Justin Kirkland
LightNews LightNews
banner
jhkirkland1.bsky.social
Justin Kirkland
@jhkirkland1.bsky.social
1.7K followers 890 following 54 posts

Professor of Politics and Policy at UVa. Legislatures, Representation, Public Opinion, Subnational Politics, all the good stuff. Co-editor of Cambridge Studies in American Legislatures (Cambridge.org/AmericanLegislatures) .. more

Videos
Political science 52%
Business 19%
Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Nazita Lajevardi, Werner Krause , and 3 more

sarahobolt.bsky.social
Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 1d
🚨Job News: Postdoc positions in LSE Government Department 🚨

Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

winls.bsky.social
Women in Legislative Studies @winls.bsky.social · 1d
The Victoria Schuck Award honors the best book published on women and politics.

For complete details about the award, including details about eligibility, please visit:
apsanet.org/PROGRAMS/APS...

Nominations Due February 11:
openwater-os.secure-platform.com/americanpoli...

Polisky Gendersky
Victoria Schuck Award - American Political Science Association (APSA)
Victoria Schuck Award Victoria Schuck Award  Nominations now open. The Schuck Award honors the best book published on women and politics. Victoria Schuck
apsanet.org

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

ojgarling.bsky.social
Owen Garling @ojgarling.bsky.social · 2d
We're recruiting for a Research Assistant at the @bennettschool.cam.ac.uk.

We're looking for someone interested in one or more of the following - institutions; governance; devolution; place-based policy; and public administration.

2 years of funding in the first instance.

Please share!

📆 5/1/26
Research Assistant (Fixed Term)
Fixed-term: The funds for this post are available for 2 years in the first instance. The Bennett School of Public Policy invites applications for a Research Assistant. This is an exciting opportunity
www.cam.ac.uk

Reposted by David Lazer, Justin H. Kirkland

jonathanschulman.bsky.social
Jonathan Schulman @jonathanschulman.bsky.social · 3d
Americans aren’t following the news as closely as they were a decade ago. And that’s true for older and younger Americans and Republicans and Democrats alike.

New today from Pew: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Americans are following the news less closely than they used to
In 2016, 51% of U.S. adults said they followed the news all or most of the time, but that share fell to 36% in 2025.
www.pewresearch.org

Reposted by John Holbein, Justin H. Kirkland

akoustov.bsky.social
Alexander Kustov @akoustov.bsky.social · 3d
A word of wisdom from @cdsamii.bsky.social re credibility revolution and survey experiments: your conjoint or list experiment is not a policy intervention with real causal effects -- it's a measurement tool.

A lot of smart folks are still confused about it for some reason!

cyrussamii.com?p=4168

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

hetanshah.bsky.social
Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 3d
Energising, vital talk at our annual @britishacademy.bsky.social Parliamentary reception from @wmarybeard.bsky.social about how the humanities are absolute essentials in a democracy that keep a culture going
Mary Beard

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Jason Reifler, Jane Green , and 2 more

gcapoccia.bsky.social
Giovanni Capoccia @gcapoccia.bsky.social · 6d
PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/

Reposted by Meredith Broussard, David G. Rand, Justin H. Kirkland , and 1 more

jennanewman.bsky.social
jenna newman phd @jennanewman.bsky.social · 7d
“When researchers randomly displayed these flood risk estimates to 18M people browsing Redfin, those who saw the feature were more likely to search for homes w/ low flood risk, according to a working paper published in the Nat’l Bureau of Economic Research last Nov*.”🧪

* www.nber.org/papers/w33119

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Ben H. Ansell, Scott L. Greer , and 12 more

conunitucl.bsky.social
UCL Constitution Unit @conunitucl.bsky.social · 8d
Join and help to lead the Constitution Unit!

@uclspp.bsky.social is looking for a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics who will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities.

Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD.

Apply 👇
Job opportunity: Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics
The UCL Department of Political Science and Constitution Unit are seeking to appoint a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics. The successful candidate will join the senior team at the Unit.
www.ucl.ac.uk

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Nathan P. Kalmoe, David Darmofal

cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 11d
#OpenAccess from State Politics & Policy Quarterly -

Is It Worth Posting? Testing the Influence of State Legislators in Simulated Social Media - https://cup.org/4imtUes

- @ahemmen.bsky.social

#FirstView
Logo of State Politics & Policy Quarterly next to a stylized map of the United States.

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Dean Eckles

alexpghayes.com
alex hayes @alexpghayes.com · 11d
Keith and I strengthened our lower bounds for randomized experiments in the linear-in-means model to a general minimax result

Updated results available at arxiv.org/abs/2410.10772

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, David Darmofal

nunetsi.bsky.social
Network Science Institute @nunetsi.bsky.social · 11d
💥 Northeastern University in Boston is hiring a tenure-track Assistant Professor in Network Science & Communication! Joint appointment with Communication Studies & College of Science. Review of applications begins 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟱, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱. Please share!!
northeastern.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/careers/job/...
Assistant Professor in Network Science and Communication
About the Opportunity About the Opportunity The College of Arts, Media and Design (CAMD) at Northeastern University invites applications for a tenure-track Assistant Professor in Network Science, to b...
northeastern.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com

Reposted by David M. Farrell, Simon Otjes, Justin H. Kirkland , and 8 more

nathaliegiger.bsky.social
Nathalie Giger @nathaliegiger.bsky.social · 12d
🔔Job Alert 🔔
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: “Electoral choice: Which role does legislators’ quality play?”
We’re recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!

Reposted by Diane Coyle, Simon Hix, Elizabeth Saunders , and 21 more

sarahobolt.bsky.social
Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 12d
🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨

We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social

Any questions, please reach out to me

📣 Please share! 📣

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

jhkirkland1.bsky.social
Justin Kirkland @jhkirkland1.bsky.social · 12d
The Value of Biased Information by Randy Calvert right? www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.2...
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
www.journals.uchicago.edu

Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Mark J. Brandt, Justin H. Kirkland

ryancbriggs.net
Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 15d
A student recently asked me for academic job market advice and I pulled up a slideshow from a few years ago. I don't think I've shared it, but it might be broadly useful. I think the advice almost entirely holds up.

First part is about my time on the job market
1/3
brief description of my experience and a joke xkcd about selection bias my hit rate on the job market in 2012 (low) my hit rate on the job market in 2013 (low, but got a TT job) my hit rate on the job market as an AP (3/7 offers)

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tim Bale, Justin H. Kirkland , and 3 more

tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 15d
Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.

Reposted by Jon Green

jhkirkland1.bsky.social
Justin Kirkland @jhkirkland1.bsky.social · 17d
A lovely trip down to Durham. Thanks @jongreen.bsky.social for the invite!

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte

zachdickson.bsky.social
Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 18d
We actually have a paper that finds exactly that!

osf.io/preprints/so...

Reposted by Scott L. Greer, Justin H. Kirkland

emgusk.bsky.social
Emily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 19d
Elon Musk is set to make more than every U.S. elementary teacher combined
Elon Musk is set to make more than every U.S. elementary teacher combined
See how Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s new payment package compares with other occupations in the United States.
www.washingtonpost.com

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, David Darmofal

jasonreifler.bsky.social
Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 19d
As AI becomes ever more sophisticated, its effects on those (like me) who use online surveys and experiments may be dire. (As one coauthor called it -- the botpocalypse!) The second POAL methods brief by the excellent @laurenleek.eu digs deeper into the problem. Very important reading!
poalab.bsky.social Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 19d
"Safeguarding data quality is no longer a single checkpoint but an end-to-end pipeline - one that reallocates substantial resources from sampling to continuous fraud monitoring"

Read our new POAL Methods Brief by @laurenleek.eu on dealing with AI bots in surveys!

