Keir Giles
@keirgiles.bsky.social
Twitter refugee #1,383,497
Pinned
Keir Giles
@keirgiles.bsky.social
· Jul 2
I Was Hacked Because I Work on Russia
But the same clever new attack could be used against almost anyone.
foreignpolicy.com
More on the very clever, but also very simple, way unknown persons* convinced me to crack open my email account for them last month.
Here's the problem: almost all of us have this same back door in our security. Now it's in the open, could we all be targets?
foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/02/g...
Here's the problem: almost all of us have this same back door in our security. Now it's in the open, could we all be targets?
foreignpolicy.com/2025/07/02/g...
Reposted by Keir Giles
Always a great combination @siliconcurtain.bsky.social & @keirgiles.bsky.social.
At times I rant in frustration at 4 walls, the radio & the TV yet Keir still calmly & clearly sums up the precipice we're heading towards, which he's been warning for more than a decade.
Russia/USA spot the difference!
At times I rant in frustration at 4 walls, the radio & the TV yet Keir still calmly & clearly sums up the precipice we're heading towards, which he's been warning for more than a decade.
Russia/USA spot the difference!
Economic appeasement of authoritarians never leads to anything good. I ask Keir Giles if Europe has been surrendered to the Russian sphere of influence in the first Trumpian US National Security Policy - see his answer in this full interview. Keir Giles - youtu.be/sKdjPdq-LsE
SHOCK: Europe Surrendered to Russian Sphere of Influence by Trump's US?!
YouTube video by Silicon Curtain
youtu.be
December 10, 2025 at 9:20 AM
Always a great combination @siliconcurtain.bsky.social & @keirgiles.bsky.social.
At times I rant in frustration at 4 walls, the radio & the TV yet Keir still calmly & clearly sums up the precipice we're heading towards, which he's been warning for more than a decade.
Russia/USA spot the difference!
At times I rant in frustration at 4 walls, the radio & the TV yet Keir still calmly & clearly sums up the precipice we're heading towards, which he's been warning for more than a decade.
Russia/USA spot the difference!
This is accurate. Russia has succeeded very well in convincing media in Europe and the UK that the conflict is far more one-sided in Russia’s favour than is genuinely the case - and that contributes to the assumption that it should be settled in Russia’s favour sooner rather than later.
One of the frustrating aspects of Trump's 'peace' efforts is that he resides in an echo chamber that doesn't acknowledge the real difficulties that Russia is facing in continuing its war in Ukraine - and it is an echo chamber that influences media coverage, judging by the questions that I get asked!
Time is not working for Russia, and things will only get worse.
“Putin is very likely preparing to attempt to offset Russia’s near-exhaustion of voluntary recruitment in 2026 by mobilizing elements of Russia’s strategic reserve to sustain combat operations in Ukraine.”
“Putin is very likely preparing to attempt to offset Russia’s near-exhaustion of voluntary recruitment in 2026 by mobilizing elements of Russia’s strategic reserve to sustain combat operations in Ukraine.”
December 10, 2025 at 7:12 AM
This is accurate. Russia has succeeded very well in convincing media in Europe and the UK that the conflict is far more one-sided in Russia’s favour than is genuinely the case - and that contributes to the assumption that it should be settled in Russia’s favour sooner rather than later.
Reposted by Keir Giles
I doubt the victims of Russia’s attacks in previous decades would ever have described the impact as “a mere nuisance”.
amzn.to/3aPtKxB
amzn.to/3aPtKxB
Russia's War on Everybody: And What it Means for You
Russia's War on Everybody: And What it Means for You
amzn.to
December 9, 2025 at 8:45 PM
I doubt the victims of Russia’s attacks in previous decades would ever have described the impact as “a mere nuisance”.
amzn.to/3aPtKxB
amzn.to/3aPtKxB
Reposted by Keir Giles
Economic appeasement of authoritarians never leads to anything good. I ask Keir Giles if Europe has been surrendered to the Russian sphere of influence in the first Trumpian US National Security Policy - see his answer in this full interview. Keir Giles - youtu.be/sKdjPdq-LsE
SHOCK: Europe Surrendered to Russian Sphere of Influence by Trump's US?!
