Danny Hirschel-Burns
dhirschelburns.bsky.social
Danny Hirschel-Burns
@dhirschelburns.bsky.social
Associate Lecturer in St Andrews’ (🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿) School of International Relations. Yale poli sci PhD. Violence, state-building, ideology, Colombia, and qual methods.
The visa lottery was the only way the vast majority of the world could come to the US legally. The Trump administration is using the pretext of the Brown shooting to suspend it. timhirschelburns.substack.com/p/the-end-of...
The End of the Line
More than anything else, the diversity visa lottery gave people a "right way" to come to the US. Kristi Noem just announced she was stopping it.
timhirschelburns.substack.com
December 20, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
No matter how you slice it, US police officers are safer on the job and paid waaaaay more than other countries' police despite doing a…less than stellar job

The question isn't more police vs. less police. It's why are US police paid so much while doing such little and such poor police work?
December 17, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
In Chile, where non-citizen residents can vote, right wing candidate Kast is heavily favored to win today’s election with a combination of voters who blame an alleged crime wave on Venezuelan migrants, and Venezuelan migrants he’s pledged to deport, who support him because he’s anti-communist.
December 14, 2025 at 4:40 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
i will again note the slight of hand here. “respecting” public opinion is defined as being subservient to public opinion. but you can respect where the public lies without making yourself a slave to its whims.
This exchange drives me nuts. Neither the interviewer nor Bazelon acknowledges that 1) abortion rights are really popular! and 2) what ICE is doing is hugely unpopular!
December 10, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
Columbia's Task Force on Antisemitism has dropped its final report. They're advocating what seems to be affirmative action for Zionist scholarship (resonant with "viewpoint diversity" push for e.g. pro-racism scholarship from anti-higher ed activists)

www.columbia.edu/content/repo...
December 9, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
"I am Spartacus" but for sex pests
Fascinating things happening on Econ Twitter
December 7, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Kimuli was a brilliant academic and a wonderful person. As a visiting professor at Yale, she took the time to chat with me despite having little overlap with my work. Her insights and her laughs will be missed. fas.columbia.edu/news/memoria...
In Memoriam: Professor Kimuli Kasara | Arts & Sciences
fas.columbia.edu
December 5, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
The haters said they couldn't do it. And they were right. Honestly, great call from the haters.
NEW: The End of the Line: the centrepiece of Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject - a 500m tall, 170km long wall-like building intended ultimately to house 9 million people - can’t get out of the ground, say more than 20 former Neom architects, engineers and senior executives.
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
End of The Line: how Saudi Arabia’s Neom dream unravelled
Mohammed bin Salman’s utopian city was undone by the laws of physics and finance
ig.ft.com
November 6, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Make America Great Again means helping your rich buddies pursue their imperialist White Elephant hobbies by working with one set of drug traffickers while murdering others
Prospera Honduras is a Zone for Employment & Economic Development (ZEDE) backed by Peter Thiel. Trump plans to pardon the former Honduran president who championed ZEDES b4 his drug trafficking conviction. Honduras current outgoing president has tried to eliminate ZEDES, an obstacle for Prospera.
1/
Prospera: Honduras' Bitcoin City Project
Prospera is Honduras' Bitcoin City project. Located on the island of Roatan in the Caribbean Sea, it faces several challenges.
colombiaone.com
December 2, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
I think @brendannyhan.bsky.social is exactly right in this piece, but I’d go one step further here. Elites very explicitly told young people to sit down and shut up. Society punished them for standing up for their beliefs, and targeted and vilified the organizers. Now we need need them.
November 24, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
My theory, tested through exposure to Australian higher education administration, is that they are hopelessly captured by the consultants, and that higher education consultants are particularly shallow and uninteresting.
i really struggle to understand why centre left parties do not like universities, do not like the soft power we wield (imagine getting to educate the children of your geopolitical rivals!!!! IMAGINE!!!). i dont believe that albo, starmer, etc are this stupid, it's got to be hatred. but y.
November 24, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Very good analogy
Antisemitism is a lot like Qanon child abuse conspiracies in that there’s this real and bad phenomenon and, parallel to that, what can only be described as a large scale mass psychosis about a mostly fictional version of the same phenomenon
November 16, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
NEW: @propublica.org investigated the Chicago apartment raid where kids were zip-tied and citizens detained for hours. They find:

- NONE of the arrested were criminally charged
- NO evidence the building was "filled with TdA terrorists."
- ZERO legitimate reason for DHS to rappel from a Blackhawk.
November 13, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
What makes this more frustrating is that Dems were winning.

