Reposted by Richard Skinner
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser is turning down a bid for a fourth term in office, setting the stage for a wide-open race to replace her next year. (via @wamu.org)
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser says she won't run for reelection
Bowser is turning down a bid for a fourth term in office, setting the stage for a wide-open race to replace her next year.
n.pr
November 25, 2025 at 10:54 PM
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser is turning down a bid for a fourth term in office, setting the stage for a wide-open race to replace her next year. (via @wamu.org)
Dems doing better with Hispanics, Asians, young people could be big boost for them in the Sun Belt.
Evidence that the massive swing among young voters back to Dems that we saw in NY, VA, and NJ earlier this month is not limited to those states.
Take PA: from Eday '24 to Jan 20th, young new regisrants were +5R.
In the last month of this year's election they were +24D.
Take PA: from Eday '24 to Jan 20th, young new regisrants were +5R.
In the last month of this year's election they were +24D.
November 25, 2025 at 10:16 PM
Dems doing better with Hispanics, Asians, young people could be big boost for them in the Sun Belt.
One small anti-doomer point: we just had election in state (VA) with GOP governor that not only produced Dem landslide but didn't have anything unusual happen re voting.
November 25, 2025 at 6:36 PM
One small anti-doomer point: we just had election in state (VA) with GOP governor that not only produced Dem landslide but didn't have anything unusual happen re voting.
So, so, so, so happy that Trouble
In Paradise is on this list. Naked Gun is a lot of fun but it's no 1. Even if you want a parody, Spinal Tap has it beat.
In Paradise is on this list. Naked Gun is a lot of fun but it's no 1. Even if you want a parody, Spinal Tap has it beat.
No Best in Show, Dirty Rotten Scoundrels, Death at a Funeral (the original), South Park movie, Death of Stalin.
Pshaw.
variety.com/lists/best-c...
Pshaw.
variety.com/lists/best-c...
The 100 Best Comedy Movies of All Time
Variety's list of the 100 best comedy movies of all time includes 'Annie Hall,' 'Pretty Woman,' 'Waiting for Guffman' and 'Young Frankenstein.'
variety.com
November 24, 2025 at 4:00 PM
So, so, so, so happy that Trouble
In Paradise is on this list. Naked Gun is a lot of fun but it's no 1. Even if you want a parody, Spinal Tap has it beat.
In Paradise is on this list. Naked Gun is a lot of fun but it's no 1. Even if you want a parody, Spinal Tap has it beat.
GOP cares most about immigration. Everyone else cares most about economy. Dems / Indies more worried about tariff / govt programs than GOP is.
Quite like this question about the issues people say they're looking at when evaluating Trump's presidency
www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
November 23, 2025 at 11:34 PM
GOP cares most about immigration. Everyone else cares most about economy. Dems / Indies more worried about tariff / govt programs than GOP is.
Reposted by Richard Skinner
"The high-income admissions advantage at Ivy-Plus colleges is driven by....(1) preferences for children of alumni, (2) weight placed on non-academic credentials, and (3) athletic recruitment" which are "uncorrelated or negatively correlated with post-college outcomes" unlike SAT/ACT scores
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Diversifying Society’s Leaders? The Determinants and Causal Effects of Admission to Highly Selective Private Colleges,” by Chetty (@Oppinsights), Deming, and Friedman: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Diversifying Society’s Leaders? The Determinants and Causal Effects of Admission to Highly Selective Private Colleges*
Abstract. We use anonymized admissions data from several colleges linked to income tax records and SAT and ACT test scores to study the determinants and ca
doi.org
November 23, 2025 at 9:29 PM
"The high-income admissions advantage at Ivy-Plus colleges is driven by....(1) preferences for children of alumni, (2) weight placed on non-academic credentials, and (3) athletic recruitment" which are "uncorrelated or negatively correlated with post-college outcomes" unlike SAT/ACT scores
Hi Mike Lawler! Hi Tom Kean Jr.!
He's supposed to be the treasury secretary for the whole country.
also...like, I bet Rs in purple seats in blue states really love to hear that the only solution the Rs have for inflation is for people to abandon their districts.
also...like, I bet Rs in purple seats in blue states really love to hear that the only solution the Rs have for inflation is for people to abandon their districts.
Bessent: "You know the best way to bring your inflation rate down? Move from a blue state to a red state. Blue state inflation is half a percent higher."
