Valerie Mueller
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valmuellerasu.bsky.social
Valerie Mueller
@valmuellerasu.bsky.social
8.7K followers 2.5K following 670 posts

Professor in the School of Politics and Global Studies, ASU
Work on climate change impacts, focusing on human mobility
#DevEcon #EnvironEcon #AgEcon #EnvironDemography #PoliticalEcon
Non-resident fellow at IFPRI
Livin’ it up in Spain 2025-6 .. more

Videos
Sociology 22%
Political science 22%
Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Valerie Mueller, Clark Gray

philipncohen.com
Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 11h
Steven Ruggles has a new analysis on cohort sizes and labor market competition, showing that when you account for immigration, labor market entrants, and retirements, the next few decades should be good for young workers. Paper not out yet, but here's a talk: www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jw1...
graphs

valmuellerasu.bsky.social
Valerie Mueller @valmuellerasu.bsky.social · 18h
One of the perks of living so close to Utah, is proximity to such beauty. The Narrows scared me to death though. We went when the water level was really high.

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

karenho.bsky.social
Karen K. Ho @karenho.bsky.social · 1d
I guess if I were to sell out, it would be to become a Costco influencer

valmuellerasu.bsky.social
Valerie Mueller @valmuellerasu.bsky.social · 1d
Props to the guy who posted the tweet with the word Dairygooned in the thread. It grossed out my teenage son who had to translating for me.
THREAD | Soluzioni software per l'automazione industriale
Con sede a Udine, THREAD progetta e sviluppa software di automazione industriale su misura, secondo le specifiche applicazioni ed esigenze.
thread.it

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

nber.org
NBER @nber.org · 1d
The adoption of AI is higher among Democrats than Republicans, as is the self-reported risk of AI job-loss. This is due to Democrats’ higher education and more AI-facing occupations, from @nickbloom.bsky.social and Christos Makridis www.nber.org/papers/w34813

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

dennycarter.bsky.social
Denny Carter @dennycarter.bsky.social · 1d
Guys, I’m hearing 6'5 Australian TERA-CHAD Androgenic has flown to U.S and BONESMASHMAXXED in order to HUNT down the ASU frat leader and engage in a MOG-OFF to avenge Clavicular after the
BRUTAL frame mog incident that took place last week.
6'5 Australian TERA-CHAD Androgenic has flown to U.S and BONESMASHMAXXED in order to HUNT down the ASU frat leader and engage in a MOG-OFF to avenge Clavicular after the BRUTAL frame mog incident that took place last week

Reposted by Valerie Mueller, Mirco Tonin

davidajaeger.bsky.social
David A. Jaeger (econ) @davidajaeger.bsky.social · 1d
You could live here too! A new Senior Lecturer/Reader position to teach in our new Master of Public Policy Programme. Come build something great with me in a beautiful place!

Please repost.

www.vacancies.st-andrews.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

Reposted by Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Caroline Krafft, Valerie Mueller , and 2 more

crispapoll.bsky.social
Adam Pollack @crispapoll.bsky.social · 2d
I am hiring a postdoc @ Univ of Iowa. Potential project focuses include flood-risk infrastructure planning, disaster recovery processes and outcomes, insurance program externalities, or uncertainty in climate damage attribution. Please consider applying/sharing! jobs.uiowa.edu/postdoc/view...
Postdoctoral Requisition Details - Jobs@UIOWA: Search and Apply for Jobs at The University of Iowa
Jobs@UIOWA: The official place to search and apply for jobs at The University of Iowa.
jobs.uiowa.edu

Reposted by Valerie Mueller, Michael Kevane, Clark Gray

arielob.bsky.social
Ariel Ortiz-Bobea @arielob.bsky.social · 3d
Please share with potential solid candidates for this postdoc (academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/31576). We start reviewing application next week!

A data-savvy economist or data scientist with interest in agriculture and environment would be a good fit.

valmuellerasu.bsky.social
Valerie Mueller @valmuellerasu.bsky.social · 3d
Congrats!

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

marcusmarcusrc.bsky.social
Marcus C Sarofim @marcusmarcusrc.bsky.social · 3d
On a sad day for climate a silver lining: I finally have a publication in Science or Nature (for those not in the know: Science & Nature are the two most prestigious journals for scientific publications. If not necessarily the best or the most accurate) www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Using markets to adapt to climate change
Research shows if and when markets can help limit the harms from climate change
www.science.org

valmuellerasu.bsky.social
Valerie Mueller @valmuellerasu.bsky.social · 3d
I would have never identified with this video had I not been living in Galicia. I’ve had it with no sun and rain.

