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The National Bureau of Economic Research is dedicated to conducting and disseminating nonpartisan economic research. nber.org
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NBER @nber.org · 10h
Low- and middle-income countries could look inward toward domestic reforms in key factor markets to leverage trade for economic development, from Amit Khandelwal www.nber.org/papers/w34333
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NBER @nber.org · 12h
Developing a general-equilibrium model in which the safety of a country's currency and the choice of its exchange-rate regime arise endogenously, from Tarek Alexander Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens, Jingye Wang, and Tony Zhang www.nber.org/papers/w34332
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NBER @nber.org · 14h
For difference-in-differences methods, there has been great attention to obtaining consistent estimates of treatment effects, especially when the treatment effects are heterogeneous, from Partha Deb, Edward C. Norton, Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, and Jeffrey E. Zabel www.nber.org/papers/w34331
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NBER @nber.org · 16h
Outlining how transformative AI challenges existing economic statistics and proposes ways to better measure its impact on productivity and output, from Diane Coyle and @johnlpoquiz.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34330
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NBER @nber.org · 18h
The protection that mangrove forests provide against floods is reflected in housing price dynamics following hurricanes in Florida. The magnitudes are substantial, from Teng Liu, Brook Constantz, Galina Hale, and Michael Beck www.nber.org/papers/w34329
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NBER @nber.org · 1d
The equity premium's large size is an enduring puzzle, from Jasmina Hasanhodzic and Laurence J. Kotlikoff www.nber.org/papers/w34328
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NBER @nber.org · 1d
Second-generation Black immigrant women earn as much or more than second generation White women. Black immigrant men earn 10 percent less than White men at the median, while the gap vanishes at the top decile, from Rong Fu, Neeraj Kaushal, and Felix Muchomba www.nber.org/papers/w34327
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NBER @nber.org · 1d
US targets for sustainable aviation fuels are technically feasible but meeting them would likely require new policy that reallocates biofuels from surface to aviation, from Mengying Wu, Kristen McCormack, @wscott.bsky.social, Aaron Smith, Jingran Zhang, and James H. Stock www.nber.org/papers/w34326
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NBER @nber.org · 1d
Central banks can reduce market tantrums and insulate financial conditions from noise by communicating their expected financial conditions paths rather than just interest rates, from Ricardo J. Caballero and Alp Simsek www.nber.org/papers/w34325
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NBER @nber.org · 1d
Nursing home value-added for black patients is 30 percent lower than for white patients, with most of the gap reflecting differences within, rather than across, nursing homes, from Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, @nealemahoney.bsky.social, and James C. Okun www.nber.org/papers/w34324
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NBER @nber.org · 2d
During the late 20th Century, nominal government bonds and stocks tended to comove positively, whereas during the first quarter of the 21st Century they have tended to comove negatively, from John Y. Campbell, Carolin Pflueger, and Luis M. Viceira www.nber.org/papers/w34323
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NBER @nber.org · 2d
A greater genetic predisposition to being overweight and obese reduces the probability of earning a high school or college degree, from Jane Greve, Mette T. Jensen, Esben Agerbo, and @johncawley.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34322
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NBER @nber.org · 2d
Examining evidence on the well-being and ill-being of the young for 22 countries between 2022 and 2024, from David G. Blanchflower and Alex Bryson www.nber.org/papers/w34321
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NBER @nber.org · 2d
Studying whether changes in violent conflict and economic growth caused by warming could interact to degrade economic opportunities and trap African countries in poverty, from Joel Ferguson, Marshall Burke, Edward Miguel, and Solomon M. Hsiang www.nber.org/papers/w34320
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NBER @nber.org · 2d
Open call for applications, Dissertation Fellow: Identifying and Nurturing Mathematical Talent Among Youth. Submit applications by 11:59pm EDT on January 4, 2026. More information: www.nber.org/calls-papers...
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NBER @nber.org · 2d
Theory and measurement of capital reallocation in private firms with implications for return heterogeneity and business taxation, from Anmol Bhandari, Paolo Martellini, and Ellen McGrattan www.nber.org/papers/w34319
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
AI and digital platforms improve efficiency in processing and transmitting information but erode producer incentives, resulting in less truthful news and more misinformation, from Joseph E. Stiglitz and Maxim Ventura-Bolet https://www.nber.org/papers/w34318
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
Recent breakthrough cancer medications substantially lowered mortality rates and (given their very high prices) increased spending for Medicare patients with melanoma, from Danea Horn, Abby E. Alpert, Mark Duggan, and Mireille Jacobson https://www.nber.org/papers/w34317
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
The latest NBER Reporter: www.nber.org/reporter?pag...

Featuring N. Gregory Mankiw’s Martin Feldstein Lecture on the US Fiscal Future, and research summaries by:
• Pol Antràs, Teresa C. Fort & Felix Tintelnot
• Niels Gormsen & Kilian Huber
• Amir Kermani & Timothy McQuade
• Manju Puri.
The Reporter
N. Gregory Mankiw1
www.nber.org
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
Abundant AI geniuses will be great, but only if we can work out what to use them for, from Ajay K. Agrawal, @joshgans.bsky.social, and Avi Goldfarb https://www.nber.org/papers/w34316
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
Characterizing the potential and limits of using satellite imagery and machine learning technology to measure ground conditions, from Proctor, Carleton, Chong, Fransen, Greenhill, Katz, Murayama, Sherman, Tseng, Druckenmiller, and Hsiang https://www.nber.org/papers/w34315
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
Introducing two modified preference formulations—Stone-Geary Modified (SGM) and a variant of CRIE—that allow for realistic income elasticities and choke prices while preserving the tractable CES structure of standard applied general-equilibrium models, from Jame... https://www.nber.org/papers/w34314
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NBER @nber.org · 3d
Featured in the latest Bulletin on Entrepreneurship: The Gig Economy and Entrepreneurship

https://www.nber.org/be/20252/gig-economy-and-entrepreneurship?page=1&perPage=50
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NBER @nber.org · 4d
Deviations from moderate temperatures kill hundreds of thousands each year in the US and EU, with limited evidence on which interventions work to reduce these burdens, from Burke, Wilson, Avirmed, Wallstein, Martins, Behrer, Callahan, Childs, Choi, French, Gould... https://www.nber.org/papers/w34313
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NBER @nber.org · 4d
Providing a framework to discipline and quantify assessments of AI's potential to accelerate progress in different research fields, from Benjamin Jones https://www.nber.org/papers/w34312