Will Jennings📉🗳️
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drjennings.bsky.social
Will Jennings📉🗳️
@drjennings.bsky.social

I research and write about politics, public policy, public opinion, polls, elections, geography, place, trust. I run on espresso.

Political science 71%
Sociology 14%
Pinned

Reposted by Steve Peers

Lame duck watch 🦆
Dimon on why JPMorgan Chase is not funding WH Ballroom:
We have an issue, which is anything we do, since we do a lot of contracts with governments here and around the world, we have to be very careful how anything is perceived, and also how the next DOJ is going to deal with it.

Well, I guess he'd know...

Reposted by Will Jennings

"Rachel Reeves’s budget was designed to get a struggling government through the next few months rather than to power the country through the next decade" | ✍️ Rishi Sunak
Rishi Sunak: ‘Survival budget’ missed the chance to fix our problems
Rachel Reeves’s budget was designed to get a struggling government through the next few months rather than to power the country through the next decade
www.thetimes.com

Reposted by Will Jennings

We had reindeer in Walthamstow today. Actual real life reindeer at the st Mary’s church fair. They were impossibly dinky and apparently must always be in pairs as otherwise they get lonely!

Possibly we adults more excited than the kids by this visit.…. 🦌♥️
Dimon on why JPMorgan Chase is not funding WH Ballroom:
We have an issue, which is anything we do, since we do a lot of contracts with governments here and around the world, we have to be very careful how anything is perceived, and also how the next DOJ is going to deal with it.

I always think of this great article that my good friend @tomstafford.bsky.social was involved in (along with a great many people).

“…significant variation in the results of analyses of complex data may be difficult to avoid, even by experts with honest intentions”
Many Analysts, One Data Set: Making Transparent How Variations in Analytic Choices Affect Results - R. Silberzahn, E. L. Uhlmann, D. P. Martin, P. Anselmi, F. Aust, E. Awtrey, Š. Bahník, F. Bai, C. Ba...
Twenty-nine teams involving 61 analysts used the same data set to address the same research question: whether soccer referees are more likely to give red cards ...
journals.sagepub.com

Social science journals across the board need to get better in how they handle open science. Also, let he/she who has not made ad hoc modelling choices cast the first stone.

Reposted by Will Jennings

Very unprofessional of the APSR to publish a response to a published article without publishing the original authors' reaction. "They will be published in the same issue." So we see them together when we get our hardcopy in the mail and flip through it on a Sunday afternoon?
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.

Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.

osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
A🧵
This is profoundly irresponsible by AGSulzberger’s NYT, @by-cjewett.bsky.social +eds.

The normalization, “view-from-nowhere”, “born-yesterday”, stenography, “both-sides”, irresponsible headline are disgraceful.
THE story is the CDC&FDA are being destroyed by antiscience & Americans will die.
1/n

Reposted by Will Jennings

"that's correct, i intended to do the war crimes"

This is poor from the leading journal in the field.
We were informed that, should the journal decide to publish our response, it would appear in accordance with COPE guidelines, which we understood to mean alongside the comment.

The comment has now been published. Our response remains under review.
Everyone should read this terrifying thread about Hegseth’s published views wrt war crimes. It’s pretty fucking radical …. We needed to hear about this in his confirmation hearing.
A chapter in Hegseth’s book is literally titled “More Lethality, Less Lawyers.”

It’s almost as if there were signs!

Reposted by Will Jennings

Is this… is this a leadership bid?
Independent MP Ayoub Khan has told PolHome he was once forced to kill a dog with his hands to save the life of a baby

He spoke to Tom Scotson at Your Party conference in Liverpool
Your Party MP Ayoub Khan Killed Dog To Save A Baby's Life
Independent MP Ayoub Khan has told PoliticsHome he once killed a dog with his hands to save a child’s life.
www.politicshome.com

Reposted by Will Jennings

Here’s the definitive Budget feedback from the British public: yougov.co.uk/politics/art...

By are margin of 48% - 21%, Brits view the Budget as “unfair”.

Some individual measures poll well, but as a whole Brits think it will make them, and the country, worse off.
How have Britons reacted to the 2025 Budget? | YouGov
While the government may have protected themselves by dropping their income tax plans, the public reaction to the Budget has still been negative
yougov.co.uk

Reposted by Will Jennings

Independent MP Ayoub Khan has told PolHome he was once forced to kill a dog with his hands to save the life of a baby

He spoke to Tom Scotson at Your Party conference in Liverpool
Your Party MP Ayoub Khan Killed Dog To Save A Baby's Life
Independent MP Ayoub Khan has told PoliticsHome he once killed a dog with his hands to save a child’s life.
www.politicshome.com

That is a disappointing write-up.
The president has illegally declared war to stop fentanyl trafficking from a country that does not traffic that drug, claiming its leader is trafficking drugs himself, the day after pardoning a former leader of a country who is a convicted drug trafficker.
Just to level set
The president is about to start a war for no real reason. All of the things he has blamed on the country he’s targeting — fentanyl distribution, “emptying the asylums” and sending patients to the U.S., alignment with Tren de Aragua— are provably, obviously false.

Lots of people are going to die.
Some researchers, like myself, care about knowledge production and finding the "right" answer.

Others care more about getting a publication based on saying that others are wrong rather than engaging in a discussion about what the current state of knowledge is and whether it needs to be corrected.

Reposted by Will Jennings

We were informed that, should the journal decide to publish our response, it would appear in accordance with COPE guidelines, which we understood to mean alongside the comment.

The comment has now been published. Our response remains under review.
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.

Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.

osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
A chapter in Hegseth’s book is literally titled “More Lethality, Less Lawyers.”

It’s almost as if there were signs!
Right out of the textbooks. Literally "Them."
The heart and soul of Trumpism in one tweet

I actually knew the parents from the IHT story in the i earlier in the week. Lovely people, friends of my grandparents. It’s not for me to judge, but seems sad to be in the papers like that.
Hegseth's not the only war criminal here. "The [USSOCOM] commander overseeing the operation from Fort Bragg in North Carolina, Adm. Frank M. 'Mitch' Bradley, told people on the secure conference call that the survivors were still legitimate targets... He ordered the second strike."
Hegseth order on first Caribbean boat strike, officials say: Kill them all
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a verbal order to kill all crew members in the Sept. 2 strike on a suspected drug boat. Navy SEALs fired a second missile.
www.washingtonpost.com
h/t @adamwren.bsky.social

Michael Bohacek, a Republican state senator from Indiana who has a daughter with down syndrome, says he will vote against redistricting in Indiana after Trump used the word "retarded."