Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
@corncobanalysis.bsky.social
Pinned
Don’t worry: my preferred candidate will become Democratic AMLO
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
Reminder that Puerto voted in a 30% landslide in favor of statehood over any other status option that is neither territorial, nor colonial — with nearly equivalent turnout to the concurrent Governor election!
The 2024 Puerto Rico Status Plebiscite—a contest modeled after the Nydia Velazquez+AOC/Jenniffer Gonzalez Colón Compromise PR Status act's 1st round pitted the non-territorial/non-colonial options of Stathood, Independence with Sovereign Free Assosiation, and Full Independence against each other
February 10, 2026 at 5:38 AM
Reminder that Puerto voted in a 30% landslide in favor of statehood over any other status option that is neither territorial, nor colonial — with nearly equivalent turnout to the concurrent Governor election!
NV-02
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
February 10, 2026 at 4:25 AM
NV-02
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
2020: Trump +11
2022: Laxalt +11, Lombardo +14
2024: Trump +14, Brown +8
Insane what happened to Sam Brown here, that underperformance of Trump in NV-02 cost him the Senate seat. Now Brown may end up being the nominee for NV-02 in 2026.
Putin's regime lackeys have been conducting largely fake opinion polling for the Russian legislative election later this year. But, for reasons unknown, they are inexplicably showing some thermostatic backlash, with vote intention for United Russia down over the last few months.
February 10, 2026 at 4:14 AM
Putin's regime lackeys have been conducting largely fake opinion polling for the Russian legislative election later this year. But, for reasons unknown, they are inexplicably showing some thermostatic backlash, with vote intention for United Russia down over the last few months.
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
one thing that will always be a mystery to me is the number of trump voters who basically thought they were electing george bush again reut.rs/3Mc4h4H
As Trump presidency enters second year, his voters share hopes – and concerns
Trump voters urge him to tone down the rhetoric and focus more on domestic issues, especially clearer pathways to legal status for law-abiding immigrants, healthcare reform, curbing waste and fraud, a...
reut.rs
February 10, 2026 at 3:50 AM
one thing that will always be a mystery to me is the number of trump voters who basically thought they were electing george bush again reut.rs/3Mc4h4H
Colombianos getting in on AtlasIntel crosstab hatred
February 10, 2026 at 4:04 AM
Colombianos getting in on AtlasIntel crosstab hatred
Is Matt Shaw even trying to be a major league player anymore?
February 10, 2026 at 12:57 AM
Is Matt Shaw even trying to be a major league player anymore?
Okay, sociology research question: I have now witnessed someone use AI to scan a restaurant menu and ask it what to eat.
Has anyone else ever seen this, or is this some new insane behavior I’ve discovered?
Has anyone else ever seen this, or is this some new insane behavior I’ve discovered?
February 9, 2026 at 11:04 PM
Okay, sociology research question: I have now witnessed someone use AI to scan a restaurant menu and ask it what to eat.
Has anyone else ever seen this, or is this some new insane behavior I’ve discovered?
Has anyone else ever seen this, or is this some new insane behavior I’ve discovered?
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
Kathy Hochul fixed the New York vote counting system overnight, better things are possible
February 9, 2026 at 10:19 PM
Kathy Hochul fixed the New York vote counting system overnight, better things are possible
I know most ppl posting online don’t have real plans or practical local gov’t experience, but I seriously have a list of vendors, minor law tweaks, and staffing ideas to speed up California’s vote process.
Indeed, Los Angeles vastly sped up counting from 2020-24, so it is possible
Indeed, Los Angeles vastly sped up counting from 2020-24, so it is possible
February 9, 2026 at 10:11 PM
I know most ppl posting online don’t have real plans or practical local gov’t experience, but I seriously have a list of vendors, minor law tweaks, and staffing ideas to speed up California’s vote process.
Indeed, Los Angeles vastly sped up counting from 2020-24, so it is possible
Indeed, Los Angeles vastly sped up counting from 2020-24, so it is possible
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
This is the kind of thing that D voters think about but shouldn’t be.
In 2024 there were lots of people worried about Elon hacking the machines and very little “hey is the right wing just buying time to lie on every Spanish language media outlet”
In 2024 there were lots of people worried about Elon hacking the machines and very little “hey is the right wing just buying time to lie on every Spanish language media outlet”
February 9, 2026 at 7:47 PM
This is the kind of thing that D voters think about but shouldn’t be.
In 2024 there were lots of people worried about Elon hacking the machines and very little “hey is the right wing just buying time to lie on every Spanish language media outlet”
In 2024 there were lots of people worried about Elon hacking the machines and very little “hey is the right wing just buying time to lie on every Spanish language media outlet”
Seriously tho
This is the kind of thing that D voters think about but shouldn’t be.
