Jill Rutter
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jillongovt.bsky.social
Jill Rutter
@jillongovt.bsky.social

Senior Fellow, Institute for Government and still doing bits for UK in a Changing Europe. Cricket fan and (not very good) tennis player.

Jill Rutter is a former British civil servant. She is a senior research fellow of UK in a Changing Europe, and was previously the programme director at the Institute for Government (IfG) directing the organisation's work on better policy making and Brexit. She has written a number of reports on civil service and the implications of Brexit for Whitehall and Westminster. .. more

Political science 38%
Education 17%

Reposted by Jill Rutter

She could still ditch it any time

Usually it can be postponed in next Budget .. RR (at the moment) claims only one fiscal event in which case it would start rising in Sept before the next one

No different .. its before the next Budget (assuming usual schedule) -- so may even happen

fuel duty starts rising next September...

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Who were the winners and losers of Reeves’s budget?

How will her measures affect growth?

Has the chancellor finally set a coherent tax strategy?

Feat. @jillongovt.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social and @drhannahwhite.bsky.social

podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/i...
Autumn budget 2025: What is Rachel Reeves’ plan for the economy?
Podcast Episode · Inside Briefing with the Institute for Government · 26/11/2025 · 57m
podcasts.apple.com

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Rachel Reeves has introduced what is effectively a new tax on high-value properties – although dressed up as an extension of council tax.

So when is a council tax reform not a council tax reform? Read @jillongovt.bsky.social's post on our live blog www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves announces tax and spend measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Key chart for public services

Govt is back to pencilling in undeliverable plans to hit its fiscal rules

After taking out likely funding for protected areas, other departments will have to absorb 3.3% annual real terms cuts. That includes prisons, courts, and local govt, among others

But this is not (just) about the design of council tax.. this is about the underlying formula. Reeves made a mess of explaining this but @resolutionfoundation.org should point that out...
Even after the mansion tax is applied, the owner of a £5m home in Westminster will pay proportionately less in property tax than the owner of a £210k Band B property in Sunderland.
Even after the mansion tax is applied, the owner of a £5m home in Westminster will pay proportionately less in property tax than the owner of a £210k Band B property in Sunderland.
Minor point. But this is the OBR saying that the briefing about income tax being dropped because of improved forecasts is bollocks.

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Massive rise in incapacity benefits forecast

25% higher in four years, during a time of recovering economic growth? It is hard to see how this will not be an attack line from the opposition.
Cash ISA limit cut to £12,000 as expected - though only for under 65s! A new bias in the tax system towards pensioners is introduced....

interesting move by Rachel Reeves to call for evidence on how tax system can support entrepreneurs.... not usually HMT way (but no OTS any more) #Budget2025

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Damning line from the OBR this: "We have assessed that none of the policy measures in this Budget have a sufficiently material impact to justify adjusting our post-measures potential output forecast."

Ie it's a budget which does nothing new for growth.

Reposted by Jill Rutter

I’m excited ministers get to find out what a hot mess the Valuation Office is. It’s currently taking more than a year (based on personal experience!) to undertake assessments that are meant to take less than 4 months

Reposted by Jill Rutter

It's budget day – so what have you missed?

@jillongovt.bsky.social asks Ed Balls and George Osborne what they would do in the budget

OBR forecasts

Ministers Reflect on the Treasury

John Swinney on what Reeves should do

Follow the live blog 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Victoria Darbyshire and Nick Watt

BBC News has just said that the rise in the National Minimum and National Living Wage is the first confirmed budget policy change. If you are following the @instituteforgovernment.org.uk live blog you know that there have been measures emerging over past week..........

Reposted by Jill Rutter

The biggest change in the OBR's economic forecast tomorrow is expected to be a lower forecast for productivity growth.

But how does the OBR produce its forecasts? @danhaile.bsky.social explains www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/of...
How does the Office for Budget Responsibility produce economic and fiscal forecasts? | Institute for Government
Economic and fiscal forecasts are a critical part of the government budget process. But what data and assumptions go into them?
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

The tax canapes are beginning to be served with two sensible moves - sugar tax extension and local tourist taxes. If you want to get a clearer picture of the full meal on offer, @instituteforgovernment.org.uk Budget liveblog is your key resource. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

beginning to believe I would actually vote for a dead pigeon on a stick if it just promised to restore the fuel duty escalator

Reposted by Jill Rutter

After a 2024 budget in which she hiked taxes by £36bn, Rachel Reeves looks set to raise substantial sums in tax again.

So what are we looking out for on tax? Read the latest from @jillongovt.bsky.social on our autumn budget 2025 live blog www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025 🚨

As Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures, what formal announcements have we had so far and what can we expect in the next 24 hours?

Follow our live blog for our analysis of the chancellor's plans
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
LIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025: Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures | Institute for Government
IfG experts analyse Reeves' budget and explore what the chancellor's plans for the economy, tax and spending mean.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

TOMORROW | Autumn budget 2025: What is Rachel Reeves’ plan for the economy?

Don't miss our webinar at 16:00 for instant analysis of the chancellor’s plans

@danhaile.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social @drhannahwhite.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/autumn...
🔃 "For public policy reasons and Treasury planning, it would be much better if we knew something about these citizen-emigrants."

✍️ John Mahon makes the case for having a better understanding of the British nationals leaving and returning to the UK

ukandeu.ac.uk/who-is-emigr...
Who is emigrating from the UK? - UK in a changing Europe
John Mahon makes the case for having a better understanding of the British nationals leaving the UK. He argues that the cost to the state of British nationals leaving or returning to the UK varies, so...
ukandeu.ac.uk

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Listen to the full response to @jillongovt.bsky.social's budget questions on the Political Currency podcast with Ed Balls and George Osborne 🎧👇 youtu.be/PxKzXaM7hjI

Thanks to Ed Balls and George Osborne for giving such interesting and different answers to my #Budget question on this week's @polcurrency.bsky.social pod (and for shoutouts to @instituteforgovernment.org.uk open.spotify.com/episode/6MC7... Hope Rachel was listening..
EMQs: Is it time for a Tory/Labour truce?
open.spotify.com

Someone we're not adding to @instituteforgov Ashes chat

Reposted by Jill Rutter

Hot on the heels of yesterday's Covid inquiry report on decision making, @shaina-sangha.bsky.social and I have a new report out today looking at how combined epidemiological-economic modelling could help government better prepare for future pandemics www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
Combined epidemiological and economic modelling | Institute for Government
The pandemic showed the need for government to improve its use of modelling.
www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk