James Cameron
banner
jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron
@jjjcameron.bsky.social

Associate Prof of Modern North American History at the University of Oslo, Norway. Nuclear strategy and arms control.

Norway is not a member state of the European Union (EU). It is associated with the Union through its membership in the European Economic Area (EEA), signed in 1992 and established in 1994. Norway was a founding member of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) in 1960, which was originally set up as an alternative to the European Economic Community (EEC), the main predecessor of the EU. Norway had considered joining both the EEC and the European Union, but opted to decline following referendums in 1972 and 1994. According to the European Social Survey conducted in 2018, 73.6% of Norwegians would vote 'No' in a referendum to join the European Union. Norway shares land borders with two EU member states, namely Finland and Sweden, and maritime borders with a third, Denmark. .. more

Political science 50%
Economics 14%

Reposted by James Cameron

"For Finland, it's an unpleasant situation... Finland has recently joined NATO and depends on US support when it comes to security and defence capabilities."

The headline reads: "The US foreign policy shift leaves Europe alone."

Reposted by James Cameron

Editorial in Finland's leading daily Helsingin Sanomat today: the new US National Security Strategy "reeks with hostility towards Europe and reflects a broad shift in US foreign policy... The old US commitments to defend Europe can no longer be relied upon."
www.hs.fi/paakirjoituk...
Pääkirjoitus | Yhdysvaltojen ulkopolitiikan käännös jättää Euroopan yksin
Yhdysvaltojen uusi kansallisen turvallisuuden strategia huokuu vihamielisyyttä Eurooppaa kohtaan ja heijastaa laajaa ja pitkäkestoista muutosta Yhdysvaltojen ulkopolitiikassa.
www.hs.fi

Europe's civilizational erasure claims its latest victim: gingerbread men.
Nothing says getting into the festive spirit like going online to shout at some biscuits
Nothing says getting into the festive spirit like going online to shout at some biscuits

Hearing good things about the latest NYT editorial on US military strategy.

"The NSS makes clear that there is now a battle under way between two different versions of the west....The Trump administration view of 'western civilisation' is based on race, Christianity & nationalism. The European version is a liberal view founded on democracy, human rights & the rule of law"
Trump’s America and a clash of civilisations with Europe
The White House sees mass immigration as a bigger threat than Russia — and it is pressuring Europe to agree
www.ft.com

Reposted by Kori Schake

So Europe now knows what the official US strategy is, and its main hope lies in the Trump administration being too incompetent to implement it.

Banking on the (selective) incompetence of your most important ally is not a great position to be in.

Reposted by James Cameron

📢 RSIS/NTU Singapore is hiring tenure-track positions in Strategic Studies (particularly keen on candidates working at the intersection of tech & strategy), Asian Studies, IR, and IPE.

Deadline: 31 Jan 2026. Please RT & share with anyone on the market!

ntu.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/Careers/job/...
Assistant Professor in Strategic Studies / International Relations (Tenure-Track) [RSIS]
Assistant Professor in Strategic Studies / International Relations (Tenure-Track) The S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, is seeking to...
ntu.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com

From what I've seen, all of the younger MAGAs are worse, which is why US allies can't just wait out Trump II in the hope this goes away.
Junior may actually be worse

“Donald Trump Jr. criticized corruption in Ukraine and suggested Sunday that his father may walk away from the country if it doesn’t make peace with Russia.”

www.politico.eu/article/trum...
Trump’s son suggests president may walk away from Ukraine
Donald Trump Jr. says his father’s unpredictability is forcing people to be intellectually honest.
www.politico.eu

Reposted by James Cameron

Junior may actually be worse

“Donald Trump Jr. criticized corruption in Ukraine and suggested Sunday that his father may walk away from the country if it doesn’t make peace with Russia.”

www.politico.eu/article/trum...
Trump’s son suggests president may walk away from Ukraine
Donald Trump Jr. says his father’s unpredictability is forcing people to be intellectually honest.
www.politico.eu

FIFA made sure that Trump's Special Peace Prize is much bigger than the real World Cup.

