Olivier Simard-Casanova
@o.simardcasanova.net
· Economist @univlorraine.bsky.social, en français and in English
· I study how humans influence each other in organizations, at work, in scientific communities, and online #Rstats
· He/Him 🏳️🌈
🌐 https://o.simardcasanova.net
📍 Nancy, Lorraine, France 🇪🇺
· I study how humans influence each other in organizations, at work, in scientific communities, and online #Rstats
· He/Him 🏳️🌈
🌐 https://o.simardcasanova.net
📍 Nancy, Lorraine, France 🇪🇺
Pinned
A second shot at a PhD
I have an unexpected and exciting professional news to share
o.simardcasanova.net
Despite having completed 90% of the manuscript, I was never able to defend my PhD
It's definitely unexpected, but I'm thrilled to announce that I have restarted working on a PhD
You can read about what happened and my plans on my newsletter: o.simardcasanova.net/p/8e29c3...
#EconSky
It's definitely unexpected, but I'm thrilled to announce that I have restarted working on a PhD
You can read about what happened and my plans on my newsletter: o.simardcasanova.net/p/8e29c3...
#EconSky
The constant escalation by the Trump administration combined with its inability to violently suppress protests will, I suspect, lead to an uprising similar to Euromaidan and the subsequent Revolution of Dignity in Ukraine
January 24, 2026 at 10:29 PM
The constant escalation by the Trump administration combined with its inability to violently suppress protests will, I suspect, lead to an uprising similar to Euromaidan and the subsequent Revolution of Dignity in Ukraine
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
I've been saying this since "Operation Midway Blitz" but the thing that has struck me most in the past six months is the willingness of ordinary liberal Americans - the sort of people who would previously have stuff envelopes or canvassed for elections - embracing civil disobedience and protest
January 24, 2026 at 8:44 PM
I've been saying this since "Operation Midway Blitz" but the thing that has struck me most in the past six months is the willingness of ordinary liberal Americans - the sort of people who would previously have stuff envelopes or canvassed for elections - embracing civil disobedience and protest
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
In my view, repression at home and thuggery abroad - most recently Greenland - are two sides of the same coin. Both reflect the worldview of people who think violence, power, threat and coercion are all that's required to push your agenda through & secure your interests.
January 24, 2026 at 8:44 PM
In my view, repression at home and thuggery abroad - most recently Greenland - are two sides of the same coin. Both reflect the worldview of people who think violence, power, threat and coercion are all that's required to push your agenda through & secure your interests.
We have apparently reached the stage where the US government regularly summarily executes its opponents
Federal law enforcement agents shot and killed a man in Minneapolis on Jan. 24 according to local police officials. DHS told Fox News that the man was “armed with a gun”. A video of the shooting appears to show that a gun was taken from the man before the first shot was fired. x.com/BillMelugin_...
January 24, 2026 at 9:02 PM
We have apparently reached the stage where the US government regularly summarily executes its opponents
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Envie de crever.
Pour rappel :
Concernant la guerre en Ukraine, Grokipedia utilise les déclarations du Kremlin comme source fiable sur les causes de la guerre et l'état du front.
Comment vous dire que les autres sujets sont pas mieux traités.
Pour rappel :
Concernant la guerre en Ukraine, Grokipedia utilise les déclarations du Kremlin comme source fiable sur les causes de la guerre et l'état du front.
Comment vous dire que les autres sujets sont pas mieux traités.
January 24, 2026 at 4:20 PM
Envie de crever.
Pour rappel :
Concernant la guerre en Ukraine, Grokipedia utilise les déclarations du Kremlin comme source fiable sur les causes de la guerre et l'état du front.
Comment vous dire que les autres sujets sont pas mieux traités.
Pour rappel :
Concernant la guerre en Ukraine, Grokipedia utilise les déclarations du Kremlin comme source fiable sur les causes de la guerre et l'état du front.
