Rohan
@rohanps.bsky.social
Macroeconomist specialising in heterogeneous firms. Previously antitrust.
Retired international sportsman / D1 athlete. Englishman in the US. An actual doctor, not one of those fake medical ones.
https://sites.google.com/view/rohan-shah/home
Retired international sportsman / D1 athlete. Englishman in the US. An actual doctor, not one of those fake medical ones.
https://sites.google.com/view/rohan-shah/home
Reposted by Rohan
Who could have imagined legislating a bunch of costs onto landlords would have the effect of land lords leaving the sector and rents going up.
UK landlords quit sector as number of homes to let falls, survey says https://on.ft.com/4kxld0G
UK landlords quit sector as number of homes to let falls, survey says
Market drops sharply for 11th straight month in June, according to Rics
on.ft.com
July 10, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Who could have imagined legislating a bunch of costs onto landlords would have the effect of land lords leaving the sector and rents going up.
As per usual, Zucman misuses data in a desperate scramble to support his failing ideology.
A long long time ago, in a far away galaxy... the US used to tax the rich
May 23, 2025 at 10:08 PM
As per usual, Zucman misuses data in a desperate scramble to support his failing ideology.
Reposted by Rohan
Peer review is genuinely not a fraud detection mechanism and shouldn't be taken to be. It's not really a knock against a peer review system for failing to pick up when data is faked. The system is already over worked if we did data forensics at scale as a standard part of review it grinds to a halt.
May 17, 2025 at 10:52 AM
Peer review is genuinely not a fraud detection mechanism and shouldn't be taken to be. It's not really a knock against a peer review system for failing to pick up when data is faked. The system is already over worked if we did data forensics at scale as a standard part of review it grinds to a halt.
Being an academic really is one of the best jobs imaginable.
No idea why so many academics complain about it so much.
No idea why so many academics complain about it so much.
May 14, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Being an academic really is one of the best jobs imaginable.
No idea why so many academics complain about it so much.
No idea why so many academics complain about it so much.
Reposted by Rohan
Maybe this is spitting hairs but “social media attack” sounds somewhat petty or like bullying behavior, whereas what happened here is that people documented that there were serious errors in a paper and got stonewalled when they tried to go through the “normal” academic mechanisms for addressing it
May 10, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Maybe this is spitting hairs but “social media attack” sounds somewhat petty or like bullying behavior, whereas what happened here is that people documented that there were serious errors in a paper and got stonewalled when they tried to go through the “normal” academic mechanisms for addressing it
Reposted by Rohan
3/ Examining the methods and code revealed a coding error caused by trying to include fixed effects perfectly collinear with the treatment. Correcting this error showed no effect of the reform on rape. We sent this partial replication to the author and journal.
May 9, 2025 at 9:29 AM
3/ Examining the methods and code revealed a coding error caused by trying to include fixed effects perfectly collinear with the treatment. Correcting this error showed no effect of the reform on rape. We sent this partial replication to the author and journal.
Hilary here is yet another example showing just why economics lessons should be compulsory for everyone before they go to university.
As an anthropologist, if the only thing I ever did all day was remind people that before the privatization and commodification of land humans had way more free time and peace of mind, it would still not do a dent in how deep this myth has burrowed into people's colonized minds like a parasite
Liberalism is pretty good actually, it's why we have the time and peace of mind enough to even be having these discussions. Every tangible step towards civil rights is founded on the stability brought about under liberalism
April 30, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Hilary here is yet another example showing just why economics lessons should be compulsory for everyone before they go to university.
Reposted by Rohan
Democrats are so bad with messaging on this.
These tariffs are unpopular and they are going to be extraordinarily unpopular.
These tariffs are unpopular and they are going to be extraordinarily unpopular.
April 9, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Democrats are so bad with messaging on this.
These tariffs are unpopular and they are going to be extraordinarily unpopular.
These tariffs are unpopular and they are going to be extraordinarily unpopular.
It's strange how Tim is keen to highlight this yet ignores the fact that one of his own co-authors is responsible for the tariffs in the first place!
This article is a good summary of what economists think of the calculation of Trump's "kind" reciprocal tariffs. And it mentions the work of three of my former students, with quotes by two of them.
finance.yahoo.com/news/the-whi...
finance.yahoo.com/news/the-whi...
The White House cited these economists to justify its tariffs. They aren't thrilled.
The Trump administration's formula for calculating new tariffs raised questions among economists — even some whose work was cited.
finance.yahoo.com
April 5, 2025 at 6:59 PM
It's strange how Tim is keen to highlight this yet ignores the fact that one of his own co-authors is responsible for the tariffs in the first place!
Reposted by Rohan
100%. Messaging needs to be clear and forceful. This is bad and it will not help workers.
April 3, 2025 at 8:55 PM
100%. Messaging needs to be clear and forceful. This is bad and it will not help workers.
Reposted by Rohan
Apparently Yanis Varoufakis thinks that Trump’s tariffs are based on a solid masterplan, which means that I have to update neither about the plan nor about Varoufakis.
April 3, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Apparently Yanis Varoufakis thinks that Trump’s tariffs are based on a solid masterplan, which means that I have to update neither about the plan nor about Varoufakis.
In one fell swoop, Stephan Miran, Pierre Yared, and Kim Ruhl have destroyed not only their own reputations, but also those of anyone that has ever worked with them on any paper or other piece of work.
I would be ashamed to have my name on the same project as theirs.
I would be ashamed to have my name on the same project as theirs.
April 3, 2025 at 3:29 PM
In one fell swoop, Stephan Miran, Pierre Yared, and Kim Ruhl have destroyed not only their own reputations, but also those of anyone that has ever worked with them on any paper or other piece of work.
