Per Nielsen
@perwagner.bsky.social
Economist and data scientist. Find my substack here: https://perwagner.substack.com
The only sure way to have peace is surrender. Lets not do that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVvgNs8tqI
The only sure way to have peace is surrender. Lets not do that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVvgNs8tqI
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Sven Biscop on the NSS
"The immediate lesson is this: offering concessions does not work. The supposed trade deal that the EU agreed on with the US on the Turnberry golf course last summer was a shameful surrender. And what did it get us: this NSS."
"The immediate lesson is this: offering concessions does not work. The supposed trade deal that the EU agreed on with the US on the Turnberry golf course last summer was a shameful surrender. And what did it get us: this NSS."
Allies and Rivals - Egmont Institute
This is strategy. Trump’s National Security Strategy (NSS), released on 4 December 2025, is bold and concise. One reads it, and one knows what the US wants. One may not […]
www.egmontinstitute.be
December 8, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Sven Biscop on the NSS
"The immediate lesson is this: offering concessions does not work. The supposed trade deal that the EU agreed on with the US on the Turnberry golf course last summer was a shameful surrender. And what did it get us: this NSS."
"The immediate lesson is this: offering concessions does not work. The supposed trade deal that the EU agreed on with the US on the Turnberry golf course last summer was a shameful surrender. And what did it get us: this NSS."
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Imagine conquering the world’s greatest superpower without firing a single shot.
New US security strategy aligns with Russia's vision, Moscow says
The Kremlin welcomes the starkly worded document, which does not cast Russia as a threat to the US.
www.bbc.com
December 8, 2025 at 12:59 AM
Imagine conquering the world’s greatest superpower without firing a single shot.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
FT: "Policymakers in Beijing doubt Europe has the unity or the stomach to bear the consequences of erecting new barriers to cheap and high-quality Chinese goods."
www.ft.com/content/ebfa...
www.ft.com/content/ebfa...
‘Unbearable imbalances’ cast shadow on Emmanuel Macron’s Beijing bonhomie
French president’s visit to China highlights growing fears about existential threat to European industries
www.ft.com
December 8, 2025 at 6:17 AM
FT: "Policymakers in Beijing doubt Europe has the unity or the stomach to bear the consequences of erecting new barriers to cheap and high-quality Chinese goods."
www.ft.com/content/ebfa...
www.ft.com/content/ebfa...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
1/6
Emmanuel Macron: "Today, we are caught between the US and China and it is a matter of life or death for the European industry. We have become the adjustment market and this is the worst-case scenario."
He is absolutely right.
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
Emmanuel Macron: "Today, we are caught between the US and China and it is a matter of life or death for the European industry. We have become the adjustment market and this is the worst-case scenario."
He is absolutely right.
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
France's Macron threatens China with tariffs over trade surplus - Les Echos
French President Emmanuel Macron said he had threatened Beijing with tariffs during his state visit to China if there was no action taken to reduce the country's ever-widening trade deficit with the E...
www.reuters.com
December 8, 2025 at 4:30 AM
1/6
Emmanuel Macron: "Today, we are caught between the US and China and it is a matter of life or death for the European industry. We have become the adjustment market and this is the worst-case scenario."
He is absolutely right.
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
Emmanuel Macron: "Today, we are caught between the US and China and it is a matter of life or death for the European industry. We have become the adjustment market and this is the worst-case scenario."
He is absolutely right.
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
open.substack.com/pub/research...
Second, confront the nuclear question honestly.
The non-proliferation system is dead. Biden, Trump, and Putin killed it. Russia uses nuclear threats as cover for conventional aggression; North Korea is entrenched; Iran is close to the threshold;
Second, confront the nuclear question honestly.
The non-proliferation system is dead. Biden, Trump, and Putin killed it. Russia uses nuclear threats as cover for conventional aggression; North Korea is entrenched; Iran is close to the threshold;
What’s Wrong with Europe? Why JD Vance is More Right, than Wrong.
The Truth Hurts.
open.substack.com
December 7, 2025 at 9:08 PM
open.substack.com/pub/research...
Second, confront the nuclear question honestly.
The non-proliferation system is dead. Biden, Trump, and Putin killed it. Russia uses nuclear threats as cover for conventional aggression; North Korea is entrenched; Iran is close to the threshold;
Second, confront the nuclear question honestly.
