Seán Hanley

Plaga: Pokud Motoristé nezvládnou situaci vysvětlit, Turek nemůže být ministrem zahraničí

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Filip Turek’s surprise, surprise) racist and misogynistic social media posts are leading prominent ANO figures publicly to reject Motorist leader as a possible Foreign Minister. A cynic might say they probably knew of these messages for a long time and anticipated playing this card.

Deník N @denikn.cz · 2d

Pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích. „Pokud se potvrdí pravost výroků, situace je vážná a z mého pohledu na post ministra zahraniční nehratelná,“ uvedl.

Bývalý a zároveň pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od nenávistných výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích...

denikn.cz

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Jake Grumbach

@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

“Win every election” is not a viable strategy for preventing authoritarianism

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Reposted by Seán Hanley

Deník N

@denikn.cz

Pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích. „Pokud se potvrdí pravost výroků, situace je vážná a z mého pohledu na post ministra zahraniční nehratelná,“ uvedl.

Plaga: Pokud Motoristé nezvládnou situaci vysvětlit, Turek nemůže být ministrem zahraničí

Bývalý a zároveň pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od nenávistných výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích...

denikn.cz

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Komentář: Proč „pravice“ prohrála volby? Protože je nevyhrála nikdy - Seznam Zprávy

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

The centre-right and liberal centre in Czechia only ever win when lots small parties on left and populist side fall below 5% threshold (1992, 2010, 2022), - the default is for them be out of power argues @jindrichsidlo.zpravobot.news.ap.brid.gy Yes, spot on. www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/domac...

Jen třikrát v polistopadové historii získala česká „pravice“ většinu ve Sněmovně. Vždycky to ale bylo jen díky propadlým hlasům. Po víc než 30 letech experimentu je asi potřeba najít jinou cestu.

www.seznamzpravy.cz

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

After a conversation with Monday’s MA class, now wondering what a meeting between Donald Trump and Nicolae Ceaucescu would’ve been like.

László Krasznahorkai on hope, apocalypse, and his new short story

by Jonathan Wolff — Reposted by Seán Hanley, Lesley A. Hall, Michael H. Whitworth , and 2 more Seán Hanley, Lesley A. Hall, Michael H. Whitworth, Tim Leunig, Jonathan Wolff

Jo Wolff

@jowolff.bsky.social

The advice I give young people on choice of degree programme. Choose something you love. You’ve got the rest of your life to be frustrated and miserable.

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Reposted by Seán Hanley

Andrej Matisak

@matisaksk.bsky.social

Orbán's regime is a psychiatric case: László Krasznahorkai, #NobelPrize for Literature winner.
yalereview.org/article/l%C3... #Hungary

Hari Kunzru interviews the Hungarian novelist László Krasznahorkai.

yalereview.org

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Reposted by Seán Hanley

Andrej Matisak

@matisaksk.bsky.social

President #Macron appears to be more isolated than ever.
www.rfi.fr/en/france/20... #France #politics

As Macronists turn their backs on the president, left and right struggle to unite

Political journalists from RFI's French service examine where influential figures from across the political spectrum stand, ahead of the 8 October deadline given to outgoing prime minister Sébastien…

www.rfi.fr

A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective

Reposted by Seán Hanley

Andrej Matisak

@matisaksk.bsky.social

A Wargame to Take #Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
warontherocks.com/2025/10/a-wa... #China

In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,

warontherocks.com

The 2025 Czech election – Andrej Babiš’s Pyrrhic victory

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Fine blog on Czech election. Big win for Babiš as in 2017 pyrrhic.

But am left wondering after cost-of-living dominated campaign, if liberal–illiberal cultural divide so key. And if shapeshifting pragmatist AB really readable in classic left/right,lib/con terms?

blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...

Andrej Babiš’s ANO won the 2025 Czech election on 3–4 October. Yet as Jan Rovny explains, Babiš will find it challenging to form a stable government.

blogs.lse.ac.uk

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by Cas Mudde — Reposted by Seán Hanley, Ingo Rohlfing

Cas Ⓜ️udde

@casmudde.bsky.social

My main problem with this is not so much the dominance of quantitative methods in “top-20” journals but rather the dominance of the exclusive use of quantitative methods — in many cases causality could and should have been established by a (nested) qualitative study. *

Alexia Katsanidou @alexiakatsanidou.bsky.social · 8d

Great paper on the state of political science osf.io/preprints/os... by @guygrossman.bsky.social et. al. We have become more diverse, more quantitative, and more collaborative.

