Kristine Rudolph
@kristinerudolph.bsky.social
J.D. with a past life working in politics and fundraising. I write - novels for middle graders and various other projects. Mom to 3 in the deep blue part of Georgia.
https://linktr.ee/kristinerudolph
https://linktr.ee/kristinerudolph
Pinned
The Twin Stars and the Soccer Superstar
Perfect for fans of Laurie Morrison and Jenn Bishop, this lively middle-grade mystery follows a vibrant group of teens and tweens navigating grief,...
www.simonandschuster.com
Super excited that my middle grade debut is now Simon & Schuster official!
#kidlit #MG #fiction
www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Tw...
#kidlit #MG #fiction
www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Tw...
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Republican Matt Van Epps projected to win special election in TN-07 despite MASSIVE Democratic overperformance from Aftyn Behn
December 3, 2025 at 2:23 AM
Republican Matt Van Epps projected to win special election in TN-07 despite MASSIVE Democratic overperformance from Aftyn Behn
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Looks like Travis Rush, who is Black, has been elected Mayor of Americus, defeating former mayor Barry Blount, who is white. Margin is 14%. Current mayor Lee Kinnamon, who is white, did not seek reelection.
Unofficial and incomplete election results for Americus - Americus Times-Recorder
Includes election day voting, advanced voting, and absentee voting: Mayor of Americus runoff candidates:Barry Blount: 918 votesTravis M. Rush: 1,221 votes Americus Councilmember District 5 runoff cand...
americustimesrecorder.com
December 3, 2025 at 2:31 AM
Looks like Travis Rush, who is Black, has been elected Mayor of Americus, defeating former mayor Barry Blount, who is white. Margin is 14%. Current mayor Lee Kinnamon, who is white, did not seek reelection.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
A +14 shift to the Dems in a very red district applied nationwide next year means a solidly blue House and a chance to retake the Senate against an extremely unfavorable map.
December 3, 2025 at 2:30 AM
A +14 shift to the Dems in a very red district applied nationwide next year means a solidly blue House and a chance to retake the Senate against an extremely unfavorable map.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Even with billionaire lucre and a tainted information environment, the MAGA coalition simply doesn’t have the money or people to defend against a swing of this magnitude. And they know so.
A razor close finish in _this_ Tennessee district, of all places, is a God-awful night for the GOP. Don’t let anyone persuade you otherwise.
GOOD GRIEF.
December 3, 2025 at 2:03 AM
Even with billionaire lucre and a tainted information environment, the MAGA coalition simply doesn’t have the money or people to defend against a swing of this magnitude. And they know so.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
a) run candidates in every damned district.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
December 3, 2025 at 2:21 AM
a) run candidates in every damned district.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
This is the right take. Apocalyptic rural numbers that probably means the senate is 100% in play.
yeah if these are the kinds of political swings we're getting in Trump country the Republicans are beyond screwed for the midterms
December 3, 2025 at 2:19 AM
This is the right take. Apocalyptic rural numbers that probably means the senate is 100% in play.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
But this is also apocalyptic for the GOP. Obama era rural numbers with modern era suburban numbers.
December 3, 2025 at 2:21 AM
But this is also apocalyptic for the GOP. Obama era rural numbers with modern era suburban numbers.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
To reiterate, we’re talking a D+19 shift in TENNESSEE, a state which Trump won by almost 30 points A YEAR AGO
(last year Trump won CD-07 by 22 points and scandal-plagued Mark Green won CD-07 by 21.5 points)
(last year Trump won CD-07 by 22 points and scandal-plagued Mark Green won CD-07 by 21.5 points)
Ds don't seem to be getting what they need out of Nashville. But if the margin lands at R+3, that's a D+19 shift from 2024 -- we're not talking a wave, we're talking tsunami
again @gelliottmorris.com says behn still has a chance but damn 3 points in this district is 🦇💩
December 3, 2025 at 2:22 AM
To reiterate, we’re talking a D+19 shift in TENNESSEE, a state which Trump won by almost 30 points A YEAR AGO
(last year Trump won CD-07 by 22 points and scandal-plagued Mark Green won CD-07 by 21.5 points)
(last year Trump won CD-07 by 22 points and scandal-plagued Mark Green won CD-07 by 21.5 points)
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
political scientists are calling it "thermostatic as hell"
Ds don't seem to be getting what they need out of Nashville. But if the margin lands at R+3, that's a D+19 shift from 2024 -- we're not talking a wave, we're talking tsunami
again @gelliottmorris.com says behn still has a chance but damn 3 points in this district is 🦇💩
December 3, 2025 at 2:00 AM
political scientists are calling it "thermostatic as hell"
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
The fact that there's been some actual election night suspense on how Tennessee ends is going to be enough to trigger those cold sweats among House Republicans.
And Dems will likely get to point to another (admittedly way smaller!) flip, stay tuned for that.
And Dems will likely get to point to another (admittedly way smaller!) flip, stay tuned for that.
December 3, 2025 at 2:05 AM
The fact that there's been some actual election night suspense on how Tennessee ends is going to be enough to trigger those cold sweats among House Republicans.
And Dems will likely get to point to another (admittedly way smaller!) flip, stay tuned for that.
And Dems will likely get to point to another (admittedly way smaller!) flip, stay tuned for that.
Tattoo it on my forehead.
