Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
@corncobanalysis.bsky.social
Pinned
Don’t worry: my preferred candidate will become Democratic AMLO
Djokovic
Ok time for another round of discourse: who’s the best conservative artist of the past 75 years?
The whole controversy over Bad Bunny boils down to the simple fact that extreme social conservatism is incapable of producing interesting and compelling art of any kind, and so its adherents must use inferior artists to try to convince themselves that they aren't out of touch.
February 8, 2026 at 11:04 PM
Djokovic
Me to the Japanese left
February 8, 2026 at 9:11 PM
Me to the Japanese left
The Portuguese polling was essentially spot on from the jump. Seguro leads were 25-35% and margin ended up being 30% (and it may go up from here)
February 8, 2026 at 9:08 PM
The Portuguese polling was essentially spot on from the jump. Seguro leads were 25-35% and margin ended up being 30% (and it may go up from here)
Could have been worse
Spain, 15.0% {votes} counted:
Aragón regional parliament election
PP (EPP): 32.5% (-3.0)
PSOE (S&D): 26.3% (-3.3)
VOX (PfE): 18.1% (+6.8)
CHA (Greens/EFA): 8.6% (+3.5)
Existe (*): 4.2% (-0.8)
IU-Sumar (LEFT): 2.6% (-0.4)
SALF (ECR|NI): 2.4% (+2.4)
...
+/- vs.
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
Aragón regional parliament election
PP (EPP): 32.5% (-3.0)
PSOE (S&D): 26.3% (-3.3)
VOX (PfE): 18.1% (+6.8)
CHA (Greens/EFA): 8.6% (+3.5)
Existe (*): 4.2% (-0.8)
IU-Sumar (LEFT): 2.6% (-0.4)
SALF (ECR|NI): 2.4% (+2.4)
...
+/- vs.
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
February 8, 2026 at 8:34 PM
Could have been worse
Okay that’s one good result
Portugal, ICS-ISCTE-GfK-Pitagórica exit poll:
Presidential election, second round today
Seguro (PS-S&D): 67.0-71.4% (+69.2)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 28.6-33.0% (+30.8)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/portugal
Presidential election, second round today
Seguro (PS-S&D): 67.0-71.4% (+69.2)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 28.6-33.0% (+30.8)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/portugal
February 8, 2026 at 8:33 PM
Okay that’s one good result
Update: they got to 310 on their own
Going through the last Japanese projections, we're at the point where the only questions are whether the LDP will have a regular majority and/or govern with Ishin, or whether they get to the 310 seats necessary to amend the constitution on their own 😵💫
February 8, 2026 at 7:30 PM
Update: they got to 310 on their own
The Takachi-slide…my eyes
February 8, 2026 at 4:52 PM
The Takachi-slide…my eyes
I read 6 dense pages in an Economic Sociology journal about Bidenomics so you don’t have to.
My conclusion: I miss Bidenomics
My conclusion: I miss Bidenomics
February 8, 2026 at 6:55 AM
I read 6 dense pages in an Economic Sociology journal about Bidenomics so you don’t have to.
My conclusion: I miss Bidenomics
My conclusion: I miss Bidenomics
my goodness
February 8, 2026 at 1:12 AM
my goodness
Don’t worry the online left is going to infight over this bc of drama that happened years ago instead of uniting to oust the WOAT mayor
I do not care if you are a communist or the world’s most centrist person who just wants a house. We are All In for Nithya Raman
February 7, 2026 at 7:46 PM
Don’t worry the online left is going to infight over this bc of drama that happened years ago instead of uniting to oust the WOAT mayor
I do not care if you are a communist or the world’s most centrist person who just wants a house. We are All In for Nithya Raman
February 7, 2026 at 7:17 PM
I do not care if you are a communist or the world’s most centrist person who just wants a house. We are All In for Nithya Raman
Going through the last Japanese projections, we're at the point where the only questions are whether the LDP will have a regular majority and/or govern with Ishin, or whether they get to the 310 seats necessary to amend the constitution on their own 😵💫
February 7, 2026 at 4:11 AM
Going through the last Japanese projections, we're at the point where the only questions are whether the LDP will have a regular majority and/or govern with Ishin, or whether they get to the 310 seats necessary to amend the constitution on their own 😵💫
This is one of those passages that's designed to make everyone mad.
