This is an impressive, intellectually honest decision.
Wage growth since 1979 has definitely been suppressed, but EPI has decided to stop describing the entire post-1979 period as one of “wage stagnation.” #EconSky
@elisegould.bsky.social and @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social explain our reasoning:
www.epi.org/blog/wage-gr...
@elisegould.bsky.social and @joshbivens-econ.bsky.social explain our reasoning:
www.epi.org/blog/wage-gr...
Wage growth since 1979 has not been stagnant, but it has definitely been suppressed
We recently released our annual report assessing wage growth in the U.S. economy. We highlighted that strong and broadly shared wage growth since 2019 contrasted sharply with much slower and unequal r...
www.epi.org
April 11, 2025 at 9:34 PM
This is an impressive, intellectually honest decision.
Reposted by dylan matthews
This post specifically really doesn't tell us about *higher* turnout effects either way, instead focusing on *all registered voters*. Plus, it shows declining dem % among registered nonvoters (54.5% in '20, 53.1% in '24)! Is this a dramatic shift? No, but it points to "nonvoters getting more R"
Our findings using CES data strongly affirm the post-election analysis and conclusions of @mikepod.bsky.social.
Non-voters, particularly registered ones, lean Dem. The "high turnout hurts Dems" narrative isn't supported by the evidence and basing strategy on flawed ideas about non-voters is risky.
Non-voters, particularly registered ones, lean Dem. The "high turnout hurts Dems" narrative isn't supported by the evidence and basing strategy on flawed ideas about non-voters is risky.
Here's Part 2 of 3 from me, @adambonica.bsky.social, @rfunkfordham.bsky.social, & @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social.
All the publicly available data suggests 2024 non-voters leaned Democratic and pro-Harris.
data4democracy.substack.com/p/did-non-vo...
1/n
All the publicly available data suggests 2024 non-voters leaned Democratic and pro-Harris.
data4democracy.substack.com/p/did-non-vo...
1/n
April 10, 2025 at 6:35 PM
This post specifically really doesn't tell us about *higher* turnout effects either way, instead focusing on *all registered voters*. Plus, it shows declining dem % among registered nonvoters (54.5% in '20, 53.1% in '24)! Is this a dramatic shift? No, but it points to "nonvoters getting more R"
Reposted by dylan matthews
Degrowth Donald
The 25% automobile tariffs:
• increase auto prices by 13.5%, the equivalent of $6,400 on the average new car.
• **reduce** US auto production & increase Chinese auto production in the long-run if other countries retaliate to our tariffs.
• Reduce long- & short-run US GDP
1/2
• increase auto prices by 13.5%, the equivalent of $6,400 on the average new car.
• **reduce** US auto production & increase Chinese auto production in the long-run if other countries retaliate to our tariffs.
• Reduce long- & short-run US GDP
1/2
March 28, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Degrowth Donald
If Carney wins in Canada, the case for Powell 2028 becomes unimpeachable
February 8, 2025 at 9:24 PM
If Carney wins in Canada, the case for Powell 2028 becomes unimpeachable
Reposted by dylan matthews
Rubio claims that @USAID lifesaving assistance for health and humanitarian needs will continue. But his team just communicated that the entire agency will be imminently reduced from 14,000 to 294 people. Just 12 in Africa.
February 6, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Rubio claims that @USAID lifesaving assistance for health and humanitarian needs will continue. But his team just communicated that the entire agency will be imminently reduced from 14,000 to 294 people. Just 12 in Africa.
Reposted by dylan matthews
Stirring words in my inbox forwarded from a USAID staffer
"This Order is Unlawful, and We Must Refuse to Comply"
"This Order is Unlawful, and We Must Refuse to Comply"
February 5, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Stirring words in my inbox forwarded from a USAID staffer
"This Order is Unlawful, and We Must Refuse to Comply"
"This Order is Unlawful, and We Must Refuse to Comply"
Reposted by dylan matthews
For all the hand wringing about tech-world interest in Effective Altruism, it seems distinctly preferable to the currently empowered strain of Effective Sociopathy
February 4, 2025 at 5:02 PM
For all the hand wringing about tech-world interest in Effective Altruism, it seems distinctly preferable to the currently empowered strain of Effective Sociopathy
Guy whose pro-border wall study gets rejected because he calls it a “barrier”
February 4, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Guy whose pro-border wall study gets rejected because he calls it a “barrier”
Reposted by dylan matthews
In a terrible news week, will take this bit of great news: Towana Looney, who received a pig kidney transplant in two months ago, seems to be doing well. www.npr.org/sections/sho...