YouTube video by Silicon Curtain
youtu.be
December 9, 2025 at 6:32 PM
Economic appeasement of authoritarians never leads to anything good. I ask Keir Giles if Europe has been surrendered to the Russian sphere of influence in the first Trumpian US National Security Policy - see his answer in this full interview. Keir Giles - youtu.be/sKdjPdq-LsE
Reposted by Keir Giles
Are Euroclear bosses being coerced by Russian security services into opposing giving Moscow’s frozen assets to Ukraine? An important story in the EU Observer today details intense pressure on the finance firm’s CEO.
It’s not just disorganised criminals and local idiots that form the extended arms of Russia’s intelligence services abroad. Insider threat, including by highly placed individuals with power and privileged access, is still very much alive.
In unrelated news:
euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
In unrelated news:
euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
Bolshoi-loving banker threatened Euroclear CEO, amid EU talks on Russian assets
A French banker inside Euroclear, who flew to Russia 155 times for private reasons, allegedly tried to connect the company's CEO, Valérie Urbain, with Russian spies and threatened her when she decline...
euobserver.com
December 8, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Are Euroclear bosses being coerced by Russian security services into opposing giving Moscow’s frozen assets to Ukraine? An important story in the EU Observer today details intense pressure on the finance firm’s CEO.
It’s not just disorganised criminals and local idiots that form the extended arms of Russia’s intelligence services abroad. Insider threat, including by highly placed individuals with power and privileged access, is still very much alive.
In unrelated news:
euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
In unrelated news:
euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
Bolshoi-loving banker threatened Euroclear CEO, amid EU talks on Russian assets
A French banker inside Euroclear, who flew to Russia 155 times for private reasons, allegedly tried to connect the company's CEO, Valérie Urbain, with Russian spies and threatened her when she decline...
euobserver.com
December 8, 2025 at 8:27 AM
It’s not just disorganised criminals and local idiots that form the extended arms of Russia’s intelligence services abroad. Insider threat, including by highly placed individuals with power and privileged access, is still very much alive.
In unrelated news:
euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
In unrelated news:
euobserver.com/eu-and-the-w...
Are people really only noticing last week’s new US National Security Strategy this morning, or has Trump Inc. already issued another one that’s even worse?
I note the numerous posts pointing to the 'bombshell' US national security strategy this morning.
A) many of us Europeans have been warning of this since 2014, Obama's time.
B) you can always rely on European leaders to take a short-term view and refuse to take the blinkers off.
A) many of us Europeans have been warning of this since 2014, Obama's time.
B) you can always rely on European leaders to take a short-term view and refuse to take the blinkers off.
So Europe now knows what the official US strategy is, and its main hope lies in the Trump administration being too incompetent to implement it.
Banking on the (selective) incompetence of your most important ally is not a great position to be in.
Banking on the (selective) incompetence of your most important ally is not a great position to be in.
December 8, 2025 at 8:22 AM
Are people really only noticing last week’s new US National Security Strategy this morning, or has Trump Inc. already issued another one that’s even worse?
Rumours of my influence on Chatham House have been greatly exaggerated.
December 7, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Rumours of my influence on Chatham House have been greatly exaggerated.
Thank you very much for all the interesting and varied replies. Now the follow-up question, and it is to friends and colleagues who speak Russian and have done a lot of translating of Russian documents. Does anything in particular strike you about the language highlighted below?
I have a couple of quick questions on language for American friends and colleagues. These are serious, genuine questions, as in I really don't know the answer but am interested to find out.
1/3
1/3
December 6, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Thank you very much for all the interesting and varied replies. Now the follow-up question, and it is to friends and colleagues who speak Russian and have done a lot of translating of Russian documents. Does anything in particular strike you about the language highlighted below?
Just popping this from a year and a half ago back on here again, especially for anybody that was startled by the contents of Trump's US National Security Strategy.
amzn.to/4cFI1b6
amzn.to/4cFI1b6
December 6, 2025 at 10:38 AM
Just popping this from a year and a half ago back on here again, especially for anybody that was startled by the contents of Trump's US National Security Strategy.
amzn.to/4cFI1b6
amzn.to/4cFI1b6
I have a couple of quick questions on language for American friends and colleagues. These are serious, genuine questions, as in I really don't know the answer but am interested to find out.
