Jon Green
@jongreen.bsky.social
Assistant professor, Department of Political Science, Duke University
jgreen4919.github.io
jgreen4919.github.io
Reposted by Jon Green
I'm deeply skeptical of mainstream disinformation discourse, and it's pretty clear that most of the foreign X accounts are just engagment farming. But to the extent they're politically important, it's to X's gathered elites, not the masses nymag.com/intelligence...
November 26, 2025 at 4:42 PM
I'm deeply skeptical of mainstream disinformation discourse, and it's pretty clear that most of the foreign X accounts are just engagment farming. But to the extent they're politically important, it's to X's gathered elites, not the masses nymag.com/intelligence...
I guess the alternative was a joke about Gobble and Waddle each buying $1 million worth of TrumpCoin
Trump: "Instead of pardons, some of my more enthusiastic staffers were already drafting the paperwork to ship Gobble and Waddle straight to the Terrorist Confinement Center in El Salvador."
November 25, 2025 at 5:33 PM
I guess the alternative was a joke about Gobble and Waddle each buying $1 million worth of TrumpCoin
please don’t get negatively polarized against paper towels
November 25, 2025 at 3:18 PM
please don’t get negatively polarized against paper towels
this should also mean no penalty if the quarterback is in the pocket and accidentally throws it to ~no one because the receiver made a different read
I think intentional grounding should just be a judgment call. If it’s obvious the throw had no purpose other than to avoid a sack, it’s a sack.
November 25, 2025 at 2:27 AM
this should also mean no penalty if the quarterback is in the pocket and accidentally throws it to ~no one because the receiver made a different read
the Twitter location thing shows that, even for opinions, you should care *at least a little* that the accounts you’re spending attention on have some external signal of credibility. given a choice of the exact same takes from @Based_Rando1776 or a Federalist contributor, take the latter
November 25, 2025 at 12:49 AM
the Twitter location thing shows that, even for opinions, you should care *at least a little* that the accounts you’re spending attention on have some external signal of credibility. given a choice of the exact same takes from @Based_Rando1776 or a Federalist contributor, take the latter
rise of skywalker in last place is correct because bringing palpatine back is so egregious that it makes the story arc across the rest of the movies worse
haven’t seen ROS or Solo but this seems like a pretty ball-knowing list from Pritzker, particularly if he volunteered the name “Star Wars” rather than “A New Hope”
November 24, 2025 at 7:44 PM
rise of skywalker in last place is correct because bringing palpatine back is so egregious that it makes the story arc across the rest of the movies worse
has anyone in psych or econ written the paper that uses comparisons between week-over-week changes in college football/basketball media polls to corresponding changes in the quantitative rankings to test models of individual/group-level reasoning?
November 24, 2025 at 2:25 PM
has anyone in psych or econ written the paper that uses comparisons between week-over-week changes in college football/basketball media polls to corresponding changes in the quantitative rankings to test models of individual/group-level reasoning?
Reposted by Jon Green
April: Lizza leaves Politico to found Telos, says "Their style of political coverage is not meeting the unprecedented moment of democratic peril we are facing"
April-Nov.: Breaks no news, makes videos with resistance types (Steve Schmidt! Joe Walsh!)
Now: Breaks actual news about...Nuzzi (sigh)
April-Nov.: Breaks no news, makes videos with resistance types (Steve Schmidt! Joe Walsh!)
Now: Breaks actual news about...Nuzzi (sigh)
November 22, 2025 at 4:12 PM
April: Lizza leaves Politico to found Telos, says "Their style of political coverage is not meeting the unprecedented moment of democratic peril we are facing"
April-Nov.: Breaks no news, makes videos with resistance types (Steve Schmidt! Joe Walsh!)
Now: Breaks actual news about...Nuzzi (sigh)
April-Nov.: Breaks no news, makes videos with resistance types (Steve Schmidt! Joe Walsh!)
Now: Breaks actual news about...Nuzzi (sigh)
pretty incredible that we’re weeks into a multilayered political sex scandal and the only person who’s come out generally unscathed so far is…Mark freakin Sanford???
November 22, 2025 at 1:07 PM
pretty incredible that we’re weeks into a multilayered political sex scandal and the only person who’s come out generally unscathed so far is…Mark freakin Sanford???
Reposted by Jon Green
TRUMP [after spending 5 minutes with Zohran]: surplus value, it’s a very wonderful thing, very wonderful, and they’re stealing it. Can you believe that?
We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to
We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to
November 21, 2025 at 9:25 PM
TRUMP [after spending 5 minutes with Zohran]: surplus value, it’s a very wonderful thing, very wonderful, and they’re stealing it. Can you believe that?
