Paul Hünermund
@p-hunermund.com
Professor of Technology and Economic Policy | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at Academy of Management TIM Division
Pinned
🎉 The program for this year's Causal Data Science Meeting (#CDSM2025) is now live!
📅 Nov 12–13, 2025 | 💻 Online | 🎟️ Free registration
Join us for two days of talks and debates at the intersection of causality, data science, and AI.
👉 causalscience.org
📅 Nov 12–13, 2025 | 💻 Online | 🎟️ Free registration
Join us for two days of talks and debates at the intersection of causality, data science, and AI.
👉 causalscience.org
The program for #CDSM2025 is now live! Join us online this November for two days of talks and discussions on #Causality, #DataScience, and #AI. 🚨👇
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Just in case you wondered about certain norms of behavior
Does the scientific community sanction sexual misconduct unrelated to research integrity? Our new study finds a citation penalty: a significant decline in citations to the prior work of accused scientists.
190researchblog.subs...
190researchblog.subs...
November 17, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Just in case you wondered about certain norms of behavior
Nice!
Two long-lost organ pieces by JS Bach performed for first time in 300 years (by the excellent Ton Koopman)
www.theguardian.com/music/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/music/2025/n...
Two long-lost organ pieces by JS Bach performed for first time in 300 years
Archive director in Germany says ‘missing piece of puzzle’ now in place to verify authorship after decades of research
www.theguardian.com
November 17, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Nice!
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
When states like Colorado passed policies requiring employers to disclose salary information in job postings, what happened?
It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.
Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.
It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.
Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.
November 17, 2025 at 4:41 PM
When states like Colorado passed policies requiring employers to disclose salary information in job postings, what happened?
It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.
Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.
It increased competition, and raised wages, without harming employment or changing skill requirements.
Improved functioning of markets, helped workers.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Think piece about how Gilmore Girls did to aspiring journalists what West Wing did to aspiring political staffers.
A writer friend of mine described the emergence of the 'memoir by a 25 year old' phenomenon as involving just out-of-college aspiring writers going somewhere in the world—somewhere exotic, maybe somewhere dangerous—just to accumulate material for that book. It's not impossible
November 17, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Think piece about how Gilmore Girls did to aspiring journalists what West Wing did to aspiring political staffers.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
New paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár on leniency/judge IV designs.
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
November 17, 2025 at 3:06 PM
New paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár on leniency/judge IV designs.
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
This article is targeted for the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and so we wrote it with the goal of being accessible to a wide range of users, including advanced undergrads!🧵
arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
We should introduce a new heuristic for judging academic careers: If they pursue the same field than their famous academic relatives, it's likely because of networks not ability.
November 17, 2025 at 11:06 AM
We should introduce a new heuristic for judging academic careers: If they pursue the same field than their famous academic relatives, it's likely because of networks not ability.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
$145M for a Causal AI Startup
Jensen Huang: "Nvidia is using (it) with great success"
Causal AI marketing analytics startup Alembic Technologies closed a $145 million Series B round, propelling its valuation almost 16x.
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #StatSky
Jensen Huang: "Nvidia is using (it) with great success"
Causal AI marketing analytics startup Alembic Technologies closed a $145 million Series B round, propelling its valuation almost 16x.
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #StatSky
November 17, 2025 at 9:29 AM
$145M for a Causal AI Startup
Jensen Huang: "Nvidia is using (it) with great success"
Causal AI marketing analytics startup Alembic Technologies closed a $145 million Series B round, propelling its valuation almost 16x.
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #StatSky
Jensen Huang: "Nvidia is using (it) with great success"
Causal AI marketing analytics startup Alembic Technologies closed a $145 million Series B round, propelling its valuation almost 16x.
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #StatSky
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
A senior academic using mentoring as leverage to obtain sex is a contemptible abuser of power.
Summers conferred with Epstein frequently about how to extract sexual favors from a Harvard econ grad (AB '04, PhD '09)
The grad is from China
Epstein and Summers referred to her by the codename "Peril"
Racism and sexual exploitation in one efficient package
bit.ly/3LHpin8
The grad is from China
Epstein and Summers referred to her by the codename "Peril"
Racism and sexual exploitation in one efficient package
bit.ly/3LHpin8
As Summers Sought Clandestine Relationship With Woman He Called a Mentee, Epstein Was His ‘Wing Man’ | News | The Harvard Crimson
When former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers was pursuing a romantic relationship with a woman he described as a mentee, he turned to a longtime associate for guidance: convicted sex offender Jef...
bit.ly
November 17, 2025 at 8:07 AM
A senior academic using mentoring as leverage to obtain sex is a contemptible abuser of power.
