Dave Vanness
@djvanness.bsky.social
Economist; professor; health policy and decision science. Advocate for high quality, affordable #HigherEd. Georgetown and UW-Madison alum. Personal views only. #AcademicSky #EconSky #Bayesian
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9790-2988
Reposted by Dave Vanness
It seems like Senate Democrats' strategy is:
1. have a vote
2. if/when Republicans vote against extending health insurance subsidies, then Democrats will blast them for it
The message they are sending is that this is the most they can do.
1. have a vote
2. if/when Republicans vote against extending health insurance subsidies, then Democrats will blast them for it
The message they are sending is that this is the most they can do.
Whoa -- Sen. Durbin went to up Leader Thune during the vote last night to tell him that on the shutdown vote and ACA promise that "8 of us are sticking our neck out that you're going to keep your word. I hope you will. He said 'I assure you I will,'" Durbin says just now
November 10, 2025 at 6:23 PM
It seems like Senate Democrats' strategy is:
1. have a vote
2. if/when Republicans vote against extending health insurance subsidies, then Democrats will blast them for it
The message they are sending is that this is the most they can do.
1. have a vote
2. if/when Republicans vote against extending health insurance subsidies, then Democrats will blast them for it
The message they are sending is that this is the most they can do.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
"Outsourcing our flagship state university’s future to drop-in budget consultants is not the way forward" -- Jeffrey Dudas, President of UConn AAUP @uconnaaup.bsky.social
Opinion: UConn's administration should consult its own experts
Genuine collaboration and shared governance - not outside consultants - should guide the decisions of a major university.
ctmirror.org
November 8, 2025 at 9:04 PM
"Outsourcing our flagship state university’s future to drop-in budget consultants is not the way forward" -- Jeffrey Dudas, President of UConn AAUP @uconnaaup.bsky.social
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Probably the papers I share the most often are @f2harrell.bsky.social 1996 on how to effectively develop multivariate models and @benvancalster.bsky.social 2019 paper on Calibration. Both extremely well written and informative. What are you most shared stats paper? #statistics #statssky #academicsky
November 7, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Probably the papers I share the most often are @f2harrell.bsky.social 1996 on how to effectively develop multivariate models and @benvancalster.bsky.social 2019 paper on Calibration. Both extremely well written and informative. What are you most shared stats paper? #statistics #statssky #academicsky
There's two ways to read this...
As we come to @geronsociety.bsky.social 's #GSA2025, please follow us en masse. If you are an aging health researcher and want to be added to the starter pack, comment below. #geronsky #ADRD
November 7, 2025 at 9:31 PM
There's two ways to read this...
This is a master class in how (not) to use data to review academic programs in #highered. How many program eliminations in the recent past have been due to failure to understand basic statistics? How many will there be in the future?
If you're following the #UNL #statistics saga (proposed for elimination based on bad stats), you might find the seminar we gave yesterday interesting... youtu.be/fUk2R0UYWpA
It was weird to rail against someone for an hour, but strangely cathartic, and the #datavis seems to have been effective?
It was weird to rail against someone for an hour, but strangely cathartic, and the #datavis seems to have been effective?
University of Nebraska-Lincoln Department of Statistics seminar "The Metrics" on November 6, 2025
YouTube video by Chris Bilder
youtu.be
November 7, 2025 at 9:29 PM
This is a master class in how (not) to use data to review academic programs in #highered. How many program eliminations in the recent past have been due to failure to understand basic statistics? How many will there be in the future?
Reposted by Dave Vanness
If you're following the #UNL #statistics saga (proposed for elimination based on bad stats), you might find the seminar we gave yesterday interesting... youtu.be/fUk2R0UYWpA
It was weird to rail against someone for an hour, but strangely cathartic, and the #datavis seems to have been effective?
It was weird to rail against someone for an hour, but strangely cathartic, and the #datavis seems to have been effective?
