Brian Weatherson
@bweatherson.bsky.social
2.6K followers 210 following 1.4K posts

Philosopher at University of Michigan. https://brian.weatherson.org/

Brian Weatherson is the Marshall Weinberg Professor of Philosophy at the University of Michigan. He specializes in epistemology and philosophy of language.

Source: Wikipedia
Philosophy 47%
Psychology 20%
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bweatherson.bsky.social
It's an even more fun style in Scotland, where the Great Figures change from town to town depending on what the dominant bank in that town is.

bweatherson.bsky.social
There has been a flurry of interesting work in the journals recently on welfare aggregation in infinite worlds. Most of the discussion has revolved around variants of the St Petersburg paradox. This note looks at what happens if you add the two envelope paradox.

brian.weatherson.org/quarto/blog/...
Infinite Worlds and the Two Envelope Paradox – Brian Weatherson
brian.weatherson.org
johannamellis.bsky.social
Found the publicly-available version on the FSU website: provost.fsu.edu/sites/g/file...

bweatherson.bsky.social
Maybe this ends once Madrid or PSG buys a Championship team. I hear a couple of teams in Sheffield could use some outside investment.
jamellebouie.net
"The liberty and security of our fellow citizens is our great object, and not the prompt execution of the laws. Indecision, delay, blunders, nay villainous actions in the administration of government, are trifles compared to legalizing the full exertion of a tyrannical disposition."

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

aadl.org
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bweatherson.bsky.social
Back around 2000 I did a version of this for the Dow going back to the 1930s and it showed the opposite pattern. Iirc, only owning after up days was better than buy and hold.

I figured if I could work this out so could everyone else, so it wouldn’t continue. Didn’t expect it to reverse though.
tker.co
one of the all-time great stats via Bespoke. only owning on days after down days smokes only owning on days after up days

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

tker.co
one of the all-time great stats via Bespoke. only owning on days after down days smokes only owning on days after up days

bweatherson.bsky.social
If the Lib Dems can't make real gains at a time when the combined Lab+Con vote is around 40, feels like they may as well pack it in.

It looks to me (from a great distance away) that they've got a chance to be the winners from the next few years, but if they can't take this chance, when will they?
robfordmancs.bsky.social
Among the many possibilities for the next few years, the scenario of swapping one pair of dominant parties (Lab and Con) for another (Reform and LD) is intriguing, under-discussed and, in English elections, not entirely implausible either (several county councils made this leap in May)
electionmaps.uk
Aggregate Result of the 122 Council By-Elections (for 125 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 47 (+40)
LDM: 32 (+10)
CON: 13 (-15)
LAB: 12 (-30)
GRN: 11 (+3)
Ind: 5 (-4)
Local: 3 (-3)
SNP: 1 (-1)
PLC: 1 (=)

Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

sherylnyt.bsky.social
BREAKING: Friday night massacre underway at CDC. Doznes of "disease detectives," high-level scientists, entire Washington staff and editors of the MMWR (Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report) have all been RIFed and received the following notice:

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

unbreaking.org
The clear story in Immigration this week is the escalation of—and pushback against—the Trump administration’s militarized raids and warrantless stops in Democrat-run major cities. We’ve updated our timeline with a lot of events in this zone:

unbreaking.org/issues/immig...
Immigration — Unbreaking
How the administration is breaking the government, and what that means for all of us.
unbreaking.org

Reposted by Chris Hanretty

robfordmancs.bsky.social
Among the many possibilities for the next few years, the scenario of swapping one pair of dominant parties (Lab and Con) for another (Reform and LD) is intriguing, under-discussed and, in English elections, not entirely implausible either (several county councils made this leap in May)
electionmaps.uk
Aggregate Result of the 122 Council By-Elections (for 125 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 47 (+40)
LDM: 32 (+10)
CON: 13 (-15)
LAB: 12 (-30)
GRN: 11 (+3)
Ind: 5 (-4)
Local: 3 (-3)
SNP: 1 (-1)
PLC: 1 (=)

Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
florianscheuer.bsky.social
I am delighted to share that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee will join our Department of Economics @econ.uzh.ch at the University of Zurich on July 1, 2026, as Lemann Foundation Professors of Economics.

🧵 1/7

bweatherson.bsky.social
Wasn't that just a way to get fans used to the idea of shirt sponsors before they started raking in the euros from Qatar and Spotify?

bweatherson.bsky.social
Yeah, I think it's a mix of that and aggressively banning anyone who looks like they might remotely know what they are doing. So if the overround isn't jumped enough you won't lose too much.

bweatherson.bsky.social
Do UK firms run accumulators on bets on the same game?

The trick the US firms seem to have figured out was how to profitably price bets on correlated events like "Erling Haaland scores and City wins".

bweatherson.bsky.social
It means banning parking within 20ft of an intersection. This primarily is aimed at making pedestrians more visible.

bweatherson.bsky.social
I didn't realise what "universal daylighting" was; it's a ban on parking within 20 feet of an intersection.

Given how many problems are caused in my neighbourhood by SUVs parked right near corners, I wish Ann Arbor had a similar ban.

www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/...

bweatherson.bsky.social
This got me nostalgic for the time when there were more large cricketers.

Rishabh Pant looked like he was going to bring back that tradition but he’s lost a ton of weight.
michaelcaley.bsky.social
there are not a lot of sports where a person the shape of Alejandro Kirk could be playing at the highest level at the end of the season

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

michaelcaley.bsky.social
there are not a lot of sports where a person the shape of Alejandro Kirk could be playing at the highest level at the end of the season

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

tanialombrozo.bsky.social
Glad and sad to see this series, which echoes the theme of lost science I wrote about below & does something to make it less invisible www.northjersey.com/story/opinio...

bweatherson.bsky.social
I never knew how to write them, so I'd also like that kind of help.

Reposted by Brian Weatherson

eschwitz.bsky.social
New book in draft: AI and Consciousness [link in thread]
This book is a skeptical overview of the literature on AI and consciousness.
Anyone who emails me comments on the entire manuscript will be thanked in print and receive an appreciatively signed hard copy.
AI and Consciousness title page