Reposted by Eustis Bell
i love how the theory of change here is
(1) do anti-regime air operations in Iran
(2) ???
(3) shah 2.0
(1) do anti-regime air operations in Iran
(2) ???
(3) shah 2.0
Why
All the signals are that a U.S. attack on Iran is imminent, a Western military official tells Reuters
Seeing reports of flights diverting near Iran, Tehran may possibly be closed based on some reports from contacts.
Seeing reports of flights diverting near Iran, Tehran may possibly be closed based on some reports from contacts.
January 14, 2026 at 10:36 PM
i love how the theory of change here is
(1) do anti-regime air operations in Iran
(2) ???
(3) shah 2.0
(1) do anti-regime air operations in Iran
(2) ???
(3) shah 2.0
Reposted by Eustis Bell
have you ever been in the middle of fiddling with a spreadsheet at work and a voice in your head suddenly goes MAN WHAT IN THE ENTIRE FUCK ARE WE DOING HERE, THE DANES ARE OUR FUCKING ALLIES, THEY BLED WITH US IN AFGHANISTAN AND SYRIA AHHHHHHHH then you just go back to fiddling with the cells
January 14, 2026 at 7:39 PM
have you ever been in the middle of fiddling with a spreadsheet at work and a voice in your head suddenly goes MAN WHAT IN THE ENTIRE FUCK ARE WE DOING HERE, THE DANES ARE OUR FUCKING ALLIES, THEY BLED WITH US IN AFGHANISTAN AND SYRIA AHHHHHHHH then you just go back to fiddling with the cells
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Denmark has begun deploying military equipment and advance troops to Greenland.
www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
Kilder til DR: Danmark sender militære forstærkninger til Grønland
En fortrop fra Forsvaret er ankommet til Grønland, erfarer DR.
www.dr.dk
January 14, 2026 at 12:22 PM
Denmark has begun deploying military equipment and advance troops to Greenland.
www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...
In the great words of the last true unfiltered art form: Don't work yourself into a shoot.
This app spends way too much time freaking out about what authoritarian grandpa wants to do vs what he's actually doing. We got three more years of this. Breathe a little.
This app spends way too much time freaking out about what authoritarian grandpa wants to do vs what he's actually doing. We got three more years of this. Breathe a little.
January 13, 2026 at 10:19 PM
In the great words of the last true unfiltered art form: Don't work yourself into a shoot.
This app spends way too much time freaking out about what authoritarian grandpa wants to do vs what he's actually doing. We got three more years of this. Breathe a little.
This app spends way too much time freaking out about what authoritarian grandpa wants to do vs what he's actually doing. We got three more years of this. Breathe a little.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
What can history teach us about what happens when a populist strongman with an idiosyncratic taste for low interest rates undermines central bank independence?
January 12, 2026 at 1:44 AM
What can history teach us about what happens when a populist strongman with an idiosyncratic taste for low interest rates undermines central bank independence?
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
YouTube video by Federal Reserve
www.youtube.com
January 12, 2026 at 12:35 AM
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Hello new followers. I'm Eustis Bell. I'm big on airpower, wargaming, and national security issues. I read a lot of history. Thanks for following.
January 11, 2026 at 10:56 PM
Hello new followers. I'm Eustis Bell. I'm big on airpower, wargaming, and national security issues. I read a lot of history. Thanks for following.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Trump may break NATO, and that would be catastrophic, but scarier to me is he breaks the US military & the civilian-military relationship.
I think the unified military tells Trump no, JSOC takes power from the Joint Chiefs, or the Joint Chiefs somehow neutralize JSOC.
I think in order of likelihood it’s #1, followed by #3, followed by #2
I think in order of likelihood it’s #1, followed by #3, followed by #2
How can the US defend several giant bases in Germany, the UK, and Italy, among others, that are deep inland, heavy on support troops and dependents, and light on forward deployed ground combat formations?
Yeah, that's the neat part. They're prisoners on D-day, whether they resist or not.
Yeah, that's the neat part. They're prisoners on D-day, whether they resist or not.
January 11, 2026 at 7:12 AM
Trump may break NATO, and that would be catastrophic, but scarier to me is he breaks the US military & the civilian-military relationship.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Reposted by Eustis Bell
🇩🇰 51 dead, 231 injured 🇩🇰 in Afghanistan and Iraq, answering an ally’s call.
For the record: If we invade Greenland to conquer it I am revolutionary defeatist. It's an illegal invasion, a violation of the NATO charter, and a shameful betrayal of a loyal ally.
I do not think anybody is prepared for how quickly and how thoroughly things we've taken for granted our whole lives could change
January 11, 2026 at 3:35 AM
🇩🇰 51 dead, 231 injured 🇩🇰 in Afghanistan and Iraq, answering an ally’s call.
January 11, 2026 at 4:16 AM
The Greenland fixation feels like a personal insult to anyone who's spent more than about five minutes thinking about national security. "Hey, let's demolish our most valuable alliance so we can get get access to arctic territory we already have access to!"
January 11, 2026 at 3:56 AM
The Greenland fixation feels like a personal insult to anyone who's spent more than about five minutes thinking about national security. "Hey, let's demolish our most valuable alliance so we can get get access to arctic territory we already have access to!"
Reposted by Eustis Bell
I have nothing but incandescent rage towards these people.
