak, Lars E.O. Svensson, Gwendolyn Sasse, Lawrence O. Gostin, Ivan Oransky, Rita F. Redberg, Naomi Hossain, Jill J. McCluskey, Andreas Löschel, Nathalie Tocci, Elizabeth Weiss, Joshua Kalla, Henry Cohen, Timothy Graham, Lilian Edwards, Peter Blair Henry, Ignácio Ramonet, Ajay Shah, Harry Anthony Patrinos, OECD, Rafael H. M. Pereira, Kelly‐Ann Allen, R. Michael Alvarez, Patrick Loobuyck, Jorge Heine, Tim D. Spector, Daniel Fiott, Flávio Comim, Stephen Palmer, Randy E. Barnett, Jože P. Damijan, Dambisa Moyo, Arvind Subramanian, Adam J. Berinsky, Andrés Rodríguez‐Pose, Carsten Rahbek, Bradley Garrett, Jason E. Box, Simon Baron‐Cohen, Andrea Presbitero, Robert M. Wachter, Gregg C. Fonarow, Adam S. Posen, Arthur Spirling, Adair Turner, Celia Kitzinger, Guntram B. Wolff, Bruce E. Hansen, Mika Maliranta, Nita A. Farahany, Eran Halperin, Gordon Guyatt, Joy E Lawn, Miles Richardson, Sonia Livingstone, Francis Martin, Peter Turchin, Karthik Muralidharan, Eudald Carbonell, Jonas F. Ludvigsson, Emin G. Sirer, Lea Ypi, Manuel Pastor, Daniel P. Aldrich, Helen Clark, Peter J. Boettke, Hahrie Han, Kirsten Bibbins‐Domingo, Jurgen Schmidhuber, Dylan Wiliam, Galo Nuño, Stanley Wells, Martin G. Kocher, Bernard E. Harcourt, Cin‐Ty A. Lee, Chaosheng Zhang, Manuel Delgado, Reinhard Schulze, Daniel Katz, Vitalik Buterin, Naomi Klein, Hal Brands, David M. Buss, Paul Widdop, Mark Z. Jacobson, Anders Aslund, François‐Marie Bréon, Nikolas K. Gvosdev, Pierre Martin, Stephen V. Faraone, Jonathan T. Overpeck, Steven L. Salzberg, Sergei Guriev, The Lancet, Tim Newburn, Alan Sked, Michael E. Chernew, Christian Catalini, Ian P. McCarthy, Alberto Bisin, Louis‐Philippe Rochon, Cass R. Sunstein, Paul Dorfman, Juan Luis Jiménez, Jem Bendell, Allen Frances, Brent Thoma, Don Tapscott, Claudio A. Agostini, Marcos López de Prado, Ed Hawkins, James M. Acton, Steve Keen, Carlos Gershenson, John H. Cochrane, Victor Nizet, Scott E. Page, Ge Bai, Walter Ricciardi, Naftali Kaminski, Ajay Agrawal, Maria Snegovaya, Daniel Innerárity, Ilko−Sascha Kowalczuk, Mark C.M. van Loosdrecht, Harini Nagendra, Morgan Bazilian, José Antonio Ocampo, Jiří Přibáň, Michael Shellenberger, Flávia Freidenberg, Marion Nestle, Daniela Gabor, Erinç Yeldan, Çağan H. Şekercioğlu, Cem Işık, Paul Dolan, Andrzej Klimczuk, Jonathan Haidt, Ricardo Pérez-Truglia, Konstantin Sonin, Heinz M. Kabutz, Daniel Ziblatt, Daniel Yergin, Nicholas A. Christakis, Solomon Messing, Touraj Daryaee, Didier Raoult, Matthew E. Kahn, Christophe Jaffrelot, Carl B. Frey, Claudia Sahm, Michael E. Mann, Daniel Cassany, Hyun Song Shin, Christopher Uggen, Gabriela Lotta, Andreas Bergh, Eric J. Topol, Alex Edmans, Ugo Panizza, John Holbein, Dominique Rousseau, Roland Kays, Paulo Gala, Julien Chaisse, Ben H. Ansell, Margaret Atwood, Ian Bremmer, Roxana Mehran, Pascal Perrineau, Joshua S. Weitz, Thomas Wright, Branko Milanovic, Steffen Mau, Mark Coeckelbergh, Joshua D. Angrist, Mark Blyth, Atul Gawande, Matthew Goodwin, Tito Boeri, John R. Hutchinson, Ricard V. Solé, Andreas Peichl, Fernando Reimers, David L. Katz, George Selgin, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, John J. Foxe, Kent Buse, Katharine Hayhoe, Stanislas Dehaene, Lucas Bergkamp, Roger E. A. Farmer, Elaine Showalter, Zoubin Ghahramani, Simon Chadwick, Melissa S. Kearney, Veronika Grimm, Jón Steinsson, Randa Slim, Richard Baldwin, Leah Stokes, Vesa Puttonen, Olivia S. Mitchell, Ministerio de Educación, Dan Goldhaber, Gary King, M. Engin Deniz, Luís Roberto Barroso, Alex Callinicos, Sebastián Galiani, Fernando Valladares, David Ludwig, Azeem Majeed, Martín A. Núñez, Deirdre N. McCloskey, Gordon Dougan, Stefan Dercon, Stefano DellaVigna, Trevor