In 2024 there were lots of people worried about Elon hacking the machines and very little “hey is the right wing just buying time to lie on every Spanish language media outlet”
In 2024 there were lots of people worried about Elon hacking the machines and very little “hey is the right wing just buying time to lie on every Spanish language media outlet”
February 9, 2026 at 9:56 PM
Seriously tho
How does Lee do it…
Checking in on the Korean conservatives with the current news and it’s bad
February 9, 2026 at 9:46 PM
How does Lee do it…
Bad Bunny was channeling Gustavo Petro's hope to Make Americas Great Again
February 9, 2026 at 6:42 PM
Bad Bunny was channeling Gustavo Petro's hope to Make Americas Great Again
Reposted by Centrist Reform Youth Party Chair
This probably kills the UCP eventually imo
Alberta - Support For Independence:
All:
Remain: 65%
Independence: 29%
Among UCP Voters:
Independence: 57%
Remain: 38%
Among NDP Voters:
Remain: 93%
Independence: 6%
Angus Reid / Feb 6, 2026
All:
Remain: 65%
Independence: 29%
Among UCP Voters:
Independence: 57%
Remain: 38%
Among NDP Voters:
Remain: 93%
Independence: 6%
Angus Reid / Feb 6, 2026
February 9, 2026 at 6:03 PM
This probably kills the UCP eventually imo
What is Jeff Ettinger up to?
February 9, 2026 at 6:20 PM
What is Jeff Ettinger up to?
I do not get the argument from either side.
Were the Dems supposed to promise more populism when they'd been in power for 4 years and could be attacked for not doing anything?
Were they supposed to move right to win over voters who hate them culturally and fiscally?
Were the Dems supposed to promise more populism when they'd been in power for 4 years and could be attacked for not doing anything?
Were they supposed to move right to win over voters who hate them culturally and fiscally?
Jentleson and Mehdi Hasan have been arguing on Twitter about whether or not the Harris campaign was sufficiently left or right, and the end result is that almost none of that positioning mattered when people thought Trump was gonna Do Good Economy and Give Me Money.
February 9, 2026 at 6:08 PM
I do not get the argument from either side.
Were the Dems supposed to promise more populism when they'd been in power for 4 years and could be attacked for not doing anything?
Were they supposed to move right to win over voters who hate them culturally and fiscally?
Were the Dems supposed to promise more populism when they'd been in power for 4 years and could be attacked for not doing anything?
Were they supposed to move right to win over voters who hate them culturally and fiscally?
Yeah, imo, anyone who wants to discuss the "moderate" vs. "progressive" side of messaging and policy has to figure out how to communicate in this context. People just didn't believe anything the Harris campaign said, and there's no easy ideological explanation for it.
This pro-Trump nostalgia absolutely was confirmed over and over again by the Dems' own internal polling, in a truly horrifying way:
newrepublic.com/article/1882...
newrepublic.com/article/1882...
February 9, 2026 at 6:02 PM
Yeah, imo, anyone who wants to discuss the "moderate" vs. "progressive" side of messaging and policy has to figure out how to communicate in this context. People just didn't believe anything the Harris campaign said, and there's no easy ideological explanation for it.
Voter flow model of the Portuguese Presidential election yesterday. The far-right gained little with voters from the left, the boomer center-right party, and the military NATO guy (many of their voters set out). But they got some from the outsider center-right (Cotrim)
rr.pt/especial/pol...
rr.pt/especial/pol...
February 9, 2026 at 5:48 PM
Voter flow model of the Portuguese Presidential election yesterday. The far-right gained little with voters from the left, the boomer center-right party, and the military NATO guy (many of their voters set out). But they got some from the outsider center-right (Cotrim)
rr.pt/especial/pol...
rr.pt/especial/pol...
The weird Japanese AI evangelism, futurist, and e-democracy Team Mirai party won 11 seats with 6.6% and outperformed all polls.
If someone could explain what they do or what "e-democracy" means, I'd love to know.
If someone could explain what they do or what "e-democracy" means, I'd love to know.
February 9, 2026 at 4:34 PM
The weird Japanese AI evangelism, futurist, and e-democracy Team Mirai party won 11 seats with 6.6% and outperformed all polls.
If someone could explain what they do or what "e-democracy" means, I'd love to know.
If someone could explain what they do or what "e-democracy" means, I'd love to know.
I would say the recent Gen Z explosions in anger are more anti-old people and perceived sclerosis in society than anything else.
February 9, 2026 at 3:42 PM
I would say the recent Gen Z explosions in anger are more anti-old people and perceived sclerosis in society than anything else.
You know the Pokemon admakers were like “ayfkm” when Yamal insisted Zygarde was his favorite
February 9, 2026 at 4:08 AM
You know the Pokemon admakers were like “ayfkm” when Yamal insisted Zygarde was his favorite
Telling everyone that I recognized the St. Kitts and Nevis flag
February 9, 2026 at 1:37 AM
Telling everyone that I recognized the St. Kitts and Nevis flag
Djokovic
Ok time for another round of discourse: who’s the best conservative artist of the past 75 years?
The whole controversy over Bad Bunny boils down to the simple fact that extreme social conservatism is incapable of producing interesting and compelling art of any kind, and so its adherents must use inferior artists to try to convince themselves that they aren't out of touch.
February 8, 2026 at 11:04 PM
Djokovic
Me to the Japanese left
February 8, 2026 at 9:11 PM
Me to the Japanese left
The Portuguese polling was essentially spot on from the jump. Seguro leads were 25-35% and margin ended up being 30% (and it may go up from here)
February 8, 2026 at 9:08 PM
The Portuguese polling was essentially spot on from the jump. Seguro leads were 25-35% and margin ended up being 30% (and it may go up from here)