1/3
1/3
December 6, 2025 at 9:11 AM
I have a couple of quick questions on language for American friends and colleagues. These are serious, genuine questions, as in I really don't know the answer but am interested to find out.
1/3
1/3
Ah, I appear to have once again written my op-ed for the Independent about Europe needing to be ready to face Russia without the support of the United States. It's getting harder and harder to find different words to say it each time.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
Europe needs to stop its magical thinking and ready for war with Russia
Europe is still paralysed by denial over the threat it faces from Putin, writes Keir Giles. Unless European leaders change tack, they will be a soft target for Moscow
www.independent.co.uk
December 6, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Ah, I appear to have once again written my op-ed for the Independent about Europe needing to be ready to face Russia without the support of the United States. It's getting harder and harder to find different words to say it each time.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
NOT THAT WASHINGTON, in case non-Brits blink at this.
The UK will place further orders for 155mm artillery ammunition with BAE Systems’ Washington facility.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/britain-to-p...
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/britain-to-p...
Britain to place 155mm artillery shell orders
The UK will place further orders for 155mm artillery ammunition with BAE Systems’ Washington facility.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
December 4, 2025 at 10:34 AM
NOT THAT WASHINGTON, in case non-Brits blink at this.
No, I know exactly why this came up in my search results, it's because just like me, the algorithm thought at first glance that it was just another list of Pete Hegseth names for military operations.
🤠🌵 18 NAKED COWBOYS IN BAE DOMAIN RAM RANCH 🌵
HOTSPRINGS STEAMIN’, BOOTS STOMPIN’, AND BEATS POUNDIN’ AS DJ GUNDAM RIDES THE SOUNDWAVES HARD 💦 DJ QUEEN BAE WHIPPIN’ THAT BOOTY LIKE A ROGUE LASSO 🍑 AND MADAM WASHINGTON HOLLERIN’ “YEEHAW, LET’S GET LEWD!” 🔥 #BaeDomain #CowboyNighty #FFXIV
HOTSPRINGS STEAMIN’, BOOTS STOMPIN’, AND BEATS POUNDIN’ AS DJ GUNDAM RIDES THE SOUNDWAVES HARD 💦 DJ QUEEN BAE WHIPPIN’ THAT BOOTY LIKE A ROGUE LASSO 🍑 AND MADAM WASHINGTON HOLLERIN’ “YEEHAW, LET’S GET LEWD!” 🔥 #BaeDomain #CowboyNighty #FFXIV
December 4, 2025 at 10:34 AM
No, I know exactly why this came up in my search results, it's because just like me, the algorithm thought at first glance that it was just another list of Pete Hegseth names for military operations.
I do think all this ongoing criticism of the US choice of whom to send to Moscow for the "peace talks" that weren't is really a little unfair. After all, if it was a fool's errand, then Steve Witkoff was the perfect man for the job.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
December 4, 2025 at 8:31 AM
I do think all this ongoing criticism of the US choice of whom to send to Moscow for the "peace talks" that weren't is really a little unfair. After all, if it was a fool's errand, then Steve Witkoff was the perfect man for the job.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/e...
Reposted by Keir Giles
ICYMI: Russia's war manpower crisis has spawned global trafficking networks targeting vulnerable populations across the Global South. My recent analysis for @engelsbergideas.bsky.social traces how Moscow's attrition strategy evolved into systematic exploitation.
engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
The trafficking networks sustaining Russia’s war of attrition
As Putin seeks to avoid another politically damaging mobilisation, the temptation to draw on Moscow's extensive global trafficking networks will only grow.
engelsbergideas.com
December 3, 2025 at 5:16 PM
ICYMI: Russia's war manpower crisis has spawned global trafficking networks targeting vulnerable populations across the Global South. My recent analysis for @engelsbergideas.bsky.social traces how Moscow's attrition strategy evolved into systematic exploitation.
engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...
I'll be on BBC News channel at just after 2000 UK time to talk about this absolute twaddle.
December 3, 2025 at 7:41 PM
I'll be on BBC News channel at just after 2000 UK time to talk about this absolute twaddle.
Reposted by Keir Giles
Dim-Wit is officially renamed as Dastardly and Muttley.
