Gavin Schmidt
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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt
@climateofgavin.bsky.social

Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.

Gavin A. Schmidt is a British climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the climate science blog RealClimate. .. more

Environmental science 50%
Geology 21%

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Heat and greenhouse gas pollution rise in lock-step โ€” until 2023, when the thermostat goes bonkers.

๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ”— The 2025 climate numbers are in.
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Global mean temperature 2025: 1.44 ยฑ 0.13 ยฐC above the 1850-1900 average, based on a synthesis of eight international datasets.

2025 was the second or third warmest year on record. 2024 remains the warmest.

That makes the past 3 years are the 3 warmest years on record.

wmo.int/news/media-c...
WMO confirms 2025 was one of warmest years on record
wmo.int
๐ŸŒ Berkeley Earthโ€™s 2025 Global Temperature Report is out.
2025 was the 3rd warmest year on record. Annual global temperature reached 1.44 ยฑ 0.09ยฐC above the pre-industrial baseline; 770 million people experienced locally record-warm annual conditions.

Full report: berkeleyearth.org/global-tempe...
Global Temperature Report for 2025 - Berkeley Earth
2025 was the 3rd warmest year on Earth since direct observations began, and recent warming appears to be moving faster than expected.
berkeleyearth.org
Woman dragged from car by ICE yells โ€˜Iโ€™m disabledโ€™ in chaotic scene in Minneapolis
Woman dragged from car by ICE yells โ€˜Iโ€™m disabledโ€™ in chaotic scene in Minneapolis
Woman dragged from car by ICE yells โ€˜Iโ€™m disabledโ€™ in chaotic scene in Minneapolis
www.independent.co.uk
As the climate data for 2025 continues to be released, it's time to update various data visualisations.

First - the global climate stripes for 1850-2025. A third darkest red stripe is added.

The last 11 years have been the warmest 11 years on record. A sequence that is unlikely to be broken soon.
Most 2025 global temperatures are now out (degrees C above 1850-1900 baseline)

1.41 HadCRUT5
1.44 Berkeley
1.46 JRA-3Q
1.47 Copernicus
1.53 DCENT-I

NOAA and NASA GISS values will be public at 2pm UK time and but based on already public Jan-Nov data they will likely be between 1.3 and 1.4 degC.
The tide seems to be finally turning on global coal, as both China and India are now adding enough clean energy to reduce their coal generation: www.carbonbrief.org/...

www.nationalacademies.org
There is a live stream of the NASEM workshop on AI for weather and climate starting shortly (9am PST).

vimeo.com/event/5576943
Day 1-Accelerating Climate Progress with AI: From Science to Action Workshop
vimeo.com
New: We estimate that in 2025, US greenhouse gas emissions increased by 2.4%, marking a change from the prior two years of decreases in emissions. Emissions also grew faster than the economy in 2025, reversing the decoupling of emissions and economic activity of the prior two years.
The "administration contends that these estimates are doubtful and said the E.P.A. would no longer take health effects into account in the cost-benefit analyses necessary for clean-air regulations, according to the documents. Instead, the agency would estimate only the costs to businesses."
E.P.A. to Stop Considering Lives Saved When Setting Rules on Air Pollution
www.nytimes.com

plus is there any evidence that the report was modified in any way even with these (incomplete) reviews?

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

NEW: I obtained internal emails from the Department of Energy's climate working group. They show the group plotting to produce a second misleading climate report, DOE officials avoiding public disclosure laws, DOE peer reviewers stating they weren't qualified: www.eenews.net/articles/doe...
DOE sees bigger role for climate contrarians, records show
A small team of researchers who dispute mainstream climate science may play an outsize role in the next National Climate Assessment.
www.eenews.net
๐Ÿ“† Mark your calendars!

On 14 January, WMO will release global temperature figures for 2025, consolidating multiple international datasets to provide a single, authoritative source of information to support climate monitoring and decision-making.

More details below:

๐Ÿ”— https://bit.ly/3Ysu9vE
Jerome Powell makes it clear:

The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President.

www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
Good evening. On Friday, the Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas, threatening a criminal indictment related to my testi
www.federalreserve.gov
NPR @npr.org ยท 3d
A recent Israeli decision to bar Doctors Without Borders and other aid groups means international staff and aid can no longer enter Gaza or the West Bank. Local staff must rely on dwindling supplies and no international expertise. n.pr/49f75Xo
Inside a Gaza medical clinic at risk of shutting down after an Israeli ban
A recent Israeli decision to bar Doctors Without Borders and other aid groups means international staff and aid can no longer enter Gaza or the West Bank. Local staff must rely on dwindling supplies and no international expertise.
n.pr
Renee Macklin Good's wife, Becca Good, released a statement and it moved me to sobbing tears:

archive.is/ur35j

But even if they had stayed, those voices would have no reach at all there.
Art x Climate is an integral part of the Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5), restored by Climate.us.
One of the featured artworks is โ€œDrift Iceโ€ by Deborah Pressman. Year and Medium: 2020, ink, oil sticks on paper
โ€˜A colossal own goalโ€™: Trumpโ€™s exit from global climate treaties will have little effect outside US
โ€˜A colossal own goalโ€™: Trumpโ€™s exit from global climate treaties will have little effect outside US
For much of the last 30 years, the rest of the world has been forced to persevere with climate action in the face of US intransigence
www.theguardian.com
Remembering today that having your heart broken is a necessary step on the path to becoming fully human. Whichever heartbreak is your first, itโ€™s probably critical that a state break your heart so that you can develop a political imagination. If this is your first, Iโ€™m sorry and also welcome.
As a climate scientist, I know heatwaves in Australia will only get worse. We need to start preparing now | Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick #Climate
As a climate scientist, I know heatwaves in Australia will only get worse. We need to start preparing now | Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick
During black summer, my daughters were too young to know what was happening. Now, amid another Australian heatwave, they deserve answers
www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

any chance you'll fix the $ year? (i.e. keep it at 2020 US $ for instance?) - this would deal with the retroactive addition of older events as the $ devalues.
After the US admin cancelled the $B Climate + Weather Disaster dataset, @climatecentral.org hired the scientists who ran it and set it back up.

Now the 2025 numbers are in: it's 3rd highest year on record and highest year w/o land-falling hurricanes.

More: www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv...

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Bluesky a vรฉrifiรฉ un nombre substantiel de comptes gouvernementaux franรงais depuis ce matin

Je me demande si c'est suite ร  une demande du gouvernement, et si c'est effectivement le cas, est-ce que l'ร‰tat a (enfin) dรฉcidรฉ de devenir plus actif sur Bluesky ?
"Because the U.S. entered the UNFCCC with advice and consent of the Senate in 1992, itโ€™s our legal view that it also must be exited using the same process in reciprocation... Letting this lawless move stand could shut the U.S. out of climate diplomacy forever"
www.reuters.com/sustainabili...
Trump withdrawal from bedrock UN climate treaty raises legal questions
Trump said that the U.S. would withdraw from the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change.
www.reuters.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Bose is open-sourcing its old smart speakers instead of bricking them
Bose is open-sourcing its old smart speakers instead of bricking them
Bose speakers un-bricked
buff.ly

sorry - I'm too literal to be on social media it seems...