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Mr. Nick Beaudrot

@nbeaudrot.bsky.social

750 followers 120 following 7.4K posts

Math Dad. Aspiring-to-comeback Triathlete. Fall Out Boy apologist.

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · Nov 15

"Inflation is very unpopular and the median voter's views on crime and immigration are closer to Trump's than Harris's" is like 90% more accurate than every narrative take out there that focuses on Rogan, trans rights, "the information environment", etc

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 2m

Bluesky almost certainly overindexes for people who can type faster than 60wpm, but I am skeptical that a voice interface more error prone than a typical phone tree is going to get slow typers to use computers more...

GHOULLIKEHELLMACHINE @golikehellmachine.com · 4m

“people love talking to their computers!” no, they really don’t, i worked for a company whose product used voice control as the primary input, no, people really, really don’t love this

Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot

GHOULLIKEHELLMACHINE @golikehellmachine.com · 4m

“people love talking to their computers!” no, they really don’t, i worked for a company whose product used voice control as the primary input, no, people really, really don’t love this

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 19m

"bring a date" he gets it

Zohran Kwame Mamdani @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social · 2h

An important message to the people of New York City.

More information at zohranfornyc.com/birthday

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James Hell Brooks @kleinman.bsky.social · 36m

There's a perverse incentive for Groups to engage in defeatism and I don't care for it!

Lakshya Jain @lakshya.splitticket.org · 40m

I don’t think Fair Fight Action fearmongering about Dems losing 19 seats post-VRA is especially responsible because it’s (a) incorrect and (b) gives people an inclination to simply give in and wail about things without realizing that it‘s way more breakable than that.

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1h

Some of us understand this is true and are just immensely sad about it though.

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Lord Businessman II @lordbusinessman.bsky.social · 5h

There isn't a 'normal' to return to, and a lot of Americans are going to find out slowly, the hard way, because they're stupid

Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 5h

"We are a decade into Trumpism. These Young Republicans have never known any other type of Republicanism. We’re talking about a full generation of Republicans who only understand politics in the context of an authoritarian project."

www.thebulwark.com/p/all-the-pr...

All the Pretty Little Nazis

The shape of things to come.

www.thebulwark.com

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Lord Businessman II @lordbusinessman.bsky.social · 4h

Every quote from dipshit mouth breathers might as well be 'I ignored everything he said and common sense and pulled the lever wishing desperately it'd be 2019 and my kids would still talk to me'

Sky Marchini @sky.skymarchini.net · 11h

what did he think trump was gonna do, exactly. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Longtime Florida insurance agent Alan Reynolds, 65, predicts many of his customers will allow their policies to lapse when the price hikes become clear. An independent who leans conservative, Reynolds, of Port St. Lucie, called the Affordable Care Act flawed but said he favors the continuation of the enhanced subsidies “and not pulling the rug out from under people.”

His family is also affected. The loss of his wife’s subsidy means she is likely to pay about $1,200 or more each month, up from about $500 in 2024, he said. “I voted for Trump,” Reynolds said. “I didn’t expect this.”

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1h

How are you feeling about Tarheels MBB this year?

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 2h

Platner too

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James Hell Brooks @kleinman.bsky.social · 2h

Pretty sure Zohran could post a video of himself eating a sandwich and Bluesky would be like damn this guy's got the sauce

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Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 2h

oooooh he was a small business owner posting in anti work about being a socialist and loving his guns

this is median voter stuff right here just gotta graft it into a story of personal growth and the struggles of a veteran and you got a stew going

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 2h

Defector too, right?

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Amanda Marcotte @amandamarcotte.bsky.social · 14h

What's funny is I read the language of this "compact." It would ban gender-based affirmative action.

If schools did that, it would hurt boys. Already girls outnumber boys in college, and schools tacitly lower standards for boys in admissions.

Without that, some schools would be 60-70% female.

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 19h

Breaking News: Brown University became the second college to reject a White House deal offering preferential treatment for federal grants.

Brown University Rejects White House Deal for Special Treatment

Brown was the second university to turn down the deal, which would have given a funding preference to universities that agreed to certain requirements.

nyti.ms

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Guy Berger @econberger.bsky.social · 19h

It's essential for high schools and institutions of higher learning to teach students how to properly/productively use AI as a tool across various disciplines, as a complement to rather than a substitute for learning, much like they did with computers

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 21h

Anyway Instagram is probably where the money is at this point, and I don't think it will go away.

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 21h

man I really do want something that can do facial recognition and tell me how I know somebody, plus a few other things (heads up directions, etc.)

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 23h

I'm trying to navigate between "the only thing holding up the consumer economy is stock market-driven wealth effects" and "the AI bubble deflating won't blow up much else". It _sounds_ right but it's hard to reason about.

Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot

Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 1d

I think it's gonna be a lot close to dot com crash 2.0

in particular, unlike both the Great Depression and even the 2008 global financial crisis, the banking sector specifically appears to be reasonably well-protected (thank you Dodd-Frank)

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Lord Businessman II @lordbusinessman.bsky.social · 1d

but grandpa keeps making new tariffs scott

FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 1d

BESSENT: ONE TIME PRICE ADJUSTMENT FROM TARIFFS IS NOT INFLATIONARY

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

As a programmer it's sort of depressing that this ends up being an easier sell than formal verification tools :( :( :(

Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

There is a huge tension between "reviewing the AI-generated ideas is faster than trying to generate your own ideas" and "most people are not good at reviewing/proofreading".

I do think it's *possible* we train ourselves to get better at reviewing/proofreading (and verifying) AI though.

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K. Chen @tznkai.bsky.social · 1d

AI agents are currently less reliable than human agents and probably always will be. Even if they're not, the whole point of them is to be able to work faster at larger scale with human agents we use guardrails, supervision, limited authority, rules, rules and more rules to restrict them.

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Also probably the war itself and threat of communism?

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Sam Tobin-Hochstadt @samth.bsky.social · 9d

The stability of modern democracy was a feature of the postwar boom not something about the institutions.

"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 9d

An interesting range of interpretations here but what jumps out at me most is that sharp economic downturns seem to be associated, with some lag, with the far-right cannibalizing the center-right and thereby threatening democratic systems.

Some implications, perhaps, for democratic system design.

Marios Richards @mariosrichards.bsky.social · Aug 12

In our - very limited - historical experience of democracy,

(i) states rot from the centre-right
(ii) and it's contagious (via geography/powerful exemplar states)

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Mr. Nick Beaudrot @nbeaudrot.bsky.social · 1d

Like ... ya think?! www.bloomberg.com/opinion/news...

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