Comment vous dire que les autres sujets sont pas mieux traités.
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
this is absolutely a banger, and very much worth reading
www.programmablemutter.com/p/davos-is-a... If I can say so myself, this is a bit of a banger.
Davos is a rational ritual
How Europe and Carney disrupted Trump's ceremony of self-anointment
www.programmablemutter.com
January 24, 2026 at 6:26 PM
this is absolutely a banger, and very much worth reading
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
ATMÖSFEAR
strong feeling that folks should say "Atmosphere" w/o capitalizing the T
January 24, 2026 at 1:36 PM
ATMÖSFEAR
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Just leaving this here.
January 24, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Just leaving this here.
Hard to believe that pre-Trump trust levels will ever come back
"Do you believe (X) is a threat to Canada?"
🇺🇸 USA:
🔴 Threat: 71%
🟢 Not A Threat: 16%
🟡 Neutral: 13%
🇷🇺 Russia:
🔴 Threat: 61%
🟡 Neutral: 24%
🟢 Not A Threat: 14%
🇨🇳 China:
🔴 Threat: 60%
🟢 Not A Threat: 21%
🟡 Neutral: 19%
Nanos / Nov 2, 2025 - (Released Today)
🇺🇸 USA:
🔴 Threat: 71%
🟢 Not A Threat: 16%
🟡 Neutral: 13%
🇷🇺 Russia:
🔴 Threat: 61%
🟡 Neutral: 24%
🟢 Not A Threat: 14%
🇨🇳 China:
🔴 Threat: 60%
🟢 Not A Threat: 21%
🟡 Neutral: 19%
Nanos / Nov 2, 2025 - (Released Today)
January 24, 2026 at 9:02 AM
Hard to believe that pre-Trump trust levels will ever come back
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
For example, when polls show that by a 70-30 margin people think ICE's use of force is too extreme, this is what that looks like in real life.
January 24, 2026 at 2:20 AM
For example, when polls show that by a 70-30 margin people think ICE's use of force is too extreme, this is what that looks like in real life.
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Proud to have helped create @standard.site along side @leaflet.pub (@awarm.space) and @pckt.blog (@brookie.blog). The protocol is better because of the people building on it and using it every day! 🚀
January 24, 2026 at 2:52 AM
Proud to have helped create @standard.site along side @leaflet.pub (@awarm.space) and @pckt.blog (@brookie.blog). The protocol is better because of the people building on it and using it every day! 🚀
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Leaflet is on @standard.site!
A big joint effort — and we're finishing a big migration to get Leaflet records standard-site-ified :) Log in to Leaflet & you'll be migrated automatically.
Read this post for details, and let us know any q's.
Social publishing. Atmospheric publishing. Together!
A big joint effort — and we're finishing a big migration to get Leaflet records standard-site-ified :) Log in to Leaflet & you'll be migrated automatically.
Read this post for details, and let us know any q's.
Social publishing. Atmospheric publishing. Together!
Leaflet, standard.site, and open social publishing!
Lab Notes 021: launching a set of shared standards for social publishing, migrating Leaflet to use these new lexicons, and how we plan to grow publishing × open social together!
lab.leaflet.pub
January 23, 2026 at 10:29 PM
Leaflet is on @standard.site!
A big joint effort — and we're finishing a big migration to get Leaflet records standard-site-ified :) Log in to Leaflet & you'll be migrated automatically.
Read this post for details, and let us know any q's.
Social publishing. Atmospheric publishing. Together!
A big joint effort — and we're finishing a big migration to get Leaflet records standard-site-ified :) Log in to Leaflet & you'll be migrated automatically.
Read this post for details, and let us know any q's.
Social publishing. Atmospheric publishing. Together!
