Eric Blair
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protecttruth.bsky.social
Eric Blair
@protecttruth.bsky.social
Status Quo Politics is holding us back. Who will call for a big fight, and big change? The status quo cannot hold.

SCOTUS delenda est
Pinned
Why push for impeachment?

Because politics is an exercise in moving public opinion as much as counting votes in the senate.

The Jan 6 Hearings were not a criminal proceeding against Trump that would end in jail, but they focused public attention.

Performative public investigations matter
The fight vs fold debate for Democratic leaders right now is, more than anything, a play-it-safe vs run-to-win debate. That‘s why it maps onto status quo vs change.

Mamdani ran to win. Schumer wants to play it safe.
Paul Hodes in NH-02. He lost by 20 in 2004 but we won by 7. NH was the only Bush-Kerry state, New England was changing, we leaned in to the shift, & did things other rural candidates couldn’t. But most of all Paul didn’t run safe, he ran to win, & we shoved Bush down the incumbent’s throat
November 16, 2025 at 4:27 AM
noooooooo
The usual suspects are telling Dems that Epstein won’t win elections, get back to “affordability” and I think my head might explode. www.offmessage.net/p/force-a-re...
Force A Referendum On The Epstein Coverup
It divides Republicans much more than "affordability" or any other economic issue.
www.offmessage.net
November 15, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Pam Bondi better be in prison and fined into penury when this is all over.

Law license? Can we PLEASE start talking about real consequences for elite lawlessness and attacks on the American republic?
Pam Bondi will not have a license to practice law when this is all over. You can’t stay a bar member and agree to investigate only members of one political party for child sexual abuse but not members of the other. And, you can’t do it after previously saying no one else could be charged.
November 15, 2025 at 3:18 AM
Reposted by Eric Blair
the story is about how the American elite is rotten to its very marrow, to the extent that half of it was plotting and scheming about how to use Trump to advance their own venal interests before he even won
November 14, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
Okay, I'm about to block this woman, but for people who in *good faith* don't understand this, a work email does not mean your employer is reading your communications, and in newsrooms it *very much* does not mean that for source protection and liability reasons.
November 13, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
pantomime for a congress that's too corrupt to function dominated by a right wing party in complete thrall to industry, but I'm sure Politico makes that clear to readers being a news outlet and all
House GOP committee leaders to hold health care brainstorming sessions
House GOP committee leaders to hold health care brainstorming sessions
The conversations with members will also focus on the fate of expiring Obamacare tax credits. House committee chairs will begin having listening sessions next week with groups of Republican members on health care policy and the fate of expiring Obamacare subsidies. Members need to be heard out, said a person granted anonymity to describe internal party dynamics, and GOP leadership plans to structure the talks loosely on the brainstorming sessions that preceded the drafting of the party’s sweeping domestic policy megabill earlier this year. It’s a sign the House is prepared to engage on the issue despite Speaker Mike Johnson’s refusal to commit to holding a floor vote to extend the tax credits before the Dec. 31 deadline. His posture stands in contrast with his counterparts across the Capitol, where Senate Majority Leader John Thune promised Democrats a mid-December vote on extension legislation in exchange for Democrats shoring up the necessary support to reopen the government. Congressional Republicans, though, are divided broadly over how to address rising health care costs. Some GOP lawmakers, including moderates and vulnerable incumbents, want to band together with Democrats to extend the enhanced premium tax credits due to expire at the end of the year. “In the end, we’re going to have some kind of ... negotiated agreement on these ACA tax credits, and it’s going to look a lot like what we just proposed,” said Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) in an interview Wednesday, who recently proposed a bipartisan set of principles for a compromise on the subsidies with fellow Republican Rep. Jeff Hurd of Colorado and Democratic Reps. Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey and Tom Suozzi of New York. But other Republicans — among them members of the influential House Republican Study Committee — have been discussing a party-line approach on a conservative health care package that would lower costs in other ways. Some Senate Republicans are calling on an end to the Obamacare tax credits altogether and instead fund tax-advantaged health savings accounts for individuals to pay directly for care. Bacon threw cold water on the notion that the GOP should pursue a more aggressive health policy overhauls at this time: “We’re not going to be able to come up with these huge reforms” before Dec. 31, he said. Across the aisle, House Democrats hope to pressure Republicans into signing a so-called discharge petition to move a bill that would extend the subsidies for three years. The procedural maneuver would allow rank-and-file members to circumvent leadership to force a vote on legislation if the petition gets 218 signatures. Bacon isn’t convinced the gambit will work. “That’s not gonna happen,” Bacon said. Lead Art: Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) speaks with reporters at the U.S. Capitol on the 43rd day of a government shutdown, Nov. 12, 2025. (Francis Chung/POLITICO via AP Images) | AP
dlvr.it
November 13, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Jed Rubenfeld and his wife Amy Chua also identified JD Vance as a kid from Ohio who could write a book in a way that conservatives would love him.

