Alexandros Gotinakos
@gotinakos.bsky.social
comparative political behavior, 🇪🇺 politics, measurement, surveys | Research Fellow Aristotle University of Thessaloniki @datisproject.bsky.social, #ActEU Horizon Project
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
New paper with @hjghassell.bsky.social and @michaelheseltine.bsky.social out in @bjpols.bsky.social.
We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
October 3, 2025 at 12:27 PM
New paper with @hjghassell.bsky.social and @michaelheseltine.bsky.social out in @bjpols.bsky.social.
We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)?
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
September 19, 2025 at 6:58 AM
🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)?
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
yes
September 24, 2025 at 6:15 PM
yes
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Americans are most likely to encounter people from different economic classes in gas stations, restaurants and hotels. This mixing is least likely to happen in elementary and secondary schools, while exercising, and in supermarkets. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
September 17, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Americans are most likely to encounter people from different economic classes in gas stations, restaurants and hotels. This mixing is least likely to happen in elementary and secondary schools, while exercising, and in supermarkets. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
I am beyond excited to announce that ggplot2 4.0.0 has just landed on CRAN.
It's not every day we have a new major #ggplot2 release but it is a fitting 18 year birthday present for the package.
Get an overview of the release in this blog post and be on the lookout for more in-depth posts #rstats
It's not every day we have a new major #ggplot2 release but it is a fitting 18 year birthday present for the package.
Get an overview of the release in this blog post and be on the lookout for more in-depth posts #rstats
ggplot2 4.0.0
A new major version of ggplot2 has been released on CRAN. Find out what is new here.
www.tidyverse.org
September 11, 2025 at 11:20 AM
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
The weird and wonderful history of British voter segmentations: the names, the ideas, the myths!
From how "the man on the Clapham omnibus" changed English common law to how "Gail's Voter" helped the Lib Dems gain 64 seats in 2024 to what works well when doing segmentation (and what doesn't)
From how "the man on the Clapham omnibus" changed English common law to how "Gail's Voter" helped the Lib Dems gain 64 seats in 2024 to what works well when doing segmentation (and what doesn't)
The Weird and Wonderful History of British Election Voter Segmentations
This "Stockport Man" outlines his ironic (and unironic) love of the a proud British election tradition
jamesbreckwoldt.substack.com
September 9, 2025 at 8:30 AM
The weird and wonderful history of British voter segmentations: the names, the ideas, the myths!
From how "the man on the Clapham omnibus" changed English common law to how "Gail's Voter" helped the Lib Dems gain 64 seats in 2024 to what works well when doing segmentation (and what doesn't)
From how "the man on the Clapham omnibus" changed English common law to how "Gail's Voter" helped the Lib Dems gain 64 seats in 2024 to what works well when doing segmentation (and what doesn't)
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Remember, if you encounter what seems like an implausible survey finding, ask:
1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll?
2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents?
Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... 🧪
1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll?
2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents?
Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... 🧪
September 8, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Remember, if you encounter what seems like an implausible survey finding, ask:
1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll?
2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents?
Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... 🧪
1. Were survey respondents selected randomly or was this an opt-in poll?
2. Could the results, especially for young adults, be driven by bogus respondents?
Keep this post in mind: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/... 🧪
Full (and fun!) days at #ECPR2025 @ecpr.bsky.social last week, presenting and catching great panels with work from our @datisproject.bsky.social s and @eupoplink.bsky.social teams.
September 5, 2025 at 9:56 AM
Full (and fun!) days at #ECPR2025 @ecpr.bsky.social last week, presenting and catching great panels with work from our @datisproject.bsky.social s and @eupoplink.bsky.social teams.
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Large partisan differences on the effect of tariffs on the economy, though relatively little change over time. >50% of Reps say tariffs help. Those saying hurt the economy up slightly across partisanship; help economy down a bit with independents. @MULawPoll national surveys.
September 2, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Large partisan differences on the effect of tariffs on the economy, though relatively little change over time. >50% of Reps say tariffs help. Those saying hurt the economy up slightly across partisanship; help economy down a bit with independents. @MULawPoll national surveys.
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
"Black cities were at the epicenter of fraud dialogue... electoral confidence deteriorated most for racially-resentful Whites post-election in 2020.... racially resentful White Americans are especially likely to believe accusations of fraud when...racialized"
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
August 29, 2025 at 6:03 PM
"Black cities were at the epicenter of fraud dialogue... electoral confidence deteriorated most for racially-resentful Whites post-election in 2020.... racially resentful White Americans are especially likely to believe accusations of fraud when...racialized"
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life?
Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social)
Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social)
Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
August 25, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life?
Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social)
Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social)
Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
🇬🇷 @gotinakos.bsky.social presented Greece’s Country Report on Populism and Euroscepticism.
Focus on party strategies, public attitudes, and the Greek case in comparative perspective.
Focus on party strategies, public attitudes, and the Greek case in comparative perspective.
August 25, 2025 at 4:45 PM
🇬🇷 @gotinakos.bsky.social presented Greece’s Country Report on Populism and Euroscepticism.
Focus on party strategies, public attitudes, and the Greek case in comparative perspective.
Focus on party strategies, public attitudes, and the Greek case in comparative perspective.