Reposted by Dave O’Brien, Valerie Mueller

gtwodtke.bsky.social
Geoff Wodtke @gtwodtke.bsky.social · 3d
New working paper on recent trends in class mobility in the US: www.nber.org/papers/w34800

I learned a lot from an amazing team of collaborators at the @ucstonecenter.bsky.social while working on this propject: Weiqi Wang, @butaevak.bsky.social, and @durlauf.bsky.social

Reposted by Steve Peers, Valerie Mueller, Michelle Everson , and 1 more

atrupar.com
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 3d
Bovino advanced all the way to within eyesight of Paisley Park, but his supply lines were stretched too thin and ultimately his frozen troops were encircled by Will Stancil and wine moms with whistles

Reposted by Diane Coyle, Jonathan Portes, Valerie Mueller , and 1 more

thomasjdurfee.bsky.social
Thomas Durfee @thomasjdurfee.bsky.social · 3d
I love being a labor economist, where null is interesting if your model is still convincing.
Anytime a student tells me they are worried they didn't find statistically significant results, I remind them of David Card. Two Nobel winning papers had null results (NJ/PA minimum wage and Mariel Boatlift)
ryancbriggs.net Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 4d
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Reposted by Caroline Krafft, Valerie Mueller

voxdev.bsky.social
VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 3d
🆕 Integrating refugees: What policies work best?

Today on VoxDevTalks, Dany Bahar (@watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social) & Giovanni Peri (@ucdavis.bsky.social) discuss the long-term gains of early, well-sequenced policies for both refugees and host economies.

🔗 Link below ⤵️

Reposted by Valerie Mueller, Andrew Jacobs, Ryan K. Brook

yasharali.bsky.social
Yashar Ali 🐘 @yasharali.bsky.social · 4d
James Van Der Beek, who has been battling cancer, has died.

He was 48.

Per TMZ.

Reposted by Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan , and 32 more

ryancbriggs.net
Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 4d
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

tylerhoran.bsky.social
Tyler Horan @tylerhoran.bsky.social · 4d
Sharing a great opportunity for environmental sociology scholars: fully funded PhD Research Fellow position at University of Agder in Norway. 3-4 year program focused on environmental sociology and sustainable transition politics. #AcademicJobs #sociology

jobbnorge.no/en/available-jobs/job/29...

Reposted by Peter Thorne, John W. Williams, Gavin A. Schmidt , and 2 more

gwagner.com
Gernot Wagner @gwagner.com · 5d
While Zillow is removing its climate risk data from public view, the first truly open climate risk database.

Kudos, @carbonplan.org
carbonplan.org CarbonPlan @carbonplan.org · 5d
Today we’re launching Open Climate Risk, a fully open option for U.S. building-level climate risk data. It’s unique because it allows you to see not only risk scores, starting with wildfire, but also the complete underlying dataset, methods, and codebase. carbonplan.org/research/cli...

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

tomprogers.bsky.social
tomprogers @tomprogers.bsky.social · 5d
Anybody who wants to help reject an ICE prison camp in their community, this has some concrete things you can do to get the project killed
Using Data for Good: A Crash Course
Our response to "What can I do?"
projectsaltbox.substack.com

Reposted by Bryan D. Jones, Valerie Mueller, Scott A. Imberman , and 1 more

rahaeli.bsky.social
rahaeli @rahaeli.bsky.social · 5d
I genuinely cannot believe the degree to which we are pissing away this generational breakthrough, even given the fuckmuppets who are involved www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
FDA declines to review Moderna's mRNA flu shot
Under Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Food and Drug Administration has taken an aggressive stance against mRNA technology.
www.nbcnews.com

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Valerie Mueller

simonweschle.bsky.social
Simon Weschle @simonweschle.bsky.social · 5d
🚨 JOB ALERT 🚨

We're hiring a Teaching Assistant Professor in Comparative Politics!

Come join a great department: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/312...

I'm on the committee, so send any questions my way.
#polisky #academicjobs
The Department of Political Science at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill invites applications for the position of Teaching Assistant Professor of Political Science. We are looking for a colleague who will teach three courses per semester in our undergraduate curriculum. The principal responsibility will be teaching in Comparative Politics, especially the introductory course, but the candidate may be invited to teach other courses, depending upon the department’s needs and the candidate’s areas of expertise. The ideal candidate will have a demonstrated record of successful undergraduate instruction. There are no research expectations associated with this position. This is a fixed term position with an initial appointment for three years and opportunities for re-appointment and advances contingent on performance and available funding. As part of the University’s teaching track, the position offers competitive benefits. More information on UNC’s career ladder and fixed term ranks is available here: https://facultyaffairs.unc.edu/policies-and-procedures/faculty-appointments/fixed-term-faculty-ranks/.