Tombe, Glenn Greenwald, Judea Pearl, Eric Rasmusen, Michael McFaul, Oliver Stuenkel, Amber Peterman, Kishore Mahbubani, Matthew H. England, Stefan Auer, Peter Adamson, William J. Ripple, Jonathan Mummolo, Neil Malhotra, Rupert Read, Christopher Hill, Hilary Hoynes, Helen Thompson, Pedro Domingos, Daniel Pipes, Andrés Malamud, Anton Korinek, Julian Ku, Eszter Hargittai, Enrique Krauze, Vesa Kanniainen, Joseph Henrich, James Chalmers, Yasheng Huang, Adrian Vermeule, Jean P. v. Ypersele, David Papineau, Walter Russell Mead, Kaushik Basu, International Monetary Fund, Julian Go, Yanina Welp, Gëzim Visoka, Razelle Kurzrock, Varun Sivaram, Hyun Bang Shin, Helen Margetts, Asghar Zaidi, Rory Naismith, Quassim Cassam, Sarah Elaine Eaton, Stefanie Stantcheva, Joanna Bryson, Hugo Ñopo, Frederick M. Hess, Yaşar Kondakçı, Jack Goldsmith, Lars Peter Hansen, Maxwell Boykoff, Brigid Laffan, Anindya Ghose, Timothy Taylor, Benn Steil, Dimitri P. Bertsekas, Moritz Schularick, Arvind Panagariya, The Lancet Neurology, Nicholas K. Dulvy, Michael Gerrard, Dominique Méda, Eduardo Gudynas, Barack Obama, Jayson L. Lusk, Danuše Nerudová, Scot McKnight, Armin Nassehi, Chad P. Bown, Marcos Cintra, Mark Galeotti, Matt Grossmann, Karl Deisseroth, Madawi Al‐Rasheed, Mel Ainscow, Andy Miah, Alberto Corsín Jiménez, Nouriel Roubini, Anna Rotkirch, Richard Susskind, George Orwell, Valerio Capraro, Nicholas Bloom, John Tasioulas, Andrew J. Lees, George Davey Smith, Eric P. Xing, Mark Maslin, Hanno Lustig, Ilan Goldfajn, Esteban Rossi‐Hansberg, Kevin P. Gallagher, Demis Hassabis, Michael Ignatieff, Judith A. Curry, Lars P. Feld, Michael Pettis, Richard Blundell, Eric H. Cline, Erik Brynjolfsson, Timur Kuran, Bernard Lahire, Henry Mintzberg, Andrew E. Derocher, Tyler Cowen, George M. Church, Paul Ekman, Kamran Abbasi, Robert B. Talisse, Fumiko Chino, Nicolas Véron, Martín Haspelmath, Ole Wæver, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Birthe Larsen, Benito Arruñada, John‐Arne Røttingen, Steffanie A. Strathdee, Shibley Telhami, Michael Marmot, Roman V. Yampolskiy, Mario Macis, Philippe Froguel, Matti Virén, Femi Oyebode, Alejandro Micco, Daniel M. Kammen, Kandeh K. Yumkella, Emily Shuckburgh, Julio Mayol, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Finn Tarp, Michael Cook, Jacob S. Hacker, Justus Haucap, Kim L. Scheppele, Ivan Koprić, Thiemo Fetzer, Naomi Wolf, Danny Dorling, Timnit Gebru, Ive Marx, Teppo Felin, Rory Stewart, Douglas Holtz‐Eakin, Nic Cheeseman, Dirk Messner, John A. List, Stefan Homburg, Naila Kabeer, Michael C. Horowitz, Yong Zhao, Lionel Page, James Kraska, Claudia Kemfert, Justin Sandefur, Juan Luís Arsuaga, Organización Mundial de la Salud, Andrew Y. Ng, Wojciech Sadurski, Steven Pinker, David Bailey, Salvatore Babones, Stephen L. Brusatte, Johannes Haushofer, Martin Kusch, Joshua Rauh, Luiz Carlos Bresser‐Pereira, Hakan Yilmazkuday, Allyson M Pollock, Terrell L. Strayhorn, AbdouMaliq Simone, Helen Miller, Eric Kaufmann, Volker Wieland, Craig Calhoun, Jaime Bonet, Jonathan Birch, Tània Verge, Deepak L. Bhatt, Vandana Shiva, Robert C. Hockett, Roger A. Pielke, Fuhito Kojima, Fatih Birol, Bronwyn Fredericks, Dean Baker, Matthew S. Katz, Laurent Cappelletti, Stijn Baert, Rafael Cardoso Sampaio, Henning Melber, Timothy G. Ash, Daniel Susskind, James Muldoon, Owen Davies, Consiglio nazionale delle ricerche, Ricardo Hausmann, Mario Holzner, Katherine Runswick‐Cole, Fran Baum, Barry Eichengreen, Daniel W. Drezner, Alister Scott, Dirk Van den Poel, Rafael Doménech, Tom Ginsburg, Philip N. Cohen, Benoît Cœuré, Michel Maffesoli, Alejandro Gaviría, Bruno Amable, Patricio Navia, Olivier J. Blanchard, Kartik Hosanagar, Jonathan B. Losos