We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to
We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to
Reposted by Jon Green
Ok, however much you've thought about this Nuzzi business, I promise I've thought about it more.
newsletter.anamariecox.com/archive/note...
newsletter.anamariecox.com/archive/note...
Notes on Your American Canto Draft
I read it. Everyone deserves a good editor, even people who don’t get one. Olivia, Thank you so much for this. I’m impressed with the scope of your ambition...
newsletter.anamariecox.com
November 20, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Ok, however much you've thought about this Nuzzi business, I promise I've thought about it more.
newsletter.anamariecox.com/archive/note...
newsletter.anamariecox.com/archive/note...
one of the things you learn pretty quickly when you try to prompt-engineer a complex task with one of these models is that continuously adding corrections for the last problem will typically introduce new problems
Musk's ego was mortally wounded by Joyce Carol Oates and he's been on a narcissistic supply bender since
November 20, 2025 at 9:35 PM
one of the things you learn pretty quickly when you try to prompt-engineer a complex task with one of these models is that continuously adding corrections for the last problem will typically introduce new problems
ah, valence
(good stuff, you should read)
(good stuff, you should read)
Good morning. I've got a banger new post out today that develops a new method for placing voters on the left-right ideological spectrum, and adds a new, "non-ideological"/affordability axis to usual way we chart & think about US voters (esp swing voters). www.gelliottmorris.com/p/not-just-l...
Not just left vs right: Most voters think about affordability and material wellbeing, not in ideological terms
Most voters want a party that emphasizes cost of living issues and makes the world a better place. Few Americans think in solidly ideologically terms. "Moderates" are mostly non-ideological.
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 20, 2025 at 2:07 PM
ah, valence
(good stuff, you should read)
(good stuff, you should read)
Reposted by Jon Green
A lovely trip down to Durham. Thanks @jongreen.bsky.social for the invite!
November 19, 2025 at 9:20 PM
A lovely trip down to Durham. Thanks @jongreen.bsky.social for the invite!
Reposted by Jon Green
This is, of course, a fascinating thread from Kate asking why Google is effectively cannibalizing its own market for both digital ads on third party properties and search ads, by effectively taking away the incentive to click through to third party sites. I have a theory as to why they're doing it.
So this ad revenue metric is indicative of such a fascinating and weird set of business decisions by Google to inexplicably kill of SEO-- and I honestly don't get how they think this is going to pay off for them in the long run.
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1/
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Stereogum says Google's switch to AI Overviews reduced its ad revenue by *70 percent* www.theverge.com/entertainmen...
November 18, 2025 at 9:26 PM
This is, of course, a fascinating thread from Kate asking why Google is effectively cannibalizing its own market for both digital ads on third party properties and search ads, by effectively taking away the incentive to click through to third party sites. I have a theory as to why they're doing it.
Reposted by Jon Green
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
November 18, 2025 at 7:16 PM
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
how to solve grade inflation
November 18, 2025 at 9:55 PM
how to solve grade inflation
Schumer putting up Mitch McConnell numbers -- modern party leaders may just be structurally positioned to have bad national favorability ratings?
Zohran Mamdani has a higher favorability rating than Donald Trump, JD Vance or Chuck Schumer. The most popular political figures in America are Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
November 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Schumer putting up Mitch McConnell numbers -- modern party leaders may just be structurally positioned to have bad national favorability ratings?
this is essentially the question I had my intro students answer for their last essay assignment and they all did better than this
Was just listening to a conversation between a VC and an author who writes about innovation, and they were discussing "why Elon couldn't successfully reform the government" and it was the dumbest conversation I've heard in a while. And I realized they were starting with the wrong premise...
November 18, 2025 at 5:51 PM
this is essentially the question I had my intro students answer for their last essay assignment and they all did better than this
cloudflare outage once again showing that the internet really is a series of tubes after all
November 18, 2025 at 1:59 PM
cloudflare outage once again showing that the internet really is a series of tubes after all
Reposted by Jon Green
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
November 18, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
Given how much material he has to work with I don’t think Lizza did himself any favors by commenting on how old Nuzzi’s other partners have been.
oh my god you have to read this until the end www.telos.news/p/part-1-how...
Part 1: How I Found Out
Olivia had just returned from a reporting trip—at least that’s what she told me it was—and her Herschel backpack, the one with the flap that never quite closed properly, was tossed beside our bed, its...
www.telos.news
November 18, 2025 at 2:15 AM
Given how much material he has to work with I don’t think Lizza did himself any favors by commenting on how old Nuzzi’s other partners have been.
I get a lot more forgiving of measurement challenges in the social sciences when I try to answer the question: how many words are in this PDF?
November 17, 2025 at 8:06 PM
I get a lot more forgiving of measurement challenges in the social sciences when I try to answer the question: how many words are in this PDF?