November 23, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Hi Mike Lawler! Hi Tom Kean Jr.!
Reposted by Richard Skinner
*Independents who voted for Trump in 2024* began term nearly unanimous in approving of his job handling... three in ten of them now disapprove
February: 94%
Apr-Mar: 81-89% range
Jun-Oct: 75-79%
Latest: 69%
That's a 25-point drop since initial reading — likely related to views on prices below
2/2
February: 94%
Apr-Mar: 81-89% range
Jun-Oct: 75-79%
Latest: 69%
That's a 25-point drop since initial reading — likely related to views on prices below
2/2
November 23, 2025 at 4:19 PM
*Independents who voted for Trump in 2024* began term nearly unanimous in approving of his job handling... three in ten of them now disapprove
February: 94%
Apr-Mar: 81-89% range
Jun-Oct: 75-79%
Latest: 69%
That's a 25-point drop since initial reading — likely related to views on prices below
2/2
February: 94%
Apr-Mar: 81-89% range
Jun-Oct: 75-79%
Latest: 69%
That's a 25-point drop since initial reading — likely related to views on prices below
2/2
Reposted by Richard Skinner
Trump rating at low point with many groups...
Age <30 (27% approve)
Hispanic (31%)
'24 non-voter (32%)
Non-college (42%)
+Men, White people, White non-college
Independents at low of 28%, with *strong* disapproval high of 56%
And Trump '24 voters down to 84% approval, due to independent drop
1/2
Age <30 (27% approve)
Hispanic (31%)
'24 non-voter (32%)
Non-college (42%)
+Men, White people, White non-college
Independents at low of 28%, with *strong* disapproval high of 56%
And Trump '24 voters down to 84% approval, due to independent drop
1/2
Our latest polling sees Trump's approval and economic ratings dip to new lows this term
40% approve of his overall job handling
36% approve of handling of economy
32% say national economy is good
On overall job rating, strong disapproval is 2x strong approval
More: www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
40% approve of his overall job handling
36% approve of handling of economy
32% say national economy is good
On overall job rating, strong disapproval is 2x strong approval
More: www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
November 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Trump rating at low point with many groups...
Age <30 (27% approve)
Hispanic (31%)
'24 non-voter (32%)
Non-college (42%)
+Men, White people, White non-college
Independents at low of 28%, with *strong* disapproval high of 56%
And Trump '24 voters down to 84% approval, due to independent drop
1/2
Age <30 (27% approve)
Hispanic (31%)
'24 non-voter (32%)
Non-college (42%)
+Men, White people, White non-college
Independents at low of 28%, with *strong* disapproval high of 56%
And Trump '24 voters down to 84% approval, due to independent drop
1/2
Reposted by Richard Skinner
New CBS poll has Trump as 60% disapprove vs. 40% approve
His handing of the economy and inflation has really taken a hit
Much of the election results this month could be explained by that alone
Sometimes politics isn’t that complicated
www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
His handing of the economy and inflation has really taken a hit
Much of the election results this month could be explained by that alone
Sometimes politics isn’t that complicated
www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
November 23, 2025 at 2:14 PM
New CBS poll has Trump as 60% disapprove vs. 40% approve
His handing of the economy and inflation has really taken a hit
Much of the election results this month could be explained by that alone
Sometimes politics isn’t that complicated
www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
His handing of the economy and inflation has really taken a hit
Much of the election results this month could be explained by that alone
Sometimes politics isn’t that complicated
www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-ve...
Reposted by Richard Skinner
The Virginia Democrats flipped the last Republican-held seat in Loudoun County blue this year when they won #HD30.
John McAuliff was the one to do so, winning this Trump+1 district by two points. This makes him the most successful Virginian named McAuliff(e) this decade
John McAuliff was the one to do so, winning this Trump+1 district by two points. This makes him the most successful Virginian named McAuliff(e) this decade
November 22, 2025 at 7:40 PM
The Virginia Democrats flipped the last Republican-held seat in Loudoun County blue this year when they won #HD30.
John McAuliff was the one to do so, winning this Trump+1 district by two points. This makes him the most successful Virginian named McAuliff(e) this decade
John McAuliff was the one to do so, winning this Trump+1 district by two points. This makes him the most successful Virginian named McAuliff(e) this decade
Reposted by Richard Skinner
Down in Virginia's #HD49, we saw a very close race in a Trump+8 district. That's where Republican Danville City Councilman Madison Whittle beat his fellow City Councilman Gary Miller by six points.