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · Nov 11

(can confirm)

Reposted by Chad P. Bown

Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · Nov 11

HELP ME settle a debate with @chadpbown.com

Which cover for “How to Win A Trade War” grabs you most? The blue one or the white one? And ARE YOU AMERICAN? (favourite the option that applies to you!)

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · Oct 24

BREAKING: "USTR Initiates Section 301 Investigation of China’s Implementation of Phase One Agreement"

👉 ustr.gov/about/policy...

ME: Here are the FACTS about China's purchases of US exports relative to the commitments set out under the US-China Phase One Agreement

👉 www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

Reposted by Adam S. Posen, Iikka Korhonen

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · Oct 11

US-China tariffs: where do they currently stand?

- US average tariff on imports from China: 57.6%
- China average tariff on imports from US: 32.6%

Note: We have been updating this chart since September 2019

US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart

Average US tariffs on Chinese exports now stand at 57.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods. China's average tariffs on US exports are at 32.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods. US tar...

www.piie.com

Reposted by Chad P. Bown

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · Oct 3

Two of our finest thinkers and communicators on economic policy, @soumayakeynes.ft.com and @chadpbown.com, have done us a favor by writing this—>

Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · Oct 3

Eeee the cover for the UK edition of How to Win a Trade War is out!

Pre-order your copy here...
www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...

Reposted by Chad P. Bown, Christian Odendahl, Tim Bale , and 4 more Chad P. Bown, Christian Odendahl, Tim Bale, Michael A. Clemens, Mark D. White, Anand Menon, Simon Lester

Soumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · Oct 3

Eeee the cover for the UK edition of How to Win a Trade War is out!

Pre-order your copy here...
www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...

Reposted by Chad P. Bown

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · Sep 18

Here is the announcement naming Robert Staiger as the WTO’s new Chief Economist…

www.wto.org/english/news...

Director-General announces appointment of new Chief Economist

Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala announced on 16 September the appointment of Robert W. Staiger as the new WTO Chief Economist and Director of the Economic Research and Statistics Division (ERSD)....

www.wto.org

Reposted by Justin Sandefur

Reposted by John McLaren

Chad P. Bown @chadpbown.com · Sep 18

The WTO has named Robert Staiger as its new Chief Economist.

Here is my @trade--talks.bsky.social podcast conversation in 2023 with Bob where he shared his thoughts about the WTO.

180. The WTO is in trouble. Econ 101 to the rescue?

How understanding the WTO’s past can help foster its revival – including for policy challenges like climate and China’s non-market economy.

tradetalkspodcast.com

Reposted by Chad P. Bown

Peterson Institute for International Economics @piie.com · Sep 17

We were pleased to co-host the opening plenary of the @wto.org #WTOPublicForum, moderated by our @chadpbown.com & @ceciliamalmstrom.bsky.social on "Trade, trust and transformation: Business perspectives."
Watch here: youtu.be/ItHpmpYSsCw?...

Trade, trust and transformation: Business perspectives

YouTube video by WTO Conference Services

youtu.be

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