Peter Lewis
@plewis.bsky.social
NYC
business writing: thedrawingboard.net
other writing: medium.com/@plewis67
business writing: thedrawingboard.net
other writing: medium.com/@plewis67
good thread
Just a very fundamental point:
People use quantitative data in order to debunk qualitative impressions.
But when the data we are discussing is putative welfare measures (e.g. real income or wealth, GDP per capita, etc), the *qualitative* measures are foundational, the quantitative mere proxies. 1/
People use quantitative data in order to debunk qualitative impressions.
But when the data we are discussing is putative welfare measures (e.g. real income or wealth, GDP per capita, etc), the *qualitative* measures are foundational, the quantitative mere proxies. 1/
November 19, 2025 at 7:56 PM
good thread
Reposted by Peter Lewis
After a too-long hiatus from blogging, I have a new post up, as part of what I hope will be a period series looking at what our crim legal stats really mean.
To start, one of the most important but messiest to actually understand and use: recidivism.
A mess to think about, and a mess to measure.
To start, one of the most important but messiest to actually understand and use: recidivism.
A mess to think about, and a mess to measure.
The Worst Statistic: Recidivism
In the first post in what will be a period series looking at our official crime stats and what they mean, here I dig into “recidivism,” an incredibly important number that is measured p…
johnfpfaff.com
November 19, 2025 at 5:36 PM
After a too-long hiatus from blogging, I have a new post up, as part of what I hope will be a period series looking at what our crim legal stats really mean.
To start, one of the most important but messiest to actually understand and use: recidivism.
A mess to think about, and a mess to measure.
To start, one of the most important but messiest to actually understand and use: recidivism.
A mess to think about, and a mess to measure.
Reposted by Peter Lewis
Canadian crime is something else
November 18, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Canadian crime is something else
Reposted by Peter Lewis
we are breaking new ground in people's inability to discern between descriptive and prescriptive statements
There’s a very surreal conversation I keep having on here where people seem unable to hold two ideas at the same time, and I’m not sure why. It’s simply true that the Big AI platforms like ChatGPT are:
1. Extremely bad for society, in many ways.
2. Very genuinely popular with lots of people.
1. Extremely bad for society, in many ways.
2. Very genuinely popular with lots of people.
November 18, 2025 at 5:01 PM
we are breaking new ground in people's inability to discern between descriptive and prescriptive statements
Reposted by Peter Lewis
MICROSOFT, NVIDIA AND ANTHROPIC ANNOUNCE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS
November 18, 2025 at 3:04 PM
MICROSOFT, NVIDIA AND ANTHROPIC ANNOUNCE STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS
Reposted by Peter Lewis
when the ai bubble bursts it's gonna be a whole Project™ to tease apart neural-nets-the-technology from chatbots-the-product-class in the public consciousness given that these companies have been trying their hardest to confuse everybody about this distinction for the last several years
November 18, 2025 at 1:33 PM
when the ai bubble bursts it's gonna be a whole Project™ to tease apart neural-nets-the-technology from chatbots-the-product-class in the public consciousness given that these companies have been trying their hardest to confuse everybody about this distinction for the last several years
Reposted by Peter Lewis
make something new! here im gonna take literally 15 seconds: a donkey wants to be a rodeo horse. songs by tyler childers.
We get our first, brief look at Dwayne Johnson as Maui – before he turns into an eagle. But, more importantly, Catherine Laga‘aia sets sail in the live-action ‘Moana’ trailer.
Make Way For Live-Action Moana
We get our first, brief look at Dwayne Johnson as Maui – before he turns into an eagle. But, more importantly, Catherine Laga‘aia sets sail in the live-action ‘Moana’ trailer.
www.vulture.com
November 18, 2025 at 12:53 PM
make something new! here im gonna take literally 15 seconds: a donkey wants to be a rodeo horse. songs by tyler childers.
Reposted by Peter Lewis
I could never be an X-Man because I wouldn't be able to pick a name & stick with it
November 16, 2025 at 5:30 PM
I could never be an X-Man because I wouldn't be able to pick a name & stick with it
Reposted by Peter Lewis
What if the great filter is immortality and there’s just scores of immortal but ultimately stagnant and happy planets out there
November 15, 2025 at 11:37 PM
What if the great filter is immortality and there’s just scores of immortal but ultimately stagnant and happy planets out there
Reposted by Peter Lewis
they also like to tell you what you talk about when you talk about something.
If there’s one thing sportscasters love, it’s to actually have spoken with this player yesterday
November 15, 2025 at 8:56 PM
they also like to tell you what you talk about when you talk about something.