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by Jonathan Wolff — Reposted by Seán Hanley, Jonathan Wolff

Jo Wolff

@jowolff.bsky.social

Really I should have been born in the seventeenth century, when random speling was normal.

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Usually disadvantages smaller parties, but this time they have seats in in line with votes. Babis’s ANO somewhat overrepresented and Together under-represented. I would guess Babis benefited from large vote and some regional concentration.

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

There are regional disparities in where parties have their votes as well as disparities introduced by the uneven size of regional electoral district which are based on administrative units.

Češi rozhodli a Babiš si zpívá

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Vynikající analýza politologa Jakuba Lyska – zatím nejlepší z rychlých povolebních podcastů. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/5...

Podcast Episode · 5:59 · 05/10/2025 · 27m

podcasts.apple.com

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Reposted by Seán Hanley, Martin McKee, Holger Hestermeyer

Helene von Bismarck

@helenebismarck.bsky.social

Well it has happened.
The leadership of the Conservative&Unionist Party is advocating leaving the ECHR. Not reforming it, or working with other members to alter any rules.
Leave it. Like Putin’s Russia.
I can’t help wondering what those Tories who are rightly proud of 🇬🇧’s support for 🇺🇦 are thinking.

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Meanwhile the knives are likely to be out for Social Democrat leader Jan Maláčová whose decision to ally her declining party with the Communists in Enough! - after much wavering - has proved divisive and electorally a total failure.

Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Czech Communist leader Kateřina Konečná has conceded that the Communist-led Enough! bloc won’t make it into parliament and speedily denounced Babiš as offering “a right-wing government with a human face”

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Czech Communist leader Kateřina Konečná has conceded that the Communist-led Enough! bloc won’t make it into parliament and speedily denounced Babiš as offering “a right-wing government with a human face”

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

TLDR: Expect a Babiš-Motorist government with small majority or a strong minority administration reluctantly enabled by opposition parties as the less evil.

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Communist-led Enough grouping steadily on 4.5%. They don’t look likely to make into Parliament as bigger cities will not pick up that many votes in big urban area. I expected them to squeeze over 5% threshold. Few people including Babiš will mourn their absence.

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Pirates polling solidly - currently around 8%. Should creep up to around 10% when big cities counted.

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Together bloc of PM Fiala on around 20% which is likely to creep up as results of urban centres come. Respectable showing, slightly better than expectations.

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Far right Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) seem to have underperformed relative to expectations, well below 10%, likely losing votes to ANO and perhaps Motorists.

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Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

Motorists a big surprise easily clearing 5% threshold and now on 8-9%. Likely partner in a Babiš government. Analysts noticed a late uptick in support as they campaigned heavily at the end, but many - including me - wrote them off.

Who is Andrej Babiš? He wants to run the state like a business, but he won't visit Putin after the elections

Seán Hanley

@drseanhanley.bsky.social

With just under half of electoral precincts in Czechia counted, it looks like Andrej Babis’s ANO movement that won big. Now on 38% of votes counted. Likely to drop has results from big cities come in, but 35%?

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Reposted by Seán Hanley

Andrej Matisak

@matisaksk.bsky.social

#Czechia votes and if you are following it, listen also to my 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @drseanhanley.bsky.social : Who is Andrej Babiš? He wants to run the state like a business, but he won't visit Putin after the elections.
▶️ open.spotify.com/episode/6wqp... #politics

open.spotify.com

1

Reposted by Seán Hanley, Elizabeth Saunders, Steve Peers , and 5 more Seán Hanley, Elizabeth Saunders, Steve Peers, David R. Miller, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Dunlap, David Darmofal

Kyle Griffin

@kylegriffin1.bsky.social

Trump opens with a threat to the generals:

"I've never walked into a room so silent … Have a good time. And if you want to applaud, you applaud ... If you don't like what I'm saying, you can leave the room. Of course, there goes your rank, there goes your future. but you just feel nice and loose."

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