Michael Caley
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michaelcaley.bsky.social
Michael Caley
@michaelcaley.bsky.social
I write the Expecting Goals newsletter (expectinggoals.com) and I'm gonna try to bring soccer analytics to bluesky. Let's see if it works. He/him.
Pinned
a new Expecting Goals newsletter!

a brand new team ratings system, Premier League power rankings, and all the details about how it works, why it works this way, and what I plan to do with it next
www.expectinggoals.com/p/expecting-...
Expecting Goals Premier League Team Ratings
A new method for evaluating soccer teams in the major European Leagues, and an opportunity to discover whether I am biased against your favorite team or not.
www.expectinggoals.com
Reposted by Michael Caley
Australia recorded ZERO cases of cervical cancer in women under 25 for the first time since they started tracking the cancer in the 80s.

This is the power of vaccines.

The HPV vaccine is extremely effective at preventing cancer.

Viruses can be oncogenic. Get your vaccines and protect yourself!
newsGP - Australia set for world-first cervical cancer elimination
Vaccination programs have played a key role, and GPs remain ‘instrumental’ in boosting screening rates to reach the 2035 target.
www1.racgp.org.au
November 27, 2025 at 3:45 AM
Reposted by Michael Caley
If I were Real Madrid I would pick a different player at one of my rivals every week to make a public announcement that I have no intention of signing him, he’s shit actually
November 28, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
if you steal a cell phone or wallet in paris they kick you out of the french thieve's guild for insufficient whimsy
November 27, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
Is this the only Spurs podcast I have listened to in the last however long or so? Yes. Will it be the only one until they get their heads out of their rear ends? Probably!
November 27, 2025 at 9:34 PM
new Thanksgiving @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social -- first up, tottenham in crisis www.patreon.com/posts/144500...
Tottenham in Crisis | The Double Pivot Podcast
Get more from The Double Pivot Podcast on Patreon
www.patreon.com
November 27, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
March 1, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Reposted by Michael Caley
THE RYAN LIZZA SAGA

Part 1: she's fucking Mark Sanford too

Part 2: [vomit]

Part 3: jet fuel can't melt steal beams
November 27, 2025 at 12:01 AM
it's funny to compare to soccer wages sometimes

this is £435k/wk

Cease is a 29 year old pitcher who has averaged 3.5 WAR the last four seasons (the most generous accounting possible for him)
BREAKING: The New York Post has learned Dylan Cease to Blue Jays. $210M, 7 years
November 26, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
Anyway, the world does not need another post dunking on Josh Barro. What it does need, is a word for the fallacy where you make up some weird stereotype about people, and then when it turns out they don't actually act that way, you think that's something strange about *them*.
November 26, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Arsenal's only shot from outside the penalty area was into an open net
November 26, 2025 at 10:03 PM
this is funny to me. I'm actually laughing
November 26, 2025 at 9:22 PM
see if this turns out but if Julie Menin is right that she's secured a supermajority on the Council for Speaker, it looks like nearly everyone outside the Progressive Caucus / everyone outside the "Commie Corridor" unified behind Menin www.crainsnewyork.com/politics-pol...
November 26, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
the people who ask this are essentially seed oil fearers
We occasionally get questions about whether we use AI.

Yes. Just like Bluesky. Just like the majority of software projects these days.

It's especially unrealistic to expect projects without serious funding to not use AI and try to compete.
November 26, 2025 at 3:11 PM
gotta say, the quote tweets to this post have me a little bit worried there actually is a meaningful, if thankfully small and toxically-online, trend of insane people who think there's a first-order ethical case to be made for telling your parents not to hug your kids
Ahh yes, a totally real trend for which we totally have evidence
www.theatlantic.com/family/2025/...
November 26, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
I think we can safely say that the Leavitt's brother called ICE on his ex, the mother of his child, and I have to say: I have no desire to respect, find common ground or share the country with these monsters.
“After Ferreira was detained, Dos Santos Rodrigues said Michael Leavitt Sr. and his father, Bob Leavitt, reached out to her.”

“‘They just kept saying, ‘Tell her to self-deport,’” she recalled. “Self-deport to where? Brazil is not her home.’” www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/26/m...
‘Brazil is not her home.’ Mother of Karoline Leavitt’s nephew, brought to US as child, detained by ICE. - The Boston Globe
Bruna Ferreira, 33, was brought to the United States as a child in 1998. She is now in removal proceedings in Louisiana.
www.bostonglobe.com
November 26, 2025 at 2:54 PM
November 26, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
August 21, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
People are calling my lede here "appalling," "nightmare fuel," "actively evil," and "a desecration of the human spirit"
The Olivia Nuzzi and RFK Jr. Affair Is Messier Than We Ever Could Have Imagined
Inside the most important, and also least important, story of our time
www.theringer.com
November 25, 2025 at 11:16 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
Oceans would never stop being battlefields if I were in charge
If you were a despotic president, what movie would you force Hollywood to make? I want to see Quentin's Star Trek movie or maybe Kill Bill Vol 3.
November 25, 2025 at 8:56 PM
the Trump admin is transparently and oafishly corrupt, and FIFA is never more comfortable than when engaging with oafishly corrupt state actors

the problem for Trump and FIFA is that the US still has *some* rule of law and their corruption is so oafish www.nytimes.com/athletic/683...
Why FIFA’s 2026 World Cup draw is at the heart of a Kennedy Center controversy
How much FIFA has paid to host the 2026 World Cup draw at the Washington, D.C. performing arts venue is under scrutiny
www.nytimes.com
November 25, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
We’re accepting applications for our (paid! remote!) summer internship! professors who follow me please share with any students interested in writing
Would You Like To Be Defector’s Sixth-Ever Editorial Intern? | Defector
Big news: Defector is looking to hire editorial interns for the summer of 2026. Wow! That could be you! How could it be you? I am here to answer that question, and many more. What will a Defector inte...
defector.com
November 25, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
there's an old stereotype of china as outcompeting america because of masses of cheap labor. but as michael pettis puts it, contemporary chinese firms don't act as if labor is free. they act as if capital is free
“Yang Jiemin, VP of the state-owned company behind the port, said its highly automated operations require 60% fewer workers than traditional ports. It underscores one advantage Chinese companies have in deploying AI versus the U.S.: no independent labor unions.” www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-r... (🎁🔗)
Robots and AI Are Already Remaking the Chinese Economy
China’s factories and ports are learning to make and export more goods faster, cheaper and with fewer workers.
www.wsj.com
November 25, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Reposted by Michael Caley
she's real and she's my friend
November 25, 2025 at 2:30 PM
hey @jccoltin.bsky.social this website is full of freaks who love sharing links to stories when you publish them come hang out (and you can just block all the annoying people)
everyone please join me in celebrating @jccoltin.bsky.social and also let’s bully him into using this website more (respectfully)
November 25, 2025 at 2:17 PM
I've been confused why Republicans have been going on tv and saying they want to go to war for oil in Venezuela because

1) it makes objectively zero sense
2) these are psychotic anticommunist freaks who obviously want to go to war for ideological reasons

but I found the explanation!
Rep. Salazar on Venezuela: "We're about to go in ... we need to go in ... Venezuela for the American oil companies will be a field day"
November 25, 2025 at 1:58 PM