He wrote the book— it was Vance selling his soul. With help from Chua (also a pipeline to Kavanaugh) and Rubenfeld
Each Epstein email has so many layers of slime people miss some. This email is Ken Starr, fired for covering up sexual assault, offering to help his former client Jeffrey Epstein's friend's sexual harassment charges by introducing him to Jed Rubenfeld, later put on leave for sexual misconduct. 1/
November 13, 2025 at 4:51 AM
Reposted by Eric Blair
The good thing about real democracy is no one has to beg billionaires for money.
November 13, 2025 at 4:15 AM
The level of billionaire ass-kissing in this email is off the charts.

THIS IS WHY we don’t want to center our society around billionaires.

Every billionaire is a policy failure and a threat to democracy. Look at this shit.
Interesting email here from Elisa New, Harvard professor and wife to Larry Summers, to Epstein, reflecting on Lolita.

"...it's about a man whose life is stamped forever by his impression of a young girl."
November 13, 2025 at 4:13 AM
The right loves stories like this, because they break solidarity.
We win when we stand together. If the right can get the Sierra Club to focus only on one issue and not join up with other left-liberal groups, it weakens that solidarity.

Divide and conquer is an old reactionary strategy.
The Sierra Club Embraced Social Justice. Then It Tore Itself Apart.
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 1:19 AM
Reposted by Eric Blair
The Trump administration is objectively pro-dictatorship, in the global sense.
In September, the Trump administration conducted a historic deportation flight to Iran.

We tracked down people deported on the plane.

Some are in hiding, others have fled the country.

Their story:

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/11/w...
‘It Feels Like I’m in a Nightmare’: Inside the First Deportation Flight to Iran
www.nytimes.com
November 11, 2025 at 11:29 PM
My take on @schumer.senate.gov’s Joe and Eileen Bailey from the primary holds up
Joe Bailey died of COVID because he watched Fox and didn’t get vaccinated. Eileen Bailey moved to Queens to be nearer the kids, and she hates sexual harassment and didn’t rank Cuomo. Eileen put Lander first and the kids both ranked Mamdani
November 11, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
Just checking in on how the "good news" is going. This was barely 9 months ago. Every single one of us should be throwing wrenches in the gears of the blindly fast march towards fascism and authoritarianism.

Schumer & Durbin are not. They must be replaced.
November 10, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
We got this up Friday (fine, so I stretched "JUST" posted, sue me) but just got this thread up explaining how totally wrong everyone coming for us is. Oh and also there are a LOT of people starting to get things right, too. We link to a bunch of 'em in here. That part was fun to put together.
JUST POSTED: Everyone Is Wrong, our response to the recent series of arguments that – based on the hypothesis that Harris lost and Dems underperformed in 2024 due to (summarizing broadly) voters’ perceptions that Dems are too far left – Democrats need to move right to win.
Everyone Is Wrong
The Way To Win Is Strength, Not Moderation. The 2025 Winners Proved It.
chartingthewayforward.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
I've noticed the opposing team's fans only cheer when the opponents score on us. To win those fans over, I recommend we score on ourselves repeatedly; that will surely make them so happy they'll start supporting us. And I'm sure all our fans will keep cheering for us—who else is there to cheer for?
October 10, 2025 at 12:19 PM
This is right.