University of Nebraska-Lincoln Department of Statistics seminar "The Metrics" on November 6, 2025
YouTube video by Chris Bilder
youtu.be
November 7, 2025 at 2:33 PM
If you're following the #UNL #statistics saga (proposed for elimination based on bad stats), you might find the seminar we gave yesterday interesting... youtu.be/fUk2R0UYWpA
It was weird to rail against someone for an hour, but strangely cathartic, and the #datavis seems to have been effective?
It was weird to rail against someone for an hour, but strangely cathartic, and the #datavis seems to have been effective?
Reposted by Dave Vanness
It's a sad #JobsDay
At 8:30 am ET, BLS was scheduled to deliver one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Prior government shutdowns never prevented a month's household data collection. This one has.
#EconSky #NumbersDay #JobsDay
At 8:30 am ET, BLS was scheduled to deliver one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Prior government shutdowns never prevented a month's household data collection. This one has.
#EconSky #NumbersDay #JobsDay
Every month for the last 77 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated Americans' unemployment rate
This streak dies tomorrow
Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months
This blind spot will remain forever
This streak dies tomorrow
Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months
This blind spot will remain forever
Here's the planned BLS data release schedule for Nov 2025.
On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data.
This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data.
Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport
www.bls.gov/schedule/202...
On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data.
This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data.
Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport
www.bls.gov/schedule/202...
November 7, 2025 at 1:25 PM
It's a sad #JobsDay
At 8:30 am ET, BLS was scheduled to deliver one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Prior government shutdowns never prevented a month's household data collection. This one has.
#EconSky #NumbersDay #JobsDay
At 8:30 am ET, BLS was scheduled to deliver one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.
Prior government shutdowns never prevented a month's household data collection. This one has.
#EconSky #NumbersDay #JobsDay
Reposted by Dave Vanness
878 billion. Can fund NSF (check math) for 87 years.
Yeah wrap your head around that.
Yeah wrap your head around that.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk scored a resounding victory on Thursday as shareholders approved a pay package of as much as $878 billion over the next decade, endorsing his vision of morphing the EV maker into an AI and robotics juggernaut.
Tesla shareholders approve $878 billion pay plan for Elon Musk
Tesla CEO Elon Musk scored a resounding victory on Thursday as shareholders approved a pay package of as much as $878 billion over the next decade, endorsing his vision of morphing the EV maker into an AI and robotics juggernaut.
reut.rs
November 6, 2025 at 11:30 PM
878 billion. Can fund NSF (check math) for 87 years.
Yeah wrap your head around that.
Yeah wrap your head around that.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Tomorrow marks the first time the federal government has failed to release a jobs report two months in a row. Without these data, unemployment insurance claims provide the most up-to-date read on the labor market. As the shutdown drags on, continued UI claims by federal workers hits 30k.
#EconSky
#EconSky
November 6, 2025 at 9:59 PM
Tomorrow marks the first time the federal government has failed to release a jobs report two months in a row. Without these data, unemployment insurance claims provide the most up-to-date read on the labor market. As the shutdown drags on, continued UI claims by federal workers hits 30k.
#EconSky
#EconSky
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Transform the future of health care by improving the way decisions are made. Join SMDM and collaborate with an international community driving innovation in medical decision science. 🌎
Join now 👉 smdm.org/hub/https-sm...
#SMDM #MedicalDecisionMaking
Join now 👉 smdm.org/hub/https-sm...
#SMDM #MedicalDecisionMaking
November 6, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Transform the future of health care by improving the way decisions are made. Join SMDM and collaborate with an international community driving innovation in medical decision science. 🌎
Join now 👉 smdm.org/hub/https-sm...
#SMDM #MedicalDecisionMaking
Join now 👉 smdm.org/hub/https-sm...