The non-proliferation system is dead. Biden, Trump, and Putin killed it. Russia uses nuclear threats as cover for conventional aggression; North Korea is entrenched; Iran is close to the threshold;
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Please note how US domestic politics and foreign policy are linked. Unless the Democrats succeed in offering a powerful project of national renewal (possible but unlikely), the US will likely become a post liberal power whose functional need is to end liberal democracy in Europe.
December 7, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Please note how US domestic politics and foreign policy are linked. Unless the Democrats succeed in offering a powerful project of national renewal (possible but unlikely), the US will likely become a post liberal power whose functional need is to end liberal democracy in Europe.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Russia’s frozen reserves expose an EU governance crisis. Just recall how tiny Greece totally undermined the G7 price cap on behalf of its shipping oligarchs. Belgium’s veto now is more of the same. The EU can’t be a geopolitical power if it’s constantly busy herding cats.
www.ft.com/content/4283...
www.ft.com/content/4283...
Germany and EU hold ‘constructive’ talks with Belgium on Russian assets
Merz jetted to Brussels for dinner with Belgian premier on Friday to try to win approval for a reparations loan for Kyiv
www.ft.com
December 7, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Russia’s frozen reserves expose an EU governance crisis. Just recall how tiny Greece totally undermined the G7 price cap on behalf of its shipping oligarchs. Belgium’s veto now is more of the same. The EU can’t be a geopolitical power if it’s constantly busy herding cats.
www.ft.com/content/4283...
www.ft.com/content/4283...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Mange, inkl. danske politikere, tror at X er et broadcastmedium. Faktum er at ingen, udover X, har adgang til en kronologisk “firehose”-feed. Selv en avanceret søgning er filtreret og personaliseret. Der findes med andre ord ikke en objektiv sandhed over indholdet på X - du ser det, X vil vise dig.
December 7, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Mange, inkl. danske politikere, tror at X er et broadcastmedium. Faktum er at ingen, udover X, har adgang til en kronologisk “firehose”-feed. Selv en avanceret søgning er filtreret og personaliseret. Der findes med andre ord ikke en objektiv sandhed over indholdet på X - du ser det, X vil vise dig.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
The 🇺🇸 Deputy Secretary of State has today made your choice as a European very clear:
1️⃣Live in a vassal state of either America or Russia
2️⃣Live in a united federal EU
Which do you choose?
www.TheOwnedContinent.eu
1️⃣Live in a vassal state of either America or Russia
2️⃣Live in a united federal EU
Which do you choose?
www.TheOwnedContinent.eu
December 7, 2025 at 9:56 AM
The 🇺🇸 Deputy Secretary of State has today made your choice as a European very clear:
1️⃣Live in a vassal state of either America or Russia
2️⃣Live in a united federal EU
Which do you choose?
www.TheOwnedContinent.eu
1️⃣Live in a vassal state of either America or Russia
2️⃣Live in a united federal EU
Which do you choose?
www.TheOwnedContinent.eu
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Many of us say Russia absolutely doesn't want peace. Journalists really shouldn't report "he says, she says" but put the head out the window and conclude what the facts of the matters are. Then they would see there are no evidences Russia really wants peace.
December 7, 2025 at 6:38 AM
Many of us say Russia absolutely doesn't want peace. Journalists really shouldn't report "he says, she says" but put the head out the window and conclude what the facts of the matters are. Then they would see there are no evidences Russia really wants peace.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Moreover, deterrence is partly about perception and credibility; therefore, even the mere perception in Russia that the transatlantic security architecture is beginning to erode could invite nuclear–conventional military brinkmanship.
December 7, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Moreover, deterrence is partly about perception and credibility; therefore, even the mere perception in Russia that the transatlantic security architecture is beginning to erode could invite nuclear–conventional military brinkmanship.
www.instagram.com/reel/DR7uIlB...
Hard to think of a more corrupt system regime than the Trump regime.
Corruption masquerading as a developed society.
Hard to think of a more corrupt system regime than the Trump regime.
Corruption masquerading as a developed society.
Scott Galloway on Instagram: "More from my conversation this week with @anneapplebaum2000 on the Prof G Pod."
Join Scott Galloway and Anne Applebaum as they delve into the world of high-stakes politics and the buying of influence in the United States. From cryptocurrency to high-profile connections, they exam...
www.instagram.com
December 7, 2025 at 7:55 AM
www.instagram.com/reel/DR7uIlB...
Hard to think of a more corrupt system regime than the Trump regime.
Corruption masquerading as a developed society.
Hard to think of a more corrupt system regime than the Trump regime.
Corruption masquerading as a developed society.
I fear, that when historians some 50 years from now look back at this period of time, they will say that war between Russia and Europe was the most predictable war ever.
