Anton Strezhnev
@astrezh.bsky.social
Assistant Professor, UW-Madison Political Science. http://www.antonstrezhnev.com
Pinned
Anton Strezhnev
@astrezh.bsky.social
· Nov 25
Put together a quick starter pack for political methodologists (broadly defined) who have made their way over to BlueSky. If I've missed folks, please let me know!
go.bsky.app/JBavA7x
go.bsky.app/JBavA7x
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
honestly tho, now that we've got "good enough for well-specified coding problems" language models that can run on off-the-shelf macbooks, im officially anti- all of the AI companies except Anthropic, whom i experience as an interesting digital humanities graduate department
November 30, 2025 at 2:15 PM
honestly tho, now that we've got "good enough for well-specified coding problems" language models that can run on off-the-shelf macbooks, im officially anti- all of the AI companies except Anthropic, whom i experience as an interesting digital humanities graduate department
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
I have now read the response by Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega again with a clearer eye.
Multiple claims in this response are untrue or seek to obscure the truth.
My interest has always been the accuracy of the scientific record, so I feel compelled to note some of these claims here.
Multiple claims in this response are untrue or seek to obscure the truth.
My interest has always been the accuracy of the scientific record, so I feel compelled to note some of these claims here.
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
November 29, 2025 at 6:22 PM
I have now read the response by Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega again with a clearer eye.
Multiple claims in this response are untrue or seek to obscure the truth.
My interest has always been the accuracy of the scientific record, so I feel compelled to note some of these claims here.
Multiple claims in this response are untrue or seek to obscure the truth.
My interest has always been the accuracy of the scientific record, so I feel compelled to note some of these claims here.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
Today I published a replication outlining concerns with "Instrumentally Inclusive" by Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega (2024, APSR).
I document seemingly idiosyncratic and ad hoc choices made by the authors that create a pattern of statistically significant results consistent with their theory.
I document seemingly idiosyncratic and ad hoc choices made by the authors that create a pattern of statistically significant results consistent with their theory.
November 28, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Today I published a replication outlining concerns with "Instrumentally Inclusive" by Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega (2024, APSR).
I document seemingly idiosyncratic and ad hoc choices made by the authors that create a pattern of statistically significant results consistent with their theory.
I document seemingly idiosyncratic and ad hoc choices made by the authors that create a pattern of statistically significant results consistent with their theory.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
Canada is releasing a set of stamps celebrating the nation's graphic novelists.
These stamps feature Kate Beaton, Jimmy Beaulieu, Guy Delisle, Julie Doucet, Bryan Lee O’Malley and Michael Nicoll Yahgulanaas, alongside some of their famous works.
These stamps feature Kate Beaton, Jimmy Beaulieu, Guy Delisle, Julie Doucet, Bryan Lee O’Malley and Michael Nicoll Yahgulanaas, alongside some of their famous works.
November 21, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Canada is releasing a set of stamps celebrating the nation's graphic novelists.
These stamps feature Kate Beaton, Jimmy Beaulieu, Guy Delisle, Julie Doucet, Bryan Lee O’Malley and Michael Nicoll Yahgulanaas, alongside some of their famous works.
These stamps feature Kate Beaton, Jimmy Beaulieu, Guy Delisle, Julie Doucet, Bryan Lee O’Malley and Michael Nicoll Yahgulanaas, alongside some of their famous works.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
The Plymouth Rock myth is fed to kids, sure, but for most people Thanksgiving is a fairly nouveau holiday of ad hoc traditions unconnected to any of that. Football, board games, The Last Waltz, Alice's Restaurant, MST3K, hiking, the dog thing, a Broadway infomercial...make it your own.
My hot take is that this holiday is great and gratitude fucking rules. The shittiest people in the world want you to feel despair and they don’t know shit about feeling thankful. Nurture this superpower, bring goodness out into the light, and shame the pricks like the devils they are.
November 29, 2024 at 1:34 AM
The Plymouth Rock myth is fed to kids, sure, but for most people Thanksgiving is a fairly nouveau holiday of ad hoc traditions unconnected to any of that. Football, board games, The Last Waltz, Alice's Restaurant, MST3K, hiking, the dog thing, a Broadway infomercial...make it your own.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
NEW PAPER w/ @cselmendorf.bsky.social & @jkalla.bsky.social:
An under-appreciated reason why voters oppose dense new housing, especially in less-dense neighborhoods: they think it looks ugly and want to prevent that, even in other neighborhoods.
Some of what we think is NIMBYism might not be!
An under-appreciated reason why voters oppose dense new housing, especially in less-dense neighborhoods: they think it looks ugly and want to prevent that, even in other neighborhoods.
Some of what we think is NIMBYism might not be!
