Paul Hünermund
@p-hunermund.com
Associate Professor of Strategy & Innovation | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at Academy of Management TIM Division
Pinned
📣 Come join a top-5 strategy department in Europe and work with me on an exciting topic at the intersection of causal AI and strategy 🤖📈
I'm recruiting a PhD student as part of my Sapere Aude Research Leader Grant from the Independent Research Fund Denmark. (1/3)
I'm recruiting a PhD student as part of my Sapere Aude Research Leader Grant from the Independent Research Fund Denmark. (1/3)
Write another paper, you have so few
February 4, 2026 at 5:18 PM
Write another paper, you have so few
Now that is a beautiful city! 😍 @ckronenberg.bsky.social @jrgptrs.bsky.social
February 4, 2026 at 5:15 PM
Now that is a beautiful city! 😍 @ckronenberg.bsky.social @jrgptrs.bsky.social
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Latein-Reformen sollten auf empirischer Evidenz aufbauen - Studien und andere Länder. Schnelle (google scholar/KI) Studiensuche: es gibt zu wenige kausale Studien, aber die behaupteten Vorteile von Latein in älteren Studien beruhen wohl meist auf Selektionsverzerrung 1/
orf.at/stories/3419...
orf.at/stories/3419...
Prominenter Widerstand gegen Kürzung bei Lateinstunden
orf.at
February 4, 2026 at 8:40 AM
Latein-Reformen sollten auf empirischer Evidenz aufbauen - Studien und andere Länder. Schnelle (google scholar/KI) Studiensuche: es gibt zu wenige kausale Studien, aber die behaupteten Vorteile von Latein in älteren Studien beruhen wohl meist auf Selektionsverzerrung 1/
orf.at/stories/3419...
orf.at/stories/3419...
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Using 200 years of patent data to describe the rise of the US innovation machine. Innovation drivers are R&D, education, and defense spending, from Antonin Bergeaud, Ruveyda Nur Gozen, and John Van Reenen www.nber.org/papers/w34760
February 3, 2026 at 8:00 PM
Using 200 years of patent data to describe the rise of the US innovation machine. Innovation drivers are R&D, education, and defense spending, from Antonin Bergeaud, Ruveyda Nur Gozen, and John Van Reenen www.nber.org/papers/w34760
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Hi #causalsky - Has anyone done a dynamic DiD set up when we have accumulating treatments or multiple events with cumulative effects? Some units are true controls, some have one event, some have multiple at different points in time. @jmwooldridge.bsky.social @pedrosantanna.bsky.social please Repost!
February 3, 2026 at 6:03 PM
Hi #causalsky - Has anyone done a dynamic DiD set up when we have accumulating treatments or multiple events with cumulative effects? Some units are true controls, some have one event, some have multiple at different points in time. @jmwooldridge.bsky.social @pedrosantanna.bsky.social please Repost!
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Here’s What the Latest Epstein Files Say About His Ties to Higher Ed: Collectively, the files underscore how deeply Epstein remained embedded in academic and intellectual circles even after his criminal history became public. www.chronicle.com/article/here...
Here’s What the Latest Epstein Files Say About His Ties to Higher Ed
New documents released by the Department of Justice on Friday reinforce that long after his criminal convictions, many prominent professors continued to communicate with him.
www.chronicle.com
February 3, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Here’s What the Latest Epstein Files Say About His Ties to Higher Ed: Collectively, the files underscore how deeply Epstein remained embedded in academic and intellectual circles even after his criminal history became public. www.chronicle.com/article/here...
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
The meme about Bluesky is that it’s all insufferable left-purist quibbling. And for all I know that’s true? But spacecowboy’s For You is so good at sorting communities that what I *see* here is 50 people defending Stancil / no one attacking.
It sorts so well actually that it’s a problem. +
It sorts so well actually that it’s a problem. +
February 3, 2026 at 1:23 PM
The meme about Bluesky is that it’s all insufferable left-purist quibbling. And for all I know that’s true? But spacecowboy’s For You is so good at sorting communities that what I *see* here is 50 people defending Stancil / no one attacking.
It sorts so well actually that it’s a problem. +
It sorts so well actually that it’s a problem. +
New imputation method just unlocked
February 3, 2026 at 3:15 PM
New imputation method just unlocked
Score: 1.3 😳
February 3, 2026 at 3:03 PM
Score: 1.3 😳
Staggered difference-in-differences analyses with country-or state-level data don't seem to be a good idea. Also firm-level analyses require decent sample sizes. 👇
🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs"
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
February 3, 2026 at 2:57 PM
Staggered difference-in-differences analyses with country-or state-level data don't seem to be a good idea. Also firm-level analyses require decent sample sizes. 👇
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs"
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
February 3, 2026 at 2:46 PM
🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs"
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large
Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Nine More Higher Ed Names in the Epstein Files
www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
February 3, 2026 at 12:31 PM
Nine More Higher Ed Names in the Epstein Files
www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
I'm just messing with the Ruhrpott people. 😉
I'm glad you're having a good time there.
I'm glad you're having a good time there.
February 3, 2026 at 1:33 PM
I'm just messing with the Ruhrpott people. 😉
I'm glad you're having a good time there.
I'm glad you're having a good time there.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
"It is morally wrong to accept money for work" feels like a new depth of BlueSky brain
February 3, 2026 at 10:47 AM
"It is morally wrong to accept money for work" feels like a new depth of BlueSky brain
"It's morally wrong to be rich"
February 3, 2026 at 12:03 PM
"It's morally wrong to be rich"
Here it is: www.nber.org/202602/diges...
Measuring Brexit’s Economic Toll on the United Kingdom
www.nber.org
February 3, 2026 at 10:27 AM
Here it is: www.nber.org/202602/diges...
Sorry, had to repost because of a wrong graph: bsky.app/profile/p-hu...
The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges...
What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
February 3, 2026 at 9:21 AM
Sorry, had to repost because of a wrong graph: bsky.app/profile/p-hu...
The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges...
What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
February 3, 2026 at 9:20 AM
The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges...
What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧
Ist halt eine archaische Institution, die nur aufgrund der Dysfunktionalität des deutschen Systems überlebt.
February 3, 2026 at 9:18 AM
Ist halt eine archaische Institution, die nur aufgrund der Dysfunktionalität des deutschen Systems überlebt.
I guess you have a prepared tour for visitors away from the train station, the A40, and the university, directly to the hills in the South. 😉
February 3, 2026 at 9:15 AM
I guess you have a prepared tour for visitors away from the train station, the A40, and the university, directly to the hills in the South. 😉
"[...] bringing US imports from China to levels last seen when China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. This shift represents a selective decoupling from China rather than broader US deglobalization; total US imports from all countries grew at an average annual rate of 5.7 percent [...]."
February 3, 2026 at 8:34 AM
"[...] bringing US imports from China to levels last seen when China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. This shift represents a selective decoupling from China rather than broader US deglobalization; total US imports from all countries grew at an average annual rate of 5.7 percent [...]."