The Dem base — the activist base, Indivisible leaders, the people who canvass and volunteer — saw that this shutdown was not mostly about healthcare, but about reining in Trump.

No wonder they are disappointed. The leader of the Senate should be able to rally the Dem base.
And I get it - they are friends or whatever.

But the reason people are incandescently mad is because this was a proxy fight for reining in this administration. They chose to frame it as about Healthcare (which of COURSE is important!)

But folks perceived it as finally pushing back.
November 11, 2025 at 12:38 AM
Reposted by Eric Blair
And I get it - they are friends or whatever.

But the reason people are incandescently mad is because this was a proxy fight for reining in this administration. They chose to frame it as about Healthcare (which of COURSE is important!)

But folks perceived it as finally pushing back.
November 10, 2025 at 11:17 PM
Hearing now that @chrismurphyct.bsky.social will allow the fast-tracking of the capitulation CR.

If any senator objects, the bill passage could be delayed until Friday. But apparently zero Senators have objected to the scheduling motion on the hotline.
Zero!
I got back to my office after the vote last night and recorded this. There's no way to sugarcoat what happened. And my fear is that Trump gets stronger, not weaker, because of this acquiescence. I'm angry - like you. But I choose to keep fighting.
November 10, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
Enough is enough. Contact your Democratic senators TODAY and tell them to call for Senator Schumer to step aside as Minority Leader. We desperately need new leadership in the Democratic Party.
CALL NOW: Tell Your Democratic Senator It's Time for Chuck Schumer to Step Aside
indivisible.org
November 10, 2025 at 2:54 PM
This is so, so, so, so wrong.

so now let’s figure out who is telling Angus King this. Where does he get his information? This isn‘t just King lying: there are centrists who believe this, and it’s the reason Trump impeachment flopped too. A lot of leaders believe that standing up “doesn’t work.”
Sen. Angus King: "Standing up to Donald Trump didn't work"
November 10, 2025 at 4:37 PM
This was the first weekend Thune brought the Senate into session since the shutdown, and it was the first Sunday workday for Senators since Feb 2024.

“but I am the tired“ indeed
November 10, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
The caucus’s deference to one another is the problem not just Schumer. They’re not going to elect a leader who will publicly call them out for hiding behind off-cycle and retiring members.

Even the handful of progressive senators don’t go after their peers in a meaningful way.
so currently defectors are:

Kaine (2030)
Shaheen (Retiring)
Hasan (2028)
Fetterman (2028)
Durbin (Retiring)
CCM (2028)
Rosen (2030)
King (2030)
November 10, 2025 at 12:36 PM
This is right.

The Dem strategy (the quantbrain strategy) was to make the public fight only about healthcare — and not lawlessness or democracy.

But behind the scenes they were negotiating about lawlessness and democracy.
The most Democrat consultant-brained piece of this was making it a procedural fight about ACA subsidies — that, if extended for a year, would help the GOP in the 2026 midterms anyway — instead of making it stand against Trump’s lawlessness and corruption.

But that would require believing in things.
Major concession from Democrats here is enhanced ACA funds aren’t extended. Preserving them was Dems’ central demand in this fight. They secured a promise of a vote (which Thune has been offering for weeks), but that could still fail. Even if it passes, Johnson has made no promise of a House vote.
November 10, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Reposted by Eric Blair
Following up on this. This remains a ‘cave is minutes or hours away’ situation. If you want to impact how this plays out you need to contact senators literally now. I want to add additional points of context. What I’m relaying is what I’ve picked up from highly reliable sources.
Sounds like the squishes in the senate caucus are ready to pull the plug with no ACA changes. This is real. If you want to register your opinion you shld call yr senator in the next hour. They not only want to reopen w/nothing. They want cover from their colleagues who still want to hold out.
November 9, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Reposted by Eric Blair
Mamdani got 1,036,051 votes and had 108,000 volunteers. One out of ten people who voted for him also built the campaign. Amazing.

All of us olds live in constant PTSD about Obama's campaign purposefully unwinding its volunteer army in 2009.

Good news: Mamdani's team says it's doing the opposite.
November 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM