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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

15/ Thank you for reading. If you found this insightful but still have questions, check out our free full report via the link below. Paid subscribers can download the original documents to conduct their own analysis of Russia’s modernization plans: frontelligence.substack.com/p/exclusive-...

Exclusive: Inside Russia’s 2026–2036 Tank Fleet Modernization and Buildup Plans

In the spring and summer of 2025, as part of our own operation, our team obtained exclusive documents that provide new insight into Russia’s tank-production plans and confirm the existence of a little...

frontelligence.substack.com

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

14/ Russia’s long-term tank production plan is ambitious: from 2026–2036, Moscow aims to fully supply its operational fleet without downsizing the wartime army. Most of these tanks are scheduled for production by 2029, well ahead of the decade’s end.

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

13/ Another notable and somewhat unexpected finding was the BMPT “Terminator.” Unlike the T-90M, its production remains limited, with just 86 vehicles planned for overhaul or assembly between 2027 and 2036. The vehicle appears to be somewhat sidelined

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

12/ Combining all known figures for T-90M, T-90M2, and even T-72B3M, Russia’s armored modernization target reaches 2,611 tanks from 2026–2036, in addition to vehicles already produced in 2024 and 2025. That’s enough to fully refresh its tank fleet for another large-scale war

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

11/ That said, we treat T-72 figures with caution. While modernization parts are supplied at a 1:1 ratio like the T-90, some may be spares. Due to this uncertainty, we do not include T-72s in our final production estimates, keeping our confidence lower than for T-90 numbers

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

10/ Parallel documents show that by 2036, Russia intends to overhaul or upgrade 828 tanks into the T-72B3M configuration. Peak modernization also hits in 2028, with nearly 500 T-72B3M units expected between 2027 and 2029 alone.

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

9/ One expert who consulted us suggested that the absence of new production (P) data after 2029 could reflect plans to introduce a newer tank variant around that time, making it unnecessary to reserve production capacity so far in advance.

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

8/ 2029 is the last year marked “P” for production. Our team has speculated that 2030 may be reserved for factory reorganization, expansion, or modernization, which could explain the missing year

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

7/ Even if Moscow misses its target by 30%, the total still exceeds 780 modern tanks in just three years. Across the full decade, planned production of T-90M and T-90M2 models reaches at least 1,783 units.

Curiously, 2030 is not present on the production schedule at all

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

6/ At least 10 new T-90M2 tanks are scheduled for 2026, but production surges from 2027, peaking in 2028 with 428 T-90M and T-90M2 units, a near 80% jump from 2024. Between 2027–2029, Russia plans to produce, overhaul and modernize 1,118 T-90M and T-90M2 tanks

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

5/ Another document proved decisive: a letter from Uralvagonzavod’s commercial director to ZOMZ outlined production plans from 2026 to 2036, detailing annual projections for new tanks, capital overhauls (CO), and modernization (M).

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

4/ Further analysis of procurement records showed Uralvagonzavod ordering IS-445 sensors for T-90M, T-90M2, and BMPT “Terminator” production - covering the years 2026–2036. Only 1 sensor fits each tank, allowing us to estimate production targets (Screenshot of a technical manual)

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

3/ Digging deeper, we identified “Product 188M2” as the T-90M2, the latest variant of the T-90M (Product 188M). A careless online bio from a Russian engineer posted on Russian Scientific and Engineering Union revealed its name: “Ryvok-1", which roughly can be translated as Dash-1

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

2/ Our investigation began with what appeared to be a routine document: Uralvagonzavod requested “IS-445” engine RPM sensors from Zagorsk Optical-Mechanical Plant (ZOMZ) for a project listed as “Product 188M2.” This single line became the starting point of a larger discovery

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 13h

Russia’s T-90 tank production in 2024 reached around 240 units, including both new and modernized tanks. But internal planning papers analyzed by Frontelligence Insight show Moscow’s plan to lift output by 80% and launch production of a new T90 variant. 🧵Our Special Report:

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 16h

2/I also want to thank everyone who has supported us financially through donations or subscriptions.
This kind of work takes months, not weeks, and without your support, it wouldn’t be possible. So if you’ve been donating, this is your work too.

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 18h

Most of destroyed tanks are older tanks, not T90M, which they are preserving at the moment.

In 2025 they significantly reduced the use of tanks or other vehicles, banking on infantry attacks mostly

China indeed helps them by selling manufacturing machinery. We did investigation aboit that too

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 18h

The procurement contracts are actual contracts, as in any other state, not a wishlist. They purchase parts and fulfill the state order. As for completing the contract, I doubt they’ll be able to achieve 100%, but even fulfilling 70% would still result in high numbers

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 19h

Our exclusive report on Russia’s tank production is out. Using internal files and state contracts, we show production plans for the next decade and current output. A short thread will follow soon, but for now, you can read the report

frontelligence.substack.com/p/exclusive-inside-russias-20262036

Exclusive: Inside Russia’s 2026–2036 Tank Fleet Modernization and Buildup Plans

In the spring and summer of 2025, as part of our own operation, our team obtained exclusive documents that provide new insight into Russia’s tank-production plans and confirm the existence of a little...

frontelligence.substack.com

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 1d

I’m writing to let you know that today (Oct 11th) our team will release a major report. It covers nearly a decade of tank production across various variants. This document-based report will uncover Russian plans to expand and modernize its tank fleet. I hope you’ll have a chance to read and share it

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 2d

Jokes are already emerging: As the Nobel Peace Prize is awarded to Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, in retaliation, the US will impose tariffs on Norway and start supporting Maduro.

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 2d

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to María Corina Machado, a Venezuelan opposition politician

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Reposted by Tatarigami

Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 7d

If you’re curious which of Russia’s much-hyped "wunderwaffe" project has likely been sidelined, as suggested by production numbers, don’t forget to support our work. We deliver unique investigative materials that were previously unavailable to the public

Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 7d

In the coming days, our team will release a major investigation into a new, unannounced Russian tank and tank production plans for the years ahead - made possible by your donations in August. Meanwhile, we ask for your support for October. We have a few surprises!

buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence

Frontelligence Insight is All Source Public Intelligence

Satellite imagery and other expenses 

buymeacoffee.com

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 6d

RU side

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Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 6d

3/ This is very close to our earlier estimates published in July and August, which pointed to 8,400–10,500 KIA per month. These estimates have proven to be quite accurate, demonstrating that our methodology is precise and reliable

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