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
one change in 1.115 that's *not* a bug fix is that @bluecast.app is now available as an option for everyone for the Go Live beta 📡
January 23, 2026 at 8:55 PM
one change in 1.115 that's *not* a bug fix is that @bluecast.app is now available as an option for everyone for the Go Live beta 📡
I'm curious to see if private data on AT Protocol will turn the protocol into a “universal sync backend”, i.e., multiple apps could access the same private data in ways that were not possible before
January 23, 2026 at 9:53 PM
I'm curious to see if private data on AT Protocol will turn the protocol into a “universal sync backend”, i.e., multiple apps could access the same private data in ways that were not possible before
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
@leaflet.pub backlinks on the @semble.so page are 🔥
Am putting together an "AI Agents in the ATmosphere" collection and immediately found some useful pubs to add!
Will be shipping this soon once we improve the performance a bit.
Am putting together an "AI Agents in the ATmosphere" collection and immediately found some useful pubs to add!
Will be shipping this soon once we improve the performance a bit.
January 23, 2026 at 6:16 PM
@leaflet.pub backlinks on the @semble.so page are 🔥
Am putting together an "AI Agents in the ATmosphere" collection and immediately found some useful pubs to add!
Will be shipping this soon once we improve the performance a bit.
Am putting together an "AI Agents in the ATmosphere" collection and immediately found some useful pubs to add!
Will be shipping this soon once we improve the performance a bit.
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
1.115 of @bsky.app is here with bug fixes
"Next release is gonna be a banger tho :)"
drafts I'm guessing... maybe something more as well? 👀
although drafts by itself will be pretty sweet
"Next release is gonna be a banger tho :)"
drafts I'm guessing... maybe something more as well? 👀
although drafts by itself will be pretty sweet
January 23, 2026 at 8:50 PM
1.115 of @bsky.app is here with bug fixes
"Next release is gonna be a banger tho :)"
drafts I'm guessing... maybe something more as well? 👀
although drafts by itself will be pretty sweet
"Next release is gonna be a banger tho :)"
drafts I'm guessing... maybe something more as well? 👀
although drafts by itself will be pretty sweet
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
I don't think even American liberals and anti-Trump conservatives really understand how much work Trump's successors in Washington will need to do to restore European trust in the United States
January 23, 2026 at 6:22 PM
I don't think even American liberals and anti-Trump conservatives really understand how much work Trump's successors in Washington will need to do to restore European trust in the United States
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Mark Carney's use of the word "rupture" was in the context of mid-sized powers stopping to pretend they believe in a "rules-based world order"—they are taking down the signs from the windows. That cannot be a gradual transition, and thus the word rupture is appropriate.
Got to read the whole text as @ldfreedman.bsky.social kindly sent it to me (thank you!).
I agree with a lot, especially that Europe is capable of standing up to Trump and defending itself.
However, I still disagree that this is just continuation of a longer transition and rebalancing.
I agree with a lot, especially that Europe is capable of standing up to Trump and defending itself.
However, I still disagree that this is just continuation of a longer transition and rebalancing.
Read only as far as it went before paywall, so don’t know how the text concludes. But no, it’s not only a rebalancing of the relationship.
Americans ignore it at their peril that Europe has been fooled twice, and the shame is on us. We were willing to forgive and move on after Trump 1, but not now.
Americans ignore it at their peril that Europe has been fooled twice, and the shame is on us. We were willing to forgive and move on after Trump 1, but not now.
January 23, 2026 at 7:48 PM
Mark Carney's use of the word "rupture" was in the context of mid-sized powers stopping to pretend they believe in a "rules-based world order"—they are taking down the signs from the windows. That cannot be a gradual transition, and thus the word rupture is appropriate.
I'm finally giving Claude Code a try and oh boy this thing is genuinely impressive
January 23, 2026 at 8:38 PM
I'm finally giving Claude Code a try and oh boy this thing is genuinely impressive
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Books, videos, research, code, and more.
Whatever you’re in the mood for - you can now filter by media type!
Try it out: semble.so/explore
Whatever you’re in the mood for - you can now filter by media type!