Reposted by Valerie Mueller, Clark Gray

ccallahan45.bsky.social
Christopher Callahan @ccallahan45.bsky.social · 5d
🚨🧑🏼‍🔬I’m hiring a postdoc to start in the fall! Come join our growing group here in Bloomington, Indiana.

Please apply if you’re interested in climate impacts, extreme heat and health, climate change attribution and any related topic.

indiana.peopleadmin.com/postings/32142
Postdoctoral Research Scholar - Climate Change Impacts
We are seeking a skilled and motivated postdoctoral fellow to conduct research on the social and health impacts of extreme climate events and the attribution of those impacts to climate change.The IU ...
indiana.peopleadmin.com

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

novafrica.bsky.social
NOVAFRICA @novafrica.bsky.social · 5d
🚨 1 Week to Go! | #2026NOVAFRICA Conference on Economic Development

⏰Submit your paper by Feb 15, 2026!
🗓️ June 18–19 | Lisbon, Portugal

🎓 Keynotes: Abhijit Banerjee (@MIT), Isaac Mbiti (@NotreDame), Sandra Sequeira (#LSE)

🔗 Submit: bit.ly/4pKGkjs

#NOVAFRICA2026 #CallForPapers

Reposted by Katharine Hayhoe, Ana Delicado, Valerie Mueller , and 1 more

esqueer.net
Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 6d
I'm going to do a thread of all the references and context behind Bad Bunny's performance and what it means for Puerto Ricans to see this on the biggest stage.

The opening title screen is a street mural in Puerto Rico that comes to life with footballs as coconuts.

Follow along!
A vibrant, wide-angle photo of a colorful outdoor mural promoting the "Super Bowl LX Apple Music Halftime Show." The mural is painted on a long blue wall in a sunlit, tropical setting with real palm trees and bright pink bougainvillea flowers cascading over the top. The artwork features a playful, surreal collage of cultural and football-themed elements: Central Text: The Apple Music logo in bold yellow and red 3D lettering is flanked by "SUPER BOWL LX" above and "HALFTIME SHOW" below. Iconic Imagery: Large illustrations of a golden trumpet, pink sunglasses, maracas, dominoes, and a cup of coffee with a musical note in the foam. Football Elements: Brown footballs are depicted growing on palm trees like coconuts and resting on the ground. Foreground: A young girl in a yellow dress walks along the sidewalk in front of the mural, passing a small goalpost illustration where a green parrot is perched. The overall aesthetic is warm, festive, and celebrates a fusion of Latin-inspired culture and American football.

Reposted by Valerie Mueller, Samuel Bentolila

andregroeger.bsky.social
Andre Groeger @andregroeger.bsky.social · 6d
Call for papers for the Migration Workshop of the BSE Summer Forum
bse.eu/summer-forum...

📅 Dates: 8-9 June 2026

Keynotes: Leah Boustan & Sam Bazzi

Organizers: L. Farré, J. Fernández-Huertas Moraga, A. Glitz, A. Groeger, J. Llull, J. Monràs

⏰ Deadline: 28 FEB

@bsebarcelona.bsky.social
Workshop on Migration
Find paper topics, past speakers, and the call for the next edition of the BSE Summer Forum Workshop on Migration
bse.eu

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

leightjessica.bsky.social
Jessica Leight @leightjessica.bsky.social · 6d
Fairly damning evidence for fraternities in @J_HumanResource from Hopper: university moratoriums on fraternity activity + alcohol leads to substantial (30%) ⬇️ in *both* alcohol offenses + sexual assault on weekend. (But, no persistent effects after moratorium ends)

Reposted by Valerie Mueller

tomanbarsbai.com
Toman Barsbai @tomanbarsbai.com · 6d
📢 Fully funded PhD position at the Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics (Bonn)

Opportunity to work on the scientific evaluation of @malengo.org, an exciting RCT on international educational migration from Uganda to Germany, and join our great team.

www.povertyactionlab.org/careers/phd-...
PhD-position - Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics - Bonn, Germany | The Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab
www.povertyactionlab.org

Reposted by Hyun‐Jung Kim, Caroline Krafft, Valerie Mueller

adrianna.bsky.social
Adrianna McIntyre @adrianna.bsky.social · 6d
“We measure the impact of increased immigration on mortality among elderly Americans, who rely on the immigrant-intensive [health care] sectors… [we find] striking effects on mortality: a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide.”