Reposted by Peter Lewis
Pathetic that painting restorers clean off centuries' worth of grime, but don't make it look like the people in the paintings have handlebar moustaches and then take photographs and show them to me.
November 15, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Pathetic that painting restorers clean off centuries' worth of grime, but don't make it look like the people in the paintings have handlebar moustaches and then take photographs and show them to me.
Reposted by Peter Lewis
nothing says you’re kicking ass at Buddhism quite like having an insatiable desire for something
November 12, 2025 at 10:16 PM
nothing says you’re kicking ass at Buddhism quite like having an insatiable desire for something
Reposted by Peter Lewis
basically believe that this mostly depends on when you got Properly Online - before a certain cut-off your normal internet experience was high agency/high effort, but it eventually became low agency/low effort, and it's impossible to create a social media experience that caters to both groups
yes I think @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com has talked about this, it's deeply alienating to find out that the vast majority of people do not want the curated timeline / engagement / discussion version of social media that I find to be the only good version of the experience
November 12, 2025 at 3:31 PM
basically believe that this mostly depends on when you got Properly Online - before a certain cut-off your normal internet experience was high agency/high effort, but it eventually became low agency/low effort, and it's impossible to create a social media experience that caters to both groups
Reposted by Peter Lewis
My my, hey hey…🎵
better is it to perish in that howling infinite, than be ingloriously dashed upon the lee
November 11, 2025 at 11:57 PM
My my, hey hey…🎵
Reposted by Peter Lewis
November 12, 2025 at 12:27 AM
Reposted by Peter Lewis
TFW the data are so fraudulent* you have to learn how to create colour-coded spreadsheets in R to show all the patterns 😂
*allegedly. (is this enough? don't sue me xx)
*allegedly. (is this enough? don't sue me xx)
November 11, 2025 at 4:41 PM
TFW the data are so fraudulent* you have to learn how to create colour-coded spreadsheets in R to show all the patterns 😂
*allegedly. (is this enough? don't sue me xx)
*allegedly. (is this enough? don't sue me xx)
“The only emotion people feel nowadays is interest or the lack of it”
from Lancelot (1977), by Walker Percy
from Lancelot (1977), by Walker Percy
November 11, 2025 at 4:32 PM
“The only emotion people feel nowadays is interest or the lack of it”
from Lancelot (1977), by Walker Percy
from Lancelot (1977), by Walker Percy
Reposted by Peter Lewis
Drop the Letterboxd account
Pope Leo XIV may have spent most of his career between Peru and Italy, but he remains an American at heart.
Vatican Reveals Pope Leo’s Top Four Favorite Movies
The Chicago-born pontiff apparently has a love for American films.
trib.al
November 10, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Drop the Letterboxd account
Reposted by Peter Lewis
I am constantly struck by “total control” by the motels. It’s an incredible, deeply vulnerable, and shockingly intelligent pop anti-ballad. It takes the self-aware meta-commentary creepiness of “every breath you take” and underscores its patheticness.
November 9, 2025 at 3:22 AM
I am constantly struck by “total control” by the motels. It’s an incredible, deeply vulnerable, and shockingly intelligent pop anti-ballad. It takes the self-aware meta-commentary creepiness of “every breath you take” and underscores its patheticness.
Probably still the best Zappa cover
open.spotify.com/track/5S3pdR...
open.spotify.com/track/5S3pdR...
The Meek Shall Inherit Nothing
open.spotify.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Probably still the best Zappa cover
open.spotify.com/track/5S3pdR...
open.spotify.com/track/5S3pdR...
"Hollywood is no longer a place of ermine toilet-seat covers and flagrant sin"
[Lange Lewis, 1945]
[Lange Lewis, 1945]
November 10, 2025 at 11:43 AM
"Hollywood is no longer a place of ermine toilet-seat covers and flagrant sin"
[Lange Lewis, 1945]
[Lange Lewis, 1945]
Reposted by Peter Lewis
Guys this actually works
November 9, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Guys this actually works
Reposted by Peter Lewis
the title card for the 70s uk doc series 'arena' is the gold standard. set to "another green world" by eno. we just drift towards it, are you fucking kidding me
November 9, 2025 at 3:12 PM
the title card for the 70s uk doc series 'arena' is the gold standard. set to "another green world" by eno. we just drift towards it, are you fucking kidding me
Reposted by Peter Lewis
this is excellent maxread.substack.com/p/prediction...
Predictions markets and the suckerfication crisis
Why is Kalshi tweeting like UnusualWhales?
maxread.substack.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:09 PM
this is excellent maxread.substack.com/p/prediction...