They had public opinion

They had base enthusiasm

They had Trump making tactical mistakes every day

And they lose
This is why this surrender isn't just about this narrow issue but is rather the whole constitutional ballgame:

Democrats are affirmatively signaling they do not want political power at the same time Trump is transitioning the political system into an autocratic one wherein they're denied it forever
Not that he didn’t already know, but now Trump knows for sure he can roll the Dems every time and there’s no need to negotiate for anything
November 10, 2025 at 3:16 AM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
There had better be trials. And not just for the low-level thugs carrying out these orders, but for everyone up the chain of command.

If we get past this, the solution isn’t to pretend it never happened and invite Stephen Miller to Harvard’s Institute of Politics.

It’s trials w real punishments.
A family friend was telling us about what her husband shared about his experience in Broadview before he was deported back to Mexico. She's been sharing to friends and family because she's just in disbelief & horror what her husband told her. She wasn't able to talk to him until he was in Mexico.
November 7, 2025 at 12:45 PM
Dick Cheney was a war criminal who, in a just world, would have died in a Hague prison
November 4, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
Absolutely shocking that the Chinese govt pressured a UK university to shut down research about forced labour in Xinjiang and the links to global supply chains. The work of Laura Murphy and her team had been instrumental in getting Chinese companies sanctioned.

www.theguardian.com/education/20...
UK university halted human rights research after pressure from China
Exclusive: Leading professor at Sheffield Hallam was told to cease research on supply chains and forced labour in China after demands from authorities
www.theguardian.com
November 3, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
🧵This horrific story is being reported all over Latin America, but not the US.

Randall Gamboa, a Costa Rican, was deported from the US in such a critical health condition it required an ambulance flight.