"The dramatic valuation increase [...] reflects a fundamental transformation in Alembic's technology and market positioning since its previous funding round." #CausalAI 📈
venturebeat.com/ai/alembic-m...
venturebeat.com/ai/alembic-m...
venturebeat.com
November 17, 2025 at 7:48 AM
"The dramatic valuation increase [...] reflects a fundamental transformation in Alembic's technology and market positioning since its previous funding round." #CausalAI 📈
venturebeat.com/ai/alembic-m...
venturebeat.com/ai/alembic-m...
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Yann LeCun is leaving Meta
He says he’s disillusioned with LLMs as a path to AGI and he’s starting a company focused on world models
For as obnoxious as Yann can be, I’m honestly rooting for him. I’d love to see what his JEPA can do, unconstrained by Meta
gizmodo.com/yann-lecun-w...
He says he’s disillusioned with LLMs as a path to AGI and he’s starting a company focused on world models
For as obnoxious as Yann can be, I’m honestly rooting for him. I’d love to see what his JEPA can do, unconstrained by Meta
gizmodo.com/yann-lecun-w...
‘Imagine a Cube Floating in the Air’: The New AI Dream Allegedly Driving Yann LeCun Away from Meta
The legendary AI scientist is reportedly leaving Meta. Here's what we know about why.
gizmodo.com
November 17, 2025 at 1:08 AM
Yann LeCun is leaving Meta
He says he’s disillusioned with LLMs as a path to AGI and he’s starting a company focused on world models
For as obnoxious as Yann can be, I’m honestly rooting for him. I’d love to see what his JEPA can do, unconstrained by Meta
gizmodo.com/yann-lecun-w...
He says he’s disillusioned with LLMs as a path to AGI and he’s starting a company focused on world models
For as obnoxious as Yann can be, I’m honestly rooting for him. I’d love to see what his JEPA can do, unconstrained by Meta
gizmodo.com/yann-lecun-w...
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Get off of twitter you fools.
November 17, 2025 at 5:56 AM
Get off of twitter you fools.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
The next online installment of ESTIMATE: The Reduced Form is coming on Dec 11-12. I've continued to unify and expand regression-based methods to apply to exit, non-binary treatments, DDD, discrete outcomes, and more.
All proceeds to the MSU economics PhD program.
econ.msu.edu/academics/es...
All proceeds to the MSU economics PhD program.
econ.msu.edu/academics/es...
Estimate Reduced Form | Economics | Michigan State University
econ.msu.edu
November 16, 2025 at 3:43 PM
The next online installment of ESTIMATE: The Reduced Form is coming on Dec 11-12. I've continued to unify and expand regression-based methods to apply to exit, non-binary treatments, DDD, discrete outcomes, and more.
All proceeds to the MSU economics PhD program.
econ.msu.edu/academics/es...
All proceeds to the MSU economics PhD program.
econ.msu.edu/academics/es...
Counterpoint: You can bring up pregnancies, engagement rings, and even new haircuts—like a normal human being. You also don't have to leave the elevator if a woman is entering. It just takes a minimum level of human decency to handle these situations.
Tip on being human for faculty men:
Things never to mention to any student, unless directly asked: their clothing, their bodies, their romantic lives. Ever. (Even new hair and outfits, obvious pregnancies, engagement rings, etc.) They will bring it up if they want your opinion. It's not that hard.
Things never to mention to any student, unless directly asked: their clothing, their bodies, their romantic lives. Ever. (Even new hair and outfits, obvious pregnancies, engagement rings, etc.) They will bring it up if they want your opinion. It's not that hard.
Yeah as a woman who has fended off comments from men and women about my outfits throughout my career no matter what I wore I’m here to second your comment. If you look too nice in something they’ll tell you you look too sexy to be serious but if you dress as I did at one point in overly large
November 16, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Counterpoint: You can bring up pregnancies, engagement rings, and even new haircuts—like a normal human being. You also don't have to leave the elevator if a woman is entering. It just takes a minimum level of human decency to handle these situations.
Over at retraction watch they're really dealing with the darkest sides of the conditio humana
"Author changes name, publishes 10 papers in journals that banned him" https://retractionwatch.com/2025/11/10/author-changes-name-publishes-10-papers-in-journals-that-banned-him/
Of course...