November 25, 2025 at 8:12 PM
NEW PAPER w/ @cselmendorf.bsky.social & @jkalla.bsky.social:
An under-appreciated reason why voters oppose dense new housing, especially in less-dense neighborhoods: they think it looks ugly and want to prevent that, even in other neighborhoods.
Some of what we think is NIMBYism might not be!
An under-appreciated reason why voters oppose dense new housing, especially in less-dense neighborhoods: they think it looks ugly and want to prevent that, even in other neighborhoods.
Some of what we think is NIMBYism might not be!
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
the economic success of the U.S. is significantly built on the land grant universities and in particular their excellent agricultural science tradition.
Really important to stress that the Crown Jewels of the US higher education system were never the Ivies or elite SLACs (other countries have equivalents of these) but the well-funded, large, cheap, and excellently staffed public state university systems bringing high quality education to the masses.
One of the bragging rights that the US ed system had in the 20th century is that we didn't have education tracks. Essentially, any kid could go to a CC or state school & major in whatever they wanted to (obviously an oversimplification). I fear this aspect of the American dream is dying.
November 23, 2025 at 5:26 PM
the economic success of the U.S. is significantly built on the land grant universities and in particular their excellent agricultural science tradition.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
The new neo-royalist world order. Stacie Goddard and
@abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today!
goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
@abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today!
goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
The new neo-royalist world order
Stacie Goddard and Abe Newman explain how cliques are ruling the world.
goodauthority.org
November 20, 2025 at 9:24 PM
The new neo-royalist world order. Stacie Goddard and
@abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today!
goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
@abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today!
goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
Highly recommend the collected works of Freedman. Filled with gems. www.cambridge.org/core/books/s...
Statistical Models and Causal Inference
Cambridge Core - Statistical Theory and Methods - Statistical Models and Causal Inference
www.cambridge.org
November 20, 2025 at 1:24 AM
Highly recommend the collected works of Freedman. Filled with gems. www.cambridge.org/core/books/s...
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
Update your syllabus and stay on the frontier - it will increase your students’ wages. Epic work by my colleagues @barbarabiasi.com and @profsongma.bsky.social #linkoftheday
www.barbarabiasi.com/uploads/1/0/...
www.barbarabiasi.com/uploads/1/0/...
November 15, 2025 at 12:44 AM
Update your syllabus and stay on the frontier - it will increase your students’ wages. Epic work by my colleagues @barbarabiasi.com and @profsongma.bsky.social #linkoftheday
www.barbarabiasi.com/uploads/1/0/...
www.barbarabiasi.com/uploads/1/0/...
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
as president i will blast pavement’s “brighten the corners” on fridays
November 15, 2025 at 2:07 AM
as president i will blast pavement’s “brighten the corners” on fridays
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
In between things I've been checking in on the emails that mention "university" and uhh did we all know about this connection?
![Screenshot from the Epstein Document Search which reads: House_Oversight_029401
From: Donald Rubin
Sent: 1/22/2017 7:31:32 PM
To: jeffrey E. [jeeyacation@gmail.com]
Subject: Republican health care experts dismiss Donald Trump's ideas
Importance: High
https://www.statnews.com/20 1 6/03/04/trump -repub cans-health-care/? s camp aign=trendmd
Jeffrey,
This cannot be true, can it? This guy must be as dumb about this stuff as a tampon laced with arsenic!!
HELP!
Great meeting yesterday — really enjoyed it.
And happy birthday again, Don
Donald B. Rubin
John L. Loeb Professor of Statistics
Department of Statistics, Harvard University
1 Oxford Street
Cambridge MA 02138
HOUSE OVERSIGHT 029401](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ozma3timm5c32fa7bimb4zaj/bafkreiezajc6f2rgwxrdx2242izbelpumkgdruc52pzu236rhovlcyfmde@jpeg)
November 13, 2025 at 6:30 PM
In between things I've been checking in on the emails that mention "university" and uhh did we all know about this connection?
Gotta make one the size of a Yap Island stone
November 15, 2025 at 12:01 AM
Gotta make one the size of a Yap Island stone
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
Well, it's a little clearer now why billionaires are so invested in technology that produces better written emails.
November 12, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Well, it's a little clearer now why billionaires are so invested in technology that produces better written emails.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
this isn't a 'demographic is destiny thing' (beyond the fact that millennials will not age politically like Gen X). it's a 'the Obama coalition had massive fractures that were hidden by the individual character of his presidency and now that far better describes the Trump coalition'
we are far from being out of this but the GOP is not going to recover the way they did after 2008 if we get through it. all the demographic factors that let them rebuild and retool are pointing the other direction
November 12, 2025 at 10:37 PM
this isn't a 'demographic is destiny thing' (beyond the fact that millennials will not age politically like Gen X). it's a 'the Obama coalition had massive fractures that were hidden by the individual character of his presidency and now that far better describes the Trump coalition'
This makes sense when you consider Michael Caine’s take on Jaws 3
Matthew McConaughey and Michael Caine sign voice deal with AI company
Matthew McConaughey and Michael Caine sign voice deal with AI company
The voices of the Oscar-winning actors can now be used to create AI-generated versions in a new deal with ElevenLabs
Oscar-winning actors Matthew McConaughey and Michael Caine have both signed a deal with the AI audio company ElevenLabs.
The New York-based company can now create AI-generated versions of their voices as part of a bid to solve a “key ethical challenge” in the artificial intelligence industry’s alliance with Hollywood. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
November 12, 2025 at 1:04 AM
This makes sense when you consider Michael Caine’s take on Jaws 3
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
there is so much Beta in (econometrics) books
November 11, 2025 at 2:15 AM
there is so much Beta in (econometrics) books
What the hell is going on here?
November 7, 2025 at 5:15 PM
What the hell is going on here?
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
I’ll keep pushing this line of analysis because I’m increasingly convinced the clearest path out of this mess is for Dems to adopt a relentless anti-corruption, anti-inequality, anti-oligarchy, pro-democracy platform. The Dem leadership hasn’t realized it yet, but they’re now a reform party.
November 6, 2025 at 12:06 AM
I’ll keep pushing this line of analysis because I’m increasingly convinced the clearest path out of this mess is for Dems to adopt a relentless anti-corruption, anti-inequality, anti-oligarchy, pro-democracy platform. The Dem leadership hasn’t realized it yet, but they’re now a reform party.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
Direct File is survived by its code, lovingly preserved on GitHub for potential revival whenever the leaders of the executive branch are no longer bent on looting the country.
November 4, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Direct File is survived by its code, lovingly preserved on GitHub for potential revival whenever the leaders of the executive branch are no longer bent on looting the country.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
no pods, no casters.
October 31, 2025 at 7:18 PM
no pods, no casters.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
The many monarchs of Europe, the slaver's Confederacy, the Kaiser, the Nazis, the Italian fascists, Imperial Japan and many more all assumed that because liberals value peace and human life, that they were weak and feckless and easily beaten.
Go look for them now.
Go look for them now.
I think fundamentally the problem with post liberal thinkers is that they seem to assume that vanquishing liberalism results in their enemies being converted or defeated and not becoming radicalized into enemies who no longer extend the mercies they once did.
October 31, 2025 at 12:27 AM
The many monarchs of Europe, the slaver's Confederacy, the Kaiser, the Nazis, the Italian fascists, Imperial Japan and many more all assumed that because liberals value peace and human life, that they were weak and feckless and easily beaten.
Go look for them now.
Go look for them now.
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
You’ve heard that the Economist accidentally published misinformation about the prevalence of Holocaust denial, but did you know the underlying methodological problem is super common and decades-old?
Learn more on Nov. 13: www.eventbrite.com/e/the-rare-t...
Free for students & AAPOR, $5 for others
Learn more on Nov. 13: www.eventbrite.com/e/the-rare-t...
Free for students & AAPOR, $5 for others
October 22, 2025 at 6:02 PM
You’ve heard that the Economist accidentally published misinformation about the prevalence of Holocaust denial, but did you know the underlying methodological problem is super common and decades-old?
Learn more on Nov. 13: www.eventbrite.com/e/the-rare-t...
Free for students & AAPOR, $5 for others
Learn more on Nov. 13: www.eventbrite.com/e/the-rare-t...
Free for students & AAPOR, $5 for others
Reposted by Anton Strezhnev
The American moral economy is so bizarre, especially on the pop-left, where you have this rhetorical and aesthetic framework lifted from 19th century proletarian socialism deployed in favor of a sort of anti-free markets consumerism that is totally individualized.
The responses this post is getting, combined with the animating grievances of large swathes of politics, has convinced me we need a kind of society wide PSA about how Buying Things Is Optional.
You don’t think video games should cost $100? Don’t buy the videogame. Buying Things Is Optional.
You don’t think video games should cost $100? Don’t buy the videogame. Buying Things Is Optional.
AAA video games should cost $100 on launch. this would still be extremely cheap for the amount of time and enjoyment you get out of them! But an audience of whiny babies has kept them literally at the same price for *two decades* despite both general inflation *and* sector-specific costs rising
October 23, 2025 at 8:03 PM
The American moral economy is so bizarre, especially on the pop-left, where you have this rhetorical and aesthetic framework lifted from 19th century proletarian socialism deployed in favor of a sort of anti-free markets consumerism that is totally individualized.
“The Flight 93 Election”
October 23, 2025 at 7:49 PM
“The Flight 93 Election”