Link: www.poal.co.uk/briefai.pdf
www.poal.co.uk

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

bjpols.bsky.social
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 19d
NEW -

The Consequences of Elite Action Against Elections - https://cup.org/3K5I3Aa

- @rachelporter.bsky.social, Jeffrey J. Harden, Emily Anderson, Géssica de Freitas, Mackenzie R. Dobson, @ahemmen.bsky.social & Emma Schroeder

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the behavior of American state legislators and their impact on democratic processes, specifically in relation to actions taken around the 2020 presidential election.

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Jason Reifler, David Darmofal

poalab.bsky.social
Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 19d
"Safeguarding data quality is no longer a single checkpoint but an end-to-end pipeline - one that reallocates substantial resources from sampling to continuous fraud monitoring"

Read our new POAL Methods Brief by @laurenleek.eu on dealing with AI bots in surveys!

Link: www.poal.co.uk/briefai.pdf
www.poal.co.uk

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

paulrjohnson.net
Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 19d
Because I know no one really cares about the Bundesliga (and because I wanted to test how well the model generalises), I have tested it out on the Premier League too!

The results look pretty solid to me, though I have a little less faith in how the model does with the Premier League than the BuLi.
A table showing the Premier League 2025/26 season projections generated from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. The model projects Arsenal are the most likely to win the Premier League, with a 63.5% probability, with Manchester City, Liverpool, and Chelsea rounding out the rest of the top four. At the other end of the table, Wolves (72.6%), Burnley (52.3%), and Leeds (35.8%) are the most likely to be relegated. A table showing the predictions for the next round of Premier League fixtures, showing the predicted expected goals and the match outcome probabilities for each game. Arsenal have a 70.6% probability of beating Tottenham, while Liverpool are given a 68.2% probability of beating Nottingham Forest.

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland

thmskrr.bsky.social
Thomas Kurer @thmskrr.bsky.social · 20d
In a new paper, we show that "opportunity moves" foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left.

Please have a look at @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social's excellent summary for some more details.

👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Justin H. Kirkland

yyahn.bsky.social
YY Ahn @yyahn.bsky.social · 20d
"Using a regression discontinuity in time design, we find that mass shootings mobilize local voters (especially in heavily Democratic areas) but do not shift presidential vote choices."

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
The effect of mass shootings on voter turnout in the United States
Following mass shootings, localized voter turnout increases, as does support for a gun reform ballot initiative.
www.science.org

Reposted by Brady T. West, Justin H. Kirkland, Josh Pasek , and 1 more

joywilke.bsky.social
Joy Wilke @joywilke.bsky.social · 23d
come work with us! @bluelabs.bsky.social is hiring a survey scientist. we're looking for someone who loves working with survey data and wants to solve tricky problems facing the polling industry. please share widely!

job-boards.greenhouse.io/bluelabsanal...
Survey Scientist
Remote or Washington D.C.
job-boards.greenhouse.io

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, John Holbein, Justin H. Kirkland , and 2 more

kevintmorris.bsky.social
Kevin Morris @kevintmorris.bsky.social · 24d
New today at Science Advances from @kshoub.bsky.social and me. We revisit the question of whether a local tragedy (mass shooting) influences voter behavior. They do, at least at the local level, with some important caveats and implications for policy. Short thread...
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, Daniel W. Drezner, Leah Stokes

volts.wtf
David Roberts @volts.wtf · 26d
America's political elite has decided that climate change is no longer that important or worth talking about, but rest assured, it's still happening, it's extremely bad, and yes, it is going to affect you here in America.
What Climate Change Will Do to America by Mid-Century
Many places may become uninhabitable. Many people may be on their own.
www.theatlantic.com

Reposted by Justin H. Kirkland, David Darmofal

profjslewis.bsky.social
Jacob S. Lewis @profjslewis.bsky.social · 27d
🚨JOB ALERT🚨

Washington State University is HIRING an Associate or Full Professor of American Politics who will also serve as the Director of our excellent Foley Institute.

An awesome opportunity to be right at the nexus of research and policy!

wsu.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/WSU_Jo...
Associate Professor/Professor
Online applications must be received before 11:59pm on: December 7, 2025 If a date is not listed above, review the Applicant Instructions below for more details. Available Title(s): 280-NN_FACULTY - A...
wsu.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com