Per Nielsen
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Per Nielsen
@perwagner.bsky.social
Economist and data scientist. Find my substack here: https://perwagner.substack.com

The only sure way to have peace is surrender. Lets not do that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVvgNs8tqI
It is with sadness that I note the missing danish signature.
December 8, 2025 at 2:03 PM
It seems like the German perception on the nuclear issue has changed quite rapidly. Is it possible/probable that the Germans attitude towards a German nuclear bomb will change as well?
December 8, 2025 at 9:40 AM
will be seen by future generations as treason to European security.
December 7, 2025 at 9:09 PM
They will not be deterred by communiqués and carefully balanced Council conclusions. They will be deterred only by a Europe that can decide fast, mobilize at scale, and speak with a single military voice when it must. Not making these, or similar changes,
December 7, 2025 at 9:09 PM
will always be vulnerable to a hostile Kremlin’s risk-taking. This clearly means more European nuclear states—not polite begging rights. A nuclear armed Poland, Finland, Sweden, or Norway would completely change the calculus for Russia.
December 7, 2025 at 9:08 PM
arms-control agreements have eroded. Serious analysts now openly debate whether U.S. extended deterrence in Europe will remain credible in a prolonged crisis. A European-led defence architecture that remains entirely dependent on U.S., British, or French political will to employ nuclear weapons
December 7, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Perhaps article 5 will work exactly as spelled out in the text. The countries bordering Russia will sent troops and do the heavy fighting and dying and the Spains, Portugals and Americans will sent lunch boxes and helmets and complain loudly in the UN.
December 7, 2025 at 5:53 PM
The long game for Europe is still complete strategic autonomy from the US (and others, like China). We should not have our security dictated from Washington because we are apparently unable to do anything without the aid of American "strategic enablers".
December 7, 2025 at 5:43 PM
be dependent on them for our defense, as I still don't quite believe that they see Russia as the same existential threat that we, Russia's neighbors, do.
December 7, 2025 at 9:57 AM
these sympathies or tendencies, but it is very doubtful that they will get any political power (and they are all relatively small parties); They have nowhere near the size of popularity of the likes of AfD or Le Pen.

Agree that this 'alliance' shouldn't "cut off" our allies; I just don't wanna
December 7, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Yes, the spectra of a Trump/Putin sympathetic government is an issue.However, I don't see any signs of pro-Russia sympathies among the significant populists parties in the Baltic region, even in Poland (they all seem very anti-russian). In Denmark, the fringe right and left wing parties does have
December 7, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Many of us say Russia absolutely doesn't want peace. Journalists really shouldn't report "he says, she says" but put the head out the window and conclude what the facts of the matters are. Then they would see there are no evidences Russia really wants peace.
December 7, 2025 at 6:38 AM
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Moreover, deterrence is partly about perception and credibility; therefore, even the mere perception in Russia that the transatlantic security architecture is beginning to erode could invite nuclear–conventional military brinkmanship.
December 7, 2025 at 9:24 AM