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Polling Canada

@canadianpolling.bsky.social

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Your Canadian Public Aggregator For Polling, Data, and Other Related Canadian Content // 338Canada Contributor // Consider Supporting: http://ko-fi.com/polling 🇨🇦🇺🇦

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 24d

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✉️ Reach out to me here: cfpolling(@)gmail(dot)com

Polling Canada | Curtis Fric | Substack

Substack for Canada's largest, independent polling aggregator. Click to read Polling Canada, by Curtis Fric, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.

canadianpolling.substack.com

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 1d

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Newfoundland & Labrador Provincial Polling:

LIB: 43% (-5)
PC: 40% (+1)
NDP: 13% (+5)
Others: 3%

MQO / Oct 7, 2025 / n=435 / Telephone/Online

(% Change with 2021 Election)

Check out more NL details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/nl

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 1d

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Newfoundland & Labrador Provincial Polling:

LIB: 52% (+4)
PC: 32% (-7)
NDP: 13% (+5)
Others: 3%

Mainstreet / Oct 10, 2025 / n=987 / MOE 3% / IVR

(% Change with 2021 Election)

Check out more NL details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/nl

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 1d

Report: cardinalresearch.ca?research=new...

Newfoundland & Labrador Oct 2025 - Cardinal Research

Here are the key takeaways from our Newfoundland & Labrador survey

cardinalresearch.ca

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 1d

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Newfoundland & Labrador Provincial Polling:

LIB: 49% (+1)
PC: 41% (+2)
NDP: 8% (-)
Others: 2%

Cardinal / Oct 10, 2025 / n=376 / MOE 4.9% / IVR

(% Change with 2021 Election)

Check out more NL details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/nl

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Reposted by Polling Canada

Cardinal Research @cardinalresearch.bsky.social · 1d

We surveyed Newfoundland and Labrador residents and found the Liberals still hold a comfortable lead in the province

🔴 Liberals: 49%
🔵 Prog. Conservatives: 41%
🟠 New Democrats: 8%
⚪️ Others: 2%

Full report here: cardinalresearch.ca?research=new...

Newfoundland & Labrador Oct 2025 - Cardinal Research

Here are the key takeaways from our Newfoundland & Labrador survey

cardinalresearch.ca

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 1d

Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 172 (+3)
🔵 CPC: 134 (-10)
⚜️ BQ: 24 (+2)
🟠 NDP: 11 (+4)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- October 11, 2025 -

Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Liberals Fall To The Majority Line

As the polls narrow, the Liberals reach their lowest seat share in the model since the election

open.substack.com

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 2d

Support For Recognizing A Palestinian State:

Support: 50%
Oppose: 23%

Unsure: 27%

Leger / Oct 5, 2025 / n=1562 / Online

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 2d

"When it comes to Covid vaccinations, provinces and territories should..."

Provide vaccinations for free: 59%

Provide vaccinations for free to high risk residents only: 27%

All residents should have to pay for vaccinations: 11%

Nanos / Oct 1, 2025 / n=1502 / Telephone/Online

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 2d

"Donald Trump's comments about Canada becoming the US' 51st state have strengthened my Canadian pride and my belief that Canada must maintain its independence"

🟢 Agree: 72%
🟡 Neutral: 19%
⚫️ Disagree: 9%

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Canadians Firmly Reject Idea of American Statehood

Support for American statehood remains low across all age groups, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

open.substack.com

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 2d

Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 180 (+11)
🔵 CPC: 130 (-14)
⚜️ BQ: 21 (-1)
🟠 NDP: 11 (+4)
🟢 GPC: 1 (-)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- October 5, 2025 -

Full model article here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

A Slow Climb For The Conservatives

New polling suggests the Conservatives are regaining ground in the polls, yet remain behind their Liberal rivals

open.substack.com

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3d

Those who agree - "If the US offered all Canadians full US citizenship and a full conversion of the Canadian dollar/personal assets into US dollars, I would vote to become part of the US"

🟢 All: 16%

🟢 Boomers: 6%
🟢 Zoomers: 24%

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Canadians Firmly Reject Idea of American Statehood

Support for American statehood remains low across all age groups, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

open.substack.com

6 4 24

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3d

"Do you think there is a connection between childhood vaccines for measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) and autism?"

No: 45%
Yes: 35%

Unsure: 20%

Research Co. / Sept 12, 2025 / n=1003 / Online

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3d

"Which is closer to your point of view when it comes to vaccinations and childhood disease?"

Vaccinations for children should be mandatory: 72%

Parents should be the ones deciding whether their children should be vaccinated: 23%

Research Co. / Sept 12, 2025 / n=1003 / Online

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3d

"If the US offered all Canadians full US citizenship and a full conversion of the Canadian dollar/personal assets into US dollars, I would vote to become part of the US"

⚫️ Disagree: 67%
🟡 Neutral: 17%
🟢 Agree: 16%

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Canadians Firmly Reject Idea of American Statehood

Support for American statehood remains low across all age groups, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

open.substack.com

6 10 37

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 3d

Those who agree - "I would never vote for Canada to become part of the United States"

🟢 All: 79%

🟢 Women: 81%
🟢 Men: 76%

🟢 Boomers: 93%
🟢 Zoomers: 74%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/canadians-...

Canadians Firmly Reject Idea of American Statehood

Support for American statehood remains low across all age groups, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

canadianpolling.substack.com

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

Preventing transgender people from taking part in organized sports among their own gender: +1%

Nanos / Oct 1, 2025 / n=1052 / MOE 3% / Telephone/Online

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

Net-Support For Using The Notwithstanding Clause For:

Requiring schools to notify parents when their child wants to go by a new name/pronoun: +12%

Preventing those under 16 who are transgender from having hormone therapy: +6%

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

Should be allowed to be used as many times as they want: 21%

Nanos / Oct 1, 2025 / n=1052 / MOE 3% / Telephone/Online

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

"Which of the following paths forward for the notwithstanding clause do you most agree with?"

Should only be allowed to use the clause once to override a right for 5 years: 33%

Should not be allowed to be used at all: 32%

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

Mark Carney Job Approval:

Approve: 47% (-6)
Disapprove: 41% (+4)

Leger / October 5, 2025 / n=1562 / Online

(% Change With Sept 7, 2025)

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 3% (+2)
Others: 2%

Leger / October 5, 2025 / n=1308 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

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Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

"I would never vote for Canada to become part of the United States"

🟢 Agree: 79%
🟡 Neutral: 12%
⚫️ Disagree: 9%

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Canadians Firmly Reject Idea of American Statehood

Support for American statehood remains low across all age groups, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

open.substack.com

6 11 47

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 4d

American statehood?

The vast majority of Canadians say no, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

Read it here: open.substack.com/pub/canadian...

Canadians Firmly Reject Idea of American Statehood

Support for American statehood remains low across all age groups, even in more conservative provinces like Alberta

open.substack.com

2 11 45

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 5d

Any number of combos

Don't like Poilievre + Still hate Liberals more

Like Carney personally + Don't like his government/Party

Like Carney + Want a change in government

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 5d

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 49% (-1)
Poilievre: 29% (-)
Davies: 3% (-)
May: 3% (-)
Blanchet: 2% (-)
Bernier: 1% (-)

Unsure: 13%

Nanos / October 3, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With September 26, 2025)

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