Laurens Swinkels
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lswinkels.bsky.social
Laurens Swinkels
@lswinkels.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Finance at Erasmus University Rotterdam and Executive Director at Robeco Asset Management. www.laurensswinkels.com #FinSky #EconSky

πŸ“Oslo, Norway πŸ‡³πŸ‡΄

Economics 72%
Business 26%

Great interview with Antti Ilmanen about investing on the Meb Faber Show!

#Investing #Finance #FinSky #EconSky
The U.S. Market Is Overpriced β€” What Could Happen Next Based On History
YouTube video by The Meb Faber Show
youtu.be

Copying Harvard or shorting bitcoin? πŸ˜€

Harvard Management Company allocating a substantial amount to Bitcoin/crypto

#investing #finance #bitcoin #crypto #etf
Harvard now owns nearly half a billion dollars worth of Bitcoin, filings show | Fortune
The Ivy League school invested more than 20% of its U.S.-listed public equity holdings in a crypto ETF.
fortune.com

It is not my paper, but from three other professors.

As far as I understand, it is not only about returns, but also about low correlation with other assets.

And if you believe that btc will go to zero, you should be short, not hold zero.

The cryptocurrency elephant in the room... why own exactly zero percent crypto is a puzzle

Link to paper: doi.org/10.1093/rof/...

#EconSky #FinSky #Bitcoin #Crypto #Investing #Academic

β€œJust a test” πŸ˜€πŸ”₯

#bitcoin #gold #crypto #currency #czechia #finsky #econsky #finance #banking
www.reuters.com

Great article on asset allocation, read in one go!

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

Banger post on the buzziest (but fuzziest) phenomenon in institutional investing, from @tobyn.bsky.social naturally. on.ft.com/47MeI73
The hot new investment trend is the β€˜Total Portfolio Approach’. Does it work?
Exploring the buzzy but fuzzy new phenomenon in asset allocation
on.ft.com

A new working paper on "The Viability of Bitcoin as a Central Bank Reserve Asset" concludes that Bitcoin lacks stability and liquidity, but could still play a role in central bank management.

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#EconSky #FinSky #Finance #Bitcoin #Academic
Headline from a serious and long working paper on the economic impact of Brexit. Possible that this has been feeding into OBR and HMT discussions?

Reposted by Caroline Fohlin

My paper just published *open access* in the Journal of International Money and Finance "The risk and reward of investing" doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...

Short video clip about the content on www.laurensswinkels.com, where you can also find the data.

#EconSky #FinSky #Academic #Investing #Finance

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

New working paper on Gold and Bitcoin

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#Gold #Bitcoin #Investing #FinSky #EconSKy #Safehaven

"The main lesson is that a country can reduce its debt without resorting to sovereign default or high inflation. Sensible, credible reforms can achieve both debt reduction and economic stability."

Rangvid's blogpost: blog.rangvid.com/2025/10/26/h...

#EconSky #Denmark #Debt #InterestRates #Book
How low interest rates change Denmark – Rangvid’s Blog
blog.rangvid.com
🚨What’s up with private credit ratings? on.ft.com/47sTNV9
What’s up with private credit ratings?
Could this be a film we’ve seen before?
on.ft.com

Gained -4%, does that mean lost 4%?

The economic consequences of war

Link to paper: www.nber.org/papers/w34389

#EconSky #War #Economy #Academic #HistorySky

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

"Although pass-through at the border was incomplete, our estimates indicate that U.S. consumers paid more than the government received in tariff revenue, because domestic markups amplified downstream price effects." www.nber.org/papers/w34392

New paper on how to best reduce carbon emissions.

#Climate #Carbon #Investing #Assets #EconSky

Link to paper: www.nber.org/papers/w34342

New paper comparing investment in gold with investment in gold miners.

#Investing #Gold #Stocks #FinSky

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

Just published a new paper on investing in emerging markets debt in the Journal of Asset Management. Free to download from the link below.

#EMD #EmergingMarkets #Investing #FinSky #EconSky #Academic
Exploring emerging markets debt: Bond voyage?
rdcu.be

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

Bernanke, Cochrane, Greenspan, Mankiw, Paulson, Rogoff, Romer, Rubin, Summers, Yellen, etc & me: "allowing the removal of Governor Lisa D. Cook while the challenge to her removal is pending would threaten that independence and erode public confidence in the Fed." www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25...
www.supremecourt.gov

Our new report with capital market assumptions for the next five years: "The Stale Renaissance".

#FinSky #EconSky #Investing #Investment #Stocks #Bonds
5-year Expected Returns: The Stale Renaissance | Robeco Global
Robeco publishes Expected Returns 2026-2030
www.robeco.com
Post no one asked for on how to compare bond yields across currencies (more) properly. on.ft.com/48fJTIf

🀣

First thought that this was about stocks that Republican voters like, but the term red turns out to be related to something completely different, accounting related: "The Rise of Red Equity"

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#Investing #EconSky #FinSky #Stocks #Equities #Red
Lemme speak with directness and a sense of urgency about our most important economic threats, and what history teaches us about moments like this.

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

FX hedging sounds mysterious & intimidating/ super simple depending on your knowledge.

Its pretty basic maths informs massive capital allocations.

A no equation explainer: on.ft.com/4p7CwsD