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Mr. Nick Beaudrot

@nbeaudrot.bsky.social

750 followers 120 following 7.4K posts

Math Dad. Aspiring-to-comeback Triathlete. Fall Out Boy apologist.

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · Nov 15

"Inflation is very unpopular and the median voter's views on crime and immigration are closer to Trump's than Harris's" is like 90% more accurate than every narrative take out there that focuses on Rogan, trans rights, "the information environment", etc

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Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot

Guy Berger @econberger.bsky.social · 3h

It's essential for high schools and institutions of higher learning to teach students how to properly/productively use AI as a tool across various disciplines, as a complement to rather than a substitute for learning, much like they did with computers

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 4h

Anyway Instagram is probably where the money is at this point, and I don't think it will go away.

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 4h

man I really do want something that can do facial recognition and tell me how I know somebody, plus a few other things (heads up directions, etc.)

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 6h

I'm trying to navigate between "the only thing holding up the consumer economy is stock market-driven wealth effects" and "the AI bubble deflating won't blow up much else". It _sounds_ right but it's hard to reason about.

Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot

Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 8h

I think it's gonna be a lot close to dot com crash 2.0

in particular, unlike both the Great Depression and even the 2008 global financial crisis, the banking sector specifically appears to be reasonably well-protected (thank you Dodd-Frank)

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Lord Businessman II @lordbusinessman.bsky.social · 10h

but grandpa keeps making new tariffs scott

FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 10h

BESSENT: ONE TIME PRICE ADJUSTMENT FROM TARIFFS IS NOT INFLATIONARY

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 10h

As a programmer it's sort of depressing that this ends up being an easier sell than formal verification tools :( :( :(

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 10h

There is a huge tension between "reviewing the AI-generated ideas is faster than trying to generate your own ideas" and "most people are not good at reviewing/proofreading".

I do think it's *possible* we train ourselves to get better at reviewing/proofreading (and verifying) AI though.

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K. Chen @tznkai.bsky.social · 10h

AI agents are currently less reliable than human agents and probably always will be. Even if they're not, the whole point of them is to be able to work faster at larger scale with human agents we use guardrails, supervision, limited authority, rules, rules and more rules to restrict them.

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Also probably the war itself and threat of communism?

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Sam Tobin-Hochstadt @samth.bsky.social · 8d

The stability of modern democracy was a feature of the postwar boom not something about the institutions.

"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 8d

An interesting range of interpretations here but what jumps out at me most is that sharp economic downturns seem to be associated, with some lag, with the far-right cannibalizing the center-right and thereby threatening democratic systems.

Some implications, perhaps, for democratic system design.

Marios Richards @mariosrichards.bsky.social · Aug 12

In our - very limited - historical experience of democracy,

(i) states rot from the centre-right
(ii) and it's contagious (via geography/powerful exemplar states)

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Like ... ya think?! www.bloomberg.com/opinion/news...

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Like now there has to be a real worry that OpenAI failing to deliver would take down Nvidia AND broadcom AND god knows who else, not just because "OpenAI is going to buy fewer Nvidia chips" but "Nvidia's stake in OpenAI turns out to be worth 1/5th what we thought it was worth"

Not great!

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

OpenAI is going public by finding ways to get public companies to accept equity in exchange for goods. And it's ... working? For now? What happens if it stops working?

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

I think it also means they don't have any path to monetization through ads (or they are just planning on crossing the branding bridge when they get there)

Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot

Sam Tobin-Hochstadt @samth.bsky.social · 1d

It's actually much more depressing that they clearly didn't want to do this and are doing it because of intense user demand.

Tuffy @smtuffy.bsky.social · 1d

The pivot from “I’m building god” to “I’m building a jerkoff tool” is pretty funny

Reuters @reuters.com · 1d

OpenAI to allow mature content on ChatGPT for adult verified users starting December reut.rs/3J8NTAi

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

We have to go back.

ghost malone ergo propter malone @proptermalone.bsky.social · 1d

apparently i revert back to like c. 2006 muscle memory for default website displacement activity absent social media, i've had to stop myself twice from absent-mindedly checking Andrew Sullivan's blog

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Hoping for "mixed but mostly positive" :)

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Congrats on being pretty offline, hope it's restorative (not quite there but I'll get there)

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Also I think what I was saying is more about his video than his visual style. Though like that font choice is not an accident:

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

It does! But in a very urbanite way I think.

Also it's starting to permeate design consciousness that a lot of media consumption is now on the phone so it needs to look a lot different (c.f. Why Every Book Cover Looks The Same Now)

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Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot

Stephen Jacob Smith @stephenjacobsmith.com · 1d

This disparity does not seem surmountable: “American ships can cost up to five times the amount of those built in Asia. So far this year, China has made 717 large commercial vessels; the United States just one, according to BRS.”

City Nolan @ndhapple.bsky.social · 1d

“U.S. Starts Charging Chinese Ships to Dock at Its Ports:
The measure is aimed at countering China’s dominance of commercial shipbuilding and helping to revitalize the American industry.”

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/b...

U.S. Starts Charging Chinese Ships to Dock at Its Ports

www.nytimes.com

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Zohran is good at vertical short form video, but I think @mattyglesias.bsky.social is right that it's easy to cater too much to high edu sensibilities and some of this stuff should be a bit more brassy/basic/cheugy/cringe.

(Zohran is more brassy than 2016-24 era Dems)

Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 1d

Schumer is now using the same kinetic editing style for his videos, the graphic design choices are being aped everywhere, I'm watching to see who will figure out how crucial the color grading is to Zohran's materials from video to print

Zohran is redefining Democratic design just as Obama once did

aaron from queens from twitter @aaronnarraph.bsky.social · 1d

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James Hell Brooks @kleinman.bsky.social · 1d

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

As far as I can tell in state politics they mostly hold a heckler's veto. But maybe they do actually accomplish small bore things for their constituents...

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