Jacob Kaarsbo
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jkaarsbo.bsky.social
Jacob Kaarsbo
@jkaarsbo.bsky.social
Foreign, security and defence policy analysis. 15 yrs @ Danish Defence Intelligence Service. Sportsnerd.
If you need good news today, it’s coming out of Brussels after the Merz, von der Leyen dinner with de Wever! www.ft.com/content/4283... Germany and EU hold ‘constructive’ talks with Belgium on Russian assets
Germany and EU hold ‘constructive’ talks with Belgium on Russian assets
Merz jetted to Brussels for dinner with Belgian premier on Friday to try to win approval for a reparations loan for Kyiv
www.ft.com
December 6, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Stærkt arbejde af @jakobbohr.bsky.social ! Blandt de uniformerede folk ombord på russiske skyggeflåde skibe har han ID på en tidligere Speznats-leder. Endnu et stærkt indicie på, at skyggeflåden også bliver brugt til militære formål. Læs med her👇🏻 danwatch.dk/tidligere-sp...
Tidligere Spetsnaz-leder dukkede pludselig op på skyggeflådeskib i Øresund
En lods var ved at sejle et tankskib gennem danske farvande, da han pludselig blev mødt af russiske mænd i camouflageuniformer. Danwatch kan nu afsløre, at en a
danwatch.dk
December 6, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
I assumed the NSS would just ignore/deprioritize Europe (It did that on defense/NATO).

But the actual message was: Europe matters to us, we must save it from itself, the EU and its wokeness. Thus, the USG is going all in on foreign interference to help the far-right win a civilizational war.
a man with a mustache is wearing a white shirt and a blue sweater .
ALT: a man with a mustache is wearing a white shirt and a blue sweater .
media.tenor.com
December 5, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
Cotton froze when Berman asked the obvious: “Would it be legal for Arkansas police to kill suspected drug dealers on a boat?” He can’t defend the legality of the strike without admitting it would be illegal at home, and it exposes Trump and Hegseth. #holdfast

www.youtube.com/watch?v=8fDt...
December 5, 2025: Cotton joins CNN
YouTube video by Senator Tom Cotton
www.youtube.com
December 5, 2025 at 7:04 PM
“I’m shaken, I’m stirred, but I’m not at all surprised”!

Watch my discussion of the new US Nat Sec Strategy with Zev Shalev (🇮🇱🇿🇦🇺🇸), Dean Blundell (🇨🇦) and Trump’s former fixer Lev Parnas (🇺🇦🇺🇸) right here👇🏻

open.substack.com/pub/narativ/...
Trump Declares War on Europe
FiveStack Special Report | A 33-page national security strategy reveals America has switched teams
open.substack.com
December 6, 2025 at 7:05 AM
Stor fornøjelse at gæste USApol podcast til en snak om Trumps “fredsforhandlinger” ml 🇷🇺 og 🇺🇦, eller som jeg kalder det “maskerade”. Lyt med her👇🏻
I den seneste tid har Donald Trump givet det endnu et forsøg at få afsluttet krigen i Ukraine. Men tættere på fred eller en afslutning er vi alligevel slet ikke kommet, vurderer @jkaarsbo.bsky.social, der er gæst i årets sidste podcast fra USAPol.

Lyt med:
podcasts.apple.com/dk/podcast/u...
December 5, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Big news this!!!
The Trump administration actually opposes a blatant 🇷🇺 war crime. How deep the 🇺🇸 has fallen when this actually makes the news🥶
🇷🇺 🇺🇦 The United States joined 90 other countries at the United Nations on Wednesday to demand #Russia "ensure the immediate, safe and unconditional return of all Ukrainian children who have been forcibly transferred or deported" and urge Moscow to stop the practice.

www.reuters.com/world/us-bac...
US backs UN demand for Russia to return abducted Ukrainian children
The United States joined 90 other countries at the United Nations on Wednesday to demand Russia "ensure the immediate, safe and unconditional return of all Ukrainian children who have been forcibly tr...
www.reuters.com
December 4, 2025 at 6:07 AM
"Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth seems to be a war criminal. Without a war. An interesting achievement".

I'd say it's a historic achievement🙈
December 3, 2025 at 3:36 PM
It's in the Kremlin's strategic interest to keep up the diplomatic masquerade dressed up as "peace negotiations". The Coalition of the Willing mustn't take tbe bait!

