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ElectionCord

@electioncord.com

160 followers 290 following 900 posts

US Political Consulting & Analysis Through a Demographic Lens Join Discord Here: https://discord.gg/Yqh4EmBVRR https://electioncord.com/

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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 18h

NEW ON ELECTIONCORD.COM:

Perhaps our biggest project yet, we've created a sample strategy for a congressional district (NY-12). This strategy showcases our values and principles in a tangible and real-world format.

LINK: electioncord.com/sample-strat...

Sample Strategy For A Congressional Race – ELECTIONCORD

electioncord.com

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 12h

Oh and by the way, if you are interested in running YOUR campaign with a focus on demographical analytics, message us here, Bluesky, join our Discord, or email us at [email protected]!

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 12h

By the way, all the information is real, and could honestly be used as a real strategy for NY-12. We chose to pick it because it was a district that was fairly interesting, and the current incumbent is retiring. Stuff like this ancestry chart for example.

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 18h

NEW ON ELECTIONCORD.COM:

Perhaps our biggest project yet, we've created a sample strategy for a congressional district (NY-12). This strategy showcases our values and principles in a tangible and real-world format.

LINK: electioncord.com/sample-strat...

Sample Strategy For A Congressional Race – ELECTIONCORD

electioncord.com

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 19h

YOU KNOW, Democrats need to go all in on electoral and political reform. I don't even mean reforming the Supreme Court (although I wouldn't be so mad), but we really need to be louder about expanding the House to reduce the effectiveness of gerrymandering, and add in RCV to national elections.

Barred and Boujee aka Madiba Dennie @audrelawdamercy.bsky.social · 21h

Wednesday is gonna be a rough day:

The Supreme Court will be hearing oral argument in a pair of cases that threaten what little remains of the federal government’s ability to protect voters from racial gerrymandering under the Voting Rights Act

ballsandstrikes.org/scotus/louis...

Louisiana v Callais: The Republicans Justices Are Getting Ready to Finish Off the Voting Rights Act

In Louisiana v Callais, John Roberts will have the chance to finish his decades-long war on. voting rights.

ballsandstrikes.org

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 1d

San Diego Metro in districts of 30,000 people. San Diego is a solidly Democratic area, although it trended heavily right from 2020-2024, due to all the Hispanic areas in the metro. There's 110 districts, and in 2020 and 2024 they split 94D-16R. What metro should I do next?

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 1d

Are there any questions not on our polling averages that you want to know the answer to? Assuming of course, that someone has asked that question in a major poll.

Our averages are currently at electioncord.com/poll-tracker/ (check the tab for all polling averages)

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 2d

Houston Metro area in districts of 30,000 people. Houston is quite diverse, with large populations of Latino, Black, and even Asian people. This is 238 districts, and in 2024 it was 114D-124R. Dems won more districts in 2020 though (132D-106R) Which metro should I do next?

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

Are midterms going to happen before this Tigers/Mariners game ends?

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

In the retirement home in the distant future: they should have bunted

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

Here's the link BTW: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Ultimate Election Stats

docs.google.com

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

Here's the thing, Democrats did the best with educated people in 2020, but Dems lost the 2024 election pretty much because of low education shifts... In our 100K district spreadsheet, the education shift between <25% Bach attainment vs 50%+ was 37% in 2020, 41% in 2024.

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

Very Broadly in Presidential Elections:

2012: Peak racial polarization
2016: Peak Urban/Rural divide
2024: Peak education divide (so far)

I don't really think 2020 was peak in anything, as the college educated/non educated gap was bigger in 2024.

Thoughts?

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

Kansas City Metro area (Missouri only) in districts of 30,000 people. The core Dem area is mostly made up of highly educated white areas near the KS-MO border, and majority black areas in and around downtown KCMO. All in all, there's 43 districts. Which metro should I do next?

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 3d

I would call it hypocrisy, but I don't even think it's that, because they kind of use these "accusations" as justification for what stupid things they want to do

Reposted by ElectionCord

Governor JB Pritzker @govpritzker.illinois.gov · 4d

Reporting live from Chicago, there’s no “hellscape” I’d rather be in.

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 4d

LINK: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

ElectionCord Polling Aggregate

docs.google.com

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 4d

I'm working on adding new polling averages on our database, first I'm working on Democrat, Republican, and Congress approval/favorability ratings.

Polls since September 1st:
Dems: 36 Fav/57 Unfav
Reps: 40 Fav/53 Unfav
Congress: 29 Fav/58 Unfav (ouch)

Database is down below.

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 4d

Uh no but it's better than nothing, also is there such a big cultural deficit? Trump is super unpopular

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 4d

Check out all of our maps at electioncord.com, like our ethnicity map!

electioncord.com/ethnicityint...

ELECTIONCORD – Political Consulting with a Demographic Focus

electioncord.com

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 4d

I suspect that Democrats just did not focus enough on keeping these "solidly Democratic" voters engaged, and thus turnout actually went down. If they aren't already, Sherrill and company NEED to spend a lot of money on Spanish language ads.

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 4d

One big thing to watch in New Jersey's Governor race is the turnout rate in minority areas. If you look at turnout from 2016-24 at the presidential level, almost everywhere had big increases in turnout... one of the exceptions being minority areas in New Jersey.

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 5d

Trump doesn't have a mandate to do WHATEVER he wants, almost every poll shows that, like this new one from Pew Research. 66% of people say that he has used his office improperly to punish those who say things he does not like.

www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 5d

In the latest Navigator Research poll, they asked what people thought about both the Affordable Care Act, and Obamacare. Of course, they're the exact same thing, but that didn't stop about 20% of Republicans from changing their mind about it.

Reposted by ElectionCord

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 6d

We're trying something out... We would appreciate it if you just took a couple minutes to fill out our poll, and if you have any suggestions feel free to let us know!

It asks basic stuff like Trump's approval, and it's 18 questions.

LINK: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

ElectionCord "Poll"

A poll done by ElectionCord. NOTE: this poll is completely anonymous, e-mails aren't recorded.

docs.google.com

ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 6d

We're trying something out... We would appreciate it if you just took a couple minutes to fill out our poll, and if you have any suggestions feel free to let us know!

It asks basic stuff like Trump's approval, and it's 18 questions.

LINK: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

ElectionCord "Poll"

A poll done by ElectionCord. NOTE: this poll is completely anonymous, e-mails aren't recorded.

docs.google.com