February 7, 2026 at 3:59 AM
This is one of those passages that's designed to make everyone mad.
Japan giving the LDP another lease on life is so depressing, in the end.
February 7, 2026 at 2:38 AM
Japan giving the LDP another lease on life is so depressing, in the end.
What exactly is AOC going to talk about with the German SPD at a town hall?
February 7, 2026 at 1:35 AM
What exactly is AOC going to talk about with the German SPD at a town hall?
From a sociological perspective, interesting how pervasive subcultures around chronic disease have sprung up in US culture. The longhaulcovid subreddit has 78K followers alone.
RFK Jr has tapped into this as well
RFK Jr has tapped into this as well
for some perspective, if there's ~265m adults in the US, and the worst-case rate (0.16%) holds here, that's a max of ~424,000 cases of long covid in the entire country.
study of every adult in Denmark over ~20 months finds a risk of long Covid of 0.16 percent, and that vaccination reduces the risk substantially www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
February 7, 2026 at 12:35 AM
From a sociological perspective, interesting how pervasive subcultures around chronic disease have sprung up in US culture. The longhaulcovid subreddit has 78K followers alone.
RFK Jr has tapped into this as well
RFK Jr has tapped into this as well
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
Race is over with these vote totals, even allowing for a decent chunk of mail to still come and a high provisional rejection rate
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
February 6, 2026 at 10:56 PM
Race is over with these vote totals, even allowing for a decent chunk of mail to still come and a high provisional rejection rate
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
Does anyone want to discuss "Opium talk: American capitalism in transition" by the guy who wrote Ages of American Capitalism?
(this is what woke degree holders do, btw)
www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
(this is what woke degree holders do, btw)
www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
www.econstor.eu
February 6, 2026 at 10:45 PM
Does anyone want to discuss "Opium talk: American capitalism in transition" by the guy who wrote Ages of American Capitalism?
(this is what woke degree holders do, btw)
www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
(this is what woke degree holders do, btw)
www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
MEJIA IS A METS FAN LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
February 6, 2026 at 8:58 PM
MEJIA IS A METS FAN LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
In the first week of February, we saw AfD have a mini-slump to 24% in polls.
After a quick Claude spreadsheet check, in the 121 polls between Aug and now, AfD had exactly 26% in 74 of them (61%). It was pretty clear what polls thought their support level was, will 24% be next?
After a quick Claude spreadsheet check, in the 121 polls between Aug and now, AfD had exactly 26% in 74 of them (61%). It was pretty clear what polls thought their support level was, will 24% be next?
February 6, 2026 at 10:03 PM
In the first week of February, we saw AfD have a mini-slump to 24% in polls.
After a quick Claude spreadsheet check, in the 121 polls between Aug and now, AfD had exactly 26% in 74 of them (61%). It was pretty clear what polls thought their support level was, will 24% be next?
After a quick Claude spreadsheet check, in the 121 polls between Aug and now, AfD had exactly 26% in 74 of them (61%). It was pretty clear what polls thought their support level was, will 24% be next?
Lee Jae Myung-Zohran Mamdani Democrat
February 6, 2026 at 9:26 PM
Lee Jae Myung-Zohran Mamdani Democrat
given up on trying to understand this
February 6, 2026 at 9:21 PM
given up on trying to understand this
Is Jasmine Crockett or James Talarico the Dem Tea Party candidate? greatest question in the history of elections forums, locked after 11,352 pages of intense debate
February 6, 2026 at 9:08 PM
Is Jasmine Crockett or James Talarico the Dem Tea Party candidate? greatest question in the history of elections forums, locked after 11,352 pages of intense debate
“Why are you Jamelle Bou-ing me? I’m right!”
February 6, 2026 at 7:25 PM
“Why are you Jamelle Bou-ing me? I’m right!”
Not to be a downer, but Mejia got super lucky. She wasn’t the Condorcet winner (Malinowski likely was).
But that has happened twice now after Behn did the same in Tennessee!
But that has happened twice now after Behn did the same in Tennessee!
February 6, 2026 at 6:34 PM
Not to be a downer, but Mejia got super lucky. She wasn’t the Condorcet winner (Malinowski likely was).
But that has happened twice now after Behn did the same in Tennessee!
But that has happened twice now after Behn did the same in Tennessee!