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
The problem with 'average over different coding or modelling decisions' is often we will find that different decisions aren't even targeting the same estimand, in ways that may not be clear from the outset
August 21, 2025 at 8:39 PM
The problem with 'average over different coding or modelling decisions' is often we will find that different decisions aren't even targeting the same estimand, in ways that may not be clear from the outset
Our project's conference is taking place later this week ⬇️⬇️
We are excited to invite you to the DATIS Conference, taking place on August 24, 2025 (14:00–18:00) at Conference Hall 1, KEDEA, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki.
📍 For more details on the program: www.datis.gr/conference
📍 For more details on the program: www.datis.gr/conference
August 19, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Our project's conference is taking place later this week ⬇️⬇️
Join us on Monday!
We are excited to invite you to the 1st EUPopLink Conference, taking place on August 25, 2025 (09:00–17:00) at Conference Hall 1, KEDEA, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki.
📍 For more details on the program: eupoplink.eu/conference
📍 For more details on the program: eupoplink.eu/conference
August 19, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Join us on Monday!
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Pleased to share the latest version of my paper with Arthur Spirling and @lexipalmer.bsky.social on replication using LMs
We show:
1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...
We show:
1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...
December 17, 2024 at 7:50 PM
Pleased to share the latest version of my paper with Arthur Spirling and @lexipalmer.bsky.social on replication using LMs
We show:
1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...
We show:
1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
DATIS project, funded by ELIDEK, participated with a presentation by @efteperoglou.bsky.social at EEPE & EKKE event on European Elections 2024, Political and Electoral Analysis, in Athens, on June 14.
July 28, 2025 at 10:15 AM
DATIS project, funded by ELIDEK, participated with a presentation by @efteperoglou.bsky.social at EEPE & EKKE event on European Elections 2024, Political and Electoral Analysis, in Athens, on June 14.
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
The presentation was about the research results of DATIS (Deliverables 4.1, 4.2, 5.1) using @isspsurvey.bsky.social data with the title: “Sequential Mixed Mode Surveys with Mobile Phone Numbers for Increased Coverage”.
July 28, 2025 at 10:37 AM
The presentation was about the research results of DATIS (Deliverables 4.1, 4.2, 5.1) using @isspsurvey.bsky.social data with the title: “Sequential Mixed Mode Surveys with Mobile Phone Numbers for Increased Coverage”.
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
DATIS project, funded by ELIDEK, participated at the 78th Annual WAPOR Conference 2025, St. Louis, Missouri, USA, May 12-15, 2025, with a presentation by Professor @andreadis.bsky.social
July 28, 2025 at 10:37 AM
DATIS project, funded by ELIDEK, participated at the 78th Annual WAPOR Conference 2025, St. Louis, Missouri, USA, May 12-15, 2025, with a presentation by Professor @andreadis.bsky.social
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Meta ends political ads on their platforms in the EU by October because they don't want to comply with new transparency and targeting regulations.
The reasons given here are really weak. And if you do *not* allow these ads, you still need to define what they are.
about.fb.com/news/2025/07...
The reasons given here are really weak. And if you do *not* allow these ads, you still need to define what they are.
about.fb.com/news/2025/07...
Ending Political, Electoral and Social Issue Advertising in the EU in Response to Incoming European Regulation
From early October 2025, we will no longer allow political, electoral and social issue ads on our platforms in the EU. This is a difficult decision - one
about.fb.com
July 26, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Meta ends political ads on their platforms in the EU by October because they don't want to comply with new transparency and targeting regulations.
The reasons given here are really weak. And if you do *not* allow these ads, you still need to define what they are.
about.fb.com/news/2025/07...
The reasons given here are really weak. And if you do *not* allow these ads, you still need to define what they are.
about.fb.com/news/2025/07...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
Interesting article on the (strong) relationship between political ideology and sport preferences in the U.S.
July 16, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Interesting article on the (strong) relationship between political ideology and sport preferences in the U.S.
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
July 7, 2025 at 9:50 AM
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
In "An Ideology by Any Other Name," Andrew Trexler & Christopher Johnson find that many Americans identify with ideological labels beyond “liberal” or “conservative.” They show these alternative labels shape political attitudes and vote choice. Read more:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
An Ideology by Any Other Name - Political Behavior
The terms ‘liberal’ and ‘conservative’ are prominent features of political discourse in the United States, and many citizens choose to identify with one of these ideological labels. Yet, many citizens...
link.springer.com
July 8, 2025 at 5:10 AM
In "An Ideology by Any Other Name," Andrew Trexler & Christopher Johnson find that many Americans identify with ideological labels beyond “liberal” or “conservative.” They show these alternative labels shape political attitudes and vote choice. Read more:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Alexandros Gotinakos
"It's the economy, stupid"
Voters vote based on the economy.
But there are many economic performance indicators. Which matter the most?
This new paper shows voters react to growth, unemployment, inflation, & stock markets.
But the inflation plays the biggest role.
www.ifau.se/globalassets...
Voters vote based on the economy.
But there are many economic performance indicators. Which matter the most?
This new paper shows voters react to growth, unemployment, inflation, & stock markets.
But the inflation plays the biggest role.
www.ifau.se/globalassets...
July 8, 2025 at 1:44 PM
"It's the economy, stupid"
Voters vote based on the economy.
But there are many economic performance indicators. Which matter the most?
This new paper shows voters react to growth, unemployment, inflation, & stock markets.
But the inflation plays the biggest role.
www.ifau.se/globalassets...
Voters vote based on the economy.
But there are many economic performance indicators. Which matter the most?
This new paper shows voters react to growth, unemployment, inflation, & stock markets.
But the inflation plays the biggest role.
www.ifau.se/globalassets...