Recipient of pig kidney transplant reaches a milestone
An Alabama grandmother who was the first patient to receive a new kind of genetically modified pig kidney more than two months ago is now the longest surviving recipient of a pig organ.
www.npr.org
February 2, 2025 at 4:22 PM
In a terrible news week, will take this bit of great news: Towana Looney, who received a pig kidney transplant in two months ago, seems to be doing well. www.npr.org/sections/sho...
Well sure, it sounds bad when you put it like that
No mystery what we're seeing here:
-Illegally withholding spending/nullifying contracts
-Purges of law enforcement and prosecutors
-Taking bribes for lenient treatment while threatening enemies with persecution
-Pardoning violent/paramilitary allies
-Granting vast powers to an unelected billionaire
-Illegally withholding spending/nullifying contracts
-Purges of law enforcement and prosecutors
-Taking bribes for lenient treatment while threatening enemies with persecution
-Pardoning violent/paramilitary allies
-Granting vast powers to an unelected billionaire
January 31, 2025 at 11:55 PM
Well sure, it sounds bad when you put it like that
Reposted by dylan matthews
"Free trade agreements are..."
A good way to create economic growth: 58% (+17)
A dangerous threat to American jobs: 13% (-20)
Unsure: 29% (+3)
Innovative / Jan 24, 2025 / n=1007
(% Change With 2016)
A good way to create economic growth: 58% (+17)
A dangerous threat to American jobs: 13% (-20)
Unsure: 29% (+3)
Innovative / Jan 24, 2025 / n=1007
(% Change With 2016)
January 30, 2025 at 6:11 PM
"Free trade agreements are..."
A good way to create economic growth: 58% (+17)
A dangerous threat to American jobs: 13% (-20)
Unsure: 29% (+3)
Innovative / Jan 24, 2025 / n=1007
(% Change With 2016)
A good way to create economic growth: 58% (+17)
A dangerous threat to American jobs: 13% (-20)
Unsure: 29% (+3)
Innovative / Jan 24, 2025 / n=1007
(% Change With 2016)
Reposted by dylan matthews
al gore is the perfect man: hard working, smart, very handsome, progressive, cripplingly autistic
January 29, 2025 at 1:19 PM
al gore is the perfect man: hard working, smart, very handsome, progressive, cripplingly autistic
If by “imperfect” you mean “actively nonsensical and based on a fundamental ignorance of the topic” sure
Not a perfect analogy, but in one sense I think DeepSeek may be the solar power of computing: relatively cheap, relatively simple, and effective--and thus a huge threat to the people making huge money from the status quo.
OpenAI and Meta as Exxon and Chevron.
OpenAI and Meta as Exxon and Chevron.
January 28, 2025 at 12:27 AM
If by “imperfect” you mean “actively nonsensical and based on a fundamental ignorance of the topic” sure
In fairness to Sam, Trump is definitely not *neo* imperial
I teamed up with @tparsi to analyze a possible silver-lining in the next four years of foreign policy for the @latimes — rejecting the neo-imperial “rules-based international order” meme of recent years, in favor something better rather than worse. www.latimes.com/opinion/stor...
Opinion: The improvement Trump could make to U.S. foreign policy
Donald Trump's first term, with exits from the Iran nuclear deal and Paris climate agreement, hardly showed good global governance. But here's something he could get right.
www.latimes.com
January 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
In fairness to Sam, Trump is definitely not *neo* imperial
I don’t think people appreciate how unusual the US system of long-term fixed rate mortgages is.
This isn’t a problem in most European countries because you simply cannot get a mortgage with a fixed rate, or if you can the mortgage is 15 yrs
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
This isn’t a problem in most European countries because you simply cannot get a mortgage with a fixed rate, or if you can the mortgage is 15 yrs
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
December 28, 2024 at 10:39 PM
I don’t think people appreciate how unusual the US system of long-term fixed rate mortgages is.
This isn’t a problem in most European countries because you simply cannot get a mortgage with a fixed rate, or if you can the mortgage is 15 yrs
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
This isn’t a problem in most European countries because you simply cannot get a mortgage with a fixed rate, or if you can the mortgage is 15 yrs
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Got this booklet in the mail and immediately wondered which cult sent it. I was not disappointed!