Miller ran even with Spanberger despite no outside help from the state Dems!
Miller ran even with Spanberger despite no outside help from the state Dems!
November 21, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Down in Virginia's #HD49, we saw a very close race in a Trump+8 district. That's where Republican Danville City Councilman Madison Whittle beat his fellow City Councilman Gary Miller by six points.
Miller ran even with Spanberger despite no outside help from the state Dems!
Miller ran even with Spanberger despite no outside help from the state Dems!
Reposted by Richard Skinner
We might look for a lot of different motives, but MTG is following a very long line of Republicans who had some small power over Trump but choose to surrender that power rather than face a Trump-backed primary candidate (and whatever violent threats came along with that).
November 22, 2025 at 3:02 AM
We might look for a lot of different motives, but MTG is following a very long line of Republicans who had some small power over Trump but choose to surrender that power rather than face a Trump-backed primary candidate (and whatever violent threats came along with that).
Reposted by Richard Skinner
NEW | Democratic House Majority PAC is investing $1 million into Trump +22 district TN-07 across television and digital platforms. Special election is Dec. 2.
From HMP spox @cjwarnke:
From HMP spox @cjwarnke:
November 21, 2025 at 7:51 PM
NEW | Democratic House Majority PAC is investing $1 million into Trump +22 district TN-07 across television and digital platforms. Special election is Dec. 2.
From HMP spox @cjwarnke:
From HMP spox @cjwarnke:
Reposted by Richard Skinner
Jesus this guy is such a chickenshit
Mike Johnson on Trump calling for Democrats to be executed: "Attorneys have to parse the language and determine all that."
November 21, 2025 at 2:12 AM
Jesus this guy is such a chickenshit
Mamdani's heartland with both hipster and Hispanic nabes.
Breaking News: Nydia Velázquez, a Democratic trailblazer and 16-term New York congresswoman, announced she will retire next year.
Nydia Velázquez, a New York Trailblazer in Congress, to Retire Next Year
Ms. Velázquez, 72, a 16-term congresswoman, said it was time for a new generation of Democrats to step forward.
nyti.ms
November 20, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Mamdani's heartland with both hipster and Hispanic nabes.
Reposted by Richard Skinner
Trump is absolutely cratering on economy in new Marquette poll:
Overall econ approval: 36-64
On tariffs: 37-63
On inflation/cost of living: 28-72 (!!!)
"We’re looking at a really grim downward spiral for Trump," says @timothynoah.bsky.social. All on the pod:
newrepublic.com/article/2034...
Overall econ approval: 36-64
On tariffs: 37-63
On inflation/cost of living: 28-72 (!!!)
"We’re looking at a really grim downward spiral for Trump," says @timothynoah.bsky.social. All on the pod:
newrepublic.com/article/2034...
Trump’s Anger over Prices Goes Nuclear as Fresh Polls Show Him Tanking
As Trump’s inflation rants grow more unhinged amid brutal new polls for him, an economics writer explains why Trump is ill-suited for the crisis that might be coming—and why the bottom might be about ...
newrepublic.com
November 20, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Trump is absolutely cratering on economy in new Marquette poll:
Overall econ approval: 36-64
On tariffs: 37-63
On inflation/cost of living: 28-72 (!!!)
"We’re looking at a really grim downward spiral for Trump," says @timothynoah.bsky.social. All on the pod:
newrepublic.com/article/2034...
Overall econ approval: 36-64
On tariffs: 37-63
On inflation/cost of living: 28-72 (!!!)
"We’re looking at a really grim downward spiral for Trump," says @timothynoah.bsky.social. All on the pod:
newrepublic.com/article/2034...
Reposted by Richard Skinner
“Trump’s job performance garners career-high disapproval among men, White voters, and those without a college degree.”
www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
Fox News Poll: Voters say White House is doing more harm than good on economy
Trump's approval hits new lows as 76% view economy negatively in latest Fox News poll. Rising costs for groceries, utilities spark voter dissatisfaction nationwide.
www.foxnews.com
November 20, 2025 at 12:42 AM
“Trump’s job performance garners career-high disapproval among men, White voters, and those without a college degree.”
www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
www.foxnews.com/politics/fox...
Trump carried Mills' district by 12 and in the current environment, easy to see Dems winning a special election.
