Jonathan Kingham
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jonkingh.bsky.social
Jonathan Kingham
@jonkingh.bsky.social
680 followers 600 following 530 posts
Immigration stuff mainly. Failed drummer. Qué arte tienes.
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jonkingh.bsky.social
Sigh.

‘We now get Home Office press releases about immigration nearly every day’

Cf how the HO seems to have completely disengaged with the sector at the same time, per @sonial77.bsky.social’s comment earlier today
darshna.bsky.social Darshna Soni @darshna.bsky.social · 15h
We now get Home Office press releases about immigration nearly every day. Interesting to note the language. They obviously want to be seen to be taking action, but “illegal migrants” are not the same as “asylum seekers”
November 29, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
colinyeo.bsky.social
It’s a mad, bad policy. Creates a class of disadvantaged families and children for no conceivable policy outcome aside from that disadvantage. Although I suppose it helps to fund the Home Office through fees, which are charged at well above cost of processing.
November 29, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
bgrueskin.bsky.social
Extraordinary WSJ reporting today that unveils the extent to which Trump, Witkoff, Kushner and US business executives are salivating over business deals with Russia while Putin’s forces kidnap Ukranian children and bomb civilians in their apartments.

🎁 www.wsj.com/world/russia...
WSJ Gentry Beach, a college friend of Donald Trump Jr. and campaign donor to his father, has been in talks to acquire a stake in a Russian Arctic gas project if it is released from sanctions. Another Trump donor, Stephen P. Lynch, paid $600,000 this year to a lobbyist close to Trump Jr. who is helping him seek a Treasury Department license to buy the Nord Stream 2 pipeline from a Russian state-owned company. One sign that he may be serious is that some of his most-trusted friends, sanctioned billionaires from his St. Petersburg hometown-Gennady Timchenko, Yuri Kovalchuk and the Rotenberg brothers, Boris and Arkady-have sent representatives to quietly meet American companies to explore rare-earth mining and energy deals, according to people familiar with the meetings and European security officials. That includes reviving the giant Nord Stream pipeline, sabotaged by Ukrainian tactical divers, and under European Union sanctions. Earlier this year, Exxon Mobil met with Russia's biggest state energy company, Rosneft, to discuss returning to the massive Sakhalin gas project if Moscow and Washington gave the green light.
November 29, 2025 at 12:42 PM
jonkingh.bsky.social
There is so much that is wrong, awful and not thought through with these plans.

I think all of us who know anything about this stuff must try and do some serious lobbying of our MPs.

If anyone has any materials on how to do this most effectively I would be most grateful to see them.
uccellolirico.bsky.social Jonathan Potts @uccellolirico.bsky.social · 14h
When these proposals were circulated to Cabinet - which they will have been - who, in Labour's "wealthy must bear the cost" Government, was responsible for pointing out these calamitous effects. DWP (or are they just cutters), Health (the precarious care sector) ... anyone? Or did no-one notice?
sonial77.bsky.social Sonia L @sonial77.bsky.social · 16h
This started pretty much immediately, I have already heard several examples, as well as people looking to withdraw change of conditions applications and decideling not to apply. Families will be left destitute
November 29, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
sonial77.bsky.social
This started pretty much immediately, I have already heard several examples, as well as people looking to withdraw change of conditions applications and decideling not to apply. Families will be left destitute
November 29, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
alasdairmackenzie.bsky.social
I see the Indy is also going with asylum seekers being “banned” from doing something they were being forced to do unwillingly in the first place, so presumably this is how the Home Office‘s press release is framing its own admissions of incompetence and waste
November 29, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
dennycarter.bsky.social
The markets are staying afloat right now on the hope that AI will destroy American workers. What a bleak thing.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/25/b...
“A big part of the high stock prices is not a reflection of high future growth,” he said. Rather, it is a sign that A.I. is expected to boost productivity and shrink employment. “The firms all think they’re going to shed a lot of labor, and that’s why the profits will be high,” he said. And while the construction of data centers to power artificial intelligence is fueling economic growth now, these centers, once built, employ skeleton staffs.
November 28, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
rgoodlaw.bsky.social
Textbook war crime/extrajudicial killing

"Two survivors were clinging to the smoldering wreck. The Special Operations commander overseeing the Sept. 2 attack ... ordered a second strike to comply with Hegseth’s instructions."

Report by @alexhorton.bsky.social @ellenwapo.bsky.social o.bsky.social
Hegseth order on first Caribbean boat strike, officials say: Kill them all
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued a verbal order to kill all crew members in the Sept. 2 strike on a suspected drug boat. Navy SEALs fired a second missile.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 28, 2025 at 6:13 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
Revised net migration projection based on yesterday’s data, the new ILR policy and an expected gradual decline in dependant numbers (Currently dependant applications are double main applicant applications for work visas but this won’t last).

Yes it is negative in 2026. Roughly -110,000 to -10,000.
November 28, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
adambienkov.bsky.social
This is how the Mail has covered a 70% fall in net migration.

The Government should stop kidding itself it will ever get credit for being anti-migration. They could cut numbers to zero and there would still be front pages blasting them for making the UK a socialist wasteland no one wants to come to
November 28, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
harikunzru.bsky.social
‘Remigration’ is a term that comes out of the European far right. Its use by the DHS account is a sign of democratic and epistemic collapse
DEPARTMENT Homeland Security @DHSgov The stakes have never been higher, and the goal has never been more clear: Remigration now.
November 28, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
publius24.bsky.social
Stephen Miller is now arguing that assimilation is fundamentally impossible and that certain cultures are not compatible with Western civilization
November 28, 2025 at 5:14 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
owenboswarva.bsky.social
The UK Government's #digitalID scheme "is provisionally forecast to cost £1.8 billion in total over the next three years", according to OBR obr.uk/efo/economic...

