Garry Peterson

@resiliencesci.bsky.social

3.3K followers 1.3K following 960 posts

Director FinBio.org
Professor of Environmental Science
with focus on Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University stockholmresilience.org

projects:
regimeshifts.org
biospherefutures.net
goodanthropocenes.net .. more

Videos

Environmental science 64%

Geography 16%

Posts Replies Media Videos

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Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · Nov 4

Resilience Science Must-Knows

Nine essential insights from global resilience science to help decision-makers navigate a turbulent world.

Developed in dialogue with decision makers, and synthesised by an international team of resilience researchers

www.stockholmresilience.org/research/res...

Resilience Science Must-Knows

Nine things every decision maker should know about resilience

www.stockholmresilience.org

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 19h

"In 2023, US$7.3 trillion flowed into nature-negative activities—from fossil fuel subsidies to investments in high-impact sectors like utilities and energy.

Meanwhile, only US$220 billion supported NbS, with private finance contributing just US$23 billion"
www.unep.org/resources/st...

State of Finance for Nature 2026

UNEP's State of Finance for Nature 2026: Nature in the Red: Powering the Trillion Dollar Nature Transition Economy tracks global finance flows to Nature-based Solutions (NbS) and reveals that we are f...

www.unep.org

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 19h

UNEP's State of Finance for Nature 2026: Nature in the Red: Powering the Trillion Dollar Nature Transition Economy
www.unep.org/resources/st...

it highlight the need to green finance as

For every $1 spent protecting nature, $30 goes to destroying it
news.un.org/en/story/202...

State of Finance for Nature 2026

www.unep.org

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Damian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 1d

Amsterdam become's world's first capital city to ban meat advertising

- "It shows politicians are taking climate goals seriously," says Reint Jan Renes, at Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences

#climatecrisis
www.volkskrant.nl/binnenland/g...

Geen reclame meer voor cruises en hamburgers in Amsterdam: ‘Politiek neemt klimaatdoelen serieus’

In de openbare ruimte van Amsterdam gaat een verbod gelden op reclames voor vlees en producten waar fossiele brandstoffen in zitten. Daarmee volgt de hoofdstad het voorbeeld van diverse andere Nederla...

www.volkskrant.nl

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Professor Euan Ritchie @euanritchie.bsky.social · 1d

"Some have argued the impact of introduced species has been overstated, and that introduced species should be seen as a legitimate part of Australia’s ecosystems. Scientific evidence and conservation outcomes do not support this." theconversation.com/yes-feral-ca... - @aunz.theconversation.com

Reposted by Neil Pederson

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 2d

US represents ~1/4 of global science so I change in the US science has a global impact

"US science after a year of Trump: A series of graphics reveals how the Trump administration has sought historic cuts to science and the research workforce"
www.nature.com/immersive/d4...

US science after a year of Trump: what has been lost and what remains

A series of graphics reveals how the Trump administration has sought historic cuts to science and the research workforce.

www.nature.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Victor Galaz @vgalaz.bsky.social · 2d

As an immigrant myself, this photo truly breaks my heart.

Annie M Leonard @anniemleonard.bsky.social · 2d

Every day more lines are crossed & more people say “enough” and join their neighbors in resistance.

Seeing a 5 year old child detained by ICE is breaks my heart & supercharges my commitment to end this horror. Look at his face-there is no way we can just sit by. #enough!

ICE detains five-year-old Minnesota boy arriving home, say school officials

Superintendent says Liam Ramos and his father were taken into custody while in their driveway and sent to Texas

www.theguardian.com

Reposted by Jens‐Christian Svenning, Yadvinder Malhi, Brian J. Enquist , and 8 more Jens‐Christian Svenning, Yadvinder Malhi, Brian J. Enquist, Garry Peterson, Francis Martin, Jason Stajich, Zen Faulkes, Aidan O’Sullivan, Peter Jacobs, Irena Šímová, Maria Faticov

Laura Cooper @transitionalform.bsky.social · 2d

Our paper on the mysterious Devonian organism Prototaxites has now finally been published! See the paper here (www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...) and our explainer thread below!
Prototaxites reconstruction by Matt Humpage

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 2d

more memorials:
KM Seethi - Madras Courier
madrascourier.com/environment/...