If Dems are competitive in a ruby red district in Tennessee and the response is anything but damn this Trump shit is unpopular I don’t know what to tell you
December 3, 2025 at 2:09 AM
Tattoo it on my forehead.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
6 days from the Texas candidate filing deadline, and somehow it's still crickets from the Supreme Court. We're now 11 days after Alito issued the administrative stay on the lower court order.
December 2, 2025 at 11:02 PM
6 days from the Texas candidate filing deadline, and somehow it's still crickets from the Supreme Court. We're now 11 days after Alito issued the administrative stay on the lower court order.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
First counties that are done in TN:
—Wayne: Van Epps wins it by 70%. (Green had won it by 74%.)
—Decatur: Van Epps wins it by 65%. (It was Green by 65%.)
—Perry: Van Epps (R) wins it by 55%. (It was Green by 63%.)
Early vote was much less red in each. This is really not enough for Dems.
—Wayne: Van Epps wins it by 70%. (Green had won it by 74%.)
—Decatur: Van Epps wins it by 65%. (It was Green by 65%.)
—Perry: Van Epps (R) wins it by 55%. (It was Green by 63%.)
Early vote was much less red in each. This is really not enough for Dems.
December 3, 2025 at 2:01 AM
First counties that are done in TN:
—Wayne: Van Epps wins it by 70%. (Green had won it by 74%.)
—Decatur: Van Epps wins it by 65%. (It was Green by 65%.)
—Perry: Van Epps (R) wins it by 55%. (It was Green by 63%.)
Early vote was much less red in each. This is really not enough for Dems.
—Wayne: Van Epps wins it by 70%. (Green had won it by 74%.)
—Decatur: Van Epps wins it by 65%. (It was Green by 65%.)
—Perry: Van Epps (R) wins it by 55%. (It was Green by 63%.)
Early vote was much less red in each. This is really not enough for Dems.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
In Davidson County, no Election Day vote has been reported. In Williamson, only four of 10 precincts have come in. #TennesseeCD7
December 3, 2025 at 2:03 AM
In Davidson County, no Election Day vote has been reported. In Williamson, only four of 10 precincts have come in. #TennesseeCD7
One of the eye-poppers from #TN7 is Behn's showing in Montgomery County and I just want to shout out the people who started working hard there to right the ship after Trump 1.0. This is the fruit of their labor.
December 3, 2025 at 2:02 AM
One of the eye-poppers from #TN7 is Behn's showing in Montgomery County and I just want to shout out the people who started working hard there to right the ship after Trump 1.0. This is the fruit of their labor.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
republicans who think you have a safe seat: no you don’t
December 3, 2025 at 1:45 AM
republicans who think you have a safe seat: no you don’t
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
To use one of my mom's expressions, it's tighter than Dick's hatband:
December 3, 2025 at 1:55 AM
To use one of my mom's expressions, it's tighter than Dick's hatband:
My eyes are rolling out of my damn head.
Turned on CNN and their Republican pundit just explained how really the results in TN show that Democrats should have won a moderate Democrat.
December 3, 2025 at 1:57 AM
My eyes are rolling out of my damn head.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
the avg special swing for special elections in the 2026 cycle is 13 points to the left, according to The Downballot -- so we are seeing an above average shift here in TN-07, even with Trump's late intervention docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
docs.google.com
December 3, 2025 at 1:54 AM
the avg special swing for special elections in the 2026 cycle is 13 points to the left, according to The Downballot -- so we are seeing an above average shift here in TN-07, even with Trump's late intervention docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Ds don't seem to be getting what they need out of Nashville. But if the margin lands at R+3, that's a D+19 shift from 2024 -- we're not talking a wave, we're talking tsunami
again @gelliottmorris.com says behn still has a chance but damn 3 points in this district is 🦇💩
December 3, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Ds don't seem to be getting what they need out of Nashville. But if the margin lands at R+3, that's a D+19 shift from 2024 -- we're not talking a wave, we're talking tsunami
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
man. the shit these people are willing to say with the cameras rolling leaves me speechless. i more or less grew up during the Bush Era where we all knew this is what they MEANT but they had to cleverly veneer it with Compassionate Conservativism and find figureheads that could convincingly sell it
Rollins: Joe Biden increased food stamp program funding by 40%. Now… we continue to roll that back… Just gratitude and joy for this work. So, so grateful to you.
December 2, 2025 at 10:07 PM
man. the shit these people are willing to say with the cameras rolling leaves me speechless. i more or less grew up during the Bush Era where we all knew this is what they MEANT but they had to cleverly veneer it with Compassionate Conservativism and find figureheads that could convincingly sell it
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Deputy editor of inside elections 👀
December 3, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Deputy editor of inside elections 👀
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
Important context: The Election Day vote in Tennessee has, in recent cycles, been a lot redder than the early vote. We're talking quite a jump.
In 2024, Harris got roughly 65% of the early/mail vote in Nashville/Davidson County & 55% of the Election Day vote.
In 2024, Harris got roughly 65% of the early/mail vote in Nashville/Davidson County & 55% of the Election Day vote.
December 3, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Important context: The Election Day vote in Tennessee has, in recent cycles, been a lot redder than the early vote. We're talking quite a jump.
In 2024, Harris got roughly 65% of the early/mail vote in Nashville/Davidson County & 55% of the Election Day vote.
In 2024, Harris got roughly 65% of the early/mail vote in Nashville/Davidson County & 55% of the Election Day vote.
Reposted by Kristine Rudolph
