Patriot Front Delenda Est
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playdda.bsky.social
Patriot Front Delenda Est
@playdda.bsky.social
Fighting the pedocon wars
Pinned
I decided to start a Substack.

In it, you’ll find electoral analysis, policy recommendations, and general musings about this broken country we call home.

My first article is out. I hope y’all enjoy it.

substack.com/@abrokenamer...
Musings on a Broken America | Substack
We can start to fix what’s going wrong in America before we devolve into total self-destruction. We just need to start trying.
substack.com
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
yeah the key to understanding all of this is they genuinely believe their own shit that Dems import voters as immigrants and by killing immigration, the democratic base is non-existent

little to no attention on their side about actual demographic politics
IMO they all think that ending birthright citizenship is the key to destroying the cathedral, at which point they will hold power eternal and can exercise the economic shit at their leisure.
December 6, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
The 2025 Jersey City Mayoral Election Runoff, A contest between Ward E Councilman James Solomon, and former NJ Governor Jim McGreevey resulted in a landslide for Solomon where he matched Progressive Mayor Steve Fulop's 2021 reelection performance.
December 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
a thing to ask yourself re: the GOP's electoral position is what could happen over the next year that could *improve* its position? and what could trump do, plausibly, that might *boost* his numbers with the public?
December 3, 2025 at 2:44 AM
A fifteen point leftward shift should be a five alarm fire for the GOP. Such an overperformance is how we fuck around and win the Senate
December 3, 2025 at 2:38 AM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
ok so premature thoughts:

1. this turnout environment was more similar to a regular midterm just due to how nationalized this was

2. that type of turnout dynamic produces D+10-15 overperformances

3. while it is definitely not enough to win TN-07, there are 25-35 districts where that IS enough
December 3, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
TN07 is a story about gerrymandering: the GOP cracked Nashville into 3 districts when it redrew the 2022 map, destroying the Dem seat there.

Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
December 3, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Ok yeah Van Epps has this after a multi-million dollar GOP bailout effort
December 3, 2025 at 2:15 AM
Montgomery has turned red in E-day, although I must caution the reported E-day vote could be from GOP-favoring exurban precincts more than from Clarksville itself
December 3, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Benton has finished and Behn wins just over 21% of the vote there, marking just under an 8% improvement on 2024
December 3, 2025 at 2:08 AM
Does look like Van Epps will pull away with this one but the fact the GOP had to get involved and spend millions to keep a Trump +22 seat is embarrassing

Waiting for Nashville before calling it for Van Epps tho
December 3, 2025 at 2:05 AM
Aftyn Behn finishes with 21.9% of the total Perry County vote, which is just under a 14% overperformance of what Kamala Harris got.

Certainly looks like a single-digit race to me!
December 3, 2025 at 1:55 AM
Behn gets over 44.3% of the early vote in Williamson. Election Day votes are what's left.
December 3, 2025 at 1:53 AM
First county is done in Decatur. Behn closes at just under 19.6% of the vote, so over a 9% improvement over Kamala Harris.

She needs to go gangbusters in Nashville and its suburbs and exurbs to have a shot here
December 3, 2025 at 1:47 AM
🚨 Aftyn Behn CRUSHES it with Nashville's early vote, winning nearly 85% of it
December 3, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
CALL: the Hudson County Democratic Organization gets absolutely routed in Jersey City, losing the mayoral runoff and all nine city council seats
December 3, 2025 at 1:06 AM
🚨 Aftyn Behn has about 50.8% of the Montgomery County early vote

This is the one swing/competitive county of TN-07 - Behn has to win Montgomery to win the district imo
December 3, 2025 at 1:13 AM
Former NJ Gov. Jim McGreevey is so fucked lol
December 3, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Early results in TN-07 - I think Van Epps will do well enough in the rurals to win but we'll see
December 3, 2025 at 1:07 AM
AND THE POLLS HAVE CLOSED!!!
December 3, 2025 at 1:00 AM
Ready for action 🚀
December 3, 2025 at 12:59 AM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
you know a lot of very dumb people like to point at weird-shaped districts (like IL's 'earmuffs' VRA district) and yell 'gerrymandering' but TN-07 is a perfect example of what to actually look for when you see its relationship to Nashville
December 3, 2025 at 12:53 AM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
I estimate Behn's chances of winning at around the same as a major league pitcher getting a hit. Back when that was a thing, it happened about 18% of the time! So there's a chance!
NEW ARTICLE OUT: We quickly go over the election in TN-7 election tomorrow, look at the demographics of the district, and how that may play a factor in the final result.

LINK: electioncord.com/what-to-expe...
What to Expect From the TN-07 Special Election – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
December 2, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
Whenever ICE kidnaps a child an Amber alert should be immediately issued!
December 2, 2025 at 9:18 PM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
like I think bsky is in aggregate convinced that Platner's tattoo fiasco makes winning a) the primary and b) the general impossible.

there is no evidence for this, and a not insignificant amount against!
like with Mills/Platner, an embarassing number of people on this website are missing the signs that old incumbents are in massive peril in Dem primaries and youth for youth's sake is enough
December 2, 2025 at 8:53 PM
Reposted by Patriot Front Delenda Est
America is extraordinarily radical in that there are tons of different ethnic groups here, and we not only generally get along with each other, but the law treats us all equal equally, and we all do the same shit like eat fried butter.

What MAGA dares to ask is: what if we didn’t
Anyway the best I've ever felt about America was me (Jewish) standing in line with my friend and her daughter (Irish and Latina) to pet a baby lamb at the Minnesota State Fair alongside a hijabi Black woman and her daughter, an East Asian family, an African-American family, and some white people.
December 2, 2025 at 9:15 PM