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profspur
@profspur.bsky.social
I write the profspur analysis newsletter https://profspur.substack.com
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This one is for the nerds. And the Bentinha skeptics. profspur.substack.com/p/football-p...
Football Pass Maps Are Lying To You
Struggling with Bentinha? It's time for some GRAPH THEORY.
profspur.substack.com
I'm not generally a fan of boycotts as political action, and I watched the last WC, but since it's my country this time I'm awfully close to boycotting it. Maybe even I just don't think I can stomach it. I don't know.
December 5, 2025 at 6:28 PM
This is why the genius Romero simply attacked the source.
IS CUCURELLA'S HAIR HIS SUPERPOWER?🤣

Rog and Rory theorize referees would be much harsher with the Chelsea fullback without his iconic poodle haircut 🐩
December 4, 2025 at 9:01 PM
We should care bc these things are typically good predictors of whether results get better or worse. Since I published this on 2 Nov., Spurs have played 6 games, with 1 win (Copenhagen), 3 losses, and 2 draws, so in fact the bad results are already catching up.

profspur.substack.com/p/spurs-are-...
December 4, 2025 at 2:15 PM
When cricket is happening and cricket-posting is happening on Bsky I’m like a human zero-shot LLM classifier reading language tokens and being like ‘is this cricket or is this not sure / other?’
December 4, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Time to reprise the first post I ever wrote for profspur analysis: profspur.substack.com/p/against-var
Against VAR
Imagine you’re the subject in a scientific experiment.
profspur.substack.com
December 4, 2025 at 9:29 AM
Wolves have 2 points in 14 games and better underlying numbers than Tottenham Hotspur.
December 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Wirtz is a genius who plays too quickly for this slow-ass version of Liverpool in possession.
December 3, 2025 at 8:41 PM
So I'm watching the match I missed yesterday and am to the point of the Bencancur on Burn pen call and it's absolutely infuriating. First, Burn has as much of Bentancaur as the reverse. Second, 'he's got to be stronger there' is the refrain if it's the keeper and player isn't looking at the ball.
December 3, 2025 at 7:41 PM
So much for my defense of how dangerous Brennan Johnson could be for us this season profspur.substack.com/p/brennan-jo...
December 3, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Spurs currently sit 16th in the league in xG. If Villa, Wolves, and Sunderland record 1.0 xG or more in their matches tonight, we'll be 19th.
December 3, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Written at the beginning of April 2025, before it was OK to say the players on the pitch actually matter for the success or failure of a football club: profspur.substack.com/p/there-is-n...
December 3, 2025 at 11:58 AM
The idea that players 'take it upon themselves and ignore tactical instruction' in revolt for bad tactics is just flat-out insane. It was insane when people claimed it last season and it's insane now.
December 3, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Reposted by profspur
December 2, 2025 at 9:59 PM
Specifically, that dog.
Postecoglou on Romero:

“I’ve got to get what’s in him into some of the others.”
December 3, 2025 at 10:21 AM
I couldn’t watch tonight but just watched highlights and holy fuck we drew on a shinned overhead kick by a center back in stoppage time?
December 3, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Xavi once again not starting. By the by, our xG has been under 1.0 in 11 of 20 games this season.
December 2, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Yes, people have only just discovered yesterday that the players you have on the pitch might be mitigating factors in the manager’s performance.
I cannot believe my eyes seeing the same people cite injuries or squad quality issues to defend Frank. THE AUDACITY.
December 2, 2025 at 4:07 PM
I confess I'm annoyed that so many people--some of whom were quite mean to me over Ange stuff--are now wading through and proclaiming observations and ideas I made 6-12 months ago in a more acceptable atmosphere for them.
December 2, 2025 at 10:32 AM
I'm a left-liberal in more or less the mold of Charles Mills, i.e. not a socialist, but I think it's worth remembering that even rich footballers are still labor. They're the facial recipients of fan anger and disappointment and are right to band together to protect one another.
December 2, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Have been saying this for ages.
4) If you're imagining the PL as a ladder with 20 equidistant rungs, you have the wrong image. You can get from rung 15 to rung 10 by doing 'more with less,' but not from rung 5 to rung 1 or 2. ...
December 2, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by profspur
this is kulusevski, both supporting ange and calling out the ownership.
December 1, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Spurs admin on Insta posting Chadli goals v Newcastle, this is what it has come to?
December 1, 2025 at 10:19 PM
The thing about this I just want to emphasize--admittedly with a degree of speculation--is that I think the players knew they were risking quite a lot by buying into the stark choice to focus on Europa. It's not the normal brief. I'm sure they suffered over it, suffered over the league defeats. ...
The players had been through hell and back last season and united around the experience. They endured being short-staffed for the league and bought into the plan to throw it all at the trophy, together. No way in hell that’s not on their minds, or ours as fans.
December 1, 2025 at 9:37 PM
This piece is really good. And I’ll just be candid: Re. ‘the fan experience,’ the club squandered the most goodwill and elation we’ve had in the fanbase in a very long time when it sacked the manager who brought us that and broke up the good feeling in the squad as well. It was historically stupid.
December 1, 2025 at 8:24 PM