Try it out: semble.so/explore
January 23, 2026 at 3:28 PM
Books, videos, research, code, and more.
Whatever you’re in the mood for - you can now filter by media type!
Try it out: semble.so/explore
Whatever you’re in the mood for - you can now filter by media type!
Try it out: semble.so/explore
Among some American circles circulated the idea that Europeans would not fight militarily a US invasion of Greenland
To the surprise of no one with even an ounce of knowledge of European politics, it turns out that this idea was mostly vibes detached from reality
To the surprise of no one with even an ounce of knowledge of European politics, it turns out that this idea was mostly vibes detached from reality
1/ Denmark was preparing to fight the United States over Greenland, according to Scandinavian news reports. Around 1,000 Danish troops and a frigate with anti-ship and anti-aircraft capabilities are being sent to Greenland, with standing orders to fight invading forces. ⬇️
January 23, 2026 at 1:28 PM
Among some American circles circulated the idea that Europeans would not fight militarily a US invasion of Greenland
To the surprise of no one with even an ounce of knowledge of European politics, it turns out that this idea was mostly vibes detached from reality
To the surprise of no one with even an ounce of knowledge of European politics, it turns out that this idea was mostly vibes detached from reality
So this is where the jet skiing in Windsor jokes in my feed came from
January 23, 2026 at 1:22 PM
So this is where the jet skiing in Windsor jokes in my feed came from
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
3/4s of Europeans want to ban Grok
Eurobazooka : les trois-quarts des Européens pensent que Grok, l’assistant IA du réseau social d’Elon Musk, devrait être interdit dans l’Union
Eurobazooka : 74 % des Européens veulent interdire Grok, l'IA du réseau social d'Elon Musk
L’assistant du réseau social X (ex-Twitter), racheté par Elon Musk à l’automne 2022, a fait l’objet de plusieurs signalements ces derniers mois pour avoir généré des images pédopornographiques et diffusé du contenu négationniste. Selon notre sondage exclusif Eurobazooka publié aujourd’hui, vendredi 23 janvier, 74 % des Européens sont favorables à son interdiction sur le territoire de l’Union.
legrandcontinent.eu
January 23, 2026 at 12:20 PM
3/4s of Europeans want to ban Grok
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
don't be fooled by previous spikes. this is significant. it is reversing a one-year downward trend, a dynamic that is really hard to change, and apart from the initial invite-only stage, there has only been a single other four-week growth streak in weekly posting users
January 23, 2026 at 9:30 AM
don't be fooled by previous spikes. this is significant. it is reversing a one-year downward trend, a dynamic that is really hard to change, and apart from the initial invite-only stage, there has only been a single other four-week growth streak in weekly posting users
Reposted by Olivier Simard-Casanova
Farcaster raised $180m over 5 years and has 250,000 MAUs in December 2025 — the founders shared on X that they are returning all the remaining $180m to investors
Bluesky PBC raised around $23m and has ~6 million MAUs currently
Bluesky PBC raised around $23m and has ~6 million MAUs currently
Farcaster and Lens Protocol creators both announced this week that their protocols are being “acquired/transitioning”. Both projects failed to ever find meaningful adoption outside the DeFi, crypto, degen communities and ultimately morphed into casinos.
ATmosphere reigns supreme.
ATmosphere reigns supreme.
Farcaster selling out to Neynar, who did API services on Farcaster.
Neynar seem like decent guys who will have a good understanding of what "open" means. The first test will whether they open-source the client.
Neynar seem like decent guys who will have a good understanding of what "open" means. The first test will whether they open-source the client.
January 23, 2026 at 12:41 PM
Farcaster raised $180m over 5 years and has 250,000 MAUs in December 2025 — the founders shared on X that they are returning all the remaining $180m to investors
Bluesky PBC raised around $23m and has ~6 million MAUs currently
Bluesky PBC raised around $23m and has ~6 million MAUs currently