Of course...
Author changes name, publishes 10 papers in journals that banned him
How to render a publishing ban moot? Change your surname and just keep submitting. That’s what happened in the case of Hashem Babaei, aka Hashem Gharababaei. In 2010, the Institution of Mechanical Engineers (IMechE), a professional society based in the U.K., banned the mechanical engineering researcher from the University of Guilan from submitting his work … Continue reading Author changes name, publishes 10 papers in journals that banned him
retractionwatch.com
November 16, 2025 at 12:06 PM
Over at retraction watch they're really dealing with the darkest sides of the conditio humana
People who think em dashes are an AI tell have obviously never had a New Yorker subscription.
November 16, 2025 at 8:51 AM
People who think em dashes are an AI tell have obviously never had a New Yorker subscription.
Small-town Danes need to understand that Copenhagen is not the Jutland countryside, where you can establish a 2-km perimeter and do whatever you like—and any conflict can be handled through avoidance or quiet negotiation.
November 16, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Small-town Danes need to understand that Copenhagen is not the Jutland countryside, where you can establish a 2-km perimeter and do whatever you like—and any conflict can be handled through avoidance or quiet negotiation.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Congratulations to my student, Maggie Ma, for publishing her first #rstats package {ggincerta} on CRAN 🥳
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
November 16, 2025 at 4:51 AM
Congratulations to my student, Maggie Ma, for publishing her first #rstats package {ggincerta} on CRAN 🥳
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
Spatial uncertainty visualisation (bivariate, pixel, exceedance, glyph), like {Vizumap}, but fully integrated with ggplot2 -- a much simpler API with all the advantages of the ggplot2 system.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Was für Post Apocalyptic, das is legit jede zweite deutsche uni zwischen november und mai
November 15, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Was für Post Apocalyptic, das is legit jede zweite deutsche uni zwischen november und mai
Great perspective from #CDSM2025: causal inference is 'what-if' analysis. You don’t have to get everything perfect—or how dare you use the c-word. What matters is laying out your assumptions transparently and showing us what happens when they're violated.
November 15, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Great perspective from #CDSM2025: causal inference is 'what-if' analysis. You don’t have to get everything perfect—or how dare you use the c-word. What matters is laying out your assumptions transparently and showing us what happens when they're violated.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
3/The mistreatment of women in economics has long been an open secret. I have felt the obligation to discuss sexism in the profession with every female graduate student I have had starting as an Assistant Professor to this day.
November 15, 2025 at 4:32 PM
3/The mistreatment of women in economics has long been an open secret. I have felt the obligation to discuss sexism in the profession with every female graduate student I have had starting as an Assistant Professor to this day.
Too much vodka
November 15, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Too much vodka
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
The Brits have many nice understatements for really poor decisions ("a bit ill-advised", etc.) that this paper may bring out. In plain words: an economic disaster.
www.nber.org/papers/w34459
www.nber.org/papers/w34459
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 15, 2025 at 9:29 AM
The Brits have many nice understatements for really poor decisions ("a bit ill-advised", etc.) that this paper may bring out. In plain words: an economic disaster.
www.nber.org/papers/w34459
www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Some of our colleagues need to take note of this paper!
Update your syllabus and stay on the frontier - it will increase your students’ wages. Epic work by my colleagues @barbarabiasi.com and @profsongma.bsky.social #linkoftheday
www.barbarabiasi.com/uploads/1/0/...
www.barbarabiasi.com/uploads/1/0/...
November 15, 2025 at 7:05 AM
Some of our colleagues need to take note of this paper!
Baby throws a party on Friday evening 🥳
November 14, 2025 at 10:22 PM
Baby throws a party on Friday evening 🥳
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
This week's episode is on the Manipulation Theorem, which is not well-known in the broader causal community, but has hugely influenced philosophers. I cover hard vs soft interventions, why causation doesn't require human agents, and whether causation requires open systems.
youtu.be/fg1ApidilVM
youtu.be/fg1ApidilVM
E9: Using Causal Graphs to Change the World
YouTube video by Causal Foundations
youtu.be
November 14, 2025 at 5:57 PM
This week's episode is on the Manipulation Theorem, which is not well-known in the broader causal community, but has hugely influenced philosophers. I cover hard vs soft interventions, why causation doesn't require human agents, and whether causation requires open systems.
youtu.be/fg1ApidilVM
youtu.be/fg1ApidilVM