December 28, 2024 at 8:46 PM
Got this booklet in the mail and immediately wondered which cult sent it. I was not disappointed!
"To build a whole climate policy approach around green industrial policy and then refuse to take any policy cues from the people actually running the green industries is ridiculous."
www.slowboring.com/p/liberalism...
www.slowboring.com/p/liberalism...
Liberalism not socialism
Democrats need to stop acting like business careers are immoral or corrupt
www.slowboring.com
December 23, 2024 at 2:46 PM
"To build a whole climate policy approach around green industrial policy and then refuse to take any policy cues from the people actually running the green industries is ridiculous."
www.slowboring.com/p/liberalism...
www.slowboring.com/p/liberalism...
Reposted by dylan matthews
I think education polarization does mean that a lot of people who are liberal or on the left generally think they're too good to be party-line hacks.
The greatest failure of the modern Democratic Party is the apparent belief that basic elements of politics -- selling your policies to voters and reminding them what you did for them -- is somehow tacky and beneath them.
It is hard to understate how silent Democrats went after Biden won. The right filled the vacuum with bullshit and aside from an obscure message or two from the White House, the GOP dominated. It didn’t have to be but Democrats don’t believe in comms. That’s a big reason we are here.
December 11, 2024 at 3:23 PM
I think education polarization does mean that a lot of people who are liberal or on the left generally think they're too good to be party-line hacks.
Reposted by dylan matthews
A surprising number of people are like “I can abide murdering a health insurance CEO in cold blood in midtown Manhattan at point blank range. But retweeting Andrew Huberman after that NYMag story came out is a bridge too far…”
December 9, 2024 at 7:25 PM
A surprising number of people are like “I can abide murdering a health insurance CEO in cold blood in midtown Manhattan at point blank range. But retweeting Andrew Huberman after that NYMag story came out is a bridge too far…”
Reposted by dylan matthews
Serial acquisitions of anesthesia practices led to price increases of 30 percent with no quality improvements, from Aslihan Asil, Paulo Ramos, Amanda Starc, and Thomas G. Wollmann https://www.nber.org/papers/w33217
December 8, 2024 at 10:00 PM
Serial acquisitions of anesthesia practices led to price increases of 30 percent with no quality improvements, from Aslihan Asil, Paulo Ramos, Amanda Starc, and Thomas G. Wollmann https://www.nber.org/papers/w33217
Reposted by dylan matthews
But I still think it's crazy that people who need kidneys have to wait for volunteers to come along! The bipartisan End Kidney Deaths Act that Congress is considering now could help by giving new donors a $50k tax credit. @dylanmatt.bsky.social has a great piece on it: www.vox.com/future-perf...
The moral case for paying kidney donors
Kidney donors save lives. Why aren’t we compensated for it?
www.vox.com
December 8, 2024 at 3:00 PM
But I still think it's crazy that people who need kidneys have to wait for volunteers to come along! The bipartisan End Kidney Deaths Act that Congress is considering now could help by giving new donors a $50k tax credit. @dylanmatt.bsky.social has a great piece on it: www.vox.com/future-perf...
Reposted by dylan matthews
1 - article describes effective altruism as “the dominant way to think about charity” and worries about crowding out other giving. But EA is under 0.5% of US giving! Arts giving alone is 10-20x bigger. This is like complaining that art films are eating into Marvel's market share.
December 7, 2024 at 11:57 PM
1 - article describes effective altruism as “the dominant way to think about charity” and worries about crowding out other giving. But EA is under 0.5% of US giving! Arts giving alone is 10-20x bigger. This is like complaining that art films are eating into Marvel's market share.
Reposted by dylan matthews
The concentration of heat-related mortality among younger people is quite disproportionate compared to other causes of death:
Although just 16% of overall deaths from all causes are among under 35 year olds, 75% of heat-related deaths are among under 35 year olds
Although just 16% of overall deaths from all causes are among under 35 year olds, 75% of heat-related deaths are among under 35 year olds
December 6, 2024 at 10:09 PM
The concentration of heat-related mortality among younger people is quite disproportionate compared to other causes of death:
Although just 16% of overall deaths from all causes are among under 35 year olds, 75% of heat-related deaths are among under 35 year olds
Although just 16% of overall deaths from all causes are among under 35 year olds, 75% of heat-related deaths are among under 35 year olds