Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
@corncobanalysis.bsky.social
Pinned
Don’t worry: my preferred candidate will become Democratic AMLO
It's Tallahassee/Florida Panhandle, only 7% Hispanic. But it is 22.5% Black on the census (probably lower now thanks to in-movers)
February 10, 2026 at 7:43 PM
It's Tallahassee/Florida Panhandle, only 7% Hispanic. But it is 22.5% Black on the census (probably lower now thanks to in-movers)
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
i'm not saying that there's a perfect candidate for this race, BUT
February 10, 2026 at 7:42 PM
i'm not saying that there's a perfect candidate for this race, BUT
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
can we bring back gwen graham for this
February 10, 2026 at 7:37 PM
can we bring back gwen graham for this
How did she flip this in 2014...Andrew Gillum must pay....
February 10, 2026 at 7:39 PM
How did she flip this in 2014...Andrew Gillum must pay....
The swing during the Florida specials last May was right around the Trump margin, but not quite enough to flip the seat. I'd say the Republicans have deteriorated even more from that + special election turnout would benefit Dems here.
February 10, 2026 at 7:36 PM
The swing during the Florida specials last May was right around the Trump margin, but not quite enough to flip the seat. I'd say the Republicans have deteriorated even more from that + special election turnout would benefit Dems here.
FL-02 is Trump +18, Scott +22, Dunn +23 (the House R)
Would be a borderline tossup if there's a special. But DeSantis can hold this seat open for a long time.
Would be a borderline tossup if there's a special. But DeSantis can hold this seat open for a long time.
February 10, 2026 at 7:35 PM
FL-02 is Trump +18, Scott +22, Dunn +23 (the House R)
Would be a borderline tossup if there's a special. But DeSantis can hold this seat open for a long time.
Would be a borderline tossup if there's a special. But DeSantis can hold this seat open for a long time.
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
So apparently GOP Rep Dunn in FL02 might just be resigning imminently and can’t be found right now
February 10, 2026 at 7:32 PM
So apparently GOP Rep Dunn in FL02 might just be resigning imminently and can’t be found right now
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
Interesting observation from @josephpolitano.bsky.social .
February 10, 2026 at 6:44 PM
Interesting observation from @josephpolitano.bsky.social .
There’s only two pollsters which may explain it
February 10, 2026 at 6:14 PM
There’s only two pollsters which may explain it
Microstrategy?
February 10, 2026 at 5:59 PM
Microstrategy?
people use k-pop as a counterexample to US culture, which clearly has no ties to America and is not fueled by American-style pop music capitalism
February 10, 2026 at 5:43 PM
people use k-pop as a counterexample to US culture, which clearly has no ties to America and is not fueled by American-style pop music capitalism
Never let them know your next move
February 10, 2026 at 5:14 PM
Never let them know your next move
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
Reminder that Puerto voted in a 30% landslide in favor of statehood over any other status option that is neither territorial, nor colonial — with nearly equivalent turnout to the concurrent Governor election!
The 2024 Puerto Rico Status Plebiscite—a contest modeled after the Nydia Velazquez+AOC/Jenniffer Gonzalez Colón Compromise PR Status act's 1st round pitted the non-territorial/non-colonial options of Stathood, Independence with Sovereign Free Assosiation, and Full Independence against each other
February 10, 2026 at 5:38 AM
Reminder that Puerto voted in a 30% landslide in favor of statehood over any other status option that is neither territorial, nor colonial — with nearly equivalent turnout to the concurrent Governor election!
You don't have to feel bad for him, however, it's crazy he managed to do worse than Laxalt...and we probably know why
February 10, 2026 at 4:43 AM
You don't have to feel bad for him, however, it's crazy he managed to do worse than Laxalt...and we probably know why
NV-02
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
February 10, 2026 at 4:25 AM
NV-02
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
Of course, this means absolutely nothing when the elections are rigged, but wow, don't we love thermostatic opinion??!!
February 10, 2026 at 4:15 AM
Of course, this means absolutely nothing when the elections are rigged, but wow, don't we love thermostatic opinion??!!
Putin's regime lackeys have been conducting largely fake opinion polling for the Russian legislative election later this year. But, for reasons unknown, they are inexplicably showing some thermostatic backlash, with vote intention for United Russia down over the last few months.
February 10, 2026 at 4:14 AM
Putin's regime lackeys have been conducting largely fake opinion polling for the Russian legislative election later this year. But, for reasons unknown, they are inexplicably showing some thermostatic backlash, with vote intention for United Russia down over the last few months.
For Colombia in particular, their stats on education attainment are total garbage and not reflective of the electorate.
Anyway, Colombian parliamentary elections are on March 8
Anyway, Colombian parliamentary elections are on March 8
February 10, 2026 at 4:10 AM
For Colombia in particular, their stats on education attainment are total garbage and not reflective of the electorate.
Anyway, Colombian parliamentary elections are on March 8
Anyway, Colombian parliamentary elections are on March 8
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
one thing that will always be a mystery to me is the number of trump voters who basically thought they were electing george bush again reut.rs/3Mc4h4H
As Trump presidency enters second year, his voters share hopes – and concerns
Trump voters urge him to tone down the rhetoric and focus more on domestic issues, especially clearer pathways to legal status for law-abiding immigrants, healthcare reform, curbing waste and fraud, a...
reut.rs
February 10, 2026 at 3:50 AM
one thing that will always be a mystery to me is the number of trump voters who basically thought they were electing george bush again reut.rs/3Mc4h4H
Colombianos getting in on AtlasIntel crosstab hatred
February 10, 2026 at 4:04 AM
Colombianos getting in on AtlasIntel crosstab hatred
Ro-mentum, you're hearing it
February 10, 2026 at 3:27 AM
Ro-mentum, you're hearing it
TIL both me and the famed Sky Marchini of Bluesky have been to Shoprite in North Jersey in recent months
February 10, 2026 at 3:02 AM
TIL both me and the famed Sky Marchini of Bluesky have been to Shoprite in North Jersey in recent months
Maybe it’s gotten incrementally better…
February 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM
Maybe it’s gotten incrementally better…
No, Sliwa wasn’t kidding around when he said the rat problem is still bad
February 10, 2026 at 1:59 AM
No, Sliwa wasn’t kidding around when he said the rat problem is still bad
Is Matt Shaw even trying to be a major league player anymore?
February 10, 2026 at 12:57 AM
Is Matt Shaw even trying to be a major league player anymore?