Mongabay
news.mongabay.com/2026/01/madh...

UNEP
www.unep.org/championsofe...

J Ramesh in Nature
www.nature.com/articles/d44...

Madhav Gadgil, The Ecologist Who Listened To The Hills And Trusted The People | Madras Courier

madrascourier.com

Reposted by Stephen R. Carpenter

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 2d

Madhav Gadgil (1942-2026): People’s scientist
frontline.thehindu.com/other/obitua...
"Ecologist and public intellectual, he founded ecological studies in India and spent six decades insisting conservation must begin with communities"

Madhav Gadgil: Ecology, Justice, and the Western Ghats

Scientist, activist, and dissenter, Gadgil built India’s ecological thought around communities. His research and movements show how biodiversity loss, caste, and class exploitation are inseparable in ...

frontline.thehindu.com

Reposted by Joost Vervoort

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d

via @joostvervoort.bsky.social
scholar of video games & sustainability
who is also developing "All Will Rise"
one of the games mentioned in the article
store.steampowered.com/app/3165340/...
www.kickstarter.com/projects/spe...

All Will Rise on Steam

The river is a god, and they killed her. It’s time for ordinary people to hold them to account. Manage your team. Mix with ecoterrorists and godmen. Build your deck, follow leads and find allies. Make...

store.steampowered.com

Reposted by Joost Vervoort

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d

Joy is the radical tool games need to turn eco-anxiety into agency
by Volha Kapitonava
www.gamesindustry.biz/joy-is-the-r...

reviews video games focussed on social-ecological transformation

Joy is the radical tool games need to turn eco-anxiety into agency | Opinion

Climate doom is overwhelming a generation of players. But a new wave of games is building the belief that change is possible

www.gamesindustry.biz

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Steve Carpenter @steve-carpenter.bsky.social · 3d

Ecosystem experiments: How does rate of forcing affect resilience, early warnings and critical transitions? Brock and others in ECOSYSTEMS rdcu.be/eZXqb or
DOI 10.1007/s10021-025-01042-y

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d

"When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself...But that cost of strategic autonomy...can also be shared. Collective investments in resilience are cheaper than everyone building their own fortress. Shared standards reduce fragmentation. Complementarities are positive sum."

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d

“great powers began using economic integration as weapons. Tariffs as leverage. Financial infrastructure as coercion. …You cannot “live within the lie” of mutual benefit through integration when integration becomes the source of your subordination”-Carney

www.policymagazine.ca/the-old-orde...

'The Old Order is Not Coming Back': Mark Carney's Speech to the World Economic Forum - Policy Magazine

The following is the text of Prime Minister Mark Carney's speech to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on January 20, 2026.

www.policymagazine.ca

Reposted by Stephen R. Carpenter

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d

Canadian PM
www.cpac.ca/headline-pol...

"Let me be direct: We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition...The middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, we’re are on the menu”

www.cbc.ca/news/politic...

World Economic Forum: Special Address by PM Mark Carney

Prime Minister Mark Carney delivers remarks and participates in a discussion while attending a meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland. Joining the prime minister are Laurenc...

www.cpac.ca

Reposted by Will Jennings, Garry Peterson, Kevin Milligan , and 8 more Will Jennings, Garry Peterson, Kevin Milligan, Simon Wren‐Lewis, R. M. Wilson, Robert Wolfe, Jacob T. Levy, Margot C. Finn, Greg Linden, David D. Buck, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Brian Platt @brianplatt.bsky.social · 3d

In a speech to the World Economic Forum, Mark Carney says middle powers such as Canada must accept that the rules-based international order is effectively dead, and great power rivalry with is here to stay. Key excerpt:

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d

"Global supply chains are increasingly exposed to climate-related disruptions, redrawing the boundaries of what can be insured and how risk is distributed across the global economy. ...the burden of loss increasingly shifts to public budgets, enterprises, and households"
www.sei.org/about-sei/pr...

Climate risks to insurance and reinsurance of global supply chains – a new report from SEI shows

Insurance and reinsurance systems are central to managing climate risks in global supply chains, according to a new SEI report.

www.sei.org

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d

Enhancing institutional fit without formal institutional change: farmer-practitioner relationships and agricultural conservation programs in the Chesapeake Bay, USA
Read+
doi.org/10.5751/ES-1...