December 6, 2025 at 11:46 PM
I fear, that when historians some 50 years from now look back at this period of time, they will say that war between Russia and Europe was the most predictable war ever.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
It's not credible the US would fight a nuclear war over Europe if they aren't willing to contribute conventionally.
December 6, 2025 at 5:53 PM
It's not credible the US would fight a nuclear war over Europe if they aren't willing to contribute conventionally.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
6/ Europe, in my view, should remain strong and become more assertive toward its adversaries. We have returned to a world where power is defined solely by those holding the biggest clubs. And if you don’t have big enough club - you will be someone’s breakfast
December 6, 2025 at 4:49 PM
6/ Europe, in my view, should remain strong and become more assertive toward its adversaries. We have returned to a world where power is defined solely by those holding the biggest clubs. And if you don’t have big enough club - you will be someone’s breakfast
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Truely
Greece's shipping oligarchs continue to sell oil tankers to Putin's shadow fleet every day. It's this shadow fleet (gray) that funds Russia's war in Ukraine. How can the EU expect to be taken seriously if it turns a blind eye to this? A massive failure...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/how-does-t...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/how-does-t...
December 6, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Truely
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Le dessin qui résume tout bsky.app/profile/will...
🇺🇸🇪🇺 Bon ben, vous ne trouverez RIEN de plus juste aujourd'hui.
December 6, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Le dessin qui résume tout bsky.app/profile/will...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Stærkt arbejde af @jakobbohr.bsky.social ! Blandt de uniformerede folk ombord på russiske skyggeflåde skibe har han ID på en tidligere Speznats-leder. Endnu et stærkt indicie på, at skyggeflåden også bliver brugt til militære formål. Læs med her👇🏻 danwatch.dk/tidligere-sp...
Tidligere Spetsnaz-leder dukkede pludselig op på skyggeflådeskib i Øresund
En lods var ved at sejle et tankskib gennem danske farvande, da han pludselig blev mødt af russiske mænd i camouflageuniformer. Danwatch kan nu afsløre, at en a
danwatch.dk
December 6, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Stærkt arbejde af @jakobbohr.bsky.social ! Blandt de uniformerede folk ombord på russiske skyggeflåde skibe har han ID på en tidligere Speznats-leder. Endnu et stærkt indicie på, at skyggeflåden også bliver brugt til militære formål. Læs med her👇🏻 danwatch.dk/tidligere-sp...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
"Europe’s leaders privately warned that the United States may be preparing to pressure Ukraine into territorial concessions without offering real security guarantees." Their only clue was absolutely everything the Trump administration have been saying and doing since 20 January.
December 5, 2025 at 6:51 PM
"Europe’s leaders privately warned that the United States may be preparing to pressure Ukraine into territorial concessions without offering real security guarantees." Their only clue was absolutely everything the Trump administration have been saying and doing since 20 January.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Sweden is ending financial aid to Tanzania, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Liberia and Bolivia, redirecting all funds to support Ukraine instead, according to the country’s Minister for International Development Coperation and Foreign Trade Benjamin Dousa.
December 5, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Sweden is ending financial aid to Tanzania, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Liberia and Bolivia, redirecting all funds to support Ukraine instead, according to the country’s Minister for International Development Coperation and Foreign Trade Benjamin Dousa.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
A whopping 65% of Germans say Germany is acting too cautiously in asserting its interests towards the United States.
December 5, 2025 at 7:18 PM
A whopping 65% of Germans say Germany is acting too cautiously in asserting its interests towards the United States.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Exactly. The new U.S. National Security Strategy is much worse for Europe than most people had imagined. Europe is described as a bigger threat than both China and Russia, and they outline the need for regime change in Western European countries as part of a civilizational struggle.
I assumed the NSS would just ignore/deprioritize Europe (It did that on defense/NATO).
But the actual message was: Europe matters to us, we must save it from itself, the EU and its wokeness. Thus, the USG is going all in on foreign interference to help the far-right win a civilizational war.
But the actual message was: Europe matters to us, we must save it from itself, the EU and its wokeness. Thus, the USG is going all in on foreign interference to help the far-right win a civilizational war.
a man with a mustache is wearing a white shirt and a blue sweater .
ALT: a man with a mustache is wearing a white shirt and a blue sweater .
media.tenor.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Exactly. The new U.S. National Security Strategy is much worse for Europe than most people had imagined. Europe is described as a bigger threat than both China and Russia, and they outline the need for regime change in Western European countries as part of a civilizational struggle.