Just absolutely credulous morons.
Just absolutely credulous morons.
Greenland, who knows, but I think we need to get our "no difference between Trump and Harris" bros on the fucking horn
January 11, 2026 at 3:52 AM
I have nothing but incandescent rage towards these people.
Just absolutely credulous morons.
Just absolutely credulous morons.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Hey. If you're feeling anxious, or angry, or upset by today's events and don't know what to do about it: go do a little nice thing for yourself. Right now. Take a bubble bath. Call a friend. Eat some ice cream. It won't change the world, but it's a positive place to put that energy. Go do it now.
January 7, 2026 at 11:43 PM
Hey. If you're feeling anxious, or angry, or upset by today's events and don't know what to do about it: go do a little nice thing for yourself. Right now. Take a bubble bath. Call a friend. Eat some ice cream. It won't change the world, but it's a positive place to put that energy. Go do it now.
I'm just going to offer that continuing to expose yourself to bad stuff online, after a pretty small amount of time, stops becoming helpful and just locks you in a bad mental and emotional state. It's ok to take a break. Nobody's poasting their way out of anything that's happened this week.
January 8, 2026 at 3:05 AM
I'm just going to offer that continuing to expose yourself to bad stuff online, after a pretty small amount of time, stops becoming helpful and just locks you in a bad mental and emotional state. It's ok to take a break. Nobody's poasting their way out of anything that's happened this week.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
I was listening to @thebulwark.com's Next Level podcast today and they were thinking through the chance that Trump actually tries to seize Greenland and there was a @jvl.bsky.social sort of 'I kinda hope he does it to drop the mask entirely' and I just cannot scream loudly enough: No, You Do Not. 1/
January 7, 2026 at 4:15 AM
I was listening to @thebulwark.com's Next Level podcast today and they were thinking through the chance that Trump actually tries to seize Greenland and there was a @jvl.bsky.social sort of 'I kinda hope he does it to drop the mask entirely' and I just cannot scream loudly enough: No, You Do Not. 1/
Reposted by Eustis Bell
A variation of the same holds true for the defense VC side of this....the use by @uticaeric.bsky.social and others of the word "cult" when describing the gizmo cult isn't accidental
You could see this forming in realtime even a decade ago, but it wasn’t that bad, fairly innocuous. It has now permeated everywhere
January 7, 2026 at 1:56 AM
A variation of the same holds true for the defense VC side of this....the use by @uticaeric.bsky.social and others of the word "cult" when describing the gizmo cult isn't accidental
Reposted by Eustis Bell
I believe Jim Mattis had a letter of reprimand in his USMC file at nearly every rank he held. I expect Hegseth’s letter of reprimand to be a similar credit to Senator Kelley’s record. It’s still terrible for SecDef attempting to penalize obviously protected political speech.
January 6, 2026 at 9:43 PM
I believe Jim Mattis had a letter of reprimand in his USMC file at nearly every rank he held. I expect Hegseth’s letter of reprimand to be a similar credit to Senator Kelley’s record. It’s still terrible for SecDef attempting to penalize obviously protected political speech.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Smart piece by @hoanssolo.bsky.social: "the raid’s very success poses a strategic danger: It reinforces a U.S. military culture excessively focused on precision strikes and special operations raids."
The Maduro raid reinforces a U.S. strategic culture favoring quick tactical fixes over long-term planning.
The Venezuela Raid Is Great TV—but Won’t Win America’s Next War
Donald Trump’s obsession with quick strikes and flashy successes is bad news for military readiness.
foreignpolicy.com
January 6, 2026 at 2:09 AM
Smart piece by @hoanssolo.bsky.social: "the raid’s very success poses a strategic danger: It reinforces a U.S. military culture excessively focused on precision strikes and special operations raids."
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Here. I wrote about American threats against Greenland and the fate of NATO.
othermeans.io/p/the-next-g...
othermeans.io/p/the-next-g...
The Next Great Crisis
Greenland and the Fate of NATO
othermeans.io
January 6, 2026 at 1:29 AM
Here. I wrote about American threats against Greenland and the fate of NATO.
othermeans.io/p/the-next-g...
othermeans.io/p/the-next-g...
Reposted by Eustis Bell
Reposted by Eustis Bell
The point is, there will likely be significant and long-lasting global ramifications to the administration’s treatment of the Venezuelan opposition.
Let’s say there was covert-action finding encouraging regime-change in Iran. If you were part of the Iranian opposition, would you trust the US to support you in any substantial way whatsoever down the road? The IRGC could just “do a deal” to gave the US access to Iranian natural resources.
January 5, 2026 at 10:01 PM
The point is, there will likely be significant and long-lasting global ramifications to the administration’s treatment of the Venezuelan opposition.
Reposted by Eustis Bell
I also think the discussion would be more fruitful if they acknowledged that distinction, because that would get at the heart of it: there's a lot of things for which "that was bad, dumb, probably illegal, and if you want to stop it elect better leaders" is in fact (unfortunately) the right answer
January 4, 2026 at 10:18 PM
I also think the discussion would be more fruitful if they acknowledged that distinction, because that would get at the heart of it: there's a lot of things for which "that was bad, dumb, probably illegal, and if you want to stop it elect better leaders" is in fact (unfortunately) the right answer