David Brady
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davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady
@davebrady72.bsky.social
5.1K followers 2K following 1.1K posts

Public policy professor, Price School USC @priceschool.usc.edu, father, poverty/social policy/racial inequality/immigration/policymakers, posts do not speak for employer, https://bradydave.wordpress.com

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Sociology 13%
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davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · Oct 26
More than 1 million refugees migrated to Germany in 2015-2016.

How did this affect Germans’ exclusionary beliefs & behaviors?

New at American Journal of Sociology w/Giesselmann & @tabeanaujoks.bsky.social

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
The Increase in Refugees to Germany and Exclusionary Beliefs and Behaviors1 | American Journal of Sociology: Vol 130, No 3
In 2015–16, Germany experienced a rapid and controversial increase in refugees that varied substantially across German districts. This increase provides unique leverage for analyzing how fractionaliza...
www.journals.uchicago.edu

Reposted by Claudia Sahm, Elizabeth Saunders, David Brady , and 16 more

aeainformation.bsky.social
AEA Information @aeainformation.bsky.social · 6d
The AEA has imposed a lifetime ban on Lawrence H. Summers’ membership and participation in AEA activities. See the full statement here. www.aeaweb.org/news/aea-sta...
Statement from the American Economic Association
www.aeaweb.org

Reposted by Dorothy Bishop, David Brady, Hugo Mercier , and 1 more

jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 7d
Has this been posted yet
2+7= _ I caNnot aNswer this qwestion, as it is agaiNst My reLigious principles. ٠١٨٨ IT'S WORTH A SHOT. aMI, 7 january 1986 NAITION

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
Author of Substack criticizes that even best are only <2/3rds replicated. I am okay just understanding that’s how science works - we’re often wrong and most conclusions are uncertain.

My lesson is just we should update our views of bottom right and upper left quadrants.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
The lack of correlation between impact and replicability is driven by low impact high replicability experiments journals (e.g. in poli sci; they deserve more respect) and high impact low replicability journals (aforementioned Soc psych and b-school journals that deserve less respect).

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
I should acknowledge the author of the Substack post’s point that there is no correlation between impact and replicability.

That’s a troubling finding. But I respectfully suggest there are mixed patterns reflecting the oddities of clusters of fields.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
But I have to admit I’m surprised how well sociology journals do given American (but not European) sociology was so slow to take up replication and openness. Still, Demography and other leading Soc journals are moderate impact and high replicability.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
The upper right good quadrant (high Replicability, highimpact is mainly top Econ journals.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
A few disciplinary patterns stand out: b-school and social psych journals disproportionately occupy the bad bottom right quadrant: low replication and high impact.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 8d
Interesting Substack, but especially fascinated by the disciplinary patterns in this figure:

open.substack.com/pub/fantasti...

Reposted by David G. Rand, David Lazer, Brady T. West , and 6 more

brendannyhan.bsky.social
Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 8d
Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects:
-"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size"
-"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant"
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments
Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment
academic.oup.com

Reposted by David Brady, Rense Nieuwenhuis

roxanaburciu.bsky.social
Roxana-Diana Burciu @roxanaburciu.bsky.social · 13d
Today is a very special day for me 🎉 my first ever solo-author paper is out in Journal of Marriage and Family (this was my dream journal during my PhD and I am beyond excited to have this paper published there). Go check it out, it's open access.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
<em>Journal of Marriage and Family</em> | NCFR Family Science Journal | Wiley Online Library
Objective This study aims to reveal the heterogeneity of single parents by focusing on the variation in poverty risks across countries and across pathways into single parenthood. It also adjudicates...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
This reminds me Sassoon’ brilliant interview with Karl Marx. Seems appropriate to post it in this thread:

www.angelfire.com/or/sociology...
Imaginary Interview with Karl Marx
www.angelfire.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
Relatedly, Masoud and I were just going on about how awesome Donald Sassoon is as a historian of the Left. His book _One Hundred Years of Socialism_ should be required reading by the Left intellectual space Mamdani has tapped into.

www.amazon.com/One-Hundred-...
One Hundred Years of Socialism: The West European Left in the Twentieth Century
One Hundred Years of Socialism: The West European Left in the Twentieth Century [Sassoon, Donald] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. One Hundred Years of Socialism: The West European Left in the Twentieth Century
www.amazon.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
My friend Masoud does a nice job articulating what democratic socialism means. I’m not a democratic socialist, but happy to see Masoud’s mentor Erik Olin Wright get some credit.

www.aljazeera.com/opinions/202...
Mamdani’s democratic socialism is a promise of true freedom for all
It is not communism but a vision of equality, opportunity and a life people can afford.
www.aljazeera.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 15d
Great thread by an eminent scholar.

Durlauf is a role model.
durlauf.bsky.social Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · 23d
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.

www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
For Women in Economics, the Hostility Is Out in the Open (Published 2021)
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by David Brady

durlauf.bsky.social
Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · 15d
Delighted to post this recording of my public conversation with Sam Bowles, moderated by @ethanbdm.bsky.social,
on Why Economic Inequalities Endure.

Our discussion ranges from the distant past to speculation on how AI will affect future inequality.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GG0C...
UChicago Stone Center | Why Economic Inequalities Endure
YouTube video by Harris Public Policy
www.youtube.com

Reposted by Joe R. Feagin, Will Jennings, David Brady , and 6 more

kevinmkruse.bsky.social
Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 15d
If you’re a journalist who’s still on Twitter, from now on in your writing you have to replace “the American people want” with “troll bots in Eastern Europe demand”

Being there makes your judgment suspect. I don’t care how savvy you think you are, you’re marinating in a disinformation campaign.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 18d
Good riddance.

Reposted by Elizabeth Warren, Elizabeth Saunders, David Brady , and 22 more

theharvardcrimson.bsky.social
The Harvard Crimson @theharvardcrimson.bsky.social · 19d
#BREAKING: Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.

Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
Summers Will Not Finish Semester of Teaching as Harvard Investigates Epstein Ties | News | The Harvard Crimson
Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey E. Epstein.
www.thecrimson.com

Reposted by Steven N. Durlauf, David Brady

ucstonecenter.bsky.social
UChicago | Stone Center on Wealth Inequality & Mobility @ucstonecenter.bsky.social · 19d
Doug Downey wants to convince you that schools actually reduce inequality, not expand it. In his conversation with @gtwodtke.bsky.social, they examine how the education system likely compensates for SES gaps and why school reforms are a band-aid fix to root problems.
Listen now → bit.ly/48nPLij

Reposted by David Brady, Aaron Sojourner

arindube.bsky.social
Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 21d
When states like Colorado passed policies requiring employers to disclose salary information in job postings, what happened?

It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.

Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 22d
Agreed - thanks for posting.

Reposted by David Brady, Miles Corak, Bruce Buchan

jlynch13.bsky.social
Julia Lynch @jlynch13.bsky.social · 22d
This may be the best thing ive read yet on AI in higher ed, and its written by a Yale undergrad. Highly recommend.
Inside Yale’s Quiet Reckoning with AI | The New Journal
Amid ChatGPT's rising popularity and a computer science cheating scandal, Yale students, professors, and administrators wrestle privately with the proper role of AI in education. What happens when eve...
thenewjournalatyale.com

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Daniela Gabor, Lisa W. Fazio , and 35 more

econmarshall.bsky.social
Marshall Steinbaum @econmarshall.bsky.social · 23d
The emails have Summers reporting to Epstein about his attempts to date a Harvard economics student & to hit on her during a seminar she was giving.

Reposted by Dani Rodrik, Cas Mudde, Ben H. Ansell , and 20 more

durlauf.bsky.social
Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · 23d
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.

www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
For Women in Economics, the Hostility Is Out in the Open (Published 2021)
www.nytimes.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 25d
Only real apples to apples comparison is net of arrest and trial. Otherwise you’re comparing apples and oranges. Read more than the abstract - it’s great work and worth it.

Reposted by David Brady

accountabilityji.bsky.social
Accountability Journalism Institute @accountabilityji.bsky.social · 26d
NIH Director Jay Bhattacharya just accepted an award from an RFK Jr.–aligned anti-public health group founded by a man accused of serial sexual harassment— and called it “the most fun I’ve had in ten months.”

www.accountabilityjournalism.org/trump-admini...
NIH Director Accepts Award From Anti-Vax Group Founded By Ally Accused Of Sexual Misconduct — AJI
Jay Bhattacharya reunited with his old ally Jeffrey Tucker weeks after the political operative was revealed to have faced a sexual harassment scandal. Walker Bragman Nov 05, 2025 This piece ...
www.accountabilityjournalism.org

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 26d
Someone thought it was a good idea to make this guy president of one of the world’s best universities.

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 26d
That compelling figure shows most of the Colorado River goes to agriculture. And most of that goes to alfalfa to feed cows.

While cities have done a remarkable job on water conservation, the biggest problem is basically beef.

www.latimes.com/environment/...
Hay grown for cattle consumes nearly half the water drawn from Colorado River, study finds
Much of the Colorado River's water is used for agriculture. A new study shows 46% of the water that is diverted is used to grow hay to feed cattle.
www.latimes.com

davebrady72.bsky.social
David Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 26d
That the Colorado River negotiations have grown urgent is clear, as @ianjames.bsky.social reports: www.latimes.com/environment/...

But I always feel best way to think about this issue is the figure James reported on in 2024.