Fig. 1. Role of conservation practitioners in improving institutional fit. The initial condition (A) is an institutional misfit between the design of agricultural conservation assistance programs and farmers’ expectations for the application and funding process and the impact of conservation on their farm operations. An improved, but not perfect, institutional fit (B) results from conservation practitioners working to resolve differences between farmers’ expectations and institutions, and “Achieving fit” by Sharing Relevant Knowledge, Understanding the Farm Context, and Being Professional.

Reposted by Garry Peterson

Stockholm Resilience Centre @sthlmresilience.bsky.social · 4d

“Sustainability scientists and environmentalists must defend academic freedom.”

This is the call from Centre professor Thomas Elmqvist and fellow researchers in a recent commentary published in Nature Sustainability.

Learn more about the study here: buff.ly/fKpd3yj

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d

Perception of Global risks over the long term (10 years)
by stakeholder group

Environmental risks dominate across all stakeholder groups

The overall 10-year risk outlook has remained
relatively stable compared to last year’s Global
Risks Report, suggesting that little has been
achieved when it comes to risk mitigation or
solutions. Extreme weather events (#1), Natural
resource shortages (#4), Misinformation and
disinformation (#5), Adverse outcomes of AI
(#6) and Pollution (#10) rank identically compared
to last year’s edition. However, when it comes
to Pollution, it is noticeable that younger survey
respondents are especially concerned, with the
under 30s age group ranking it at #3. There is
also divergence across stakeholder groups in how
Pollution is ranked, with government respondents, but not by business.

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d

WEF Global Risks Report 2025
+interactive data platform are
www.weforum.org/publications...

$Societal fractures are central to the overall risks landscape, as shown in the risk interconnections map (Figure D). Inequality (wealth, income) is perceived as the most central risk of all, playing a significant role in both triggering and being influenced by other risks. It is contributing to weakening trust and diminishing our collective sense of shared values. As well as Inequality, other societal risks also feature in the top 10 of the two-year ranking: Societal polarization, Involuntary migration or displacement and Erosion of human rights and/ or civic freedoms. The importance ascribed to this set of societal risks by respondents suggests that social stability will be fragile over the next two years.$

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d

"Why is Trump going to Davos?
He’s punching them in the head and telling them who’s in charge.
He’s informing them that, basically, unless they align with him, they no longer matter”
-Mark Blyth, political economist at Brown U
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/b...

As Davos Convenes, Deference to Trump Has Replaced Everything

www.nytimes.com

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d

‘This Could End Very Badly’: A Human Rights Lawyer [Philippe Sands] Fears a New Age of Impunity www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/m...

‘This Could End Very Badly’: A Human Rights Lawyer Fears a New Age of Impunity

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson, John R. Hutchinson, Trevor A. Branch , and 4 more Garry Peterson, John R. Hutchinson, Trevor A. Branch, Stephen D. Murphy, Maria Abreu, Catherine J. Frieman, Roos Vonk

Tay (Antonio J. Osuna Mascaró) @biotay.bsky.social · 4d

Cow Tools!

We have lived alongside cows for nearly 10,000 years.
We breed them and exploit them

It is now, only now, that we have discovered THEY CAN USE TOOLS

Here I describe our study

(paper) www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... in @currentbiology.bsky.social
with @auersperga.bsky.social

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Stephan Lewandowsky, Sander van der Linden , and 9 more Lisa W. Fazio, Stephan Lewandowsky, Sander van der Linden, Garry Peterson, Scott L. Greer, Serge Guimond, Melanie C. Green, Patrick S. Forscher, Victor Galaz, Cailin O’Connor, Kate Starbird, Johannes Breuer

Kai Kupferschmidt @kakape.bsky.social · 4d

One of the issues that has come up again and again in my reporting on misinformation and social media is the massive influence social media companies have on research in the field.