He then died upon his return to Costa Rica after being detained for 8 months by DHS.
October 28, 2025 at 2:32 AM
Very good thread that’s a critique of the now-common narrative about how universities are left-wing indoctrination factories, which gets far more traction than critiques of fascist ideologies.
October 29, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
Sarkozy is going to jail but he’s not the first one. In our new dataset we track modern leaders who have been prosecuted by their own states. There are 215 of them. Turns out leader prosecution is a common & healthy practice in democracies. Full access link: foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/28/d...
Prosecuting the Powerful
Historical data shows putting leaders on trial is a healthy democratic practice.
foreignpolicy.com
October 28, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
The "don't talk about social issues" strategy only works if you *admit that was your strategy after the fact*. We're in this doom loop where Democrats try something, gaslight themselves into believing they didn't try it, then decide to try it again.
"if we just don't talk about it, they can't hit us for talking about it" has been thoroughly discredited but we're going to keep trying it because the point was always that party elites/centrist Dems don't want to talk about those things, not whether it was good strategy/messaging to do so!
October 28, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
Yes. There is a near-unanimous bipartisan conventional wisdom about the Democrats becoming 'too woke' even though — again, objectively — they avoided prioritizing social issues in the 2024 campaign.
one of the reasons voters believe the caricatures of the democratic party pushed by republicans is because the democratic party itself believes in the caricatures of the democratic party pushed by republicans
Duh. Those of us on the ground last year actually speaking with middle class/working class voters and who heard from these voters every single day the same - “Trump is an asshole, but Democrats are out of touch” - could’ve saved my new political party a lot of time & money producing this “report.”👇
October 28, 2025 at 12:54 PM
100% politically-motivated home.treasury.gov/news/press-r...
Treasury Sanctions Colombian President Gustavo Petro and His Support Network
WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is designating Gustavo Francisco Petro Urrego (Gustavo Petro), the President of Colombia, pursuant to counternarcotics-related authorities.  In addition, OFAC is also designating several supporters of Gustavo Petro, namely his wife, his son, and a close associate.“Since President Gustavo Petro came to power, cocaine production in Colombia has exploded to the highest rate in decades, flooding the United States and poisoning Americans,” said Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent.  “President Petro has allowed drug cartels to flourish and refused to stop this activity.  Today, President Trump is taking strong action to protect our nation and make clear that we will not tolerate the trafficking of drugs into our nation.” Today’s action was taken pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 14059, which targets foreign persons involved in the global illicit drug trade.  GUSTAVO PETROColombia remains the world’s top producer and exporter of cocaine. Cocaine from Colombia is often purchased by Mexican cartels, who then smuggle it into the United States via the southern border.  It is a scheduled substance that is a significant drug threat to the United States, despite Gustavo Petro’s recent, flippant comparison of the use of the drug to whiskey. Gustavo Petro is a former guerilla member who was elected to the Colombian presidency in 2022.  He has provided narco-terrorist organizations with benefits under the auspices of his “total peace” plan, among other policies, which have led to record highs of coca cultivation and cocaine production. On September 15, 2025, because of Gustavo Petro and his cronies’ actions, the President determined Colombia is a major drug transit or major illicit drug producing country and that it is “failing demonstrably” to uphold its drug control responsibilities. Gustavo Petro’s erratic behavior has also driven Colombia further apart from its partners in additional ways.  In 2024, he shared confidential information obtained via secure anti-money laundering communication channels, threatening the integrity of the international financial system and leading to the suspension of Colombia’s Financial Intelligence Unit from The Egmont Group.  He also has allied himself with the narco-terrorist regime of Nicolas Maduro Moros and the Cartel de Los Soles. Gustavo Petro is being designated today pursuant to E.O. 14059 for having engaged in, or attempted to engage in, activities or transactions that have materially contributed to, or pose a significant risk of materially contributing to, the international proliferation of illicit drugs or their means of production.TARGETING GUSTAVO PETRO’S ASSOCIATES AND ENABLERS Gustavo Petro’s eldest son, Nicolas Fernando Petro Burgos (Nicolas Petro), is considered to be his political heir.  He has served as Gustavo Petro’s campaign manager in Barranquilla.  In 2023, Nicolas Petro was arrested in Colombia for money laundering and illicit enrichment over allegations that he funneled money received from drug traffickers into Gustavo Petro’s “total peace” efforts and election campaign.  Nicolas Petro later admitted to receiving dirty money from a person formerly involved in narcotics trafficking and son of a contractor on trial for financing paramilitaries. First Lady Veronica del Socorro Alcocer Garcia was once unconstitutionally appointed by Gustavo Petro to serve as an ambassador “on a special mission.”  A Colombian court later annulled the appointment, deciding that the appointment violated Article 126 of the Colombian Constitution, which prohibits the Colombian president from appointing his spouse or permanent partner. Armando Alberto Benedetti Villaneda (Armando Benedetti) has been appointed to multiple high-ranking positions within the Colombian government by Gustavo Petro.  In 2023, audio recordings of Armando Benedetti were leaked in which he discusses his involvement in campaign financing and obtaining votes for Gustavo Petro.  Most recently, in February 2025, Gustavo Petro named Armando Benedetti as Colombia’s Minister of the Interior.   Nicolas Fernando Petro Burgos, Veronica del Socorro Alcocer Garcia, and Armando Benedetti are being designated today pursuant to E.O. 14059 for having provided, or attempted to provide, financial, material, or technological support for, or goods or services in support of, Gustavo Petro.  SANCTIONS IMPLICATIONSAs a result of today’s action, all property and interests in property of the designated or blocked persons described above that are in the United States or in the possession or control of U.S. persons are blocked and must be reported to OFAC.  In addition, any entities that are owned, directly or indirectly, individually or in the aggregate, 50 percent or more by one or more blocked persons are also blocked. Unless authorized by a general or specific license issued by OFAC, or exempt, OFAC’s regulations generally prohibit all transactions by U.S. persons or within (or transiting) the United States that involve any property or interests in property of blocked persons.Violations of U.S. sanctions may result in the imposition of civil or criminal penalties on U.S. and foreign persons.  OFAC may impose civil penalties for sanctions violations on a strict liability basis.  OFAC’s Economic Sanctions Enforcement Guidelines provide more information regarding OFAC’s enforcement of U.S. economic sanctions. In addition, financial institutions and other persons may risk exposure to sanctions for engaging in certain transactions or activities involving designated or otherwise blocked persons.  The prohibitions include the making of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services by, to, or for the benefit of any designated or blocked person, or the receipt of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services from any such person. The power and integrity of OFAC sanctions derive not only from OFAC’s ability to designate and add persons to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List (SDN List), but also from its willingness to remove persons from the SDN List consistent with the law.  The ultimate goal of sanctions is not to punish, but to bring about a positive change in behavior.  For information concerning the process for seeking removal from an OFAC list, including the SDN List, or to submit a request, please refer to OFAC’s guidance on Filing a Petition for Removal from an OFAC List.Click here for more information on the persons designated today.###
home.treasury.gov
October 24, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Reposted by Danny Hirschel-Burns
Worth saying that despite asking for more than 12 hours we’ve had nothing back from Labour on this
A Conservative MP tipped as a future party leader has been condemned for saying large numbers of legally settled families must be deported, in order to ensure the UK is mostly “culturally coherent”.

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Tory MP criticised after demanding legally settled families be deported
Katie Lam said move would make UK ‘culturally coherent’ and that a large number of people ‘need to go home’
www.theguardian.com
October 20, 2025 at 8:18 PM
US foreign policy is now premised on the idea that killing random fisherman in the Caribbean is crucial to national security
October 19, 2025 at 6:36 PM