Check out my latest 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
December 3, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Probably one of the shittiest coverups ever! 💩
December 3, 2025 at 1:51 PM
It’s in the Kremlin’s interest to keep the masquerade called “peace negotiations” going. The intent is to keep Ukraine’s supporters on the back foot while continuing the war on 🇺🇦. Trump is a witting asset waiting to pursue trillion dollar deals, Dimitriev has waved under his nose for months!
December 3, 2025 at 6:59 AM
This is absolutely the only way to go: Europe needs its own plan for 🇺🇦!
And not just any plan. A European strategy for victory is a requirement for a sustainable negotiated settlement. Seems hard for a lot of people to understand...
December 2, 2025 at 9:56 AM
Ah so killing survivors who hang on to a wreck at sea is self-defence…amazing MAGA loyalist lawyers in the Trump administration🙈
PS: remember how the JAGs were removed in February. This is what you get!
Reporter: “You said that the follow-up strike was lawful. What law is it that allows no survivors?”

Leavitt: “The strike conducted on September 2 was conducted in self-defense to protect Americans and vital United States interests…And in accordance with the law of armed conflict.”
December 2, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Two possibilities: 1) if defining smugglers/fishermen as enemy combatants is illegal (very likely) Hegseth belongs in a 🇺🇸 jail for extrajudicial killings, or 2) if definition is legal Hegseth belongs in The Hague
Reporter: You said that that second strike was in full accordance with the law of armed conflict but the Navy's own manual of law of war says that specifically firing on survivors from a wrecked vessel is an example of a war crime that's forbidden under U.S. Law and the law of armed conflict…
December 1, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Oh yeah sure. And the 🇺🇦 government is corrupt, but no corruption in 🇷🇺. Right. My bad🙃
Q: "POTUS said it was his intention to pardon the former President of Honduras who was a convicted drug trafficker…How is that different than what the administration is accusing Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro of?"

Leavitt: "The former-President Hernandez was set up.”
December 1, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
An exhaustive and utterly damning assesment. "In sum, there is simply no plausible argument that the reported killing of two survivors clinging to the burning wreckage of their stricken vessel could be anything other than an extrajudicial killing." www.justsecurity.org/125948/illeg...
Unlawful Orders and Killing Shipwrecked Boat Strike Survivors: An Expert Backgrounder
An expert backgrounder on the reported Hegseth "no quarter" order to kill everyone aboard a suspected drug boat in the Caribbean on Sept. 2.
www.justsecurity.org
December 1, 2025 at 3:44 PM
For months, Steve Witkoff and Kirill Dimitriev have been cooking up how extract as much as possible for 🇷🇺 and 🇺🇸 through a deal about 🇺🇦 without 🇺🇦!

Watch my analysis right here👇
open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
December 1, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
If the Venezuelan sailors were enemy combatants, then the 2nd strike is a war crime.

If the Venezuelan sailors weren’t enemy combatants, then both strikes are criminal murder.

It’s that simple.
November 30, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Still no tariffs on 🇷🇺 and 🇺🇦 has to ask for a waiver🤡
Amid his collusion w #Kremlin, #Trump envoy #Witkoff suggests #Ukraine seek 10-year tariff waiver fm US rather than #Tomahawk cruise missiles for strikes inside #Russia.

Witkoff: Tariff waiver would provide an economic stimulus --- "What good could handful of missiles do?"

#TrumpRussia #UkraineWar
November 30, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Except MAGA-loyalists, are there any lawyers out there who wouldn’t define what Hegseth is ordering as either a war crime or extrajudicial killing? If a case is started in The Hague I guess we’ve seen our last NATO defence ministers meeting with 🇺🇸 participation! www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...
November 30, 2025 at 8:11 AM
When Witkoff deals with Russia, it's "Russia First"!

Watch my take right here 👇
open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
November 26, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
Calling them the “Seditious Six” & branding their statements “despicable” before review is textbook definition of prejudgment. No panel, judge, or reviewing authority can claim neutrality once the SECDEF declares the accused guilty. This looks like the procedures used in dictatorships, not the US.
November 24, 2025 at 8:16 PM
What we're witnessing in Geneva is most likely a diplomatic masquerade. It keeps the 🇺🇦 and Europeans believing there's something to be achieved, but most likely it's another dead end. At the end of the day faux diplomacy serves Putin's interest! My take 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
November 24, 2025 at 9:38 AM
😂
In honour of its proponents, I suggest that the Dmitriev-Witkoff proposal should henceforth be called the Dim-Wit Plan
November 23, 2025 at 3:14 PM