Last night a preprint dropped that tries to get at this with some numbers. My piece in @science.org (and 🧪🧵 coming):

Nearly a third of social media research has undisclosed ties to industry, preprint claims

Industry-linked studies were also more likely to focus on particular topics, suggesting these ties may be skewing the field

www.science.org

Lydia Polgreen @polgreen.bsky.social · 5d

I went to Minneapolis last week. What I saw was horrifying and inspiring in equal measure. Gift link to my latest column: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/o...

Opinion | In Minneapolis, I Glimpsed a Civil War

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson, Gavin A. Schmidt

Scott 🥐 🐟📈 @fishecon.bsky.social · 5d

🎁🔗 www.wsj.com/real-estate/...

The Climate-Disaster Scores That Could Make or Break Your Home Sale

Millions of home sellers and buyers are caught in the crossfire over how to rate a home’s exposure.

www.wsj.com

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d

The dangerous triumph of neo-mercantilism: Liberal trade policies are giving way to frictions that could lead to outright conflict
Wolf in FT
www.ft.com/content/cd68...

Based on the provided image, here is a detailed description of the chart.

### **Overview**

The image is a line chart published by the **Financial Times** titled **"The great trade expansion is over, but it has a very long way to fall."**

The chart tracks **Global exports of goods as a % of GDP** over a long historical period, roughly from **1827 to 2022**. It visualizes the rise and fall of global trade relative to the global economy, annotated with ten significant historical events that influenced these trends.

---

### **Key Data Trends**

* **19th Century Growth (1840s–1914):** The chart begins with trade around 5-7% of GDP. Despite dips (such as during the Opium Wars), it generally trends upward, reaching approximately 14% prior to World War I.
* **The Great Collapse (1914–1945):** This period shows extreme volatility and a massive decline.
* **WWI (Event 3)** causes a sharp drop.
* A brief recovery is followed by a crash during the **Smoot-Hawley Act (Event 4)** and the Great Depression.
* The lowest point on the chart is reached during **WWII (Event 5)**, where exports plummet to roughly **5% of GDP**.

* **Post-War Recovery (1945–1990):** Following the signing of GATT (Event 6), there is a steady, consistent climb from the 5% low back up to around 15%.
* **Hyper-Globalization (1990–2008):** The line spikes dramatically upward.
* Following the break-up of the USSR (Event 7) and China joining the WTO (Event 8), the graph shoots vertically.
* **Peak:** The chart hits its all-time high of roughly **25%** just before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.

* **Current Stagnation/Decline (2008–Present):** After the 2008 crisis (Event 9), the trend drops sharply, recovers slightly, and then becomes volatile with a downward trajectory. By the end of the chart (near 2022), it sits just above **20%**, marking the end of the "expansion" mentioned in the title.

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d

"The Authoritarian Stack:
How Tech Billionaires Are Building a Post-Democratic America — And Why Europe Is Next"
Bria+
www.authoritarian-stack.info
"a network of firms, funds, and political actors turning core state functions into private platforms"

The Authoritarian Stack

How Tech Billionaires Are Building a Post-Democratic America — And Why Europe Is Next

www.authoritarian-stack.info

Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d

"Total fertility rates (TFRs) halved on average across OECD countries since the 1960s...
given the uncertainty around the evolution of both fertility and employment rates in the future, it would be prudent to prepare for a low-fertility future"
www.oecd.org/en/publicati...

[UN] Projections have systematically overestimated the total fertility rates, and have therefore underestimated the pace of population ageing. Invariably, projections have assumed that the decline in the total fertility
rate would stop around the time the projections were published and start increasing again soon after, only for the next edition to reveal that the trend reversal did not happen – except for a brief period between
2005 and 2010 (Figure 1.1). Estimates of the total fertility rate in 2025 have been corrected downward with almost every new edition: while the 1994 edition still foresaw a total fertility rate of 2.01 in 2025 on average
across OECD countries, by the 2024 edition the estimate had decreased to 1.46.

The most recent projections still display a trend reversal around the time of the projection, but do not assume a substantial rebound in fertility levels. Projections in the 1990s assumed a quick return to the replacement level of 2.1 live births per woman by the end of the projection horizon in 2050, although editions since 2012 project a milder increase over the rest of the century. Under the 2024 projections, the
average total fertility rate across OECD countries is projected to reach its lowest point in 2025, at 1.46, after which it would slightly increase.

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