I would be ashamed to have my name on the same project as theirs.
I would be ashamed to have my name on the same project as theirs.
Results that shouldn't surprise anyone.
Yet I'm sure people at the AEA will still deny them.
Yet I'm sure people at the AEA will still deny them.
April 1, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Results that shouldn't surprise anyone.
Yet I'm sure people at the AEA will still deny them.
Yet I'm sure people at the AEA will still deny them.
Reposted by Rohan
What is obscene is the argument - repeated here uncritically - that a public official doing their job (as mandated by law) is somehow personally responsible for someone else’s suicide
March 29, 2025 at 1:47 PM
What is obscene is the argument - repeated here uncritically - that a public official doing their job (as mandated by law) is somehow personally responsible for someone else’s suicide
Reposted by Rohan
OBR forecasts are increasingly contentious; not only do they reflect Government policy, they increasingly shape it.
The 2022 mini-budget fallout is the starkest example of the OBR’s impact.
A 🧵on the pressure this puts on the OBR to get things right 👇
The 2022 mini-budget fallout is the starkest example of the OBR’s impact.
A 🧵on the pressure this puts on the OBR to get things right 👇
March 27, 2025 at 1:22 PM
OBR forecasts are increasingly contentious; not only do they reflect Government policy, they increasingly shape it.
The 2022 mini-budget fallout is the starkest example of the OBR’s impact.
A 🧵on the pressure this puts on the OBR to get things right 👇
The 2022 mini-budget fallout is the starkest example of the OBR’s impact.
A 🧵on the pressure this puts on the OBR to get things right 👇
The OBR has been criticised rather a lot recently, and while some of that criticism is valid, much of it is misplaced.
@pedroserodio.com and I have written for @ukdayone.bsky.social to set out where the OBR might be able to improve and suggest a way forward to implement improvements.
@pedroserodio.com and I have written for @ukdayone.bsky.social to set out where the OBR might be able to improve and suggest a way forward to implement improvements.
March 27, 2025 at 1:22 PM
The OBR has been criticised rather a lot recently, and while some of that criticism is valid, much of it is misplaced.
@pedroserodio.com and I have written for @ukdayone.bsky.social to set out where the OBR might be able to improve and suggest a way forward to implement improvements.
@pedroserodio.com and I have written for @ukdayone.bsky.social to set out where the OBR might be able to improve and suggest a way forward to implement improvements.
Reposted by Rohan
Wonk punditry was a mistake. I honestly can’t believe how bad the reporting has gotten on quant topics
March 25, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Wonk punditry was a mistake. I honestly can’t believe how bad the reporting has gotten on quant topics
Reposted by Rohan
"I wish we have more random shocks to leverage for my econ papers."
March 3, 2025 at 1:29 AM
"I wish we have more random shocks to leverage for my econ papers."
Reposted by Rohan
Posting this here because it seems like a great job people should see, working for @stuartjritchie.bsky.social at Anthropic. If you’re a brilliant writer on economics and society and want to help the world understand AI better, consider applying.
boards.greenhouse.io/anthropic/jo...
boards.greenhouse.io/anthropic/jo...
March 1, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Posting this here because it seems like a great job people should see, working for @stuartjritchie.bsky.social at Anthropic. If you’re a brilliant writer on economics and society and want to help the world understand AI better, consider applying.
boards.greenhouse.io/anthropic/jo...
boards.greenhouse.io/anthropic/jo...
Reposted by Rohan
lmfao do you know how unpopular you have to be to poll 4 points behind international aid and 12 points behind the IRS here
Those Who Say (X) Agency Should Be Eliminated:
DOGE: 25%
USAID: 21%
DOE: 17%
IRS: 13%
FEMA: 11%
EPA: 8%
CDC: 7%
CFPB: 7%
ICE: 5%
FBI: 4%
NWS: 2%
DOD: 1%
YouGov / Feb 18, 2025 / n=1603
DOGE: 25%
USAID: 21%
DOE: 17%
IRS: 13%
FEMA: 11%
EPA: 8%
CDC: 7%
CFPB: 7%
ICE: 5%
FBI: 4%
NWS: 2%
DOD: 1%
YouGov / Feb 18, 2025 / n=1603
February 20, 2025 at 12:37 AM
lmfao do you know how unpopular you have to be to poll 4 points behind international aid and 12 points behind the IRS here
Adam knows all about fake economic research!
February 16, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Adam knows all about fake economic research!
Reposted by Rohan
Oct 26: “I’ll slash prices — so fast it’ll make their heads spin”
Feb 13: “Could go up” 🤷🏻♂️
www.barrons.com/articles/tru...
Feb 13: “Could go up” 🤷🏻♂️
www.barrons.com/articles/tru...
February 14, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Oct 26: “I’ll slash prices — so fast it’ll make their heads spin”
Feb 13: “Could go up” 🤷🏻♂️
www.barrons.com/articles/tru...
Feb 13: “Could go up” 🤷🏻♂️
www.barrons.com/articles/tru...
This is extremely false - the link between Biden's excessive spending and the resulting inflation is obvious.
Absent Biden's economic policies, we would have likely experienced almost the same inflation, lower job growth, and lower real wage growth especially for the bottom.
And like much of the developed world, American voters would have voted Biden out due to unavoidable part of high global inflation.
And like much of the developed world, American voters would have voted Biden out due to unavoidable part of high global inflation.
February 11, 2025 at 5:17 AM
This is extremely false - the link between Biden's excessive spending and the resulting inflation is obvious.