Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
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haydonmp.bsky.social
Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
@haydonmp.bsky.social
Dad, husband, double hoo.

10+ years as a fire/medic, published neuro/stroke clinical researcher, public and foreign policy degrees. Occasional woodworking posts.

Opinions my own, especially when they're wrong. Reposts are not endorsements.
Pinned
This thread escaped containment and I would like to use this as an opportunity to address some misconceptions about stroke as a disease and recovery thereof I noticed in the replies.

I'm going to use an example from my career where I was so glad to be so wrong about a patient's prognosis.
I am not saying that a stroke like this is disqualifying for the office of the presidency, not at all. Neuro recovery is a remarkable and individual thing.

But like, it is very clearly what's going on here.
He does have the look of a man whose soul has been torn asunder. Ya know?
I find Rubio to be one of the most despicable of the Trump officials, precisely because I don’t think he’s a sociopath; I think he has the moral intuition to realize that what he is doing is unconscionable
November 29, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Missed this international relations mad libs the other day.
Epstein and Alan Dershowitz collaborated on smear campaigns against Mearsheimer, Walt, and an underage assault victim

"Details of Epstein’s role in the backlash to the “Israel Lobby” paper come from a trove of emails obtained by the non-profit whistleblower organization @ddosecrets.com."
Jeffrey Epstein Aided Alan Dershowitz’s Attack on Mearsheimer and Walt’s “Israel Lobby”
Epstein and Alan Dershowitz collaborated on smear campaigns against Mearsheimer, Walt, and an underage assault victim making allegations against Epstein—in the same week.
www.dropsitenews.com
November 29, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Thomas Massie now openly accusing the regime of threatening investigations into *his* staff if they don’t play ball on the Epstein stuff.

Another data point for “coalition fracturing”.

The regime is using coercive resources on enforcing intraparty loyalty with diminishing returns.
MASSIVE: Massie Says FBI Official Linked to Kash Patel Threatened His Staff
TikTok video by Tony Michaels
www.tiktok.com
November 29, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Taking this essay on its own terms you still run into a lot of theological problems.

Dividing the image of God by sex rather than both male and female together are created in God’s images, equating current gender norms with God’s design, over narrow reading of “ezer kenegdo”…
Turning Point at OU posted this girl's essay in full and man is it rough
November 29, 2025 at 4:48 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Dr. Prasad send an email to CBER suggesting changes to the approval for respiratory vaccines based, apparently, on the conclusion of an unpublished investigation into VAERS report by unknown people. A few thoughts beyond what was already reported, based on the full email: 1/n
November 29, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Hey IR and CP Folks, what is a good venue for policy essay on Venezuelan civil-military relations?

Specifically, one explaining the current and pre-Chavez civ-mil status quo to argue that Venezuela needs a different paradigm for democratic stability.

Thanks!
November 28, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
What's so striking - pardon the pun - is that apparently JSOC/ST6 ran this hit

yet, when you hear Podcast SEALs drone - pardon again! - on and on and on about 'kinetic ops' in 2008-ish in Iraq - "10 hits a night" etc - the point, THE WHOLE POINT was rolling up LIVE prisoners for intel.
November 29, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Mortimer the Turkey Vulture!
November 29, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
This is one of the most important exposés published in WSJ in several years, and it derives from intercepts and analyses by foreign intelligence services studying the conduct of Trump and his inner team. It's first and foremost a wake up call to the people of the United States.
Make Money Not War: Trump’s Real Plan for Peace in Ukraine
The Kremlin pitched the White House on peace through business. To Europe’s dismay, the president and his envoy are on board.
www.wsj.com
November 29, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
“why the fuck are we invading Venezuela” should really be on at least a couple of chyrons
November 29, 2025 at 2:36 PM
So I guess we’re doing NOTAMs via tweet now.
November 29, 2025 at 2:29 PM
I think it’s fair for folks to wonder “well what will happen, then? Nothing has happened so far!”

The last couple of years of elite impunity are infuriating, but calibrate your expectations to what is necessary for the regime’s ruling coalition to fracture.
It’s a fair question, I think there are a couple of things.

A: *all* governments have politics, even authoritarian ones, but especially non consolidated ones.

B: those incentives are shifting as Trump’s coalition weakens and his ability to either shape or determine electoral performance dies.
November 29, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Okay but actually Bandit is a great role model
November 29, 2025 at 12:08 AM
Hegseth is vulnerable here, and so is the regime more broadly and they know it.

The response, specifically to Kelly last week, makes a lot of sense in the context of “this info is coming out, the military is comprised folks that admire Kelly more than they respect Hegseth.”
November 29, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Tom would like to remind you that political imagination ought only be limited to what he thinks is reasonable.

You as the reader are left to decide whether or not his past track record of political imagination is either useful or realistic based on his previous positions.
Dear Fellow Americans:

Please stop thinking about the ICC.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.
I can't imagine campaigning on this, but if grave breaches become operational policy and other war crimes are routinely pardoned when/if prosecuted, joining the ICC seems much more reasonable than my previous belief that we'd hold our own accountable.
November 29, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Indiana Republicans beginning to show impatience with the Trump regime and his various viziers?
November 29, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Indiana Senate Republican Greg Walker “said he would have reported the alleged violation to federal authorities “if I thought that there was anyone of integrity in Washington that would follow through on my accusation ..”

@adamwren.bsky.social #redistrict
dailyjournal.net/2025/11/26/s...
November 29, 2025 at 12:22 PM
@profanity.accountant how am I doing
November 29, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Lost in the weeds of the WSJ report on Russian attempts to bribe the Trump administration with offers of bazillion dollar business deals are signs that various European intelligence services seem entirely aware of the details of conversations between Witkoff and the Russians
November 29, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Putin is making Russia's strategic future dependent on Trump's survival in the White House and MAGA majorities in the US Congress
November 29, 2025 at 11:05 AM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
I do strongly suspect that the pattern of hit jobs, and capitulations, is almost entirely explained by activists on university boards who want to collaborate with Trump against their own researchers and students.
BREAKING: Northwestern University has agreed to pay the U.S. Treasury $75 million, over the course of three years as part of an agreement with the federal government to restore funding and end investigations into the university

Full statement from NU below:
November 29, 2025 at 2:12 AM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
One of the bigger kindnesses my parents gave me was to do all of this while they are still of sound mind and body.

They're in fine health, but their wishes are clear, there's no house to clean out, or items to divide up, and the estate is set aside for their care.
There may or may not be specific requirements in your state to make this legal / binding, but it’s a place to start.

It’s important to plan and communicate with your loved ones about your end of life care. In the end, it will impact them a lot longer than it will you.
November 29, 2025 at 1:26 AM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
There may or may not be specific requirements in your state to make this legal / binding, but it’s a place to start.

It’s important to plan and communicate with your loved ones about your end of life care. In the end, it will impact them a lot longer than it will you.
November 29, 2025 at 1:15 AM
The greatest gift you can leave your loved ones is a will, the second is an advanced care directive.

The latter has direct benefits to you too!
It’s never a bad time to write or update your advanced directive.

Speaking of, it’s been awhile since I’ve looked at mine.
November 29, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Reposted by Haydon is reading The Uncertain Center, Arthur C McGill
Taiwanese ambassador to Finland performs with his metal band at Taiwan-Finland cultural event! 🤘✊️
That's what I call great ambassador
November 28, 2025 at 7:05 PM