Tarik Abou-Chadi
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi.bsky.social

Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️‍🌈

Political science 85%
Business 5%
Pinned
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

Reposted by Jens Rydgren

This is a brilliant piece on the restructuring of political competition in Western Europe and goes far beyond the question of populism. Great also for teaching.
The 1️⃣article of our 5️⃣0️⃣Anniversary Special Issue "Debating European Politics: Advances and Perspectives" is out!🎉

"The rise of populism and the new cleavage" by Hanspeter Kriesi, describing contemporary populism is likely to be a temporary phenomen.

🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2591874

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

The 1️⃣article of our 5️⃣0️⃣Anniversary Special Issue "Debating European Politics: Advances and Perspectives" is out!🎉

"The rise of populism and the new cleavage" by Hanspeter Kriesi, describing contemporary populism is likely to be a temporary phenomen.

🔗https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2591874
📢 APPLY NOW! @politicsoxford.bsky.social are seeking to appoint an Associate Professor of the Comparative Politics of Africa, in association with St Peter’s College. 🗓️ CLOSES: Noon (GMT) 21 Jan 2026: ow.ly/H31A50XHn83

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Everywhere you look there is an opening for leadership.

What an irony that the Democratic consultant-pundit class fell into a poll-following Popularist obsession at a time of such volatility

Congrats!

Great news! Congratulations.

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier visited Oxford, spotlighting the Centre for Democratic Resilience and its work to protect liberal democracy and academic freedom.
#OxfordUniversity #DemocraticResilience #InternationalCollaboration #ResearchImpact
Read more: ow.ly/5VeR50XFKQC

Nächste Woche diskutiere ich bei der Schwarzkopf-Stiftung Junges Europa wie die radikale Rechte in Europa die Demokratie bedroht. Man kann sich noch weiterhin zur Veranstaltung anmelden.

Reposted by Benjamin Braun

A worldview that divides people into givers and takes will prevent people from supporting redistribution, inclusion, sustainability and other progressive values. It will prevent people from voting Labour in elections. Labour is shaping public opinion against progressive politics.
This is so disgusting.
This is so disgusting.
🚨Job News: Postdoc positions in LSE Government Department 🚨

Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social

jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
An English translation of our book "Trigger Points. Inequality and Political Polarization in Contemporary Society" will come out @brisunipress.bsky.social: bristoluniversitypress.co.uk/triggerpoints

It studies the social bases of political divides over migration, climate, diversity & redistribution
Trigger Points
Trigger Points - Inequality and Political Polarization in Contemporary Society; Available open access digitally under CC-BY-NC-ND licence. Is society really polarized? This book explores key conflicts...
bristoluniversitypress.co.uk

From the “Fortune cookies for the university Christmas party” set?

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

The electoral effects of state-sponsored anti-LGBTQ measures
doi.org/10.1086/739782
Accepted paper in @thejop.bsky.social by Violeta I. Haas, Konstantin Bogatyrev, Nuffield Fellow @tabouchadi.bsky.social Heike Klüver and Lukas F. Stoetzer
The Electoral Effects of State-Sponsored Anti-LGBTQ Measures | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
doi.org
📢📢 Happy to announce a new update to the PPEG database!

The data now covers

- > 3.000 parties
- 1.100 parliamentary elections
- 402 presidential elections
- 2.044 cabinets

across 73 countries (1945 - 2025, Oct 31).

All info: ppeg.wzb.eu

We hope that data is helpful to the community!
Difficult to grasp how the crisis of UK universites - largely caused by bad policy and bad management - is not treated as a massive national problem that requires government involvement to help solve the issue. Product of a discourse in which parties don‘t want to be seen as appealing to graduates?
Grim news and vacuous messaging from Essex: 200 academic posts (in unspecified subjects) to go this year & 200 professional staff posts in the next 2 years. Closure of Southend campus will be a blow regionally as well. The vision and ambition that saw Essex et al established is sorely needed now.
Essex to close Southend campus and cut 400 jobs
University says it has been forced into making ‘decisions we could have never previously imagined’ after steep drop in international student numbers
www.timeshighereducation.com
Grim news and vacuous messaging from Essex: 200 academic posts (in unspecified subjects) to go this year & 200 professional staff posts in the next 2 years. Closure of Southend campus will be a blow regionally as well. The vision and ambition that saw Essex et al established is sorely needed now.
Essex to close Southend campus and cut 400 jobs
University says it has been forced into making ‘decisions we could have never previously imagined’ after steep drop in international student numbers
www.timeshighereducation.com

But no one makes the deterministic argument that PR will prevent the success of a far-right party per se. It is a question of likelihood. And PR makes it much less likely that a single party wins a majority (unless we think around 50% of the vote for a party are realistic at the moment)

So you don't think that if the PVV had had a majority of seats in 2023, it would have done more damage to Dutch democracy than it already did?

Æ + O + H
Fragmentation is of course a hurdle to even more success

As people still need to hear this: the Danish social democrats are polling at below 20%. In this poll, the radical right in Denmark also nearly receives 20%. It remains striking how often Denmark is still referenced as a case were social democrats beat the radical right.
Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 19%
F-G/EFA: 15% (+2)
V-RE: 12%
I-EPP: 11% (-2)
O-PfE: 9% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 9% (+1)
C-EPP: 7%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
M-RE: 3% (+1)
Å→G/EFA: 2%
H-*: 2%

+/- vs. 17-23 November 2025

Fieldwork: 24-30 November 2025
Sample size: 1,002

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

Reposted by Tarik Abou‐Chadi

Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 19%
F-G/EFA: 15% (+2)
V-RE: 12%
I-EPP: 11% (-2)
O-PfE: 9% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 9% (+1)
C-EPP: 7%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
M-RE: 3% (+1)
Å→G/EFA: 2%
H-*: 2%

+/- vs. 17-23 November 2025

Fieldwork: 24-30 November 2025
Sample size: 1,002

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark
Europe’s housing crisis is worsening while progressives stay silent. DPIR's @tabouchadi.bsky.social argues in @theguardian.com that we need bold policies that make homes affordable, fair and a social right again:
Europe’s housing crisis is fuelling the rise of the far right. Our research shows how to address it | Tarik Abou-Chadi, Björn Bremer and Silja Häusermann
The mantra of ‘build, build, build’ misses something crucial: that few can afford these new homes, say Tarik Abou-Chadi, Silja Häusermann and Björn Bremer
www.theguardian.com
We're looking for a colleague (postdoc) 📢 @politikuhh.bsky.social
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL 🗓️ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...
Research Associate (Postdoc) Political Science § 28 Subsection 2 HmbHG
stellen.uni-hamburg.de

That attitude won't help...

You can email my agent and we‘ll see if I can fit it in

Hah! Harsh.
Bronski Beat - Smalltown Boy is the answer to that question.

I am still convinced that my answer to the question "which was the first sports team you ever supported?" is the reason that I was never invited to be on the Radikaal podcast 🤷‍♀️

Yes. Overall similar picture as in Europe as Silja Häusermann shows in this chapter. The interesting difference is the lack of overlap between Labour and Conservatives. Failure of the Tories to benefit from unpopular government because of their culture wars focus.

www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...
Social Democracy in Competition (Chapter 6) - Beyond Social Democracy
Beyond Social Democracy - June 2024
www.cambridge.org

Reposted by Will Jennings

Not your point, but just fascinating to see the numbers on Labour here. Huge frustration among their 2024 electorate with nearly as many considering Green and Lib Dems. And only a tiny share considering Reform. Mystery how this is not breaking throught to people making their strategic decisions.