#SMDM #MedicalDecisionMaking
Reposted by Dave Vanness
me at the end of class: here's a little speculative exercises; imagine you wake up from cryosleep in 2085. what's the kind of tech-society r/ship you'd like to see around you?
students: no AI
I honestly think students' views are missing from the 'should AI be integrated in classrooms' discussion
students: no AI
I honestly think students' views are missing from the 'should AI be integrated in classrooms' discussion
November 6, 2025 at 6:32 AM
me at the end of class: here's a little speculative exercises; imagine you wake up from cryosleep in 2085. what's the kind of tech-society r/ship you'd like to see around you?
students: no AI
I honestly think students' views are missing from the 'should AI be integrated in classrooms' discussion
students: no AI
I honestly think students' views are missing from the 'should AI be integrated in classrooms' discussion
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Another university leader faces a faculty no-confidence vote. #HigherEd #AcademicSky www.forbes.com/sites/michae...
Un. Of Nebraska Faculty Schedule No-Confidence Vote On Chancellor
The University of Nebraska-Lincoln Faculty Senate has scheduled a “no confidence” vote on Chancellor Rodney Bennett over his plans to cut $27.5 million from the budget.
www.forbes.com
November 6, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Another university leader faces a faculty no-confidence vote. #HigherEd #AcademicSky www.forbes.com/sites/michae...
Someone read Cryptonomicon.
Fascinating economics job market paper by Jens Oehlen on the effects of Enigma codebreaking and how it interacted with military/intelligence strategy jensoehlen.github.io/uploads/Enig...
November 6, 2025 at 1:36 AM
Someone read Cryptonomicon.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
New York City Mayor-elect Mamdani is kicking off with a big move: bringing former Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan to co-chair his transition team.
It's a strong suggestion that he’s willing to take on powerful corporate interests as mayor. trib.al/99csETK
It's a strong suggestion that he’s willing to take on powerful corporate interests as mayor. trib.al/99csETK
Mamdani Brings Lina Khan Onto His Team After Historic Election Win
Zohran Mamdani has named his transition team—and it’s amazing.
trib.al
November 5, 2025 at 6:22 PM
New York City Mayor-elect Mamdani is kicking off with a big move: bringing former Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan to co-chair his transition team.
It's a strong suggestion that he’s willing to take on powerful corporate interests as mayor. trib.al/99csETK
It's a strong suggestion that he’s willing to take on powerful corporate interests as mayor. trib.al/99csETK
Reposted by Dave Vanness
I couldn’t watch the pundits and newspeople last night. So stupid. So preoccupied with demographics. So silent about policies and positions. And I’m a political scientist too -albeit a political theorist. We do talk about justice.
This is from @mcopelov.bsky.social is important. The “very serious people” have dressed up their own political preferences as wisdom and savvy for too long. They aren’t helpful. Not at all.
I’m just a small-town political scientist, & it’s still relatively early, but it appears that The Actual Democrats did not Need To Do any of the Things or Learn any of the Obvious Lessons that Ezra Douthglesias said they Must Do & Learn.
November 5, 2025 at 11:52 AM
I couldn’t watch the pundits and newspeople last night. So stupid. So preoccupied with demographics. So silent about policies and positions. And I’m a political scientist too -albeit a political theorist. We do talk about justice.
Reposted by Dave Vanness
It’s cool that Chuck Schumer, Kiersten Gillibrand, and Hakeem Jeffries just proved to every future dem that establishment approval is irrelevant tbh
Q: It's election day in NYC. Did you vote for Mamdani or Cuomo?
Schumer: "Look, I voted, and I look forward to working with the next mayor to help NYC."
Schumer: "Look, I voted, and I look forward to working with the next mayor to help NYC."