@keirgiles.bsky.social
@keirgiles.bsky.social
As if we hadn't talked enough already today about Dastardly and Muttley getting back together in Moscow, I'll be on TalkTV with Petrie Hosken from (all times UK) 2230-2243, then BBC Five Live with @colinmurray1.bsky.social from 2245 until they pull the plug on me.
December 3, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Dim-Wit is officially renamed as Dastardly and Muttley.
@keirgiles.bsky.social
@keirgiles.bsky.social
Shocked, SHOCKED to find that Mike Martin MP, author, member of the UK Parliament’s Defence Committee, and all-round deep war-thinker, has only ONE (1) of my books on his luxuriously populated interview bookshelf.
December 3, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Shocked, SHOCKED to find that Mike Martin MP, author, member of the UK Parliament’s Defence Committee, and all-round deep war-thinker, has only ONE (1) of my books on his luxuriously populated interview bookshelf.
Dear viewers, I have asked on your behalf exactly which part of what we heard from Putin yesterday was a surprise.
December 3, 2025 at 7:23 AM
Dear viewers, I have asked on your behalf exactly which part of what we heard from Putin yesterday was a surprise.
As if we hadn't talked enough already today about Dastardly and Muttley getting back together in Moscow, I'll be on TalkTV with Petrie Hosken from (all times UK) 2230-2243, then BBC Five Live with @colinmurray1.bsky.social from 2245 until they pull the plug on me.
December 2, 2025 at 9:44 PM
As if we hadn't talked enough already today about Dastardly and Muttley getting back together in Moscow, I'll be on TalkTV with Petrie Hosken from (all times UK) 2230-2243, then BBC Five Live with @colinmurray1.bsky.social from 2245 until they pull the plug on me.
No matter how often it is repeated, what Moscow thinks "peace talks" and "ceasefire agreements" are for still confuses some Western counterparts.
Russia repeatedly gets what it wants because the other side focuses on ending the war, but Russia instead wants to win it.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cw...
Russia repeatedly gets what it wants because the other side focuses on ending the war, but Russia instead wants to win it.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cw...
December 2, 2025 at 12:06 PM
No matter how often it is repeated, what Moscow thinks "peace talks" and "ceasefire agreements" are for still confuses some Western counterparts.
Russia repeatedly gets what it wants because the other side focuses on ending the war, but Russia instead wants to win it.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cw...
Russia repeatedly gets what it wants because the other side focuses on ending the war, but Russia instead wants to win it.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cw...
Reposted by Keir Giles
I agree with @keirgiles.bsky.social that there are probably other reasons why cable cutting has stopped. One could be that Russia got what they wanted. But this touches the classic problem of proving deterrence: it's very hard to prove why something bad didn't happen.
The idea that cable-cutting in the Baltic has stopped because of Baltic Sentry and not for any other reason, and thus that “deterrence is working”, is a logical leap that I sincerely hope is supported by some evidence.
www.ft.com/content/dbd9...
www.ft.com/content/dbd9...
December 1, 2025 at 7:27 AM
I agree with @keirgiles.bsky.social that there are probably other reasons why cable cutting has stopped. One could be that Russia got what they wanted. But this touches the classic problem of proving deterrence: it's very hard to prove why something bad didn't happen.
The idea that cable-cutting in the Baltic has stopped because of Baltic Sentry and not for any other reason, and thus that “deterrence is working”, is a logical leap that I sincerely hope is supported by some evidence.
www.ft.com/content/dbd9...
www.ft.com/content/dbd9...
November 30, 2025 at 10:00 PM
The idea that cable-cutting in the Baltic has stopped because of Baltic Sentry and not for any other reason, and thus that “deterrence is working”, is a logical leap that I sincerely hope is supported by some evidence.
www.ft.com/content/dbd9...
www.ft.com/content/dbd9...
Reposted by Keir Giles
”Britannia nuokkuu, vaikka uhka kasvaa” Huippututkija Keir Giles suomii maansa passiivista linjaa poikkeuksellisen kovin sanoin. Artikkeli ”Britannia nuokkuu, vaikka uhka kasvaa” julkaistiin ensimmäisen kerran Verkkouutiset .
Interest | Match | Feed
Interest | Match | Feed
Origin
www.verkkouutiset.fi
November 26, 2025 at 5:55 AM