JUST IN: The House Ethics Committee is launching an investigation into a stunning range of allegations against Rep. Cory Mills (R-Fla.).
This development comes as Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) is moving forward tonight with an effort to formally censure Mills. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
This development comes as Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) is moving forward tonight with an effort to formally censure Mills. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
House Ethics Panel Announces Probe Into GOP Rep. Cory Mills
www.huffpost.com
November 19, 2025 at 10:24 PM
Trump carried Mills' district by 12 and in the current environment, easy to see Dems winning a special election.
Along with tariffs and prices, "Trump being extra-super-Trumpy" tends to be his most unpopular issue area.
The topics where Trump has his lowest approval rating, via Marquette poll:
-Jeffrey Epstein (-48%)
-The government shutdown (-50%)
-The Argentina bailout (-58%)
www.marquette.edu/news-center/...
-Jeffrey Epstein (-48%)
-The government shutdown (-50%)
-The Argentina bailout (-58%)
www.marquette.edu/news-center/...
New Marquette Law School national survey finds more people favoring Democrats than Republicans in anticipated 2026 vote for Congress and also more Democrats saying they are certain to vote // News Cen...
www.marquette.edu
November 19, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Along with tariffs and prices, "Trump being extra-super-Trumpy" tends to be his most unpopular issue area.
Reposted by Richard Skinner
The Marist poll out today (Dems +14 in the U.S. House vote) is a huge outlier, but there has been clear movement to the left over the last month. The Democrats are up 4.4 in our average of generic ballot polls today, vs D+2.8 in mid-October.
fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi...
fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi...
November 19, 2025 at 6:40 PM
The Marist poll out today (Dems +14 in the U.S. House vote) is a huge outlier, but there has been clear movement to the left over the last month. The Democrats are up 4.4 in our average of generic ballot polls today, vs D+2.8 in mid-October.
fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi...
fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi...
Reposted by Richard Skinner
Gotta think that the odds of the GOP failing to pass a CR by Jan 31 because they can't stand each other keep going up. No prediction, but it's something to watch for at least.
Confirmed: Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) plans to move to censure Rep. Cory Mills (R-Fla.) today.
Plan is to move to do it tonight as a "privileged" matter, meaning it can be brought to the floor for a vote without first going through a committee.
Plan is to move to do it tonight as a "privileged" matter, meaning it can be brought to the floor for a vote without first going through a committee.
November 19, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Gotta think that the odds of the GOP failing to pass a CR by Jan 31 because they can't stand each other keep going up. No prediction, but it's something to watch for at least.
In Virginia and New Jersey, Dems made disproportionate gains with Hispanic and Asian voters
But White working class has been pretty steady for GOP
Dems can win back House with gains like they saw in NJ/VA
But would need more movement with WWC to have a shot in Senate
But White working class has been pretty steady for GOP
Dems can win back House with gains like they saw in NJ/VA
But would need more movement with WWC to have a shot in Senate
November 19, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Reposted by Richard Skinner
In Virginia and New Jersey, Dems made disproportionate gains with Hispanic and Asian voters
But White working class has been pretty steady for GOP
Dems can win back House with gains like they saw in NJ/VA
But would need more movement with WWC to have a shot in Senate
But White working class has been pretty steady for GOP
Dems can win back House with gains like they saw in NJ/VA
But would need more movement with WWC to have a shot in Senate
November 19, 2025 at 5:43 PM
In Virginia and New Jersey, Dems made disproportionate gains with Hispanic and Asian voters
But White working class has been pretty steady for GOP
Dems can win back House with gains like they saw in NJ/VA
But would need more movement with WWC to have a shot in Senate
But White working class has been pretty steady for GOP
Dems can win back House with gains like they saw in NJ/VA
But would need more movement with WWC to have a shot in Senate
Reposted by Richard Skinner
Cook Report has always been very cautious, which is fine and so I'm not criticizing at all...but I for one do not think it's likely that Nov. 4 was about something funny going on in (just) VA and NJ.
COVEY: “.. Following Democrats' resounding wins up and down the ballot earlier this month, we make four House race ratings changes in Virginia and New Jersey.”
@cookpolitical.com
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
@cookpolitical.com
www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
November 18, 2025 at 11:07 PM
Cook Report has always been very cautious, which is fine and so I'm not criticizing at all...but I for one do not think it's likely that Nov. 4 was about something funny going on in (just) VA and NJ.