"Some people said the lack of US support was ironic given that Elbridge Colby, the under-secretary of defence for policy, had pushed Japan to make clear what role it would play if the US and China went to war over Taiwan."

Yes, almost as if Colby is running his own private defense policy.
Japan frustrated at Trump administration’s silence over row with China
Tokyo asks US to be more vocal in its support after Beijing reacted furiously to prime minister’s comments about Taiwan
www.ft.com

Reposted by James Cameron

Reinforces David Sanger's argument that "great power competition," the leitmotif of Trump I's national security strategy, has been binned.

Looks like Trump II is seeking some kind of spheres of influence-type arrangement with Russia and China.
Superpower Competition: The Missing Chapter in Trump’s Security Strategy
www.nytimes.com

"We respect China's historic military buildup" is quite a surprising message from a US secretary of defense. www.politico.com/news/2025/12...

Separating conventional and nuclear deterrence doesn't make sense, because Europe faces an adversary that has both capabilities and seeks to use them in an integrated way.

NATO did not have separate conv and nuke doctrines against the Warsaw Pact.

Trump & co want to continue to have as free a hand as possible when it comes to military action globally. Large numbers of sophisticated nuclear weapons would arguably facilitate that.

Reposted by James Cameron

Deputy Secy of State Christopher Landau says the US “cannot pretend that we are partners” w/ NATO nations because the European Union—of which many are members—pursues “policies of civilizational suicide.”

Landau is a former clerk of SCOTUS Justice Thomas. Stephen Miller lobbied for his appointment.

Reposted by James Cameron

In other words "who are we trying to deter" and "what are we trying to deter then from doing?" Are nuclear weapons a credible deterrent in these cases? Or are they just another symbol of U.S. power (like tariffs and murder on the high seas) that allows for muscle flexing and bragging rights? (2/2)

Reposted by James Cameron

Absolutely true, but there's a more basic question. If we are not concerned with "great power competition" or defense of our alliances, with economic competition being the only problem, then why do we need nuclear weapons at all? Status and stature? (1/2)

The basic problem with the United States' call for Europe to lead on conventional forces while it takes care of nuclear deterrence.
It's not credible the US would fight a nuclear war over Europe if they aren't willing to contribute conventionally.

Reposted by James Cameron

It's not credible the US would fight a nuclear war over Europe if they aren't willing to contribute conventionally.

Reposted by James Cameron

New on the Strategic Simplicity Podcast - Carnegie's Tong Zhao helps unpack the new PRC arms control white paper. Link below:

"It was also not clear if the 2027 deadline represented the Trump administration position or only the views of some Pentagon officials."

I think we can guess which ones!

"The U.S. officials told their counterparts that if Europe does not meet the 2027 deadline, the U.S. may stop participating in some NATO defense coordination mechanisms, said the sources."

"The United States wants Europe to take over the majority of NATO's conventional defense capabilities, from intelligence to missiles, by 2027, Pentagon officials told diplomats in Washington this week."
Exclusive: US sets 2027 deadline for Europe-led NATO defense, officials say
The United States wants Europe to take over the majority of NATO's conventional defense capabilities, from intelligence to missiles, by 2027, Pentagon officials told diplomats in Washington this week,...
share.google

Weird nod to the famously unsuccessful "New Labour, New Danger" campaign over her right shoulder.

There's not much on means, as opposed to ends, in the National Security Strategy, despite its critique of other NSSs as wish lists.
Also worth noting that apart from some vague wording on rebuilding American industrial capacity the Trump National Security Strategy seems to have no mention about the challenges in rebuilding a US Navy struggling with escalating manpower, maintenance and ship-building crises.

Reposted by James Cameron

Also worth noting that apart from some vague wording on rebuilding American industrial capacity the Trump National Security Strategy seems to have no mention about the challenges in rebuilding a US Navy struggling with escalating manpower, maintenance and ship-building crises.

Reposted by James Cameron

So the “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine is just a slightly more overtly imperialist Monroe Doctrine.