Fair question from Commons SITC chair @chionwurah.bsky.social MP … committees.parliament.uk/committee/13...

#govtech #vfm #opengov
"The accompanying OBR forecast also estimated that that the government's digital ID scheme is forecast to cost £1.8 billion over the next three years. This comes only a week after the committee was told by the Minister for Digital Government that it wasn't yet possible to assess the cost. Why have we been told two different things? At a time of tight public finances, the OBR has also called the scheme "unfunded." Given how important the digital transformation of public services like digital ID are to the government’s agenda, its concerning there is a real lack of transparency and clarity over its costs and benefits."
November 26, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
robfordmancs.bsky.social
Another very large decline in net migration in today's ONS figures, with immigration falling and emigration rising. I'm sure this will get just as much media and political coverage as the earlier sharp rises, right? www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
Long-term international migration, provisional - Office for National Statistics
Estimates of UK long-term international migration, year ending June 2012 to year ending December 2024.
www.ons.gov.uk
November 27, 2025 at 9:56 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
sundersays.bsky.social
Net migration fell sharply agaim to 204,000 in the year to June 2025, having been 344k in 2024 and 848k in 2023. But falling immigration has been the biggest secret - and it is time for the media and political debate to catch up with this change
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cn...
UK net migration fell to 204,000 in year to June - live updates
Net migration, the difference between those entering and leaving the country, was 345,000 in 2024 according to revised figures.
www.bbc.co.uk
November 27, 2025 at 9:36 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
disappoptimism.bsky.social
Billionaires are that combination of mystery of getting of getting big money and showing that In fact there’s really limited amounts of talent involved it’s just the luck of birth & access to stored wealth.
November 27, 2025 at 9:06 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
Data for high skilled workers entering on a skilled worker visa on pay year ending June 2023. It’s likely they will have had a pay rise since but still looks like a sizeable minority will be pushed onto the 10 year route. Especially engineers, vets, graphic designers and web designers. (1/2)
November 21, 2025 at 11:50 AM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
rinewithoutacat.bsky.social
My gratitude to those who coordinated this (very fast!) statement of consensus to recent announcements on UK asylum policy.

I am grateful to have signed this with others studying and working in the field of asylum/migration studies and law. Please read and share!

ilpa.org.uk/statement-of...
Statement of Consensus, November 2025 - ILPA
We, the undersigned, as practitioners and researchers working in UK migration and asylum law, collectively observe the following issues with the UK Government’s asylum policy announcements which were ...
ilpa.org.uk
November 26, 2025 at 10:11 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
dadavies.bsky.social
Seems UK has same dynamic as US. Left struggles to get elected & is thus fearful of taking ANY risk, alienating their base. Right takes any margin of electoral victory as a mandate to charge unapologetically even further to the extreme. This scenario makes progress impossible & regress more likely.
November 26, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
alasdairmackenzie.bsky.social
This is true. They believe racism is wrong.
November 26, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
cjayanetti.bsky.social
OBR says lower net migration will hurt overall productivity
OBR report text: 2.17 Our central forecast sees potential output growth slow from 1.8 per cent in 2025 to 1.3 per cent in 2026, before picking up to 1.5 per cent by 2030 (Chart 2.5). The slowdown next year partly reflects a further fall in levels of net migration, which affects labour supply and aggregate output but has a much smaller impact on output per person. Potential output growth picks up over the rest of the forecast thanks to a recovery in TFP growth, which rises from 0.3 per cent in 2026 to 0.8 per cent in 2030
November 26, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
rogerquimbly.bsky.social
I find it far easier to believe that Nigel Farage was a schoolboy racist than that he was ever actually a child.
November 25, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
henrymance.ft.com
Brilliant thecritic.co.uk/auntie-in-th...
November 24, 2025 at 10:06 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
negsaunders.bsky.social
There always seems to be money for cruelty, doesn’t there…
danielsohege.bsky.social Dan Sohege @danielsohege.bsky.social · 5d
Labour's anti-asylum policies are already fundamentally inhumane and discriminatory. Applying them retrospectively is pure cruelty though. It serves absolutely no purpose. Meanwhile it will increase the costs and bureaucracy of an already dysfunctional Home Office.
www.thetimes.com/article/6f83...
Refugees who were months away from settlement now face 15-year wait Shabana Mahmood's asylum reforms will apply retrospectively, it has been confirmed — and it is claimed the bureaucracy will cost up to £1.3bn Matt Dathan, Home Affairs Editor Monday November 24 2025, 12.01am, The Times Thousands of refugees who believed they were months from settlement now face 15 years of instability after it was confirmed that Shabana Mahmood's overhaul of asylum rules would apply retrospectively.
November 24, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Kingham
benansell.bsky.social
Total insanity. Deeply illiberal and authoritarian. Snatching people who look different off the street on the off chance they might be illegal. Does Philips realise that this is the language of tyranny?
jdportes.bsky.social Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 5d
Trevor Philips in the Times, calling for a Trump/Miller-style of random deportations based on skin colour.

archive.ph/RlXPj
Second, we need to enforce the policy with a vigour that has reduced flows at America’s southern borders by 90 per cent, and in Denmark by 95 per cent. Crucial to the Trump programme is an aggressive policy of removals, including snatching suspected illegals off the street. One friend tells me Latino parents are now so afraid to be seen out and about that the other parents have a rota to walk the Latino children to and from school.
November 24, 2025 at 10:06 PM