November 5, 2025 at 2:27 AM
It’s cool that Chuck Schumer, Kiersten Gillibrand, and Hakeem Jeffries just proved to every future dem that establishment approval is irrelevant tbh
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Dems do very well in VA. Win Gov by 14, AG by 5 (despite texting scandal), perhaps most impressive shift house of delegates from D 51-49 to D 64-36
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
November 5, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Dems do very well in VA. Win Gov by 14, AG by 5 (despite texting scandal), perhaps most impressive shift house of delegates from D 51-49 to D 64-36
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
Reposted by Dave Vanness
Are you looking for a #tenuretrack or #openrank job in #biostatistics or #statistics? @fredhutch.org is hiring! Seattle is a wonderful place to grow your career; the bio/stat & science scene here is world-class; and you will work w/ amazing UW Biostat students. Apply!
apply.interfolio.com/176402
apply.interfolio.com/176402
Apply - Interfolio
{{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com
November 4, 2025 at 6:57 PM
Are you looking for a #tenuretrack or #openrank job in #biostatistics or #statistics? @fredhutch.org is hiring! Seattle is a wonderful place to grow your career; the bio/stat & science scene here is world-class; and you will work w/ amazing UW Biostat students. Apply!
apply.interfolio.com/176402
apply.interfolio.com/176402
It's wrong that I'm watching this right now, isn't it.
Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo is holding his event at the Ziegfeld Theater in Midtown Manhattan, steps from Radio City Music Hall.
https://to.pbs.org/4oUGhkd
https://to.pbs.org/4oUGhkd
WATCH LIVE: Andrew Cuomo's election night watch party
Cuomo is holding his event at the Ziegfeld Theater in Midtown Manhattan, steps from Radio City Music Hall.
www.pbs.org
November 5, 2025 at 2:50 AM
It's wrong that I'm watching this right now, isn't it.
Anyone tracking NVDA futures?
Have to note a tech-policy angle in Spanberger’s remarks: Her saying she will take action on electricity pricing by making “large utility users” pay their share is a clear shot at the data centers multiplying across Loudoun, Prince William and other exurban counties.
November 5, 2025 at 2:28 AM
Anyone tracking NVDA futures?
Reposted by Dave Vanness
BREAKING: After ICE refuses to allow detained migrants to receive the Eucharist, Pope Leo calls on Trump and Vance to respect migrants‘ dignity and religious liberty.
“They must allow ministers to assist with their needs. They've been separated from their families and no one knows what happens.”
“They must allow ministers to assist with their needs. They've been separated from their families and no one knows what happens.”
November 4, 2025 at 8:14 PM
BREAKING: After ICE refuses to allow detained migrants to receive the Eucharist, Pope Leo calls on Trump and Vance to respect migrants‘ dignity and religious liberty.
“They must allow ministers to assist with their needs. They've been separated from their families and no one knows what happens.”
“They must allow ministers to assist with their needs. They've been separated from their families and no one knows what happens.”
Reposted by Dave Vanness
More than 60 California professors say they are suppressing their own work due to Trump's looming threats over UC. The chill is affecting students 7 medical patients alike.
"The purpose is censorship," said Veena Dubal, AAUP General Counsel & UC Irvine professor.
@veenadubal.bsky.social
"The purpose is censorship," said Veena Dubal, AAUP General Counsel & UC Irvine professor.
@veenadubal.bsky.social
UC professors censor their own classes waiting for Trump's crackdown, court filings show
New court filings reveal University of California professors are altering lessons, canceling talks and avoiding sensitive topics as the Trump administration's crackdown intensifies.
www.yahoo.com
November 4, 2025 at 9:22 PM
More than 60 California professors say they are suppressing their own work due to Trump's looming threats over UC. The chill is affecting students 7 medical patients alike.
"The purpose is censorship," said Veena Dubal, AAUP General Counsel & UC Irvine professor.
@veenadubal.bsky.social
"The purpose is censorship," said Veena Dubal, AAUP General Counsel & UC Irvine professor.
@veenadubal.bsky.social
I'm not easily impressed. This is impressive.
November 4, 2025 at 1:35 PM
I'm not easily impressed. This is impressive.